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Norsk Hydro (NHYDY)
OTHER OTC:NHYDY

Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) AI Stock Analysis

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Norsk Hydro

(OTC:NHYDY)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
Norsk Hydro demonstrates a strong financial foundation with solid revenue and profitability margins and a robust balance sheet. While the technical indicators suggest caution due to bearish momentum, the company's valuation remains fair, supported by a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield. The recent earnings call highlighted strategic progress but also underscored challenges in certain segments and increased costs. Overall, the stock is well-positioned for long-term growth, particularly with its focus on sustainable materials, albeit with some near-term challenges.

Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Norsk Hydro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorsk Hydro ASA engages in the power production, bauxite extraction, alumina refining, aluminium smelting, remelting, and recycling activities; and provision of extruded solutions worldwide. It operates through Bauxite & Alumina, Aluminium Metal, Metal Markets, Extrusions, and Energy segments. The Bauxite & Alumina segment engages in bauxite mining activities, production of alumina, and related commercial activities, primarily the sale of alumina. The Aluminium Metal segment is involved in the primary aluminum production casting activities. This segment principally offers extrusion ingots, foundry alloys, and sheet and standard ingots. The Metal Markets segment sells products from the company's primary metal plants; operates recyclers; and trades in physical and financial metals. The Extrusions segment offers extrusion profiles, building systems, and precision tubing products for construction, automotive and heating, and ventilation and air conditioning sectors, as well as operates recycling facilities. The Energy segment engages in the trading and wholesale business in Brazil; energy sourcing operations; and operation of power stations in Norway, as well as renewable energy production, such as wind and solar, battery, and hydrogen. Norsk Hydro ASA was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorsk Hydro generates revenue through its diversified aluminum operations and energy production. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of bauxite and alumina, which are essential raw materials for aluminum manufacturing. Additionally, Hydro produces primary aluminum, which is sold to various industries for use in products ranging from automobile parts to construction materials. The company also offers rolled and extruded aluminum products, catering to specific customer needs in sectors like packaging and transportation. Norsk Hydro's energy segment contributes significantly to its earnings, as it operates a portfolio of hydropower plants that supply electricity to its operations and external customers. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures, such as those focused on sustainable energy solutions and recycling initiatives, further enhance Hydro's profitability and market position.

Norsk Hydro Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Hydro demonstrated strong financial performance and notable achievements in safety and strategic investments. However, challenges in the extrusion and recycling segments, coupled with geopolitical uncertainties and increased costs, reflect a mixed outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Low Injury Rate
Hydro reported a record low number of injuries this quarter, with a continued decline in the TRI rate due to strong efforts across the organization.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA reached NOK 9.5 billion, with a free cash flow of NOK 1.3 billion and an adjusted RoaCE of 10.7%.
Investment in New Wire Rod Casthouse
Hydro announced an investment in a new wire rod casthouse with a strategic partnership worth around NOK 1 billion with NKT.
Growing Demand for Low-Carbon Aluminum
Hydro continues to see strong opportunities for aluminum and low-carbon aluminum solutions, with significant partnerships in the U.S. and automotive sector.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Extrusion and Recycling Segments
Hydro Extrusions is revising its 2025 outlook due to market uncertainty, and Recycling continues to face tight scrap supply and margin pressure.
Impact of Trade Tariffs and Uncertainty
Geopolitical and trade dynamics are becoming unpredictable, with tariffs affecting market conditions and economic growth prospects.
Decreased Aluminum Sales Volumes
Lower sales volumes in Alunorte due to delayed alumina shipments from periods of heavy rain.
Increased Costs in Aluminum Metal
Higher raw material costs impacted results, with a net raw materials cost increase of roughly NOK 550 million in Aluminum Metal.
Company Guidance
During Hydro's First Quarter 2025 Presentation, the company reported an adjusted EBITDA of NOK 9.5 billion and a free cash flow of approximately NOK 1.3 billion, resulting in an adjusted RoaCE of 10.7%. This performance was largely driven by higher alumina prices, increased all-in aluminum prices, and favorable currency effects, which were partially offset by higher raw material costs, lower extrusion volumes and margins, and increased fixed costs. The TRI rate, a key safety metric, continued its decline, indicating ongoing improvements in safety efforts. Hydro revised its 2025 EBITDA outlook for the Extrusions division down from NOK 4.5-5.5 billion to NOK 3.5-4.5 billion, reflecting market uncertainties and slower-than-expected demand recovery. The company also accelerated its cost improvement program in Recycling with a target to achieve 1/3 of its 2030 objectives by the end of 2025. Despite these challenges, Hydro remains committed to its 2030 strategy, focusing on sustainable growth and investments in greener materials.

