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Stellus Capital Investment (SCM)
NYSE:SCM
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Stellus Capital (SCM) AI Stock Analysis

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SCM

Stellus Capital

(NYSE:SCM)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▼(-5.09% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
Overall score reflects solid reported profitability but materially weakened by inconsistent cash flow quality and leverage. Technicals are weak with the stock trading below major moving averages and soft momentum. The earnings call was mixed—buyback and stable income help, but elevated non-accruals/NAV decline and guidance that the dividend will likely be reduced constrain the outlook; high yield is therefore less supportive.
Positive Factors
Secured, floating-rate portfolio
A portfolio overwhelmingly composed of senior secured, floating‑rate loans supports durable income and downside protection. Collateral and covenant structures reduce loss severity, while floating coupons help NII keep pace with rising rates, improving long‑term earnings resilience.
Negative Factors
Elevated non‑accruals
Non‑accruals at meaningful levels indicate realized credit stress and reduce current income and NAV. Persistently elevated problem loans increase provisioning and recovery uncertainty, pressure distributable earnings, and can take 12–24 months to resolve, limiting near‑term capital recycling.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Secured, floating-rate portfolio
A portfolio overwhelmingly composed of senior secured, floating‑rate loans supports durable income and downside protection. Collateral and covenant structures reduce loss severity, while floating coupons help NII keep pace with rising rates, improving long‑term earnings resilience.
Read all positive factors

Stellus Capital (SCM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Stellus Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Stellus Capital Investment Corporation is a business development company specializing in investments in private middle-market companies. It invests through first lien, second lien, unitranche, and mezzanine debt financing, often with a correspondi...
How the Company Makes Money
SCM makes money primarily from investment income earned on its portfolio of loans and other investments. The core revenue stream is interest income on floating-rate and fixed-rate debt investments (e.g., first-lien/second-lien secured loans and su...

Stellus Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 11, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: operationally the company shows stable income generation, a largely secured and floating-rate portfolio, prudent leverage, a strategic adviser partnership that could materially expand origination, and an opportunistic $20 million buyback. Offsetting these positives are a quarter NAV decline driven by markdowns on two debt positions, an elevated (and slightly increased) non‑accrual level representing 9.2% of cost / 5.2% of fair value, modest realized gain activity, and management's expectation that the dividend will likely be reduced to align with sustainable NII plus realized gains. Management communicated plans and timelines to reduce non‑accruals and grow the portfolio, but near-term credit resolution and dividend sustainability remain key risks.
Positive Updates
Stable Income Generation
GAAP net investment income of $0.26 per share and core net investment income of $0.27 per share for the quarter; total realized income of $0.29 per share (includes $0.75 million gain on one equity position).
Negative Updates
NAV Decline
Net asset value decreased $0.28 per share during the quarter. Components: $0.08 per share of dividend payments that exceeded earnings (spillover from 2025) and $0.20 per share net realized and unrealized loss primarily related to two debt investments.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Stable Income Generation
GAAP net investment income of $0.26 per share and core net investment income of $0.27 per share for the quarter; total realized income of $0.29 per share (includes $0.75 million gain on one equity position).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that the portfolio should finish the quarter roughly flat (currently about $970M across 117 companies; Q1 fair value was $990M across 116) as expected repayments roughly equal new fundings, and reiterated Q1 GAAP NII of $0.26/share (core NII $0.27/share) and total realized income of $0.29/share; they declared a Q2 dividend of $0.34/share (payable monthly) but said dividends will trend toward NII plus realized gains and therefore likely decline from current levels. They estimate $9M of equity realizations for the remainder of the year (about $6M of realized gains), see pipeline spreads near ~5.5% over SOFR, and reaffirm capacity to grow the portfolio by $75–100M (helped by a potential third SBIC license this summer and recycling cash/nonaccruals, noting $1 of realized equity or nonaccrual cash can be reinvested into ~ $3 with leverage). Portfolio metrics: 99% senior secured, 92% floating-rate, average loan ~$9M, largest investment $18.5M, 81% of portfolio rated 1–2 (on/ahead of plan) vs. 19% rated 3+, and 6 nonaccrual loans representing 9.2% of cost and 5.2% of fair value; leverage sits around ~1x regulatory (about <2x including SBA debentures). Finally, management announced a $20M share repurchase authorization while the stock trades at ~25% discount to NAV and said they expect meaningful reduction in nonaccruals toward the end of this year into next year.

Stellus Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (solid TTM revenue growth and strong margins) is offset by a weaker balance sheet profile (meaningful leverage, moderate ROE) and especially inconsistent cash generation (multi-year negative operating/free cash flow before a TTM rebound), reducing confidence in earnings quality.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.03M66.96M82.72M53.24M45.42M61.38M
Gross Profit45.05M32.01M51.21M21.23M20.95M42.66M
EBITDA34.00M28.63M47.46M16.01M15.87M37.12M
Net Income23.71M27.05M45.84M17.53M14.49M33.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>1.04B980.90M908.09M898.18M821.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.38T25.05M20.06M26.13M48.04M44.17M
Total Debt10.00T>651.82M593.01M575.83M604.13M518.17M
Total Liabilities10.00T>670.07M610.98M588.15M622.41M536.15M
Stockholders Equity10.00T>371.18M369.92M319.94M275.78M285.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.28M-24.45M-28.65M-17.27M-56.29M-76.10M
Operating Cash Flow35.28M-24.45M-28.65M-17.27M-56.29M-76.10M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-42.79M29.44M22.58M-4.65M60.16M101.80M

Stellus Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.01
Price Trends
50DMA
9.30
Negative
100DMA
10.36
Negative
200DMA
11.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
41.50
Neutral
STOCH
14.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.46, above the 50-day MA of 9.30, and below the 200-day MA of 11.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SCM.

Stellus Capital Risk Analysis

Stellus Capital disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stellus Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Stellus Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$352.21M0.44<0.01%5.39%
69
Neutral
$427.46M6.118.94%9.31%-46.94%-51.89%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
53
Neutral
$264.29M40.2512.83%6.21%-42.00%
52
Neutral
$332.09M-3.77-0.13%15.77%-11.90%84.61%
50
Neutral
$250.08M-30.830.01%16.61%122.81%43.00%
49
Neutral
$231.41M8.1812.12%17.28%18.91%14.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCM
Stellus Capital
9.13
-2.58
-22.01%
GLAD
Gladstone Capital
18.92
-4.95
-20.75%
SSSS
SuRo Capital
13.51
7.71
132.89%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
3.83
-1.73
-31.15%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
5.70
0.03
0.55%
CION
CION Investment Corp
6.67
-1.35
-16.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026