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Newtek Business Services (NEWT)
NASDAQ:NEWT
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Newtek Business (NEWT) AI Stock Analysis

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NEWT

Newtek Business

(NASDAQ:NEWT)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
â–²(7.42% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is held back primarily by elevated leverage and sharply negative TTM cash flow despite strong reported profitability. Offsetting this, technicals are moderately supportive and valuation is compelling (low P/E and high dividend yield). The latest earnings call adds cautious optimism on recurring net interest income and deposit growth, but near-term EPS/guidance uncertainty and emerging credit risks keep the overall score in the middle range.
Positive Factors
Recurring net interest income growth
A sustained shift into bank-originated lending has materially increased recurring net interest income (+54% YoY), reducing reliance on one-time gain-on-sale fees. Over 2–6 months this supports steadier core revenue and improves predictability of earnings as the loan book is retained on balance sheet.
Negative Factors
Elevated financial leverage
Debt/equity of ~6x marks materially higher leverage versus prior periods, constraining financial flexibility. Elevated leverage amplifies earnings volatility, increases refinancing and covenant risk, and reduces capacity to absorb credit losses or fund growth without raising capital over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring net interest income growth
A sustained shift into bank-originated lending has materially increased recurring net interest income (+54% YoY), reducing reliance on one-time gain-on-sale fees. Over 2–6 months this supports steadier core revenue and improves predictability of earnings as the loan book is retained on balance sheet.
Read all positive factors

Newtek Business (NEWT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newtek Business Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NewtekOne, Inc. operates as a financial holding firm, specializing in delivering a comprehensive suite of business and financial solutions. Its diverse portfolio encompasses several key brands, including Newtek Bank, Newtek Lending, Newtek Payment...
How the Company Makes Money
Newtek primarily makes money through (1) net interest income generated by its bank—earning interest on business loans and other interest-earning assets and paying interest on deposits and other funding sources; and (2) non-interest (fee-based) inc...

Newtek Business Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational progress: rapid deposit and asset growth, a sizable increase in bank net interest income (~+54% YoY), substantial tangible book value appreciation (~+75% over 12 quarters), improving securitization over‑collateralization, and conservative CECL reserving focused on unguaranteed SBA loans. Offsetting items include short‑term earnings/guidance uncertainty from the deliberate strategy to hold more guaranteed SBA portions (reducing gain‑on‑sale income), a YoY decline in PPNR as a percent of assets (5.25% -> 4.22%), some early portfolio delinquencies and an isolated bankruptcy exposure (Simad). Management expects many of the changes (shift to more NII, securitizations, normalization of other income) to be beneficial over time, and liquidity/capital metrics remain solid.
Positive Updates
Strong Bank Net Interest Income Growth
Net interest income at the bank increased from $16.2M in Q2 2025 to $25.0M in Q2 2026 (+$8.8M, ~+54%), reflecting the strategic shift to generate more recurring NII as lending and C&I LA activity are moved into the bank.
Negative Updates
Near‑Term Guidance Uncertainty and EPS Impact
Management is re‑evaluating guidance after electing to hold more guaranteed portions of SBA loans on the balance sheet. Holding more loans is expected to reduce near‑term gain‑on‑sale revenue and may depress headline EPS in upcoming quarters relative to prior guidance (previous hinted Q4 EPS range ~$0.79–$0.89).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Bank Net Interest Income Growth
Net interest income at the bank increased from $16.2M in Q2 2025 to $25.0M in Q2 2026 (+$8.8M, ~+54%), reflecting the strategic shift to generate more recurring NII as lending and C&I LA activity are moved into the bank.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company said it is shifting mix toward holding more guaranteed SBA loans and booking more C&I long‑am loans in the bank — a move they expect will reduce near‑term gain‑on‑sale revenue and could pressure headline EPS over the next couple of quarters (historical Q2 EPS was $0.48 basic/$0.47 diluted and prior Q4 guidance had been ~$0.79–$0.89) while producing a more stable, higher net interest income profile (bank NII grew from $16.2M in Q2 2025 to $25.0M in Q2 2026); management will revisit formal guidance in roughly a 45–60 day window, plans another securitization of roughly $300M–$400M, and expects the longer‑term benefit from higher recurring NII as it moves activity into the bank (PPNR fell year‑over‑year from 5.25% to 4.22% of average assets but remains well above the industry <2%). Key balance‑sheet and credit metrics cited in support of the strategy included asset growth of 50% with expenses up only 3.6%, tangible book value growth of 75.3% over 12 quarters, deposits up from $142M to $2.2B in 14 quarters (non‑affiliate deposits +$15M this quarter, core consumer deposits +$297M this quarter; ~40,000 accounts, ~81% insured, L/D ≈90%), securitization over‑collateralization increases (2026‑1 OC +$11M from a $47M start; 2025‑1 OC up to $45M from $31.6M; 2024 OC +~$14M), and reserve coverage metrics (ACL to unguaranteed loans 5.31%, excluding government guarantees 4.14%, and ACL coverage on unguaranteed 7(a) loans ~8.56%).

