tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
ArcelorMittal (MT)
NYSE:MT

ArcelorMittal (MT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,690 Followers

Top Page

MT

ArcelorMittal

(NYSE:MT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(10.77% Upside)
ArcelorMittal's stock is supported by strong technical momentum and a positive earnings outlook, despite challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The valuation is reasonable, but the low dividend yield limits immediate income potential. The company's strategic initiatives and trade tools provide a positive long-term outlook.

ArcelorMittal (MT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ArcelorMittal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcelorMittal (MT) is a leading global steel and mining company headquartered in Luxembourg. It operates through various sectors, primarily focusing on steel manufacturing, which includes flat and long products, as well as various value-added steel solutions. The company also engages in the mining of iron ore and coal, which are essential raw materials for steel production. With a diverse product portfolio, ArcelorMittal serves a wide range of industries, including automotive, construction, energy, and packaging.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcelorMittal generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of steel products. The company's revenue model is centered around its extensive production capabilities, with steel accounting for a significant portion of its income. Key revenue streams include the sale of flat products (such as hot and cold rolled sheets), long products (such as rebar and wire rods), and specialty products tailored for specific industries. Additionally, ArcelorMittal earns revenue from its mining segment, which supplies iron ore and metallurgical coal to its steel operations, reducing dependency on external suppliers and enhancing profit margins. Strategic partnerships with major customers in sectors like automotive and construction further bolster its revenue, enabling the company to secure long-term contracts and stabilize income. Market demand, global pricing of steel and raw materials, and operational efficiency are critical factors influencing ArcelorMittal's earnings.

ArcelorMittal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced outlook with structural improvements in EBITDA and positive cash flow generation, but also highlighted operational challenges in Mexico and demand pressures in core markets. The proposed trade tools in Europe and strategic projects provide a positive future outlook, while import pressures and high energy costs in other regions pose challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Structural Improvements in EBITDA
Third quarter EBITDA per tonne was $111, which is 25% above the historical average margin, demonstrating positive impact from asset optimization and growth strategy.
Positive Free Cash Flow Generation
Excluding working capital, 9 months free cash flow was approximately $0.5 billion positive, even after investing close to $1 billion in strategic growth projects.
Strong Performance in Europe
Encouraging outlook due to new trade tools proposed by the European Commission, which could lead to healthier capacity utilization levels.
North America Performance
Record level of shipments at Calvert, with strong operations in Canada and good performance from the HBI DRI plant in Texas.
Dividend and Share Repurchase Strategy
Over the past 5 years, the company grew its dividend at a compound rate of 16% and repurchased 38% of its equity.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges in Mexico
Mexico operations faced $90 million impact from costs and operational issues in Q3, with an expected $60-$65 million in Q4.
Demand Challenges in Core Regions
Demand moving sideways in core regions like Europe, impacting overall business performance.
Import Pressure in Brazil and India
High import levels in Brazil and India leading to very low prices, with authorities slow to address the situation.
Challenges in Ukraine Operations
High energy costs continue to impact operations, with the facility not yet free cash flow neutral.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, ArcelorMittal's CFO, Genuino Christino, highlighted several key metrics and forward-looking guidance. The company reported a third-quarter EBITDA per tonne of $111, which is 25% above their historical average margin, indicating structural improvements driven by asset optimization and growth strategies. ArcelorMittal expects to capture a $0.7 billion structural EBITDA improvement this year, with a medium-term target of $2.1 billion unchanged. The first nine months of free cash flow were approximately $0.5 billion, excluding working capital, even after investing nearly $1 billion in strategic growth projects. Looking ahead, the company anticipates a better outlook, supported by a proposed European trade tool and CBAM that will help the European steel sector return to healthier capacity utilization levels. Additionally, ArcelorMittal plans to maintain its capital return policies, aiming to grow its dividend at a compound rate of 16% over the past five years and having repurchased 38% of its equity. The company remains committed to enabling the energy transition and continues to invest in high-margin electrical steels and a competitive renewable energy portfolio.

