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Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corporation (NPSCY)
OTHER OTC:NPSCY
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Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal (NPSCY) AI Stock Analysis

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NPSCY

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal

(OTC:NPSCY)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
â–¼(-13.58% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weakening financial performance (near-breakeven profitability, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow) and a weak technical setup (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is also unfavorable due to an extremely high P/E, with the dividend yield providing only limited support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion across the cycle, and a notable upswing in 2026, indicate ongoing demand and scale advantages. A durable revenue base supports capacity utilization, long-term contract leverage, and provides room to invest in efficiency or product mix improvements despite cyclicality.
Negative Factors
Profitability Deterioration
A sharp profit-margin reset to near breakeven materially reduces internal buffer against downturns and curtails retained earnings for reinvestment. Persistent low margins can force cost cutting, limit R&D/capex, and amplify earnings volatility in a cyclically exposed steel business over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion across the cycle, and a notable upswing in 2026, indicate ongoing demand and scale advantages. A durable revenue base supports capacity utilization, long-term contract leverage, and provides room to invest in efficiency or product mix improvements despite cyclicality.
Read all positive factors

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal (NPSCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nippon Steel Corporation, alongside its numerous subsidiaries, conducts a wide array of business operations globally and within Japan. Its core activities span four main divisions: steel manufacturing and fabrication, engineering and construction,...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth has been strong over the cycle, but the latest year shows a sharp profitability reset (net margin near breakeven), higher leverage, and negative free cash flow, raising near-term risk for a cyclical steel business.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.51T10.67T8.70T8.87T7.98T6.81T
Gross Profit1.31T1.53T1.37T1.39T1.28T1.21T
EBITDA813.89B1.09T954.04B1.16T1.23T1.03T
Net Income-3.17B18.19B350.23B549.37B694.02B637.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.82T14.72T10.94T10.71T9.57T8.75T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments524.00B463.26B713.95B482.82B687.96B572.38B
Total Debt5.08T5.20T2.51T2.71T2.70T2.65T
Total Liabilities8.33T8.67T5.04T5.36T4.92T4.86T
Stockholders Equity4.99T5.55T5.38T4.78T4.18T3.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-183.13B360.40B543.81B191.26B148.73B
Operating Cash Flow0.00760.18B978.59B1.01T661.27B615.63B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.01T-462.43B-710.65B-366.58B-378.87B
Financing Cash Flow0.002.00T-313.33B-543.95B-197.66B-61.30B

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.05
Price Trends
50DMA
3.60
Negative
100DMA
3.78
Negative
200DMA
3.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
47.92
Neutral
STOCH
74.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NPSCY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.50, above the 50-day MA of 3.60, and above the 200-day MA of 3.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NPSCY.

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Risk Analysis

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$21.10B25.8911.18%1.63%8.49%9.68%
73
Outperform
$39.56B28.5115.25%1.11%10.44%23.34%
67
Neutral
$59.00B24.8011.16%1.34%12.27%79.72%
63
Neutral
$50.75B17.345.35%1.03%-1.31%149.74%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
46
Neutral
$18.87B171.370.33%3.80%16.76%-98.17%
41
Neutral
$19.06B42.101.48%3.22%-5.70%-6.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NPSCY
Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal
3.51
-0.28
-7.34%
MT
ArcelorMittal
65.03
34.65
114.06%
NUE
Nucor
252.60
128.31
103.23%
PKX
POSCO
62.57
15.16
31.98%
RS
Reliance Steel
404.11
100.00
32.88%
STLD
Steel Dynamics
270.13
141.76
110.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026