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Nidec
(OTC:NJDCY)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
â–²(21.21% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:01/13/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and a healthier balance sheet, but it is held back by the sharp TTM revenue contraction and only moderate/softening cash-flow conversion. Technicals add additional caution given the weak longer-term price trend, while valuation is neutral with a modest dividend.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Substantially reduced leverage and a large equity base provide financial resilience against cyclical demand swings. This durable balance-sheet strength supports capital spending, warranty/aftermarket obligations, and potential opportunistic M&A without materially raising financial risk over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp Recent Revenue Decline
A near-term 24.7% TTM revenue drop signals meaningful demand or mix weakness that can erode capacity utilization and pressure fixed-cost absorption. Unless demand normalizes or new platform wins replace lost volumes, the revenue shock could weigh on sustainable earnings beyond an initial quarter or two.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Substantially reduced leverage and a large equity base provide financial resilience against cyclical demand swings. This durable balance-sheet strength supports capital spending, warranty/aftermarket obligations, and potential opportunistic M&A without materially raising financial risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Nidec (NJDCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$18.78B
Dividend Yield1.54%
Average Volume (3M)24.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)25.2
Beta (1Y)0.85
Revenue Growth6.21%
EPS Growth27.64%
CountryUS
Employees104,285
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIndustrial - Machinery
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)39.00
Shares Outstanding4,770,276,000
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume24,750
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.51
Price to Book (P/B)1.68
Price to Sales (P/S)1.11
P/FCF Ratio17.62
Enterprise Value/Market Cap196.10
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.40
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.80
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.52
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.26
Revenue Forecast (FY)$16.98B
Nidec Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Nidec Corporation is a global enterprise, operating through its subsidiaries worldwide, that specializes in the design, production, and distribution of a diverse range of products. Its core business revolves around electric motors, electronic and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Nidec primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling electric motors and motor-related systems to OEM and industrial customers. Its revenue is largely product-based and generated through (1) sales of small precision motors used in applications...
Nidec Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted record-high net sales and operating profit, growing demand in AI servers and water cooling systems, and successful profitability in the Chinese traction business. However, there were significant challenges such as decreases in operating profit before taxes due to currency fluctuations, delivery delays, and sluggish automotive markets in Europe and America. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth and improvements in various segments.Positive Updates
Record High Net Sales and Operating Profit
Net sales increased by 11.5% to JPY1.946 trillion, and operating profit increased by 5.0% to JPY175.5 billion, both achieving record-high results.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Profit Before Income Taxes
Operating profit before income taxes decreased by 4.7% due to currency exchange rate fluctuations and financial losses amounting to JPY22.5 billion.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record High Net Sales and Operating Profit
Net sales increased by 11.5% to JPY1.946 trillion, and operating profit increased by 5.0% to JPY175.5 billion, both achieving record-high results.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the call, Nidec Corporation provided detailed guidance on their financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported a record high in net sales, up 11.5% to JPY1.946 trillion, and operating profit, up 5.0% to JPY175.5 billion, despite a financial loss of JPY22.5 billion due to currency fluctuations. The demand for AI server products is growing rapidly, while the hard disk motor demand remains high. The automotive segment in China is profitable, though European and American markets lag. The company is focusing on cash flow management, with JPY41.1 billion in operating cash flow. Nidec plans significant structural reforms and business expansions in fiscal year 2025, including broadening their water cooling system business and participating in the IOWN initiative. They aim to enhance their competitive edge and global presence, setting a course for double-digit profitability by FY '25. The company also discussed their intention to acquire Makino Milling Machine, emphasizing the strategic synergies and growth potential from this acquisition.Nidec Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.63T | 2.61T | 2.35T | 2.23T | 1.92T | 1.62T |
| Gross Profit | 472.00B | 537.00B | 496.57B | 413.32B | 404.37B | 366.42B |
| EBITDA | 386.96B | 378.27B | 356.38B | 209.44B | 280.62B | 241.43B |
| Net Income | 178.91B | 167.69B | 125.39B | 44.96B | 135.76B | 121.94B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.49T | 3.33T | 3.17T | 2.87T | 2.68T | 2.26T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 347.40B | 246.24B | 220.77B | 189.91B | 201.59B | 230.08B |
| Total Debt | 255.87B | 636.05B | 600.90B | 705.35B | 595.71B | 531.47B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.71T | 1.58T | 1.50T | 1.50T | 1.36T | 1.14T |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.76T | 1.72T | 1.64T | 1.35T | 1.29T | 1.10T |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 159.83B | 163.72B | 193.05B | -10.25B | -20.23B | 119.23B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 257.72B | 284.43B | 321.49B | 143.49B | 94.99B | 219.16B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -111.98B | -147.25B | -153.55B | -167.72B | -116.75B | -115.16B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -26.05B | -80.19B | -181.56B | -16.46B | -60.24B | -121.60B |
Nidec Technical Analysis
Positive
3.30
Price Trends
4.16
Negative
3.87
Positive
3.75
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.03
Positive
49.28
Neutral
46.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NJDCY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.15, below the 50-day MA of 4.16, and below the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NJDCY.
Nidec Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $52.53B | 47.67 | 30.25% | 1.33% | 10.45% | 21.30% | |
71 Outperform | $10.34B | 23.62 | 28.13% | 1.28% | 4.44% | 25.08% | |
68 Neutral | $14.31B | 48.25 | 4.23% | 0.97% | 1.54% | 22.59% | |
66 Neutral | $12.31B | 18.62 | 17.74% | 0.96% | 3.10% | 4.96% | |
65 Neutral | $30.86B | 52.37 | 5.80% | 0.10% | 6.86% | -26.67% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
58 Neutral | $18.78B | 25.16 | 10.09% | 1.54% | 6.21% | 27.64% |
* Industrials Sector Average
NJDCY
Nidec
4.11
-0.44
-9.63%
DCI
Donaldson Company
89.28
20.42
29.64%
PNR
Pentair
76.53
-27.18
-26.21%
RRX
Regal Rexnord
208.45
64.05
44.35%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
460.45
118.70
34.73%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
78.56
-7.65
-8.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.