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NSK Ltd (NPSKY)
OTHER OTC:NPSKY
US Market
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NSK (NPSKY) AI Stock Analysis

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NPSKY

NSK

(OTC:NPSKY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(32.58% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and a healthier balance sheet, partially offset by volatile/free-cash-flow weakness and still-thin margins. Technicals add support with an overall uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is a mild headwind due to a mid-20s P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue re-acceleration
Revenue growth of +11.6% signals strengthening underlying demand and successful commercial execution. Durable top-line momentum supports capacity utilization, steadier operating leverage and the ability to fund incremental R&D or product launches, improving long-term competitive position.
Negative Factors
Thin margins
Net margin around 2.5% remains low for an auto-parts business and provides limited buffer versus cost shocks or raw-material swings. Persistent low single-digit margins constrain retained earnings, limit reinvestment capacity and make returns sensitive to cyclical downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue re-acceleration
Revenue growth of +11.6% signals strengthening underlying demand and successful commercial execution. Durable top-line momentum supports capacity utilization, steadier operating leverage and the ability to fund incremental R&D or product launches, improving long-term competitive position.
Read all positive factors

NSK (NPSKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NSK Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NSK Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells industrial machinery bearings, automotive products, and precision machinery and parts worldwide. Its products include ball bearings; roller bearings; bearing units; super precision b...

NSK Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant challenges in the industrial machinery sector and revised downward forecasts due to economic slowdowns, particularly in China. However, there were positive developments in the automotive sector, successful strategic initiatives, and maintained shareholder returns. This balance of positive and negative aspects suggests a neutral sentiment.
Positive Updates
Automotive Business Recovery
The automotive industry showed signs of recovery with production volume increasing by about 10% year-on-year, driven by a resolution of the semiconductor shortage. Sales reached JPY 199.1 billion, showing alignment with increased automotive production.
Negative Updates
Industrial Machinery Business Decline
The industrial machinery business experienced a significant decline with sales down JPY 24.4 billion and segment income down JPY 15 billion year-on-year, continuing sluggish performance in the semiconductor and E&E segments.
Read all updates
Q2-2024 Updates
Negative
Automotive Business Recovery
The automotive industry showed signs of recovery with production volume increasing by about 10% year-on-year, driven by a resolution of the semiconductor shortage. Sales reached JPY 199.1 billion, showing alignment with increased automotive production.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for NSK Limited, President and CEO Akitoshi Ichii provided a detailed overview of the company's financial performance for the first half of fiscal 2023 and discussed the revised full-year forecast. The company reported first-half sales of JPY 386.7 billion and an operating income of JPY 11.1 billion, but due to a prolonged economic slowdown in China and ongoing weakness in demand for industrial machinery, the full-year sales forecast was revised down to JPY 800 billion with operating income expected at JPY 30 billion. The automotive segment showed signs of recovery, driven by an alleviation in semiconductor shortages, achieving sales of JPY 199.1 billion with a segment income of JPY 5.7 billion. Despite cost reductions of JPY 3.2 billion and a positive currency impact of JPY 3.2 billion, the company faced an overall operating income decline of JPY 8.5 billion from the previous year. Additionally, Ichii highlighted the successful completion of an equity method affiliate for the steering business and maintained a commitment to stable shareholder returns with a full-year dividend of JPY 30 per share. Looking ahead, the company aims to address challenges through structural reforms and expand sales, particularly in the Americas, while continuing to progress towards the Mid-Term Plan 2026 objectives.

NSK Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show improving fundamentals with re-accelerating revenue (+11.6%) and better profitability (net margin ~2.5% vs ~1.3% prior year). Balance sheet risk is reduced with lower leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.33), but margins remain thin and cash-flow quality is mixed given a sharp YoY free-cash-flow decline (~49%) and historical inconsistency.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue966.62B796.67B788.87B938.10B865.17B
Gross Profit202.83B172.78B165.25B191.06B169.73B
EBITDA90.68B84.11B78.79B91.14B81.33B
Net Income24.25B10.65B8.50B18.41B16.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.25T1.22T1.30T1.23T1.23T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments142.74B201.04B195.66B161.70B139.16B
Total Debt220.06B306.40B318.94B360.81B327.21B
Total Liabilities550.01B550.35B620.12B598.53B597.09B
Stockholders Equity674.89B651.46B659.98B616.21B617.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.38B31.82B41.12B12.41B-13.33B
Operating Cash Flow103.70B82.18B99.82B64.16B22.73B
Investing Cash Flow-68.66B-58.75B-90.81B-48.78B-19.97B
Financing Cash Flow-40.07B-33.74B-24.78B4.42B-48.22B

NSK Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.20
Price Trends
50DMA
15.08
Negative
100DMA
15.07
Negative
200DMA
13.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
44.22
Neutral
STOCH
4.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NPSKY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.78, below the 50-day MA of 15.08, and above the 200-day MA of 13.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NPSKY.

NSK Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.03B19.9111.08%0.57%-2.04%-43.19%
69
Neutral
$3.66B22.333.07%3.30%15.45%115.63%
68
Neutral
$6.23B9.05-42.77%1.49%7.36%34.94%
68
Neutral
$2.77B17.908.88%1.77%6.86%104.75%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$3.70B-8.89-12.67%1.70%-23.37%-131.29%
44
Neutral
$1.69B-1.92-58.09%-3.69%-958.22%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NPSKY
NSK
14.97
5.92
65.47%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
34.16
18.02
111.67%
GT
GoodYear Tire
5.89
-5.06
-46.21%
VC
Visteon
113.47
31.20
37.92%
GTX
Garrett Motion
33.29
22.54
209.62%
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
74.80
32.84
78.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026