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CION Investment Corp (CION)
NYSE:CION

CION Investment Corp (CION) AI Stock Analysis

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CION

CION Investment Corp

(NYSE:CION)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
â–²(11.58% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality (solid growth/cash flow but meaningful leverage and comparability risk) and only neutral technical momentum. A very high dividend yield and a generally positive earnings update (NII/NAV strength and buybacks) support the rating, partially offset by rising nonaccruals and expense pressure.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent operating cash flow roughly matching net income indicates durable cash generation capacity. For a BDC, stable OCF supports recurring base distributions, buybacks and new originations without immediate capital raises, improving long-term funding resilience despite cycle volatility.
Solid NII, NAV expansion and buybacks
Quarterly net investment income and a rising NAV demonstrate portfolio valuation gains and income-producing performance. Share repurchases were accretive, reducing share count and supporting per-share metrics, which sustainably bolster shareholder returns and dividend coverage over multiple quarters.
Extended maturities and liquidity
Issuing longer-dated senior notes and maintaining over $100M in cash/short-term investments extends maturities and strengthens liquidity. This reduces near-term refinancing risk and provides durable capital for lending and opportunistic investments in the middle‑market lending cycle.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Meaningful leverage is inherent to the BDC model but raises balance‑sheet risk: higher borrowing amplifies losses, increases interest expense sensitivity, and limits flexibility to raise capital or sustain distributions during credit stress, constraining long‑term resilience.
Rising nonaccruals / credit stress
An uptick in nonaccruals and new troubled credits signals deteriorating portfolio credit quality. Persistent increases can erode net investment income and NAV, forcing write‑downs and reducing distributable earnings, which is a durable headwind for a credit‑focused BDC.
Expense pressure and weakening returns
Rising operating costs alongside a material decline in ROE reflect reduced efficiency converting investment income into shareholder returns. If expenses remain elevated and ROE stays depressed, dividend sustainability and ability to reinvest profitably will be structurally impaired.

CION Investment Corp (CION) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CION Investment Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCION Investment Corporation is a business development company. It specializes in investments in senior secured loans, including unitranche loans, First Lien, second lien loans, long-term subordinated loans, and mezzanine loans; equity interests such as warrants or options; and corporate bonds; and other debt securities in middle-market companies. The firm invests in growth capital, acquisitions, leveraged buyouts, market/product expansion, refinancing and recapitalization. The fund also invests up to 30 percent of their assets opportunistically in other types of investments, including the securities of larger public companies and foreign securities. It also makes investments in the secondary loan market. The fund does not invest in start-up companies, turnaround situations, or companies with speculative business plans. The fund prefers to invest in high tech industries, healthcare, pharmaceuticals, business services, media, chemicals, plastic, rubber, telecommunication, consumer services, advertising, printing and publishing, consumer goods, durables, diversified financials, and other industries. It also invests in homebuilding, restaurants, beverage and tobacco bars, broadcasting, distributors, Non-durable good distribution, food beverage and tobacco, energy, oil gas and consumables fuels, insurance, aerospace and defense, industrial machinery, paper and forest product machinery, information technology, metals and mining, and real estate. It primarily seeks to invest in the United States. The fund seeks to invest between $5 million and $50 million in companies with an EBITDA between $25 million and $75 million with average targeted hold of $25 million. It also purchases minority interests in the form of common or preferred equity in the target companies, typically in conjunction with its debt investments or through a co-investment with a financial sponsor. The fund seeks to exit its investments through an initial public offering of common stock, a merger, a sale, or other recapitalization.
How the Company Makes MoneyCION Investment Corp generates revenue primarily through the interest income and fees earned on the loans it provides to middle-market companies. As a business development company, CION is required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends, which means it focuses on generating consistent and high-interest income from its loan portfolio. The company may also earn money through capital gains on the sale of investments, though this is a secondary objective. CION's earnings are influenced by factors such as the credit quality of its borrowers, interest rate fluctuations, and overall economic conditions. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or co-investments to enhance its investment opportunities and returns.

CION Investment Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a picture of strong financial performance with notable growth in net investment income and NAV, along with strategic moves such as the share repurchase program and transition to monthly distributions. However, challenges were noted in the form of increased nonaccruals and specific investment difficulties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Investment Income
The company reported $0.74 per share in net investment income for the third quarter, driven by robust transaction activity involving 20 portfolio companies.
Increase in Net Asset Value (NAV)
NAV increased 2.5% quarter-over-quarter to $14.86, up from $14.50 in the prior quarter, largely due to fair value increases in the equity portfolio.
Successful Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased approximately 330,000 shares at an average price of $9.86 per share during the quarter, which was accretive to NAV.
Positive Performance in Key Equity Positions
Significant increases in the value of equity positions in Longview Power and Palmetto Solar.
Transition to Monthly Distributions
Announced a shift from quarterly to monthly base distributions beginning in January 2026.
Healthy Debt Structure and Liquidity
Ended the quarter with $1.9 billion in total assets, $773 million in total equity, and a strong liquidity position with over $105 million in cash and short-term investments.
Negative Updates
Increased Nonaccruals
Nonaccruals increased from 1.3% of fair value in Q2 to 1.75% in Q3, with the addition of two new names to nonaccrual status.
Challenges in Specific Investments
Mark-to-market decline in first lien debt investments in Anthem Sports due to less-than-expected revenue ramp and challenges in Trademark Global and Aspira.
Operating Expense Increase
Total operating expenses increased to $40.1 million from $35.3 million in the prior quarter, driven by higher advisory fees.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, CION Investment Corporation reported a strong performance with a net investment income of $0.74 per share, supported by robust transaction activity involving 20 portfolio companies. This quarter saw a significant increase in net asset value (NAV) by 2.5% to $14.86, primarily due to fair value increases in equity holdings like Longview Power and Palmetto Solar. CION's opportunistic strategy facilitated notable transaction-related accretion, contributing to earnings. The company managed to cover its base dividend without the opportunistic earnings, demonstrating portfolio strength. Despite broader credit market concerns, CION maintained a low nonaccrual rate of 1.75% and added two names to nonaccrual status. The company plans to shift its base distribution payments from quarterly to monthly starting January 2026, maintaining a declared base distribution of $0.36 per share for the fourth quarter. The weighted average yield on debt investments was 10.9%, with a net debt-to-equity ratio of 1.28x. CION also repurchased approximately 330,000 shares at an average price of $9.86 per share, leveraging a sector-wide sell-off.

