Chicago Atlantic Bdc, Inc. (LIEN)
NASDAQ:LIEN
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Chicago Atlantic BDC
(NASDAQ:LIEN)
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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(3.29% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/19/26
The score is driven primarily by solid recent financial performance with low leverage, plus an attractive valuation (low P/E and high yield). These are tempered by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages, negative MACD) and some concerns about earnings/cash-flow consistency and sector/regulatory uncertainty discussed on the earnings call.
Positive Factors
Conservative Leverage
Extremely low leverage and minimal outstanding debt provide structural financial flexibility. This conservatism reduces default and refinancing risk, preserves capacity to originate opportunistic loans, and supports durable dividend policy even under stress, improving long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Earnings & Cash-Flow Volatility
Historic swings in operating and free cash flow and large TTM shifts reduce confidence in sustainable cash conversion. For an income-focused BDC, inconsistent cash generation raises risk to dividend durability, reinvestment ability, and increases sensitivity to timing of portfolio payoffs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Leverage
Extremely low leverage and minimal outstanding debt provide structural financial flexibility. This conservatism reduces default and refinancing risk, preserves capacity to originate opportunistic loans, and supports durable dividend policy even under stress, improving long-term resilience.
Read all positive factors
Chicago Atlantic BDC (LIEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$212.23M
Dividend Yield13.03%
Average Volume (3M)59.62K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.1
Beta (1Y)0.22
Revenue Growth315.14%
EPS Growth116.85%
CountryUS
EmployeesN/A
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryAsset Management
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.36
Shares Outstanding22,820,590
10 Day Avg. Volume62,495
30 Day Avg. Volume59,622
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.12
Price to Book (P/B)<0.01
Price to Sales (P/S)4.34
P/FCF Ratio-0.01
Enterprise Value/Market Cap104.97
Enterprise Value/Revenue503.49
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit555.77
Enterprise Value/Ebitda645.18
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$11.00Price Target Upside3.29% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.53
Revenue Forecast (FY)$64.27M
Chicago Atlantic BDC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Silver Spike Investment Corp., is a a business development company. It is a specialty finance company, focuses on investing across the cannabis ecosystem through investments in the form of direct loans to, and equity ownership of, privately held c...
How the Company Makes Money
Chicago Atlantic BDC makes money primarily from investment income earned on its portfolio of private credit investments. The core revenue stream is interest income on loans it originates or acquires, which can include cash-pay interest and, where ...
Chicago Atlantic BDC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong portfolio fundamentals—high yields (15.8%), predominantly senior secured loans (99.5%), zero nonaccruals, low leverage (0.08x), a growing pipeline (~$732M), maintained dividend ($0.34) and ample liquidity (~$47.5M). These positives outweighed transitory quarter-over-quarter income declines driven by nonrecurring fees and broad negative market sentiment impacting the BDC sector. Management highlighted disciplined underwriting, limited sector overlap with troubled private credit areas, and positioning to capitalize on cannabis industry M&A and policy developments while acknowledging regulatory uncertainty and market valuation headwinds.Positive Updates
High Yielding Portfolio
Weighted-average yield on debt investments of 15.8% as of 12/31/2025 vs. 10.8% average public BDC yield (difference +5.0 percentage points, ~+46.3% relative), demonstrating above-market pricing power.
