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NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK)
NASDAQ:NODK

NI Holdings (NODK) AI Stock Analysis

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NODK

NI Holdings

(NASDAQ:NODK)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▼(-2.03% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is held back primarily by weak/unstable fundamentals (ongoing net losses, negative TTM cash flow, and a major TTM revenue data red flag), despite a conservatively positioned balance sheet with minimal leverage. Technical signals are also negative (below key moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation cannot be assessed reliably due to missing/invalid P/E and dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet and low leverage
Very low debt-to-equity (near 0.7%–0.8% in 2022–2024 and 0% earlier) and substantial equity (~$245M) provide a durable capital buffer. This supports underwriting volatility, catastrophe absorbency, and capacity for reinsurance or reserve strengthening without forcing rapid external financing.
Negative Factors
Sustained net losses and weak returns
The firm remains unprofitable in 2023–2024 with operating margins falling (EBIT margin from ~6.8% to ~3.1%) and negative net income, meaning shareholder capital is not earning positive returns. Persistent losses pressure retained earnings and constrain reinvestment or dividend capacity over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet and low leverage
Very low debt-to-equity (near 0.7%–0.8% in 2022–2024 and 0% earlier) and substantial equity (~$245M) provide a durable capital buffer. This supports underwriting volatility, catastrophe absorbency, and capacity for reinsurance or reserve strengthening without forcing rapid external financing.
Read all positive factors

NI Holdings (NODK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NI Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NI Holdings, Inc. underwrites property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company's products include private passenger auto, non-standard automobile, homeowners, farm owners, crop hail and multi-peril crop, and liability ins...
How the Company Makes Money
NI Holdings makes money primarily through (1) insurance underwriting and (2) investment income on its insurance float. 1) Underwriting (earned premiums minus claims and expenses): The company sells P&C insurance policies and collects premiums tha...

NI Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong capitalization and very low leverage support the balance sheet, but profitability remains weak (net losses in 2023–2024) and operating margins softened in 2024. Cash flow improved in 2023–2024 but turns negative on a TTM basis, and the reported TTM revenue of 0 is a major data-quality red flag that reduces confidence in recent performance.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue285.05M325.20M304.02M267.78M323.97M
Gross Profit84.26M46.48M49.87M-27.57M43.02M
EBITDA-11.54M10.83M21.27M-52.22M12.47M
Net Income-10.41M-6.06M-5.48M-53.10M8.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets240.72M526.54M654.89M614.23M651.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments678.00K191.97M330.44M175.04M435.27M
Total Debt1.39M1.82M2.06M1.84M0.00
Total Liabilities385.00K281.91M404.49M361.02M304.37M
Stockholders Equity240.72M244.63M247.64M250.98M343.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.49M37.52M25.00M-31.55M28.47M
Operating Cash Flow2.00M38.51M25.97M-30.39M29.17M
Investing Cash Flow-2.00M-4.54M-8.81M25.05M-48.15M
Financing Cash Flow-2.67M-3.64M-7.47M-18.28M-11.47M

NI Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.27
Price Trends
50DMA
13.29
Negative
100DMA
13.40
Negative
200DMA
13.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
49.50
Neutral
STOCH
55.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NODK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.15, below the 50-day MA of 13.29, and above the 200-day MA of 13.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NODK.

NI Holdings Risk Analysis

NI Holdings disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NI Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NI Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$552.73M5.7335.67%16.34%-1.26%
69
Neutral
$642.23M7.7412.91%3.51%0.93%224.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$415.89M15.900.01%5.01%-0.04%-33.45%
67
Neutral
$213.39M5.750.13%0.57%39.32%61.45%
48
Neutral
$270.48M-26.81-4.24%-17.81%38.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NODK
NI Holdings
13.17
-0.91
-6.46%
DGICA
Donegal Group
17.21
-0.41
-2.31%
GBLI
Global Indemnity
28.98
-5.34
-15.57%
KINS
Kingstone Companies
14.74
-1.22
-7.66%
ACIC
American Coastal Insurance
11.36
0.56
5.20%

NI Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
NI Holdings Announces Upcoming Board Transition in 2026
Neutral
Feb 23, 2026
On February 17, 2026, NI Holdings, Inc. director Duaine C. Espegard informed the board that he will not stand for re-election at the company’s 2026 annual meeting of stockholders. The company stated that Espegard’s decision was not due...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026