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Norsk Hydro (NHYDY)
OTHER OTC:NHYDY

Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) AI Stock Analysis

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NHYDY

Norsk Hydro

(OTC:NHYDY)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(21.95% Upside)
Norsk Hydro's strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. While valuation is reasonable, challenges in cash flow and market conditions from the earnings call slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth reflects strong demand for Norsk Hydro's products, indicating a solid market position and potential for continued expansion.
Long-term Power Contract
Securing a long-term power contract ensures stable and competitive energy costs, enhancing operational efficiency and profitability over the long term.
Partnerships in Low-Carbon Aluminum
Strategic partnerships in low-carbon aluminum strengthen Norsk Hydro's position in sustainable markets, aligning with industry trends towards eco-friendly solutions.
Negative Factors
Challenging Market Conditions
Challenging market conditions impacting EBITDA suggest potential volatility in earnings, which could affect financial stability and growth prospects.
Workforce Reductions
Workforce reductions may lead to short-term cost savings but could impact employee morale and operational capacity, affecting long-term performance.
Pressure on Extrusions and Recycling Margins
Margin pressures in key segments highlight competitive challenges and cost management issues, potentially affecting profitability and market competitiveness.

Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Norsk Hydro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorsk Hydro ASA engages in the power production, bauxite extraction, alumina refining, aluminium smelting, remelting, and recycling activities; and provision of extruded solutions worldwide. It operates through Bauxite & Alumina, Aluminium Metal, Metal Markets, Extrusions, and Energy segments. The Bauxite & Alumina segment engages in bauxite mining activities, production of alumina, and related commercial activities, primarily the sale of alumina. The Aluminium Metal segment is involved in the primary aluminum production casting activities. This segment principally offers extrusion ingots, foundry alloys, and sheet and standard ingots. The Metal Markets segment sells products from the company's primary metal plants; operates recyclers; and trades in physical and financial metals. The Extrusions segment offers extrusion profiles, building systems, and precision tubing products for construction, automotive and heating, and ventilation and air conditioning sectors, as well as operates recycling facilities. The Energy segment engages in the trading and wholesale business in Brazil; energy sourcing operations; and operation of power stations in Norway, as well as renewable energy production, such as wind and solar, battery, and hydrogen. Norsk Hydro ASA was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorsk Hydro generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of aluminum products, which includes bauxite, alumina, and various aluminum extrusions and rolled products. The company's revenue model relies on the global demand for aluminum, with significant sales to sectors that require lightweight and durable materials. Key revenue streams include the sale of primary aluminum, which is heavily influenced by market prices and demand from industries such as automotive and construction. Additionally, Norsk Hydro benefits from long-term contracts with major customers, which provide stability in revenue generation. The company also engages in trading activities to optimize its supply chain and capitalize on market opportunities. Partnerships with other industry players and investments in renewable energy further enhance its operational efficiency and profitability.