Negative Updates
Market Sentiment Pressure on BDCs
Broader BDC market experienced negative investor sentiment with many BDCs trading below NAV by end of 2025; investors focused less on book value and more on potential dividend cuts and loan losses, pressuring valuations.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
High Yielding Portfolio
Weighted-average yield on debt investments of 15.8% as of 12/31/2025 vs. 10.8% average public BDC yield (difference +5.0 percentage points, ~+46.3% relative), demonstrating above-market pricing power.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that it will maintain the $0.34 quarterly dividend (sixth consecutive quarter; $1.36 total dividends paid in 2025) and highlighted ample liquidity and low leverage to support deployment: approximately $47.5–48.0 million of liquidity as of 03/18/2026 (≈$22.0 million cash and $25.5 million undrawn capacity on a $100.0 million credit facility), only $25.0 million of debt outstanding at 12/31/2025, a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio (vs. 1.2x BDC average), and no nonaccruals (vs. 3.3% industry average). They reiterated strong portfolio and income metrics—39 investments, 25% non‑cannabis, average debt-investment size ~2.4% of the debt portfolio, gross weighted‑average yield 15.8% (vs. 10.8% public BDC avg), 99.5% senior secured (vs. 24.9% average), 73% fixed or floating at floor (only 27% rate‑sensitive), a calculated 100 bp rate drop impact to NII of ~1%—and reported Q4 gross investment income $14.2M, NII $8.3M ($0.36/share), FY NII $1.45/share, net assets $303.4M (NAV $13.30/share), Q4 originations $31.7M (7 investments, 4 new borrowers; 100% senior secured, 89% floating at floor), unfunded commitments ~$25.0M, 2026 YTD funded $93.9M with $55.7M payoffs (≈$40M net originations), and a $732M pipeline (≈$616M cannabis, $116M non‑cannabis).Chicago Atlantic BDC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Mar 2025 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 54.30M | 17.97M | 10.03M | 4.05M | 10.07K |
| Gross Profit | 41.95M | 17.97M | 10.03M | 4.05M | 10.07K |
| EBITDA | 34.53M | 9.62M | 7.34M | 0.00 | -563.37K |
| Net Income | 33.28M | 9.62M | 7.34M | 1.71M | -563.37K |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 342.00B | 309.56M | 88.58M | 86.97M | 85.03M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.93B | 23.93M | 32.61M | 35.13M | 84.77M |
| Total Debt | 25.00B | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 38.59B | 8.40M | 3.02M | 495.55K | 479.70K |
| Stockholders Equity | 303.41B | 301.16M | 85.55M | 86.48M | 84.55M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -20.48B | -5.03M | 5.75M | -50.15M | -509.11K |
| Operating Cash Flow | -20.48B | -5.03M | 5.75M | -50.15M | -509.11K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -52.60B | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Financing Cash Flow | -519.92K | -3.64M | -8.26M | 85.27M | 85.28M |
Chicago Atlantic BDC Technical Analysis
Negative
10.65
Price Trends
9.68
Negative
9.84
Negative
9.71
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.09
Negative
42.39
Neutral
36.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LIEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.46, above the 50-day MA of 9.68, and above the 200-day MA of 9.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LIEN.
Chicago Atlantic BDC Risk Analysis
Chicago Atlantic BDC disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chicago Atlantic BDC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Chicago Atlantic BDC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $212.23M | 7.08 | 0.04% | 13.03% | 315.14% | 116.85% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
64 Neutral | $308.97M | 4.69 | ― | 5.39% | ― | ― | |
59 Neutral | $113.96M | ― | -2.90% | 14.03% | -34.92% | -132.22% | |
57 Neutral | $345.40M | 4.72 | 17.30% | 6.55% | 6.38% | 25.69% | |
55 Neutral | $273.55M | 13.30 | 0.03% | 12.83% | 90.34% | -44.25% | |
52 Neutral | $204.48M | 8.14 | 14.02% | 17.28% | 206.13% | 298.86% |
* Financial Sector Average
LIEN
Chicago Atlantic BDC
9.30
-0.15
-1.63%
NEWT
Newtek Business
11.98
2.93
32.33%
SSSS
SuRo Capital
12.17
7.93
186.89%
SCM
Stellus Capital
9.45
-1.18
-11.13%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
5.05
-0.03
-0.63%
MRCC
Monroe Capital
5.26
-0.89
-14.51%
Chicago Atlantic BDC Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Chicago Atlantic BDC Reports Strong 2025 Results, Declares Dividend
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on March 19, 2026, posting Q4 total investment income of $14.2 million and net investment income of $8.3 million, or $0.36 per share, with no loans on non-accrual and a ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.