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Norsk Hydro (NHYDY)
OTHER OTC:NHYDY
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Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) AI Stock Analysis

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NHYDY

Norsk Hydro

(OTC:NHYDY)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(4.32% Upside)
Norsk Hydro's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including robust EBITDA and progress in sustainability. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, while valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly valued with a decent dividend yield. The company's resilience amid geopolitical challenges further strengthens its position.
Positive Factors
Sustainability Initiatives
Norsk Hydro's focus on greener products aligns with global sustainability trends, potentially enhancing its market position and appeal to eco-conscious customers.
Financial Health
Strong EBITDA and cash flow indicate robust financial health, providing Norsk Hydro with the ability to invest in growth and weather economic uncertainties.
Resilient Energy Sourcing
Long-term energy sourcing agreements ensure stability and cost control, supporting Norsk Hydro's operations and sustainability goals.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Geopolitical and economic uncertainties can disrupt supply chains and market dynamics, posing risks to Norsk Hydro's operations and profitability.
Challenges in Brazil
Impairments in Brazil highlight operational risks and potential financial strain from regulatory and infrastructure challenges in key markets.
Pressure on Extrusion Margins
Margin pressure in the extrusion segment could impact profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain competitive advantage.

Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Norsk Hydro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorsk Hydro ASA engages in the power production, bauxite extraction, alumina refining, aluminium smelting, remelting, and recycling activities; and provision of extruded solutions worldwide. It operates through Bauxite & Alumina, Aluminium Metal, Metal Markets, Extrusions, and Energy segments. The Bauxite & Alumina segment engages in bauxite mining activities, production of alumina, and related commercial activities, primarily the sale of alumina. The Aluminium Metal segment is involved in the primary aluminum production casting activities. This segment principally offers extrusion ingots, foundry alloys, and sheet and standard ingots. The Metal Markets segment sells products from the company's primary metal plants; operates recyclers; and trades in physical and financial metals. The Extrusions segment offers extrusion profiles, building systems, and precision tubing products for construction, automotive and heating, and ventilation and air conditioning sectors, as well as operates recycling facilities. The Energy segment engages in the trading and wholesale business in Brazil; energy sourcing operations; and operation of power stations in Norway, as well as renewable energy production, such as wind and solar, battery, and hydrogen. Norsk Hydro ASA was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorsk Hydro generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of aluminum and aluminum-based products. Its key revenue streams include the sale of primary aluminum, which is produced at its smelters, and value-added products such as rolled and extruded aluminum. The company also earns revenue from its energy segment, which produces renewable hydropower and sells electricity, both for internal use and to external customers. Significant partnerships with companies in the automotive and construction industries enhance its revenue potential through long-term contracts and collaborations. Additionally, Hydro benefits from its recycling operations, which provide a sustainable source of aluminum and reduce production costs. Market pricing for aluminum and energy also plays a critical role in determining the company's earnings, influenced by global supply and demand dynamics.

