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National Presto (NPK)
NYSE:NPK
US Market

National Presto (NPK) AI Stock Analysis

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NPK

National Presto

(NYSE:NPK)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$121.00
▲(2.32% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, tempered by weak recent cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow). Technical trend signals are positive, and recent large defense contract wins meaningfully improve revenue visibility, while valuation is only moderate given a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low trailing leverage provides durable financial flexibility, allowing the company to fund working capital, absorb cash-flow volatility, and pursue defense contract fulfilment or opportunistic investments without immediate reliance on external capital markets.
Large defense contract backlog
Multi-year government orders materially bolster Defense segment backlog and revenue visibility, supporting capacity planning and utilization. These structural awards improve predictable future cash flows and strategic positioning within military ordnance supply chains.
Steady revenue and profitability
Consistent top-line growth and mid-single-digit net margins indicate ongoing demand and underlying earnings power across consumer and defense lines, providing a foundation for reinvestment and resilience through industry cycles over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Earnings are not converting into cash, creating a structural concern: sustained negative operating/free cash flow can force reliance on balance-sheet liquidity, constrain capex or dividend policy, and hamper the company's ability to self-fund contract ramps or investments.
Rising debt levels
Although leverage is still low, a meaningful rise in debt versus recent years reduces the company's financial cushion. If cash conversion remains weak, higher debt could limit borrowing capacity, increase interest exposure, and restrict strategic optionality over the medium term.
Margin erosion vs prior peaks
Declining margins relative to recent historical highs point to structural cost pressures or adverse product mix. Persistent margin compression would reduce free cash flow potential and the ability to fund R&D, commercial expansion, or shareholder returns over the next several quarters.

National Presto (NPK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Presto Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNational Presto Industries Inc. provides housewares and small electric appliance, and defense products primarily in North America. It operates through three segments: Housewares/Small Appliance, Defense, and Safety. The company's Housewares/Small Appliance segment designs, markets, and distributes housewares and small electrical appliances, including pressure cookers and canners; heat control single thermostatic control line of skillets, griddles, woks, and multi-purpose cookers; slow cookers; deep fryers; air fryers; waffle makers; pizza ovens; slicer/shredders; electric heaters; hot air, oil, and microwave corn poppers; dehydrators; rice cookers; microwave bacon cookers; egg cookers; coffeemakers and coffeemaker accessories; electric tea kettles; electric knife sharpeners; various kitchen gadgets; and timers under the Presto Control Master brand. This segment sells its products directly to retailers, as well as through independent distributors. The Defense segment manufactures and sells 40mm ammunition, precision mechanical and electro-mechanical products, and medium caliber cartridge cases; and detonators, booster pellets, release cartridges, lead azide, and other military energetic devices and materials. This segment primarily serves the United States Department of Defense (DOD) and DOD prime contractors. The Safety segment patents machine learning, digital sensors, and cloud-based technology to continuously monitor freezers and refrigerators detecting and alerting users to potential safety issues around pharmaceuticals and food. National Presto Industries Inc. was incorporated in 1905 and is based in Eau Claire, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyNational Presto generates revenue primarily through the sale of its consumer products, which include electric fryers, pressure cookers, and other kitchen appliances. The company benefits from a broad distribution network that includes big-box retailers, online platforms, and specialty stores. A significant portion of its revenue also comes from the sale of ammunition and reloading components, which serve both civilian shooters and law enforcement agencies. Additionally, National Presto engages in contract manufacturing, which allows it to produce goods for other brands, creating supplementary income. Strategic partnerships with retailers and e-commerce platforms enhance its market reach and contribute to consistent revenue streams.

