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Nike (NKE)
NYSE:NKE

Nike (NKE) AI Stock Analysis

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NKE

Nike

(NYSE:NKE)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$62.00
▼(-4.01% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by pressured profitability/cash flow and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include stable leverage and constructive earnings-call highlights in North America/wholesale and running, while valuation remains a moderate headwind given the high P/E versus current margin pressure.
Positive Factors
North America Growth
Strong growth in North America, particularly in wholesale, indicates robust demand and effective market strategies, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Running Segment Success
Consistent growth in the running segment reflects successful product innovation and consumer engagement, strengthening Nike's market position.
Leadership Changes
Leadership restructuring aims to enhance operational efficiency and market strategy, potentially improving competitive positioning and long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Greater China Challenges
Revenue decline in Greater China highlights regional challenges, impacting overall growth and requiring strategic realignment to regain market traction.
Gross Margin Decline
Declining gross margins due to tariffs and inventory issues may pressure profitability, affecting long-term financial performance and strategic flexibility.
NIKE Direct Decline
Challenges in the direct-to-consumer channel indicate potential issues in digital strategy, impacting revenue growth and consumer engagement.

Nike (NKE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nike Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNIKE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and sells men's, women's, and kids athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories worldwide. The company provides athletic and casual footwear, apparel, and accessories under the Jumpman trademark; and casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories under the Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell trademarks. In addition, it sells a line of performance equipment and accessories comprising bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment, and other equipment for sports activities under the NIKE brand; and various plastic products to other manufacturers. The company markets apparel with licensed college and professional team, and league logos, as well as sells sports apparel. Additionally, it licenses unaffiliated parties to manufacture and sell apparel, digital devices, and applications and other equipment for sports activities under NIKE-owned trademarks. The company sells its products to footwear stores; sporting goods stores; athletic specialty stores; department stores; skate, tennis, and golf shops; and other retail accounts through NIKE-owned retail stores, digital platforms, independent distributors, licensees, and sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Blue Ribbon Sports, Inc. and changed its name to NIKE, Inc. in 1971. NIKE, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon.
How the Company Makes MoneyNike generates revenue primarily through the sale of footwear, apparel, and equipment. The company operates a multi-channel distribution model, including direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales through its retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale partnerships with third-party retailers. Key revenue streams include athletic footwear, which accounts for a significant portion of sales, and sportswear, which includes apparel and accessories. Nike's partnerships with professional athletes and sports teams enhance brand visibility and drive consumer engagement. Additionally, the company's investment in digital platforms and technology has allowed it to enhance its DTC sales, expand its customer base, and increase overall profitability.

Nike Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Nike is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsNike's revenue in North America shows a gradual decline since 2024, reflecting potential market saturation or competitive pressures. Meanwhile, Europe, Middle East, and Africa exhibit a recovery trend post-2024, suggesting strategic initiatives in these regions might be gaining traction. Greater China's revenue has been volatile, indicating potential challenges in maintaining consistent growth. The Asia Pacific and Latin America regions display fluctuating revenues, possibly due to varied economic conditions. The absence of earnings call insights leaves the strategic implications of these trends open to interpretation.
Data provided by:The Fly

Nike Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 18, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strong growth in North America and running segments, supported by new product innovations and successful wholesale strategies. However, significant challenges persist in Greater China, impacting overall revenue and margins. The company is focused on long-term growth through new strategies and innovations, but ongoing regional challenges and margin pressures are notable concerns.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
North America Growth
North America reported a 9% revenue growth, with wholesale increasing by 24%. The region showed strong performance in running, basketball, and training segments.
Running Segment Success
Running segment achieved over 20% growth for the second consecutive quarter, with strong sales across all channels, including NIKE Direct.
New Product Innovations
NIKE introduced multiple new innovations, including the NIKE Mind footwear platform and Aerofit technology, with positive reception and anticipation in the market.
Wholesale Growth
Wholesale achieved an 8% growth, supported by a balanced contribution from both new and existing partners.
Improved Inventory Management
NIKE reported a 3% decrease in inventory, with significant reductions in North America and EMEA, leading to a healthier marketplace.
Negative Updates
Greater China Challenges
Greater China faced a 16% revenue decline, with significant drops in NIKE Digital (36%) and wholesale (15%). The region continues to face challenges in store traffic and market positioning.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margins declined by 300 basis points to 40.6%, primarily due to increased product costs from higher tariffs and inventory obsolescence.
NIKE Direct Decline
NIKE Direct revenue decreased by 9%, with NIKE Digital experiencing a 14% decline, indicating challenges in the direct-to-consumer channel.
APLA Revenue Decrease
APLA reported a 4% revenue decline, with mixed results across countries, particularly in Asia Pacific regions.
Company Guidance
In the call discussing NIKE, Inc.'s second quarter of fiscal 2026, several key metrics and strategic priorities were highlighted. The company reported a 1% increase in revenues on a reported basis, with wholesale growth of 8% and a notable 20% growth in North America wholesale. Despite facing headwinds, such as a 300 basis point decline in gross margins largely due to tariffs and inventory obsolescence, NIKE is optimistic about its ongoing initiatives. The company is focused on its "WinNow" actions and "sport offense" strategy to drive growth, targeting an 8% increase in wholesale and a significant 20% growth in running. NIKE's leadership emphasized the importance of diversifying the product portfolio and strengthening global partner relationships, with North America leading the way. Greater China remains a challenge, with revenue declining by 16%, but efforts are underway to realign the market strategy. Overall, NIKE is committed to margin expansion and returning to double-digit EBIT margins through growth, operational efficiencies, and strategic investments.