ArcelorMittal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

ArcelorMittal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.82
Price Trends
50DMA
40.50
Positive
100DMA
37.31
Positive
200DMA
33.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.64
Negative
RSI
66.00
Neutral
STOCH
79.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.23, below the 50-day MA of 40.50, and above the 200-day MA of 33.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MT.

ArcelorMittal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$24.70B22.4412.47%1.16%-1.49%-31.82%
74
Outperform
$37.13B22.807.98%1.37%1.66%-31.25%
74
Outperform
$15.39B21.539.94%1.63%-0.88%-25.15%
71
Outperform
$33.87B13.904.72%1.02%-4.51%
68
Neutral
$7.43B12.944.80%7.14%-16.69%585.38%
60
Neutral
$15.79B49.990.78%3.14%-8.97%-67.03%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MT
ArcelorMittal
45.21
22.35
97.77%
NUE
Nucor
160.69
46.92
41.24%
PKX
POSCO
52.88
7.76
17.20%
RS
Reliance Steel
297.71
37.95
14.61%
STLD
Steel Dynamics
172.74
59.23
52.18%
TX
Ternium SA
38.47
11.89
44.73%

ArcelorMittal Corporate Events

ArcelorMittal Cancels Over 77 Million Treasury Shares
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, ArcelorMittal announced the cancellation of 77,809,772 treasury shares, reducing its total shares in issue to 775,000,000. This move is part of the company’s strategy to manage its share capital effectively, with the remaining treasury shares being used to fulfill commitments related to its Long-Term Incentive Plan. The cancellation aligns with transparency requirements under Luxembourg law and is expected to impact the company’s shareholding structure and potentially its market valuation.

ArcelorMittal Reports Resilient Q3 2025 Results Amid Strategic Growth
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, ArcelorMittal announced its third-quarter results for 2025, highlighting a resilient performance despite a typically weak seasonal period. The company reported an EBITDA of $1.5 billion and a net income of $0.4 billion, supported by strategic growth investments and a strong balance sheet. ArcelorMittal is optimistic about its future, driven by new EU trade policies and a focus on high-return strategic projects. The company is also committed to enhancing safety and sustainability, with ongoing efforts to improve its safety culture and capitalize on opportunities in the energy transition sector.

ArcelorMittal Finalizes Sale of Bosnia Operations
Nov 3, 2025

On October 30, 2025, ArcelorMittal completed the sale of its steel and mining operations in Bosnia and Herzegovina, specifically ArcelorMittal Zenica and ArcelorMittal Prijedor, to H&P d.o.o. Zvornik, part of the Pavgord Group. This sale, initially announced in June 2025, is part of ArcelorMittal’s strategic realignment and could impact its operational focus and market positioning, potentially affecting stakeholders involved in the Bosnian operations.

ArcelorMittal Releases Q3 2025 Analyst Consensus Figures
Oct 29, 2025

On October 27, 2025, ArcelorMittal announced the publication of its third quarter 2025 sell-side analyst consensus figures, which were aggregated by Visible Alpha from approximately 15 brokers. The consensus estimates include an EBITDA of $1,464 million, a net income of $404 million, and earnings per share of $0.53. This announcement provides stakeholders with an external perspective on the company’s financial performance, although ArcelorMittal does not take responsibility for the accuracy of these estimates.

ArcelorMittal Issues €650 Million Notes for Debt Refinancing
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, ArcelorMittal announced the successful issuance of €650 million in 3.250% notes due in 2030. This financial move, executed under the company’s Euro Medium Term Notes Programme, is aimed at supporting general corporate purposes and refinancing existing debt, highlighting ArcelorMittal’s strategic financial management and its ongoing efforts to optimize its capital structure.

ArcelorMittal Announces Designated Person Share Transactions
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, ArcelorMittal announced notifications of share transactions by a Designated Person, which are now available on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange’s electronic database and ArcelorMittal’s website. This announcement is in compliance with the Market Abuse Regulations, highlighting the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory adherence, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perceptions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025