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Stellus Capital (SCM)
NYSE:SCM

Stellus Capital (SCM) AI Stock Analysis

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SCM

Stellus Capital

(NYSE:SCM)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(3.17% Upside)
The score is most constrained by weak cash conversion (negative operating and free cash flow across periods) and moderate leverage despite strong reported margins. Valuation is a positive (modest P/E and very high dividend yield), while technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive and the latest earnings call was balanced (portfolio growth and improved financing terms offset by NAV decline and spread pressure).
Positive Factors
Record Portfolio Size
Achieving a record portfolio size demonstrates Stellus Capital's ability to expand its investment reach and manage a larger asset base, which can enhance revenue generation and market presence over time.
Strong Origination Activity
Robust origination activity signifies Stellus Capital's effective deal sourcing and execution capabilities, which are crucial for sustaining growth and diversifying income streams in the long term.
Dividend Sustainability
Maintaining a consistent dividend payout reflects financial stability and management's commitment to returning value to shareholders, which can enhance investor confidence and support stock performance.
Negative Factors
Net Asset Value Decline
A decline in net asset value indicates potential weaknesses in asset quality or valuation, which could impact the company's financial health and investor perception if not addressed.
Nonaccrual Loans
Nonaccrual loans represent credit risk and potential losses, challenging Stellus Capital's ability to generate consistent income and maintain portfolio quality, which is crucial for long-term stability.
Dividend Coverage Concerns
Inability to fully cover dividends from earnings may indicate cash flow issues, potentially leading to future dividend cuts or financial strain, affecting investor trust and stock attractiveness.

Stellus Capital (SCM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Stellus Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStellus Capital Investment Corporation is a business development company specializing in investments in private middle-market companies. It invests through first lien, second lien, unitranche, and mezzanine debt financing, often with a corresponding equity investment. The fund prefers to invest in US and Canada. The fund seeks to invest in companies with an EBITDA between $5 million and $50 million.
How the Company Makes MoneyStellus Capital makes money through interest income and capital gains generated from its investment portfolio. The company primarily invests in debt and equity securities of middle-market companies, earning interest from loans and potentially benefiting from the appreciation of equity investments. Stellus Capital may also generate fees from managing investment funds and forming strategic partnerships that expand its investment network and enhance deal flow. By leveraging its expertise in credit analysis and risk management, Stellus Capital aims to achieve attractive risk-adjusted returns for its shareholders.

Stellus Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced outlook with continued growth in the investment portfolio and successful equity realizations, alongside challenges such as decreased net asset value per share and a competitive lending environment affecting spreads.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Investment Portfolio Growth
The investment portfolio at fair value increased to slightly over $1 billion across 115 portfolio companies, up from $985.9 million across 112 companies as of June 30, 2025.
Equity Realizations and Gains
During the quarter, Stellus Capital realized a gain of $2.8 million from an equity position. Projected equity realizations for Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 are $5 million each, with expected gains of $3.8 million and $3.3 million, respectively.
Improved Credit Facility Terms
The company amended and extended its revolving credit facility, reducing the spread over the 30-day SOFR rate from 2.6% to 2.25% and extended the maturity date by 2 years to September 2030.
High Asset Quality
82% of the portfolio is rated as performing on or ahead of plan, with no new loans added to the nonaccrual list during the quarter.
Negative Updates
Net Asset Value Per Share Decrease
Net asset value per share decreased by $0.16 during the quarter, primarily due to dividend payments exceeding earnings and net unrealized losses related to debt investments.
Competitive Spread Environment
There is a competitive market leading to a decrease in lending spreads, with spreads now creeping below 5% over SOFR.
Loans on Nonaccrual
Loans to 5 portfolio companies remain on nonaccrual, comprising 6.7% of the total cost and 3.7% of the fair value of the total loan portfolio.
Company Guidance
In the third fiscal quarter of 2025, Stellus Capital Investment Corporation reported a GAAP net investment income of $0.32 per share, realized income of $0.42 per share, and core net investment income of $0.34 per share. The net asset value per share decreased by $0.16 due to dividend payments exceeding earnings and net unrealized losses primarily from two debt investments. During the quarter, Stellus issued approximately 531,000 shares for $7.4 million and ended with an investment portfolio of $1.01 billion across 115 companies. The company invested $51.3 million in new portfolio companies and received $29.8 million in repayments. With 98% of loans secured and 90% priced at floating rates, Stellus maintained strong asset quality, with 82% of its portfolio rated a 1 or 2. The firm also amended its revolving credit facility to reduce the spread over the 30-day SOFR rate and extended its maturity to September 2030, increasing the total commitment to $335 million. Looking ahead, Stellus anticipates portfolio growth, with expected equity realizations of $5 million in Q4 2025 and potentially another $5 million in Q1 2026, alongside a declared dividend of $0.40 for Q4.

