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Nextnav Inc. (NN)
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NextNav (NN) AI Stock Analysis

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NN

NextNav

(NASDAQ:NN)

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Underperform 38 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-4.00% Downside)
NextNav's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and concerning valuation metrics. The technical analysis further indicates bearish momentum, suggesting potential downside risk. While there are positive developments in strategic initiatives, the financial challenges and lack of immediate returns weigh heavily on the stock's outlook.

NextNav (NN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NextNav Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNextNav (NN) is a technology company specializing in advanced positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) solutions. The company operates in the sectors of wireless communication and location services, providing highly accurate indoor and outdoor positioning capabilities. NextNav's core products include its Pinnacle™ technology, which delivers vertical location services, and its Metronome™ platform, offering precise timing and location data, catering to various industries such as public safety, telecommunications, and smart cities.
How the Company Makes MoneyNextNav generates revenue primarily through the licensing of its proprietary technology and data solutions to various sectors, including government agencies, public safety organizations, and commercial enterprises. Key revenue streams include subscription-based services for real-time location data, one-time fees for integration and setup, and partnerships with telecommunications companies that leverage NextNav's technology for enhanced services. The company also benefits from collaborations with municipalities and urban planners, providing location services that support smart infrastructure and public safety initiatives, contributing significantly to its earnings.

NextNav Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements including FCC license acquisition and strategic partnerships, alongside increased revenue. However, the company's financial challenges, with rising expenses and significant net losses, present a substantial concern. The sentiment is balanced, with positive developments in regulatory and strategic initiatives offset by financial hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FCC License Acquisition
NextNav was granted consent by the FCC for licenses in the lower 900 MHz A Block, which includes a waiver allowing them to hold licenses across A, B, and C blocks in the same area. This is seen as a significant step for public interest benefits and development of the M-LMS band.
Increased Revenue
NextNav's revenue for the second quarter of 2025 increased to $1.2 million from $1.1 million in the prior year, driven by growth in service revenue from technology and services contracts.
Cash Position
NextNav ended the second quarter with $176.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, indicating strong liquidity.
Advocacy for GPS Backup Solutions
NextNav is actively advocating for a terrestrial complement and backup to GPS, which is presented as a national security priority, with multiple technical and economic studies filed to support FCC rulemaking.
Strategic Partnerships
The company announced partnerships with Adtran and Oscilloquartz to integrate their technology into a multisource timing receiver, showcasing progress towards resilient PNT solutions.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for the second quarter were $18.4 million, up approximately $2 million from the same period last year, contributing to overall financial losses.
Significant Net Loss
NextNav reported a net loss of $63.2 million for the second quarter, which included significant losses associated with changes in the fair value of derivative liabilities and warrants.
Criticism of FCC Proposals
Despite strong advocacy efforts, NextNav's proposals have faced criticism and unfounded claims, requiring ongoing efforts to address objections in the record.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for the second quarter of 2025, NextNav provided extensive updates on its progress, particularly regarding its advocacy with the FCC. The company highlighted the FCC's consent for the assignment of 128 active M-LMS licenses in the lower 900 megahertz A Block, marking a significant step forward. Financially, NextNav reported a revenue of $1.2 million for the quarter, a slight increase from the previous year's $1.1 million, with operating expenses reaching $18.4 million, up by $2 million from the prior year. The net loss for the quarter was $63.2 million, primarily impacted by a $39.5 million loss related to derivative liabilities and warrants. On a positive note, the company maintained a robust cash position with $176.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments. Looking ahead, NextNav emphasized its commitment to enhancing PNT resiliency and expects substantial national benefits from its proposed optimization of the lower 900 megahertz band, potentially generating tens of billions of dollars in benefits.

