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National Presto (NPK)
NYSE:NPK
US Market

National Presto (NPK) AI Stock Analysis

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NPK

National Presto

(NYSE:NPK)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$146.00
▲(22.49% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/28/26
The score is primarily held back by weak recent cash generation (negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow in 2024–2025) and margin compression, despite low leverage. Technicals are supportive with the stock above key moving averages, and corporate events are a net positive due to large defense contract wins improving visibility. Valuation is fair-to-moderate with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Defense Contract Backlog
Large multi-year delivery orders and IDIQ awards materially increase contracted backlog and revenue visibility for the Defense segment. This improves production planning, reduces near-term demand uncertainty, and supports predictable manufacturing volumes and utilization over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Two consecutive years of negative operating and free cash flow signal poor cash conversion despite positive net income. This erodes internal funding for inventory and capex tied to large defense orders, may pressure liquidity, and can force reliance on external financing or reduced discretionary spending.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Defense Contract Backlog
Large multi-year delivery orders and IDIQ awards materially increase contracted backlog and revenue visibility for the Defense segment. This improves production planning, reduces near-term demand uncertainty, and supports predictable manufacturing volumes and utilization over multiple years.
Read all positive factors

National Presto (NPK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Presto Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
National Presto Industries Inc. provides housewares and small electric appliance, and defense products primarily in North America. It operates through three segments: Housewares/Small Appliance, Defense, and Safety. The company's Housewares/Small ...
How the Company Makes Money
National Presto makes money mainly through two operating segments: 1) Defense segment (primary profit driver in many periods): The company generates revenue by manufacturing defense products—most notably ammunition and related items—for the U.S. ...

National Presto Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is strong (notably in 2025) and leverage is very low, but recent cash-flow quality is a major concern: operating cash flow and free cash flow were negative in both 2024 and 2025. Margins also compressed materially in 2025 versus 2023–2024, reducing earnings reliability.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue503.52M388.23M340.91M321.62M355.78M
Gross Profit78.81M78.57M67.45M55.13M64.40M
EBITDA48.08M50.26M41.04M30.28M33.01M
Net Income33.08M41.46M34.56M20.70M25.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets504.66M453.40M440.54M414.54M422.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.75M22.67M114.11M95.57M144.00M
Total Debt33.06M9.96M10.66M10.73M10.16M
Total Liabilities109.52M85.77M84.28M66.48M64.75M
Stockholders Equity395.13M367.63M356.26M348.05M357.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-36.17M-60.96M43.55M7.74M31.82M
Operating Cash Flow-9.14M-53.43M45.39M8.77M34.69M
Investing Cash Flow-21.88M14.96M-447.00K-16.44M32.55M
Financing Cash Flow16.60M-31.53M-28.00M-31.43M-43.47M

National Presto Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price119.19
Price Trends
50DMA
131.92
Positive
100DMA
118.09
Positive
200DMA
112.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.17
Negative
RSI
53.25
Neutral
STOCH
69.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NPK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.39, below the 50-day MA of 131.92, and above the 200-day MA of 112.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NPK.

National Presto Risk Analysis

National Presto disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Presto reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

National Presto Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$658.51M32.293.28%5.10%-9.08%-71.62%
62
Neutral
$658.82M-120.73-1.50%1.92%3.90%-92.10%
62
Neutral
$777.61M16.1216.37%95.23%89.44%
61
Neutral
$1.03B23.068.72%0.92%34.75%14.31%
58
Neutral
$208.71M42.3515.76%50.99%612.36%
57
Neutral
$242.79M22.47-35.04%-11.01%-279.70%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NPK
National Presto
143.55
58.78
69.34%
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands
14.80
6.32
74.49%
RGR
Sturm Ruger & Company
41.32
3.68
9.77%
POWW
AMMO
2.07
0.75
56.82%
SKYH
Sky Harbour Group
10.21
-1.18
-10.36%
BYRN
Byrna Technologies
9.20
-7.38
-44.51%

National Presto Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
National Presto Wins Major U.S. Army Ammunition Order
Positive
Mar 27, 2026
On March 26, 2026, the U.S. Army issued AMTEC Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary within National Presto’s Defense segment, a third delivery order under its existing five-year Indefinite Delivery, Indefinite Quantity contract for producti...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
National Presto Announces Executive Retirement Amid Dividend Declaration
Negative
Mar 4, 2026
On February 27, 2026, National Presto reported that 2025 net sales rose 29.7% to $503.5 million, driven by a 42.9% surge in Defense segment revenue from higher shipments, even as net earnings fell 20.2% to $33.1 million, or $4.63 per share, due to...
Business Operations and Strategy
National Presto Subsidiary Wins Army 40mm IDIQ Contract
Positive
Feb 5, 2026
On January 30, 2026, the U.S. Army awarded AMTEC Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary in National Presto’s Defense segment, an Indefinite Delivery Indefinite Quantity contract for 40mm Non-Recurring Engineering services, with five ordering...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
National Presto Subsidiary Wins Major U.S. Army Order
Positive
Jan 6, 2026
On January 6, 2026, National Presto Industries announced that its wholly owned Defense segment subsidiary, AMTEC Corporation, received a second delivery order from the U.S. Army under a five-year Indefinite Delivery, Indefinite Quantity contract f...
Business Operations and Strategy
National Presto Wins Major Boeing Warhead Subcontract
Positive
Dec 29, 2025
On December 29, 2025, National Presto Industries announced that its Defense segment subsidiary, Spectra Technologies, LLC, received a $92.3 million subcontract from The Boeing Company, awarded on December 22, 2025, to produce warheads for the Smal...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 28, 2026