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Monroe Capital (MRCC)
:MRCC
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Monroe Capital (MRCC) AI Stock Analysis

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MRCC

Monroe Capital

(NASDAQ:MRCC)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(9.49% Upside)
Monroe Capital's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and improved financial stability due to debt elimination. However, technical indicators suggest limited momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. The attractive dividend yield provides a positive offset, making the stock appealing for income-focused investors.

Monroe Capital (MRCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Monroe Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMonroe Capital Corporation (MRCC) is a business development company that primarily focuses on providing debt and equity financing solutions to middle-market companies across various sectors, including healthcare, technology, and consumer products. The company specializes in offering secured loans, mezzanine debt, and equity co-investments, aiming to support businesses in their growth and operational needs while generating attractive returns for its investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyMonroe Capital generates revenue through interest income from its debt investments, which include senior secured loans and subordinated loans, as well as from fees associated with loan origination and management. Additionally, the company earns income from equity investments in its portfolio companies. Key revenue streams include interest payments on loans and dividends from equity holdings. The company may also benefit from partnerships with financial institutions and private equity firms, which can enhance its deal flow and access to investment opportunities.

Monroe Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with positive elements such as a strong dividend declaration and successful exits of underperforming investments, but challenges included a decrease in investment income and portfolio size. The partnership with Wendel Group adds optimism for future growth. However, the current financial metrics reflect some negative trends including net losses and lower adjusted net investment income.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Dividend Declaration
Monroe Capital declared and paid a $0.25 per share dividend in the first quarter of 2025, representing an annualized dividend yield of 14.3%.
Portfolio Stability
The portfolio companies reported solid revenue and EBITDA growth, and there were no new investments placed on non-accrual status, maintaining a non-accrual rate of 3.4%.
Successful Exits of Underperforming Investments
Several investments previously on the credit watch list were successfully exited, contributing to a more conservative balance sheet leverage.
Partnership with Wendel Group
Monroe Capital completed its partnership with Wendel Group, anticipated to drive value for shareholders while allowing Monroe to operate autonomously.
Negative Updates
Decreased Investment Portfolio
The investment portfolio decreased by $26.4 million from the end of the fourth quarter 2024 to the end of the first quarter 2025.
Decline in Investment Income
Investment income totaled $11.6 million during the first quarter of 2025, down from $14 million in the fourth quarter of 2024.
Net Loss on Portfolio
The net loss on the portfolio for the first quarter was $3.6 million, driven primarily by unrealized mark-to-market losses for specific legacy portfolio companies.
Lower Adjusted Net Investment Income
Adjusted net investment income was $4.2 million or $0.19 per share, compared to $6.2 million or $0.29 per share in the prior quarter.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Monroe Capital Corporation (MRCC) declared a $0.25 per share dividend, representing an annualized yield of 14.3% based on its May 6, 2025, closing share price. This dividend was partially supported by $0.53 per share of undistributed spillover income. As of March 31, 2025, MRCC's net asset value (NAV) was reported at $186.9 million, or $8.63 per share, with leverage of 1.45 times debt to equity. The investment portfolio totaled $430.6 million, a decrease from the previous quarter, with 85 portfolio companies compared to 91 at the prior quarter's end. Despite market volatility, MRCC's adjusted net investment income was $4.2 million, or $0.19 per share, with a weighted average effective yield of 9.2%. The company focused on maintaining asset quality and selectively redeploying capital into existing and new investments, while managing its portfolio to mitigate macroeconomic risks, including potential tariff impacts.

