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Chicago Atlantic BDC (LIEN)
NASDAQ:LIEN
US Market

Chicago Atlantic BDC (LIEN) AI Stock Analysis

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LIEN

Chicago Atlantic BDC

(NASDAQ:LIEN)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(7.98% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (growth but low margins/ROE and volatile cash flow). Valuation is supportive with a low P/E and high dividend yield, while the earnings call was generally positive on origination momentum, dividend coverage, and credit quality; technicals are neutral and do not materially strengthen the case.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial revenue growth indicates robust demand for the company's financial solutions, enhancing its market position and long-term profitability.
Balance Sheet Health
A debt-free balance sheet with high cash reserves provides financial stability and flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Strategic Initiatives
The new credit facility enhances liquidity and supports future growth, allowing the company to capitalize on emerging opportunities and expand its portfolio.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth can constrain operational flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to reinvest in growth and manage unforeseen expenses.
Leadership Changes
Frequent leadership changes can disrupt strategic continuity and create uncertainty, affecting long-term strategic execution and stakeholder confidence.
Cannabis Industry Challenges
Regulatory challenges in the cannabis sector can limit growth potential and increase risk, affecting the company's ability to expand in this market.

Chicago Atlantic BDC (LIEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chicago Atlantic BDC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSilver Spike Investment Corp., is a a business development company. It is a specialty finance company, focuses on investing across the cannabis ecosystem through investments in the form of direct loans to, and equity ownership of, privately held cannabis companies. It intends to partner with private equity firms, entrepreneurs, business owners, and management teams to provide credit and equity financing alternatives to support buyouts, recapitalizations, growth initiatives, refinancings, and acquisitions across cannabis companies, including cannabis-enabling technology companies, cannabis-related health and wellness companies, and hemp and CBD distribution companies. The company was founded in 2021 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyChicago Atlantic BDC makes money through interest income and fee income generated from its portfolio of secured loans and investments. The company extends credit to middle-market companies, typically in the form of senior secured loans, which generate interest income over the term of the loan. Additionally, the firm may earn origination fees, commitment fees, or other related fees associated with the structuring and management of these financial products. Chicago Atlantic BDC's revenue is further supported by its strategic partnerships and expertise in credit analysis and risk management, allowing it to identify and invest in lucrative opportunities while maintaining a focus on capital preservation and yield generation.

Chicago Atlantic BDC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted the record-breaking new debt investments and the company's ability to maintain a strong dividend coverage with a higher-than-average yield. Despite unexpected loan repayments and some market challenges in the cannabis sector, Chicago Atlantic BDC remains well-positioned with low leverage and no non-accruals.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record New Debt Investments
Chicago Atlantic BDC funded $66.7 million to 13 new investments, setting a new originations record and improving portfolio diversification.
Above-Market Yield
The weighted average yield on debt investments was 15.8%, significantly higher than the average BDC yield of 11.4%.
Strong Dividend Coverage
Announced a 34¢ dividend for the fifth consecutive quarter, well covered by a net investment income per share of 42¢.
Low Leverage and High Liquidity
The portfolio is under-levered with only $11 million of debt, and the company has approximately $97.8 million of liquidity available.
No Non-Accruals
Chicago Atlantic BDC reported no non-accruals compared to an industry average of 3.5%.
Negative Updates
Unexpected Loan Repayments
There was a larger amount of loan repayments than expected in Q3, which impacted the liquidity but not the pace of deployment.
Market Challenges in Cannabis Industry
Some segments of the cannabis industry are experiencing price compression and competitive pressures.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. showcased strong performance, with net investment income per share reaching 42¢, translating to a 12.5% yield to book value. The company achieved a new originations record by funding $66.7 million in 13 new investments, of which seven were new borrowers, enhancing portfolio diversification. The weighted average yield on debt investments was a robust 15.8%, significantly higher than the average BDC yield of 11.4%. The portfolio was 99.5% senior secured, and the balance of fixed to floating interest rates improved to 31% fixed and 69% floating, minimizing interest rate risks. The company maintained a low leverage with only $11 million of debt and no non-accruals, compared to an industry average of 3.5%. Additionally, a 34¢ dividend was declared for the fifth consecutive quarter, well-covered by the earnings. Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. continues to focus on diversifying its portfolio and managing interest rate sensitivity while maintaining its investment in the underserved cannabis and lower middle markets, with approximately $97.8 million in liquidity available for future deployments.