CION Investment Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CION Investment Corp demonstrates strong revenue growth and efficient cost management, but faces challenges with high leverage and inconsistent cash flows. While profitability metrics show potential, the reliance on debt financing and cash flow volatility may pose risks to long-term stability.
Income Statement
CION Investment Corp has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin remains high at 100%, demonstrating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has shown inconsistency over the years, indicating volatility in net income relative to revenue. Despite this, EBIT margins are solid, pointing to effective operational management.
Balance Sheet
The company shows a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio in recent years, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose a financial risk. The equity ratio has decreased, reflecting a lower proportion of assets financed by equity. ROE has been positive, suggesting profitability from equity, but the high liabilities could be a concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow has seen fluctuations, with significant negative cash flow in 2023, which may indicate operational challenges. Free cash flow has improved in the latest year, but historical volatility presents concerns. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash flow generation is inconsistent compared to reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue131.21M142.82M192.17M110.76M163.79M34.63M
Gross Profit37.68M45.95M106.61M61.14M131.98M-2.20M
EBITDA25.98M34.01M95.26M50.51M119.11M-10.75M
Net Income25.95M33.90M95.31M50.14M118.76M-11.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.38M1.95B2.00B1.87B1.78B1.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.00K7.67M8.41M82.74M3.77M19.91M
Total Debt0.001.10B1.08B951.32M822.37M719.96M
Total Liabilities39.09M1.12B1.12B988.78M852.17M736.54M
Stockholders Equity21.30M820.81M879.56M883.63M930.51M878.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow60.71M88.19M55.38M35.28M-49.25M198.73M
Operating Cash Flow60.71M88.19M55.38M35.28M-49.25M198.73M
Investing Cash Flow38.73M0.00-49.95M-487.95M-660.99M-282.00M
Financing Cash Flow-76.37M-88.94M22.83M43.69M33.11M-184.95M

CION Investment Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.41
Price Trends
50DMA
9.62
Negative
100DMA
9.51
Negative
200DMA
9.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
41.83
Neutral
STOCH
33.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CION, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.69, below the 50-day MA of 9.62, and above the 200-day MA of 9.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CION.

CION Investment Corp Risk Analysis

CION Investment Corp disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CION Investment Corp reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CION Investment Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$474.91M8.2111.86%9.31%41.12%-40.68%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$551.88M5.5718.68%11.02%-45.46%134.73%
63
Neutral
$496.04M18.603.22%15.77%-11.01%-65.56%
63
Neutral
$534.54M14.824.92%13.20%-20.18%-61.90%
57
Neutral
$396.35M12.036.83%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
50
Neutral
$477.66M-52.39-1.15%21.13%-91.81%78.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CION
CION Investment Corp
9.41
-0.40
-4.05%
GLAD
Gladstone Capital
20.72
-6.11
-22.77%
GAIN
Gladstone Investment
13.87
2.04
17.24%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
6.03
-0.23
-3.67%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
5.59
-1.78
-24.15%
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC
14.40
-3.14
-17.90%

CION Investment Corp Corporate Events

Dividends
CION Investment Declares First-Quarter 2026 Cash Distributions
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

On January 7, 2026, CION Investment Corporation announced that its board had declared base cash distributions totaling $0.30 per share for the first quarter of 2026, comprising monthly payments of $0.10 per share scheduled for January 30, February 27 and March 27 to shareholders of record on January 16, February 13 and March 13, respectively. The move underscores CION’s continued focus on delivering regular income to shareholders from its portfolio of senior secured loans to U.S. middle‑market borrowers and helps signal stability in its distribution policy heading into 2026, a key consideration for income-focused investors in the business development company space.

The most recent analyst rating on (CION) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CION Investment Corp stock, see the CION Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CION Investment Corp completes private placement of senior notes
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 16, 2025, CION Investment Corporation entered into a note purchase agreement with institutional investors and subsequently closed, on December 18, 2025, a private placement of $172.5 million in senior unsecured notes, split between $125 million due 2029 and $47.5 million due 2027, both carrying fixed interest rates of 7.70% and 7.41%, respectively, and rated investment grade. The general unsecured notes, which rank pari passu with CION’s other unsecured debt and are subject to financial covenants and customary events of default, are expected to be used primarily to refinance its $125 million notes maturing in February 2026, fund new portfolio investments, and support working capital and general corporate needs, thereby extending CION’s debt maturities and reinforcing its capital structure in the middle‑market lending sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CION) stock is a Sell with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CION Investment Corp stock, see the CION Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
CION Investment Corp Announces Shift to Monthly Distributions
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

CION Investment Corporation reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net investment income and earnings per share of $0.74 and $0.69, respectively. The company announced a shift from quarterly to monthly base distributions starting in January 2026, aiming to better align with shareholder interests. The net asset value per share increased to $14.86, and the company maintained a diversified investment portfolio valued at $1.74 billion. Despite a net decrease in the funded portfolio, CION’s robust transaction activity and strategic repurchases of common stock contributed to its financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (CION) stock is a Sell with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CION Investment Corp stock, see the CION Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026