Norsk Hydro Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Norsk Hydro presents a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and stable profitability margins. The company's balance sheet is solid, with strong equity and manageable debt levels, enhancing its resilience. Cash flows are generally strong, though some volatility in free cash flow suggests areas for improvement in cash management. Overall, Norsk Hydro is well-positioned in the aluminum industry with a robust financial foundation.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Norsk Hydro has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, indicating efficient production processes. However, the net profit margin is lower in TTM compared to 2024, suggesting rising costs or other financial pressures. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, reflecting good operating performance.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a strong equity base as seen in the high equity ratio, which enhances financial stability. Debt levels have fluctuated but are manageable, as indicated by a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. Return on equity is solid, although slightly less than previous years, suggesting efficient use of equity capital.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong and supportive of net income, but free cash flow has seen some volatility. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, ensuring the company can meet its obligations and invest in growth. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, indicating potential challenges in capital management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue212.61B203.63B193.62B207.93B149.65B138.12B
Gross Profit71.98B74.29B70.08B78.56B52.97B53.53B
EBITDA37.23B22.19B18.27B59.19B27.79B15.07B
Net Income9.68B5.79B3.58B24.15B12.16B1.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets208.05B207.37B206.46B198.62B174.51B164.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.18B16.77B26.48B31.70B26.57B21.25B
Total Debt37.17B11.00M954.00M32.77B28.42B29.56B
Total Liabilities98.83B99.92B99.28B90.82B86.13B86.96B
Stockholders Equity102.41B101.46B100.58B102.45B84.06B74.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.24B1.80B8.58B19.79B4.66B7.23B
Operating Cash Flow19.42B15.36B22.22B29.39B10.68B13.52B
Investing Cash Flow-10.00B-12.92B-20.76B-10.56B-4.68B-8.32B
Financing Cash Flow-9.03B-12.56B-6.70B-13.25B-4.37B1.07B

Norsk Hydro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.07
Price Trends
50DMA
5.53
Positive
100DMA
5.59
Positive
200DMA
5.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
72.28
Negative
STOCH
99.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NHYDY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.70, above the 50-day MA of 5.53, and above the 200-day MA of 5.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NHYDY.

Norsk Hydro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AAAA
73
Outperform
$7.90B9.0317.53%1.31%21.56%
71
Outperform
$11.68B13.339.09%3.67%7.73%195.48%
BGBG
69
Neutral
$10.19B9.6110.36%3.69%-10.90%-36.54%
68
Neutral
$2.07B31.687.93%-2.29%-48.13%
67
Neutral
$1.73B16.2918.03%11.42%-49.21%
64
Neutral
$1.39B32.256.16%3.57%1.56%-22.11%
44
Neutral
C$964.86M-6.72-13.73%2.52%17.53%-32.55%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NHYDY
Norsk Hydro
6.07
-0.05
-0.82%
AA
Alcoa
31.57
-7.13
-18.42%
BG
Bunge Global
76.54
-30.38
-28.41%
CENX
Century Aluminum
19.41
0.28
1.46%
KALU
Kaiser Aluminum
87.02
-0.40
-0.46%
CSTM
Constellium
14.45
-4.43
-23.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 03, 2025