Chicago Atlantic BDC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue growth and positive EBIT/net income, but unusually low TTM margins, very low ROE, a notable debt profile shift versus prior periods, and volatile/declining free cash flow reduce confidence in profitability quality and cash durability.
Income Statement
62
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue shows strong acceleration (about 25% growth), and profitability remains positive with EBIT and net income both positive. However, the margin figures in TTM are extremely low versus prior annual periods, indicating either meaningful compression or data inconsistency—this lowers confidence in the quality and sustainability of reported profitability despite the growth.
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable on a ratio basis (TTM debt-to-equity is low), and equity and assets are sizeable. The key weakness is return on equity in TTM being very low, which suggests the capital base is not translating into strong shareholder returns. In addition, the sharp shift from zero debt in prior annual reports to a very large absolute debt figure in TTM raises questions around comparability and balance-sheet trajectory.
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive, but free cash flow declined (around -6%). Prior annual results include a period of negative operating/free cash flow (2024), pointing to volatility. While free cash flow tracks net income closely in the provided data, the uneven cash profile reduces the score versus the current-period profitability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue39.90M17.97M10.03M4.05M10.07K0.00
Gross Profit39.41M17.97M10.03M4.05M10.07K0.00
EBITDA33.01M9.62M7.34M0.00-563.37K0.00
Net Income33.01M9.62M7.34M1.71M-563.37K-958.29K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets327.25B309.56M88.58M86.97M85.03M276.26K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.46B23.93M32.61M35.13M84.77M0.00
Total Debt11.00B0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities24.33B8.40M3.02M495.55K479.70K435.97K
Stockholders Equity302.92B301.16M85.55M86.48M84.55M-159.72K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.80M-5.03M5.75M-50.15M-509.11K0.00
Operating Cash Flow22.80M-5.03M5.75M-50.15M-509.11K0.00
Investing Cash Flow-36.85M0.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-5.61M-3.64M-8.26M85.27M85.28M0.00

Chicago Atlantic BDC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.65
Price Trends
50DMA
10.49
Negative
100DMA
10.46
Negative
200DMA
10.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
36.22
Neutral
STOCH
18.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LIEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.33, above the 50-day MA of 10.49, and above the 200-day MA of 10.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LIEN.

Chicago Atlantic BDC Risk Analysis

Chicago Atlantic BDC disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chicago Atlantic BDC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chicago Atlantic BDC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$377.56M6.0017.44%6.55%6.38%25.69%
69
Neutral
$229.87M6.769.43%17.28%206.13%298.86%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$236.62M3.8835.45%5.39%
64
Neutral
$231.63M7.0217.13%13.03%315.14%116.85%
60
Neutral
$325.95M10.348.20%12.83%90.34%-44.25%
55
Neutral
$135.85M-31.90-2.25%14.03%-34.92%-132.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LIEN
Chicago Atlantic BDC
9.96
-1.19
-10.67%
NEWT
Newtek Business
12.97
1.17
9.88%
SSSS
SuRo Capital
9.21
3.62
64.67%
SCM
Stellus Capital
10.50
-3.17
-23.21%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
5.57
-1.35
-19.51%
MRCC
Monroe Capital
6.20
-1.45
-18.95%

Chicago Atlantic BDC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Chicago Atlantic BDC Finalizes Name Change and Bylaws Update
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. adopted its Second Amended and Restated Bylaws to formalize the company’s name change from Silver Spike Investment Corp. to Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc., marking a key step in consolidating its new corporate identity and branding. Earlier, effective December 9, 2025, the company appointed Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Company as its new transfer agent and registrar, a move that may streamline shareholder services and support the company’s evolving capital markets and investor-relations infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (LIEN) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chicago Atlantic BDC stock, see the LIEN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Chicago Atlantic BDC Ends Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. announced the termination of its Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) as decided by the board of directors on November 26, 2025. Effective December 31, 2025, all dividends or distributions will be paid in cash rather than in shares, impacting the company’s dividend distribution method.

The most recent analyst rating on (LIEN) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chicago Atlantic BDC stock, see the LIEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Chicago Atlantic BDC Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025. The company reported a total gross investment income of $15.1 million, with a net investment income of $9.5 million. The total investment portfolio was valued at $311.4 million, and the net asset value per share was $13.27. The company funded eleven portfolio companies with $66.3 million in aggregate par value during the quarter and an additional $5.0 million investment after the quarter ended. The Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.34 per share for the quarter ending December 31, 2025, payable on January 15, 2026. CEO Peter Sack highlighted the company’s strong portfolio and strategic approach, emphasizing their differentiation in the industry and the ability to leverage new opportunities while maintaining available liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (LIEN) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Chicago Atlantic BDC stock, see the LIEN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025