Norsk Hydro Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance and progress in sustainability initiatives, while addressing challenges related to geopolitical risks and market uncertainties. The company demonstrated resilience but acknowledged the need for strategic adjustments in response to external pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was NOK 7.8 billion, with a free cash flow of NOK 5 billion and an adjusted ROCE of 12%, exceeding the target of 10%.
Improvement in Safety Metrics
Reported a low number of injuries with a downward trend in both total recordable injuries and high-risk incidents.
Progress in Sustainability Initiatives
Increased sales of greener products by nearly 50% year-to-date compared to 2024, and signed the first Hydro's cold sales contract with a major auto manufacturer in North America.
Resilient Energy Sourcing
Despite challenges, maintained a robust sourcing portfolio, including power purchase agreements covering needs at Norwegian smelters beyond 2030.
Positive Market Recognition
Named Sustainable Achievement of the Year by Decoration International in April, highlighting the strength of Hydro's brand.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Faced challenges due to geopolitical risks, trade tensions, and regulatory uncertainty, impacting the entire value chain.
Challenges in Brazil
Reported NOK 400 million in impairments in Brazilian energy assets due to grid constraints and regulatory uncertainty.
Termination of Power Purchase Agreement
Terminated the Nordic power purchase agreement with Swedish Cloud Snurran AB due to undelivered volumes, entitled to compensation up to EUR 90 million.
Pressure on Extrusion Margins
Extrusions faced challenges with lower sales margins and continued pressure on recycling margins due to scrap shortages.
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
Increase in U.S. Section 232 tariffs on aluminum affected market prices and premiums, raising concerns about potential economic slowdown.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Hydro reported an adjusted EBITDA of NOK 7.8 billion and a free cash flow of NOK 5 billion, resulting in an adjusted ROCE of 12%, surpassing their target of 10% over the cycle. The company has decided to proactively reduce its 2024 capital expenditure target by NOK 1.5 billion and impose a hiring freeze for white-collar employees to bolster flexibility and resilience amid market volatility. Despite challenges in the wind and solar markets, Hydro maintained a stable sourcing portfolio, particularly in the Norwegian smelters, while addressing power purchase agreement issues with Swedish Cloud Snurran AB, potentially securing EUR 90 million in compensation. The company remains committed to its 2030 strategy, achieving significant progress, including a 50% increase in greener product sales year-to-date compared to 2024, and a landmark contract with a major North American auto manufacturer. Hydro's strategic focus remains on pioneering the green aluminum transition and navigating geopolitical and economic challenges, including trade tensions and regulatory changes that impact its global operations.

Norsk Hydro Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Norsk Hydro demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability, and a stable balance sheet. The company effectively manages its debt and generates substantial cash flow, although there is potential to enhance free cash flow conversion. Overall, Norsk Hydro is well-positioned in the aluminum industry with a sound financial foundation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Norsk Hydro's income statement shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.29%. The company maintains solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 26.05% and a net profit margin of 4.47% in TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the gross profit margin has decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38 in TTM, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is strong at 9.54%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 64.86% in TTM, indicating enhanced cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.56 suggests efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.45 indicates room for improvement in translating earnings into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue215.35B203.63B193.62B207.93B149.65B138.12B
Gross Profit81.22B74.29B70.08B78.56B52.97B53.53B
EBITDA31.78B22.19B18.27B59.19B27.79B15.07B
Net Income9.59B5.79B3.58B24.15B12.16B1.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets203.29B207.37B206.46B198.62B174.51B164.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.35B16.77B26.48B31.70B26.57B21.25B
Total Debt37.55B11.00M954.00M32.77B28.42B29.56B
Total Liabilities96.69B99.92B99.28B90.82B86.13B86.96B
Stockholders Equity99.26B101.46B100.58B102.45B84.06B74.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.28B1.80B8.58B19.79B4.66B7.23B
Operating Cash Flow22.88B15.36B22.22B29.39B10.68B13.52B
Investing Cash Flow-13.01B-12.92B-20.76B-10.56B-4.68B-8.32B
Financing Cash Flow-9.62B-12.56B-6.70B-13.25B-4.37B1.07B

Norsk Hydro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.71
Price Trends
50DMA
6.26
Positive
100DMA
5.85
Positive
200DMA
5.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
64.43
Neutral
STOCH
100.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NHYDY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.51, above the 50-day MA of 6.26, and above the 200-day MA of 5.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NHYDY.

Norsk Hydro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$13.07B15.019.27%3.25%13.94%3922.52%
73
Outperform
$8.01B7.9320.01%1.24%21.32%
68
Neutral
$1.22B19.408.89%4.08%4.62%56.04%
66
Neutral
$2.29B22.0617.74%15.39%-47.91%
64
Neutral
$2.02B75.353.02%2.52%-83.35%
61
Neutral
$10.48B7.30-0.05%2.85%2.87%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$11.16B-9.57%39.42%-172.40%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NHYDY
Norsk Hydro
6.71
1.28
23.57%
AA
Alcoa
32.29
0.17
0.53%
CENX
Century Aluminum
24.52
10.88
79.77%
KALU
Kaiser Aluminum
77.37
11.40
17.28%
CSTM
Constellium
14.98
-1.59
-9.60%
MP
MP Materials
63.03
49.23
356.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025