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OFS Capital (OFS)
NASDAQ:OFS
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OFS Capital (OFS) AI Stock Analysis

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OFS

OFS Capital

(NASDAQ:OFS)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-17.53% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile profitability (TTM loss) and earnings-call negatives (NAV decline, unrealized depreciation, and NII pressure). Offsetting factors include improved leverage, solid cash generation, and moderately positive near-term technical momentum; valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E alongside an unusually high dividend yield that implies higher risk.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
Material reduction in debt and a lower debt-to-equity ratio meaningfully improves capital structure durability. Lower leverage reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, increases financial flexibility to originate loans or repay facilities, and supports distribution coverage over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
NAV volatility from CLO equity
Large unrealized marks in CLO equity caused an ~11% quarterly NAV decline, illustrating valuation sensitivity in structured finance holdings. This persistent mark-to-market volatility can erode book equity and investor confidence, complicating capital-raising and distribution policy over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage
Material reduction in debt and a lower debt-to-equity ratio meaningfully improves capital structure durability. Lower leverage reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, increases financial flexibility to originate loans or repay facilities, and supports distribution coverage over coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

OFS Capital (OFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OFS Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
OFS Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in direct and fund investments as well as add-on acquisitions. It provides flexible capital solutions primarily through debt capital and to a lesser extent, minority equity inv...
How the Company Makes Money
OFS primarily makes money from investment income generated by its portfolio of middle-market investments. The key revenue stream is interest income earned on debt investments (most commonly senior secured loans), which is driven by the stated coup...

OFS Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call highlights meaningful operational and balance-sheet progress — including maintaining and covering the distribution, materially extending debt maturities, reducing leverage by $45.6M, and securing a tighter Natixis facility — as well as a large monetizable equity position in Fansteel. However, these positives are outweighed by notable negative trends: an ~11% quarter-over-quarter NAV decline driven by $9.1M of CLO equity unrealized losses (plus $2.3M on a nonaccrual loan), a decline in net investment income and yields, concentration risk around the Fansteel position (~26% of portfolio fair value), and expectations for further top-line pressure as deleveraging continues. Overall, the negatives appear to outweigh the positives.
Positive Updates
Distribution Maintained and Covered
Quarterly distribution maintained at $0.17 per share and fully covered by net investment income of $0.18 per share (NII $2.5M), marking the second consecutive quarter the distribution was covered. Annualized yield on the quarterly distribution was 19.2% based on market price at March 31.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Decline
Net asset value (NAV) per share fell to $8.16 from $9.19 in the prior quarter, a decrease of approximately 11% ($1.03), primarily due to unrealized depreciation in CLO equity holdings and declines in loan prices driven by market sentiment.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Distribution Maintained and Covered
Quarterly distribution maintained at $0.17 per share and fully covered by net investment income of $0.18 per share (NII $2.5M), marking the second consecutive quarter the distribution was covered. Annualized yield on the quarterly distribution was 19.2% based on market price at March 31.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call reiterated guidance to preserve capital, strengthen the balance sheet, and drive long‑term net investment income growth while monetizing noninterest‑earning equity (notably Fansteel) and maintaining disciplined underwriting; key metrics disclosed included maintained quarterly distribution of $0.17 per share (covering net investment income of $0.18 per share, or $2.5M), a quarterly distribution that implies a 19.2% annualized yield on the market price, total investment income of $8.9M (‑5% QoQ), total expenses of $6.4M (‑3% QoQ), and NAV of $8.16 per share (down $1.03, or ~11%, from $9.19) driven by $9.1M of unrealized depreciation on CLOs and $2.3M on a nonaccrual loan; portfolio and balance‑sheet metrics included $308.1M fair value across 56 issuers, portfolio mix (amortized cost) ~64% senior secured loans/25% structured finance/11% equity, 98% of loan holdings first‑lien, weighted average performing investment income yield ~12.5% (down ~1ppt), $7.8M unfunded commitments, nonaccruals down 0.7pp QoQ, Fansteel fair value ~$80.4M (since 2014 $200k cost has generated ~$5.1M of distributions, ~23x on cost), adviser platform $4.2B AUM (affiliate $32B), regulatory asset coverage ratio 154% (‑2pp QoQ), debt reduced $45.6M YoY with $16M of 4.75% notes repaid and $18M of aggregate repayments QoQ, revolver exposure trimmed $2M, earliest remaining maturity now 2028 after extending Bank of California facility to Feb 2028 and entering a Natixis facility (up to $80M, 3‑year reinvestment/5‑year maturity, matures 2031, 30 bps tighter than prior facility).

OFS Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: cash generation is solid (TTM operating/free cash flow positive) and leverage improved materially with debt down sharply, but profitability has deteriorated with a large TTM net loss and highly volatile multi-year earnings.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-11.81M47.96M56.94M12.70M85.75M
Gross Profit-28.32M32.88M4.79M-4.33M68.23M
EBITDA-33.09M28.51M-57.00K-7.18M57.09M
Net Income-33.09M28.44M-465.00K-7.59M56.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets346.71M428.12M469.82M520.72M569.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.36M6.07M45.35M14.94M43.05M
Total Debt217.64M246.66M299.73M331.75M344.81M
Total Liabilities223.52M255.90M307.81M340.29M365.30M
Stockholders Equity123.19M172.22M162.00M180.42M203.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.64M33.01M21.37M2.95M-12.01M
Operating Cash Flow43.64M33.01M21.37M2.95M-12.01M
Investing Cash Flow23.17M0.0060.20M-107.55M-216.11M
Financing Cash Flow-46.35M-72.29M-51.15M-31.06M17.35M

OFS Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.85
Price Trends
50DMA
3.65
Positive
100DMA
4.11
Positive
200DMA
5.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
64.15
Neutral
STOCH
87.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.55, above the 50-day MA of 3.65, and below the 200-day MA of 5.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OFS.

OFS Capital Risk Analysis

OFS Capital disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OFS Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OFS Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$168.98M11.235.30%21.24%-49.37%32.52%
55
Neutral
$54.26M-1.93-23.38%25.87%-7.52%-216.36%
55
Neutral
$279.92M13.300.03%12.83%16.48%-46.87%
50
Neutral
$168.90M-1.53-12.27%24.14%-10500.00%
49
Neutral
$76.27M-2.74-24.20%22.43%7.98%-817.71%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OFS
OFS Capital
3.84
-3.33
-46.43%
OXSQ
Oxford Square Capital
1.92
-0.08
-4.00%
WHF
WhiteHorse
7.66
-0.39
-4.89%
SCM
Stellus Capital
9.83
-1.44
-12.75%
GECC
Great Elm Capital
5.56
-2.86
-33.94%

OFS Capital Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
OFS Capital Amends Revolving Credit Facility for Flexibility
Neutral
Mar 27, 2026
On March 27, 2026, OFS Capital Corporation amended its senior secured revolving credit facility with Banc of California, which is used for general corporate purposes including funding new investments. The amendment reduces covenant pressure by low...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
OFS Capital Secures New $80 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 18, 2026, OFSCC-FS, LLC, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of OFS Capital Corporation, entered into a new revolving credit and security agreement providing for up to $80 million in borrowings, secured by a first-priority interest in ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026