National Presto Financial Statement Overview

Summary
National Presto shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, but recent cash flow issues and lack of equity data for 2024 pose concerns. The company needs to address cash flow stability to maintain financial health.
Income Statement
National Presto shows a solid gross profit margin, maintaining strong operational efficiency. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the past years, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the net profit margin has seen some fluctuation, which may indicate variable costs or other financial pressures impacting net income.
Balance Sheet
The company exhibits a strong equity base with zero debt as of 2024, indicating financial stability and low leverage risk. However, the absence of stockholders' equity data for 2024 makes it difficult to assess the current equity ratio and ROE. Historically, the company has maintained a healthy balance between assets and liabilities.
Cash Flow
National Presto's cash flow position has weakened, with negative free cash flow reported in 2024. The significant decrease in operating cash flow compared to the previous year suggests potential challenges in cash management or increased operational costs. Despite previous years of positive cash flow, the recent downturn necessitates strategic adjustments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue474.24M388.23M340.91M321.62M355.78M352.63M
Gross Profit85.46M78.57M67.45M55.13M64.40M84.92M
EBITDA52.55M50.26M41.04M30.28M33.01M59.20M
Net Income38.81M41.46M34.56M20.70M25.65M46.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets503.83M453.40M440.54M414.54M422.38M434.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.59M22.67M114.11M95.57M144.00M155.02M
Total Debt46.46M9.96M10.66M10.73M10.16M3.36M
Total Liabilities124.06M85.77M84.28M66.48M64.75M60.45M
Stockholders Equity379.77M367.63M356.26M348.05M357.62M374.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-59.90M-60.96M43.55M7.74M31.82M38.35M
Operating Cash Flow-30.69M-53.43M45.39M8.77M34.69M40.97M
Investing Cash Flow-13.41M14.96M-447.00K-16.44M32.55M7.16M
Financing Cash Flow29.86M-31.53M-28.00M-31.43M-43.47M-41.67M

National Presto Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price118.26
Price Trends
50DMA
102.91
Positive
100DMA
106.95
Positive
200DMA
99.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.85
Negative
RSI
77.84
Negative
STOCH
91.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NPK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 118.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 108.98, above the 50-day MA of 102.91, and above the 200-day MA of 99.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.84 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NPK.

National Presto Risk Analysis

National Presto disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Presto reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

National Presto Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$845.79M21.5910.69%0.92%34.75%14.31%
66
Neutral
$402.24M25.3029.71%50.99%612.36%
64
Neutral
$468.52M47.972.71%5.10%-9.08%-71.62%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$587.23M286.010.87%1.92%3.90%-92.10%
45
Neutral
$223.68M-3.67-11.01%-279.70%
45
Neutral
$720.06M-17.53-5.40%95.23%89.44%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NPK
National Presto
117.63
21.51
22.38%
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands
10.65
1.08
11.33%
RGR
Sturm Ruger & Company
37.01
1.91
5.44%
POWW
AMMO
1.92
0.60
45.45%
SKYH
Sky Harbour Group
9.33
-1.73
-15.64%
BYRN
Byrna Technologies
16.96
-10.14
-37.42%

National Presto Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
National Presto Subsidiary Wins Major U.S. Army Order
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, National Presto Industries announced that its wholly owned Defense segment subsidiary, AMTEC Corporation, received a second delivery order from the U.S. Army under a five-year Indefinite Delivery, Indefinite Quantity contract for production of the 40mm M918E2 High Velocity Target Practice – Day/Night/Thermal cartridge. The $139.3 million order, issued on December 30, 2025, with deliveries scheduled to begin in early 2027, reinforces National Presto’s position as a key supplier of training ammunition to the U.S. military and is expected to meaningfully bolster the company’s Defense segment backlog and future revenue visibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (NPK) stock is a Hold with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on National Presto stock, see the NPK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
National Presto Wins Major Boeing Warhead Subcontract
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, National Presto Industries announced that its Defense segment subsidiary, Spectra Technologies, LLC, received a $92.3 million subcontract from The Boeing Company, awarded on December 22, 2025, to produce warheads for the Small Diameter Bomb program, with deliveries scheduled to begin in late 2026 after completion of Spectra’s existing warhead orders for Boeing. The sizable subcontract underscores National Presto’s growing role as a supplier within the U.S. defense ordnance supply chain and is poised to bolster the company’s Defense segment backlog and revenue visibility, reinforcing its strategic positioning in specialized munitions manufacturing for major prime contractors.

The most recent analyst rating on (NPK) stock is a Hold with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on National Presto stock, see the NPK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026