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Norsk Hydro
(OTC:NHYDY)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(5.56% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/23/26
The score is driven primarily by stable underlying financials (solid balance sheet and positive free cash flow) and a broadly constructive earnings call with strong EBITDA/FCF and strategic power-security progress. These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (negative MACD; trading below key moving averages) and valuation pressure from a relatively high P/E for a cyclical producer, alongside notable segment and macro headwinds highlighted on the call.
Positive Factors
Integrated vertical business model
Hydro's end-to-end footprint across upstream metal, downstream fabrication and recycling creates durable competitive advantages: it captures value across the chain, hedges against upstream commodity swings with downstream spreads, and supports customer ties in transport, construction and packaging markets.
Negative Factors
Cyclical earnings volatility
Hydro's profitability remains sensitive to LME metal prices, alumina spreads and cost swings. Wide historical margin variability shows earnings and cash conversion can deteriorate materially in weaker commodity cycles, challenging stable long-term returns and capital allocation consistency.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated vertical business model
Hydro's end-to-end footprint across upstream metal, downstream fabrication and recycling creates durable competitive advantages: it captures value across the chain, hedges against upstream commodity swings with downstream spreads, and supports customer ties in transport, construction and packaging markets.
Read all positive factors
Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$18.65B
Dividend Yield3.39%
Average Volume (3M)148.03K
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.0
Beta (1Y)0.82
Revenue Growth5.31%
EPS Growth16.47%
CountryUS
Employees31,618
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryAluminum
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)4.98
Shares Outstanding1,978,489,100
10 Day Avg. Volume393,071
30 Day Avg. Volume148,028
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.31
Price to Book (P/B)1.55
Price to Sales (P/S)0.74
P/FCF Ratio13.17
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.91
Revenue Forecast (FY)$22.44B
Norsk Hydro Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Norsk Hydro ASA is a globally operating industrial enterprise, deeply involved in the aluminum value chain from its raw materials to finished products, as well as significant energy operations. Its comprehensive activities include bauxite mining, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Norsk Hydro primarily makes money by producing and selling aluminum and aluminum-based products across several stages of the value chain. A major revenue stream comes from upstream activities: refining alumina and producing primary aluminum (inclu...
Norsk Hydro Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented several strong operational and financial achievements — notably robust adjusted EBITDA (NOK 8.9bn), solid free cash flow (NOK 4bn), RoaCE above target (10.9%), significant aluminum price/premium support, record Norwegian casthouse output, stronger recycling and strategic power agreements (securing ~85% of smelter power needs). These positives were balanced by meaningful headwinds in specific areas: Middle East related Qatalum curtailments and limited sales, a weaker Bauxite & Alumina segment due to low alumina prices, a materially weaker Energy performance driven by dry hydrology, significant weakness in Metal Markets trading, and currency impacts. Overall, the company demonstrated resilient core performance and delivered on strategic milestones, while facing pronounced, partly external, challenges in several segments.Positive Updates
Strong overall earnings and cash generation
Adjusted EBITDA of NOK 8.9 billion in Q2 and free cash flow of NOK 4.0 billion; reported EBITDA NOK 11.6 billion. Revenues rose ~6% year-over-year to NOK 56.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Middle East disruptions and Qatalum curtailments
Qatalum operated around 60% due to Gulf volatility; limited sales out of the Middle East this quarter and shipping constraints via the Strait impacted metal sales and volumes. Management expects gradual normalization but provided no specific ramp timetable beyond maintaining safe operations.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong overall earnings and cash generation
Adjusted EBITDA of NOK 8.9 billion in Q2 and free cash flow of NOK 4.0 billion; reported EBITDA NOK 11.6 billion. Revenues rose ~6% year-over-year to NOK 56.5 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated 2026 CapEx guidance of ~NOK 13.5 billion and noted a NOK 400 million Slovalco restart capex within that guidance; Q2 metrics included adjusted EBITDA NOK 8.9 billion, free cash flow NOK 4.0 billion, adjusted net income NOK 4.6 billion, adjusted EPS NOK 2.21, adjusted RoaCE 10.9% (12‑month) and adjusted net debt NOK 22.8 billion (net debt NOK 16.3 billion). For Q3 Aluminium Metal they have booked 62% of primary production at USD 3,361/t and 54% of premiums at USD 783/t, and expect realized premiums of USD 660–710/t; carbon and energy costs are each expected to increase NOK 50–150 million while fixed costs are expected to decrease NOK 100–200 million. Bauxite & Alumina expects higher Q3 production and sales with flat fully loaded raw material, fixed and energy costs; the alumina market is estimated ~1.6 million tonnes long in 2026 (Q2 average ~$308/t, rising to ~$330/t late in the quarter). They expect recycling strength to continue in Q3, high seasonal volumes in Extrusions, improved price‑area results in Energy (despite weak hydrology), and noted they have secured ~85% of Norwegian smelter power needs through the 2030s (including a 0.5 TWh/year Eviny PPA for 2031–2040, or 5 TWh total).Norsk Hydro Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 204.64B | 207.97B | 203.63B | 193.62B | 207.93B | 149.65B |
| Gross Profit | 65.23B | 64.53B | 74.29B | 70.08B | 78.56B | 52.97B |
| EBITDA | 29.28B | 27.55B | 22.19B | 18.27B | 42.33B | 27.50B |
| Net Income | 9.76B | 6.72B | 5.79B | 3.58B | 24.15B | 12.16B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 209.66B | 208.30B | 207.37B | 206.46B | 198.62B | 174.51B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 21.16B | 27.75B | 16.77B | 26.48B | 31.70B | 26.57B |
| Total Debt | 35.73B | 36.57B | 11.00M | 954.00M | 32.77B | 28.42B |
| Total Liabilities | 97.89B | 101.20B | 99.92B | 99.28B | 90.82B | 86.13B |
| Stockholders Equity | 103.80B | 99.84B | 101.46B | 100.58B | 102.45B | 84.06B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.29B | 11.73B | 1.80B | 8.58B | 19.79B | 4.66B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 18.83B | 23.31B | 15.36B | 22.22B | 29.39B | 10.68B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -13.00B | -17.91B | -12.92B | -20.76B | -10.56B | -4.68B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -9.46B | -3.72B | -12.56B | -6.70B | -13.25B | -4.37B |
Norsk Hydro Technical Analysis
Neutral
9.00
Price Trends
9.64
Negative
10.40
Negative
9.21
Positive
Market Momentum
0.06
Negative
52.72
Neutral
53.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NHYDY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.21, below the 50-day MA of 9.64, and below the 200-day MA of 9.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NHYDY.
Norsk Hydro Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $4.62B | 7.66 | 58.57% | ― | 9.67% | 399.06% | |
70 Outperform | $2.97B | 13.03 | 26.29% | 1.89% | 32.83% | 251.96% | |
67 Neutral | $4.01B | 7.42 | 52.38% | ― | 25.94% | 1920.11% | |
63 Neutral | $18.65B | 18.02 | 9.57% | 3.58% | 5.31% | 16.47% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | $13.19B | 10.16 | 19.16% | 0.90% | 6.14% | 25.38% | |
54 Neutral | $10.46B | -171.85 | -2.66% | ― | 71.92% | 44.39% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
NHYDY
Norsk Hydro
9.51
3.32
53.49%
AA
Alcoa
49.98
20.58
70.02%
CENX
Century Aluminum
46.72
24.41
109.41%
KALU
Kaiser Aluminum
181.73
108.98
149.81%
CSTM
Constellium
29.60
15.47
109.48%
MP
MP Materials
58.74
-13.47
-18.65%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.