Norsk Hydro Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with positive developments in safety, free cash flow, long-term energy contracts, and strategic partnerships in low-carbon aluminum. However, these are balanced by challenges such as difficult market conditions leading to decreased EBITDA, workforce reduction initiatives, and pressure on extrusion and recycling margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Safety Improvements
Continued downward trend in the number of recordable injuries and high-risk incidents compared to the last quarter, highlighting a strong safety culture.
Solid Free Cash Flow
Reported a free cash flow generation of NOK 2.2 billion and an adjusted RoaCE of 11%, exceeding the target of 10%.
Long-term Power Contract Secured
Alouette signed an agreement for long-term power supply from 2030 to 2045, ensuring competitive energy prices.
Court Victory in Environmental Case
Final judgment in the Dutch court dismissed all claims against Hydro filed by Brazilian Cainquiama and individuals, clearing the company of pollution accusations.
Partnerships in Low-Carbon Aluminum
Increased efforts in partnerships with companies like Mercedes-Benz and initiatives like the aluminum bridge project in Trondheim.
Negative Updates
Challenging Market Conditions
Adjusted EBITDA fell to NOK 5.996 billion due to challenging markets affecting results this quarter.
Workforce Reductions and Cost-Cutting Measures
Strategic workforce adjustment to reduce white-collar manning by 600 in 2025 and 150 in 2026, with estimated gross redundancy cost around NOK 400 million.
Volatile Alumina and Aluminum Prices
Alumina prices fell to USD 320 per tonne by the end of the quarter, with the potential for future curtailments of high-cost refineries.
Pressure on Extrusions and Recycling Margins
Negative impact of around NOK 300 million due to lower sales and margin pressures in the Extrusions and Recycling sectors.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Hydro reported an adjusted EBITDA of NOK 5.996 billion, despite challenging market conditions. The company's free cash flow was solid at NOK 2.2 billion, contributing to an adjusted Return on average Capital Employed (RoaCE) of 11%, which exceeded their target of 10%. Hydro is implementing strategic workforce adjustments, reducing white collar positions by 600 in 2025 and an additional 150 in 2026. The estimated gross redundancy cost for 2025 is NOK 400 million, with expected cost savings of NOK 250 million, resulting in a net cost of NOK 150 million. By 2026, annual net run rate savings, including reductions in travel and consulting expenses, are projected to reach NOK 1 billion. These measures are part of a broader cost-cutting initiative aiming for an adjusted EBITDA improvement of NOK 7.5 billion by 2030.

Norsk Hydro Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Norsk Hydro shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a stable balance sheet. However, challenges in cash flow management and slight margin pressures need attention.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Norsk Hydro's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 21.2% increase in TTM, indicating robust demand. The gross profit margin of 26.05% and net profit margin of 4.47% suggest healthy profitability, though slightly lower than previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 9.86% and 15.19%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. However, the decline in gross profit margin from the previous year highlights potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, indicating prudent financial management. The return on equity (ROE) is 9.54%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 49.47%, reflecting a strong equity base. However, the slight increase in debt levels compared to equity requires monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.56, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -2.44%, suggesting challenges in maintaining cash reserves. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.45 is moderate, showing room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue215.81B203.63B193.62B207.93B149.65B138.12B
Gross Profit80.73B74.29B70.08B78.56B52.97B53.53B
EBITDA33.20B22.19B18.27B42.33B27.50B15.07B
Net Income10.99B5.79B3.58B24.15B12.16B1.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets205.46B207.37B206.46B198.62B174.51B164.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.98B16.77B26.48B31.70B26.57B21.25B
Total Debt37.00B11.00M954.00M32.77B28.42B29.56B
Total Liabilities96.41B99.92B99.28B90.82B86.13B86.96B
Stockholders Equity101.66B101.46B100.58B102.45B84.06B74.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.03B1.80B8.58B19.79B4.66B7.23B
Operating Cash Flow21.92B15.36B22.22B29.39B10.68B13.52B
Investing Cash Flow-16.66B-12.92B-20.76B-10.56B-4.68B-8.32B
Financing Cash Flow-9.05B-12.56B-6.70B-13.25B-4.37B1.07B

Norsk Hydro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.97
Price Trends
50DMA
7.39
Positive
100DMA
7.08
Positive
200DMA
6.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
67.60
Neutral
STOCH
74.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NHYDY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.84, below the 50-day MA of 7.39, and above the 200-day MA of 6.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NHYDY.

Norsk Hydro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$15.89B15.7910.48%2.82%13.03%699.85%
70
Outperform
$17.01B14.8519.77%0.75%20.08%
69
Neutral
$2.06B22.8312.41%2.64%7.69%91.86%
62
Neutral
$2.87B27.2412.22%8.48%12.10%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$11.58B-90.89-6.83%26.44%-95.87%
56
Neutral
$4.39B58.0312.22%20.15%-72.89%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NHYDY
Norsk Hydro
8.21
2.45
42.62%
AA
Alcoa
65.37
27.66
73.35%
CENX
Century Aluminum
46.34
25.95
127.27%
KALU
Kaiser Aluminum
126.39
55.85
79.17%
CSTM
Constellium
21.97
11.12
102.49%
MP
MP Materials
63.82
43.21
209.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025