Nike Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nike's financial performance is solid with a strong gross profit margin and effective cash management. However, challenges are evident with declining revenue growth and profitability margins, as well as reduced return on equity, indicating potential inefficiencies and cost management issues.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Nike's income statement shows a solid gross profit margin of 41.75% TTM, indicating efficient production and sales processes. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 6.23% TTM from 11.09% in the previous year, reflecting increased expenses or pricing pressures. Revenue growth has been volatile, with a recent decline of 23.7% TTM, suggesting challenges in maintaining sales momentum. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, indicating potential operational inefficiencies or increased costs.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82 TTM, showing moderate leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 21.16% TTM from 39.57% in 2022, indicating reduced profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a solid asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 7.93% TTM, indicating potential challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34 TTM, suggesting that cash generation is not fully aligned with reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 88.37%, indicating effective cash management relative to net income.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.31B51.36B51.22B46.71B44.54B
Gross Profit19.79B22.89B22.29B21.48B19.96B
EBITDA4.51B7.16B6.77B7.51B7.73B
Net Income3.22B5.70B5.07B6.05B5.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.58B38.11B37.53B40.32B37.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.15B11.58B10.68B13.00B13.48B
Total Debt11.02B11.95B12.14B12.63B12.81B
Total Liabilities23.37B23.68B23.53B25.04B24.97B
Stockholders Equity13.21B14.43B14.00B15.28B12.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.27B6.62B4.87B4.43B5.96B
Operating Cash Flow3.70B7.43B5.84B5.19B6.66B
Investing Cash Flow-275.00M894.00M564.00M-1.52B-3.80B
Financing Cash Flow-5.82B-5.89B-7.45B-4.84B-1.46B

Nike Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price64.59
Price Trends
50DMA
63.52
Positive
100DMA
67.01
Negative
200DMA
65.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Negative
RSI
51.62
Neutral
STOCH
70.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NKE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 64.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.06, above the 50-day MA of 63.52, and below the 200-day MA of 65.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NKE.

Nike Risk Analysis

Nike disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nike reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nike Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$14.78B15.2943.31%12.38%18.43%
79
Outperform
$14.88B56.9215.38%38.94%81.82%
77
Outperform
$7.79B19.4712.67%18.86%88.29%
63
Neutral
$4.34B27.0711.82%<0.01%-77.31%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$97.07B38.4517.95%2.81%-5.06%-47.51%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NKE
Nike
64.59
-4.62
-6.68%
CROX
Crocs
83.01
-16.96
-16.97%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
103.07
-106.84
-50.90%
ONON
On Holding AG
46.00
-11.98
-20.66%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
40.61
-19.32
-32.24%

Nike Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Nike Announces Leadership Changes for Operational Efficiency
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

On December 2, 2025, NIKE, Inc. announced significant organizational changes to its senior leadership team to enhance its operational efficiency and market strategy. Venkatesh Alagirisamy was appointed as the Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, effective December 8, 2025, while the roles of Chief Commercial Officer and Chief Technology Officer were eliminated, resulting in the departure of Craig Williams and Dr. Muge Dogan, respectively. These changes aim to integrate technology more seamlessly into operations and strengthen the company’s connection with consumers, positioning NIKE for growth and enhancing its competitive edge in the marketplace.

The most recent analyst rating on (NKE) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nike stock, see the NKE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025