Newtek Business Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Reported profitability is solid (TTM net income ~$64.5M on ~$331.9M revenue; healthy margins and ~17% ROE), but this is outweighed by materially higher leverage (debt ~$2.41B vs equity ~$404.7M; ~6.0x) and very weak cash conversion (TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow both ~-$601M), increasing funding and balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue331.88M322.17M318.85M252.82M131.50M168.28M
Gross Profit233.96M242.57M211.52M173.38M105.17M147.76M
EBITDA130.61M137.46M70.48M48.26M39.01M85.77M
Net Income64.55M60.51M50.85M47.33M32.31M84.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.89B2.74B2.06B1.43B998.90M1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments403.02M283.81M353.15M154.53M53.69M2.40M
Total Debt2.41B822.76M714.54M651.07M547.30M481.11M
Total Liabilities2.48B2.35B1.76B1.18B623.54M652.67M
Stockholders Equity404.69M397.57M296.28M249.05M375.36M403.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-434.81M55.87M-153.45M-169.68M-62.43M140.92M
Operating Cash Flow-434.65M55.98M-153.01M-169.22M-62.42M140.92M
Investing Cash Flow-592.65M-880.51M-209.05M-172.24M-11.00K0.00
Financing Cash Flow1.14B753.45M560.90M344.97M1.18M-5.49M

Newtek Business Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.43
Price Trends
50DMA
14.26
Negative
100DMA
13.26
Positive
200DMA
12.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
36.99
Neutral
STOCH
45.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEWT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.80, above the 50-day MA of 14.26, and above the 200-day MA of 12.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NEWT.

Newtek Business Risk Analysis

Newtek Business disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newtek Business reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newtek Business Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$211.51M6.1611.28%14.47%92.11%73.34%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$183.51M4.2610.77%20.94%18.91%14.29%
60
Neutral
$428.46M6.1317.20%5.27%20.30%19.12%
56
Neutral
$217.10M9.076.38%21.11%6.21%-42.00%
53
Neutral
$214.82M15.700.01%29.18%122.81%43.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NEWT
Newtek Business
13.53
2.64
24.25%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
3.69
-2.34
-38.81%
SCM
Stellus Capital
8.41
-4.36
-34.14%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
5.20
-0.13
-2.46%
LIEN
Chicago Atlantic BDC
9.50
0.46
5.14%

Newtek Business Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NewtekOne Shareholders Back Board Nominees and Governance Matters
Positive
Jun 15, 2026
NewtekOne, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on June 12, 2026, at which investors elected Richard Salute and Craig &#8220;CJ&#8221; Brunet to the board of directors to serve until the 2029 annual meeting, with vote totals showing strong...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026