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Noble Roman's Inc (NROM)
OTHER OTC:NROM
US Market
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Noble Roman's (NROM) AI Stock Analysis

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NROM

Noble Roman's

(OTC:NROM)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$0.30
▲(9.26% Upside)
Noble Roman's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, despite high leverage and market challenges. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, but valuation concerns and external risks temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Franchise Expansion
Expanding franchise units increases market presence and revenue potential with lower capital risk, supporting sustainable growth.
Improved Margins
Improved margins reflect operational efficiency and cost management, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Low Net Profitability
Low net profitability can hinder reinvestment and growth, affecting long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Consumer Sentiment Decline
A decline in consumer sentiment can reduce sales and revenue growth, posing challenges to maintaining market share and profitability.

Noble Roman's (NROM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Noble Roman's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNoble Roman's, Inc. sells and services franchises, and licenses and operates foodservice locations for stand-alone restaurants and non-traditional foodservice operations. The company franchises, licenses, and operates foodservice locations under the Noble Roman's Craft Pizza & Pub, Noble Roman's Pizza, Noble Roman's Take-N-Bake, and Tuscano's Italian Style Subs trade names, which provide breadsticks and cheesy stix with dip, pizza, pasta, salads, wings, baked sandwiches, and other related breakfast products, as well as a selection of desserts. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 3,069 franchised/licensed outlets. Noble Roman's, Inc. was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyNoble Roman's generates revenue through multiple channels. The primary revenue streams include sales from company-owned restaurants, franchise fees, and royalties from franchisees. The company earns significant income from selling food products to retail outlets, leveraging its brand recognition in the frozen food segment. Additionally, partnerships with grocery chains and distributors extend its market reach. Noble Roman's franchise model allows the company to expand its footprint with lower capital risk, as franchisees invest in setting up the restaurants while paying ongoing royalties based on sales. The combination of direct sales, franchising, and retail distribution creates a diversified revenue model that contributes to the overall financial health of the company.

Noble Roman's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted significant growth in revenue, net income, and margins, along with a successful expansion of franchise units. However, challenges such as a drop in consumer sentiment, commodity price fluctuations, and refinancing uncertainties posed concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Net Income Before Taxes
Net income before taxes increased to $578,918 for the quarter, up from $193,314 in 2024.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased by 6.8% for the quarter compared to last year.
Improved Margins in Craft Pizza & Pub
Margins at Craft Pizza & Pub increased to 12.8% from 7.9% a year ago.
Convenience Store Program Success
Margin contribution from the convenience store program increased by 14.8% over 2024, with a margin rate increase to 73.4% from 65.2%.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA increased to approximately $3,825,000 at the end of Q3, up from $3,501,000 at the end of Q2.
Expansion in Franchise Units
Opened 13 new franchise units this quarter, with expectations of 27 additional new units during Q4.
Cheese Prices Stabilized
Cheese prices are currently at the 10-year long-term average, providing relief from previous high prices.
Negative Updates
Drop in Consumer Sentiment
Consumer sentiment has dropped to a 3-year low, down 29.9% compared to last year.
Commodity Price Fluctuations
Meat prices have been unfavorable, impacting toppings due to avian flu and tariffs.
Challenges with Tariff Negotiations
Tariff negotiations, particularly with India, impacted franchise openings.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The government shutdown affected sales and consumer behavior.
Refinancing Challenges
Ongoing efforts to secure refinancing with developments yet to be announced.
Company Guidance
During the call, Noble Roman's provided a detailed overview of their financial performance metrics for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company reported a net income before taxes of $578,918, a significant increase from $193,314 in the same period of 2024. Total revenue rose by 6.8% compared to the previous year, with same-store sales in the Craft Pizza & Pub segment up by 4.2%. Margins at these locations increased from 7.9% to 12.8%. The convenience store program saw a 14.8% rise in margin contribution, reaching approximately $1.1 million, with the margin rate for this segment climbing to 73.4% from 65.2% the previous year. The adjusted EBITDA for the trailing twelve months increased from over $3 million at the end of 2024 to approximately $3,825,000 at the end of Q3 2025. The company also discussed plans to open about 27 new units in Q4 and highlighted ongoing refinancing efforts, with current terms secured until June 2026. Despite challenges with consumer sentiment and external factors like the government shutdown, the company has maintained a value-oriented strategy and plans to introduce new products to enhance margins.

Noble Roman's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Noble Roman's demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for future performance. However, the company faces challenges with high leverage and low net profitability, which could impact financial stability. Continued focus on improving margins and reducing debt will be crucial for enhancing financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Noble Roman's shows a strong revenue growth rate of 15.3% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory in sales. The gross profit margin is healthy at 29.9%, though it has decreased from previous years. The net profit margin is low at 1.4%, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting operational efficiency but also indicating room for improvement in cost management.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 4.78, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is modest at 9.4%, showing some profitability but not optimal given the high leverage. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow has grown significantly by 115.6% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.16, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.82, reflecting efficient cash management relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.42M15.15M14.37M14.45M13.88M11.54M
Gross Profit4.73M4.65M5.54M3.05M4.38M4.41M
EBITDA2.72M1.98M3.58M1.37M3.07M-1.15M
Net Income527.96K-3.17K1.46M-1.06M509.46K-5.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.23M16.77M18.48M18.34M19.38M18.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments635.63K710.23K872.34K785.52K1.26M1.19M
Total Debt10.71M11.57M12.89M14.86M14.72M14.32M
Total Liabilities13.49M14.55M16.29M16.48M16.48M16.06M
Stockholders Equity2.74M2.22M2.19M1.87M2.89M2.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow872.22K808.66K1.57M-477.99K69.15K-408.96K
Operating Cash Flow979.64K896.97K1.57M29.58K1.52M1.68M
Investing Cash Flow-107.42K-88.30K13.82K-507.57K-1.45M-2.08M
Financing Cash Flow-954.29K-887.41K-1.50M0.001.39B1.39M

Noble Roman's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.27
Price Trends
50DMA
0.18
Positive
100DMA
0.18
Positive
200DMA
0.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
75.84
Negative
STOCH
81.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NROM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.19, above the 50-day MA of 0.18, and above the 200-day MA of 0.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.84 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NROM.

Noble Roman's Risk Analysis

Noble Roman's disclosed 12 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Noble Roman's reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Noble Roman's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$33.11M12.5220.05%0.35%9.25%
68
Neutral
$3.78M11.726.05%37.10%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
51
Neutral
$14.14M11.443.85%1.84%12.10%
48
Neutral
$9.27M-11.53%-4.16%29.52%
47
Neutral
$25.33M-1.81-33.50%-6.89%-42.75%
39
Underperform
$32.02M-0.14561.34%-5.26%-44.78%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NROM
Noble Roman's
0.27
-0.03
-10.00%
ARKR
Ark Restaurants
7.02
-7.83
-52.73%
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants
1.25
-1.45
-53.70%
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
2.91
-0.22
-7.03%
FAT
Fat Brands
0.54
-2.54
-82.47%
BTBD
BT Brands
1.59
0.02
1.27%

Noble Roman's Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Noble Roman’s Board Changes Amid Shareholder Meeting Issues
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Marcel Herbst resigned from his position as a Class I Director on the Board of Noble Roman’s, Inc., a company involved in the food service industry. His resignation was not due to any conflict with the Board or the company. Jeffrey D. Roberts, a founding partner of a law firm in Carmel, Indiana, was appointed to fill the vacancy. On the same day, the company’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders was held, but it was adjourned without any votes being taken due to the lack of a quorum, as only 8,665,422 votes were represented out of the required 11,107,757.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025