NextNav Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NextNav faces significant financial challenges, with negative margins and high leverage. The balance sheet shows financial instability with negative equity, and cash flow issues persist despite minor improvements. Overall, the financial health is weak, with substantial risks.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
NextNav's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has consistently negative gross and net profit margins, indicating ongoing losses. Although there is a slight revenue growth in the TTM period, the margins remain deeply negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, further highlighting profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity in the TTM period, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative, reflecting high leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is also negative, suggesting the company is not generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is unfavorable, pointing to potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates persistent negative operating and free cash flows, although there is slight growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow issues relative to reported losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, indicating some alignment between cash flow and net income, but overall cash flow remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.26M5.67M3.86M3.93M763.00K569.00K
Gross Profit-3.40M-5.11M-8.88M-7.88M-17.63M-7.20M
EBITDA-124.66M-54.86M-58.71M-61.31M-40.71M-127.03M
Net Income-167.65M-101.88M-71.73M-40.12M-144.67M-137.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets256.74M161.74M162.16M123.79M136.82M44.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments176.05M80.11M85.83M55.45M100.08M8.67M
Total Debt262.60M71.44M66.11M7.82M0.0058.87M
Total Liabilities303.96M111.62M82.06M19.92M36.87M535.28M
Stockholders Equity-47.22M50.12M78.73M100.02M99.96M-490.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-44.84M-38.36M-39.17M-40.67M-49.21M-35.58M
Operating Cash Flow-44.43M-38.01M-35.44M-37.09M-47.93M-28.41M
Investing Cash Flow-92.65M-39.47M1.07M-15.74M-1.28M-7.18M
Financing Cash Flow132.86M35.10M68.98M43.00K135.64M34.77M

NextNav Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.50
Price Trends
50DMA
15.25
Negative
100DMA
15.03
Negative
200DMA
13.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Negative
RSI
36.26
Neutral
STOCH
44.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.55, below the 50-day MA of 15.25, and below the 200-day MA of 13.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NN.

NextNav Risk Analysis

NextNav disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NextNav reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NextNav Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
$228.50M-12.44%8.29%87.33%
$52.82M-38.57%17.74%65.18%
$82.39M105.31%95.66%
$133.46M-75.68%-10.52%-420.74%
$36.61M-133.94%-31.96%56.06%
$1.72B-2015.79%42.80%-48.48%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NN
NextNav
13.40
1.59
13.46%
TRVG
trivago
3.25
1.56
92.31%
SEAT
Vivid Seats
12.97
-69.43
-84.26%
CCG
Cheche Group
1.05
0.26
32.91%
BODI
Beachbody Company
4.77
-1.66
-25.82%
PODC
Courtside Group Inc
2.00
0.69
52.67%

NextNav Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
NextNav Extends Agreement with AT&T for Pinnacle Network
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 9, 2025, NextNav LLC amended its agreement with AT&T Services, Inc. to extend the term of their Equipment, Network Colocation and Installation Agreement for the Pinnacle network operations by approximately two years, now expiring on October 28, 2028. This extension maintains the operational and financial terms of the original agreement, allowing NextNav to continue leveraging AT&T’s infrastructure for its public safety applications, while also retaining the flexibility to expand its network independently.

The most recent analyst rating on (NN) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NextNav stock, see the NN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
NextNav Finalizes Acquisition of M-LMS Licenses
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

NextNav Inc. finalized an Asset Purchase Agreement on September 19, 2025, acquiring M-LMS licenses from Telesaurus Holdings GB LLC and Skybridge Spectrum Foundation for up to $50 million. This acquisition, paid in cash and common stock, includes potential future considerations contingent on FCC’s spectrum use flexibility, and strengthens NextNav’s position in the location services market.

The most recent analyst rating on (NN) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NextNav stock, see the NN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NextNav Appoints Timothy Gray as New CFO
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 21, 2025, NextNav Inc. appointed Timothy A. Gray as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 22, 2025. Gray, who previously served as CFO at Anterix Inc., brings extensive experience in finance and leadership to NextNav as it prepares for the commercialization of its technology. Concurrently, Christian Gates transitioned from CFO to Executive Vice President of Corporate Development, focusing on strategy and corporate growth. These leadership changes are aimed at driving the company’s next chapter of growth and optimizing its technological offerings in the lower 900 MHz band.

The most recent analyst rating on (NN) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NextNav stock, see the NN Stock Forecast page.

NextNav’s Earnings Call: Progress Amid Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

NextNav Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among stakeholders. While the company celebrated significant strides in regulatory approvals and strategic partnerships, these achievements were overshadowed by rising operating expenses and a substantial net loss. Additionally, challenges in gaining consensus in the FCC process added a layer of complexity to the company’s outlook.

NextNav Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 7, 2025

NextNav Inc. is a leading provider of next-generation 3D Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) solutions, operating primarily in the technology sector with a focus on enhancing GPS capabilities through terrestrial services. The company is known for its extensive spectrum holdings and its commitment to national security and public safety through advanced geolocation technologies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025