Monroe Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Monroe Capital exhibits strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, resulting in robust profitability metrics. The recent elimination of debt improves financial stability, although past leverage levels were concerning. The company's cash flow generation is consistent, supporting ongoing operations. Overall, Monroe Capital presents a stable financial outlook with opportunities for continued growth, but past volatility in net income and leverage warrants attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Monroe Capital's revenue exhibited strong growth with a significant increase from the previous year, indicating robust top-line performance. The gross profit margin is favorable, reflecting efficient cost management. However, net income shows volatility, impacting net profit margins. The EBIT margin remains stable, but EBITDA data is missing, limiting full profitability analysis.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable equity position with a healthy equity ratio, suggesting strong asset backing. The elimination of total debt in the latest report significantly reduces leverage risk, enhancing financial stability. However, the company previously carried high debt levels, indicating past leverage concerns.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive and stable, supporting Monroe Capital's liquidity position. Although the free cash flow growth rate is not available, the consistent positive free cash flow indicates effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.82M61.96M27.28M55.55M40.16M6.51M
Gross Profit10.31M14.59M11.93M41.79M27.08M-4.17M
EBITDA14.48M10.16M1.18M88.16M32.74M20.67M
Net Income2.31M9.70M371.00K-2.79M32.46M1.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets388.95M490.67M513.19M565.00M590.46M585.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.53M9.04M4.96M5.45M2.62M6.77M
Total Debt0.00291.98M300.87M330.11M332.15M343.51M
Total Liabilities215.91M298.91M309.46M339.98M340.99M350.69M
Stockholders Equity173.04M191.76M203.72M225.02M249.47M234.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow108.16M35.96M51.73M14.11M20.01M74.93M
Operating Cash Flow108.16M35.96M51.73M14.11M20.01M74.93M
Investing Cash Flow31.82M27.82M41.77M3.63M7.54M51.20M
Financing Cash Flow-108.71M-31.87M-52.22M-26.72M-34.30M-72.15M

Monroe Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.85
Price Trends
50DMA
7.06
Negative
100DMA
6.70
Negative
200DMA
6.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
33.82
Neutral
STOCH
22.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MRCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.91, below the 50-day MA of 7.06, and above the 200-day MA of 6.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MRCC.

Monroe Capital Risk Analysis

Monroe Capital disclosed 5 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Monroe Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Monroe Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$68.46M21.192.25%22.78%-14.76%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$165.96M46.671.21%21.43%-49.76%-84.43%
61
Neutral
$149.71M-2.25%15.15%-34.92%-132.22%
60
Neutral
$159.36M-4.79%17.35%-62.82%-170.97%
51
Neutral
$149.83M-1.61%21.99%-177.91%55.08%
48
Neutral
$108.07M-5.98%19.56%47.01%-179.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MRCC
Monroe Capital
6.58
-0.49
-6.93%
BCIC
BCP Investment Corporation
12.62
-2.75
-17.89%
OXSQ
Oxford Square Capital
1.91
-0.54
-22.04%
WHF
WhiteHorse
7.11
-2.26
-24.12%
OFS
OFS Capital
5.17
-1.68
-24.48%
GECC
Great Elm Capital
7.74
-1.10
-12.44%

Monroe Capital Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Monroe Capital to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Monroe Capital Corporation announced that it will release its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, on November 5, 2025, after the market closes. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to keep stakeholders informed about its financial performance, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (MRCC) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monroe Capital stock, see the MRCC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Monroe Capital Announces Q3 Distribution to Shareholders
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Monroe Capital Corporation announced a third quarter distribution of $0.25 per share, payable on September 30, 2025, to stockholders of record as of September 22, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may impact its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence in its financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (MRCC) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monroe Capital stock, see the MRCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Monroe Capital Announces Merger with Horizon Finance
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Monroe Capital Corporation (MRCC) announced a merger agreement with Horizon Finance Technology (HRZN), where MRCC will merge into HRZN, creating a larger entity in the financial services sector. This strategic move, anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, aims to enhance operational efficiencies and market positioning, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. The merger agreement includes an asset sale to Monroe Capital Income Plus Corporation (MCIP) and a waiver of $4 million in advisory fees by HRZN Advisor, reflecting a commitment to streamline operations and improve financial outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (MRCC) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monroe Capital stock, see the MRCC Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Monroe Capital to Release Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Monroe Capital Corporation announced that it will release its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, on August 11, 2025, after market close. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing financial reporting and may impact stakeholders by providing insights into its financial performance and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (MRCC) stock is a Sell with a $7.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monroe Capital stock, see the MRCC Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Monroe Capital Announces Merger with Horizon Technology
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Monroe Capital announced a merger agreement between Monroe Capital Corporation (MRCC) and Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN), with HRZN continuing as the surviving entity. The merger is structured as a NAV-for-NAV share exchange, and MRCC will sell its assets to Monroe Capital Income Plus Corporation prior to the merger. This transaction is expected to enhance shareholder value, provide HRZN with significant capital for growth, and improve operational efficiencies, ultimately benefiting both MRCC and HRZN shareholders. The merger, subject to shareholder approvals and regulatory conditions, is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MRCC) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Monroe Capital stock, see the MRCC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025