Stellus Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong reported profitability and very high net margins are offset by a major cash-flow weakness (negative operating cash flow and free cash flow across all periods) and a moderately levered balance sheet with inconsistent returns, plus a recent TTM revenue decline.
Income Statement
72
Positive
SCM shows strong profitability on both an annual and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) basis, with very high net margins (TTM ~44% and 2024 ~55%). Revenue growth has been volatile—strong in 2023 and 2024, but down ~10% in TTM—suggesting earnings quality is solid but the top line is not consistently expanding. Overall, profitability is a clear strength, while the recent revenue contraction and variability are key risks.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage is meaningful, with debt running around ~1.2x equity in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and ~1.6x in 2024, which is manageable but reduces flexibility in weaker markets. Equity has been relatively stable and assets have grown versus earlier years, but returns to shareholders are inconsistent (stronger in 2024, extremely low in TTM). Overall, the balance sheet is adequate but not conservative, with leverage and uneven returns as the main constraints.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is the primary weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative across every period shown (including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and each annual year). While the rate of change in free cash flow improves in some years, the company is still not consistently converting profits into cash, which can increase reliance on financing and raise liquidity risk during downturns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.44M82.72M53.24M45.42M61.38M41.83M
Gross Profit35.88M51.21M21.23M20.95M42.66M25.88M
EBITDA32.47M47.46M16.01M15.87M37.12M21.19M
Net Income30.52M45.84M17.53M14.49M33.57M20.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.03B980.90M908.09M898.18M821.26M674.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.02M20.06M26.13M48.04M44.17M18.48M
Total Debt632.32M593.01M575.83M604.13M518.17M393.20M
Total Liabilities650.91M610.98M588.15M622.41M536.15M401.55M
Stockholders Equity377.73M369.92M319.94M275.78M285.11M273.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-65.24M-28.65M-17.27M-56.29M-76.10M-3.49M
Operating Cash Flow-65.24M-28.65M-17.27M-56.29M-76.10M-3.49M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow35.68M22.58M-4.65M60.16M101.80M5.83M

Stellus Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.60
Price Trends
50DMA
12.44
Positive
100DMA
12.30
Positive
200DMA
12.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
51.62
Neutral
STOCH
24.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.88, above the 50-day MA of 12.44, and below the 200-day MA of 12.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SCM.

Stellus Capital Risk Analysis

Stellus Capital disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stellus Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Stellus Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$465.64M8.1911.86%9.31%41.12%-40.68%
69
Neutral
$240.78M7.299.43%17.28%206.13%298.86%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$234.61M3.9535.45%5.39%
63
Neutral
$480.54M18.443.22%15.77%-11.01%-65.56%
60
Neutral
$369.95M11.908.20%12.83%90.34%-44.25%
54
Neutral
$380.68M11.676.83%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCM
Stellus Capital
12.78
-0.28
-2.15%
GLAD
Gladstone Capital
20.61
-6.48
-23.93%
SSSS
SuRo Capital
9.34
4.40
89.03%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
5.83
-0.34
-5.57%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
5.96
-0.77
-11.44%
CION
CION Investment Corp
9.30
-0.75
-7.45%

Stellus Capital Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Stellus Capital Announces Full Redemption of 2026 Notes
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Stellus Capital Investment Corporation announced its decision to redeem 100% of its remaining outstanding 4.875% Notes due 2026. This follows a previous redemption of 50% of these notes on September 30, 2025. The full redemption, amounting to $50,000,000, will occur on December 31, 2025, and includes accrued and unpaid interest. This strategic financial move is likely to impact the company’s debt management and financial positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SCM) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stellus Capital stock, see the SCM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025