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Gladstone Investment Corp (GAIN)
NASDAQ:GAIN

Gladstone Investment (GAIN) AI Stock Analysis

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GAIN

Gladstone Investment

(NASDAQ:GAIN)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(4.62% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile cash generation (negative TTM operating/free cash flow) and declining TTM revenue, despite strong reported profitability. Attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) and a generally steady earnings-call backdrop (higher NAV and maintained distribution, but pressured NII/expenses and non-accruals) provide support, while technical signals are broadly neutral.
Positive Factors
Strong Reported Profitability
Reported margins and ROE are very strong, indicating the firm earns substantial spread and gains on investments. A meaningful equity base versus assets provides a durable capital cushion to absorb credit stress and support distributions and underwriting through cycles.
Liquidity & Liability Management
A healthy asset coverage ratio well above regulatory minimums, an expanded committed facility and proactive debt refinancings reduce funding risk. This durable liquidity and lower interest burden increase capacity to finance new buyouts and manage maturities over the medium term.
Yield Protection & Underwriting Discipline
Interest-rate floors and conservative underwriting on new originations structurally protect net investment income from rate declines. With a sizable portion of the portfolio floored, recurring interest income is less sensitive to short-term benchmark moves, supporting steadier yields.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
A material swing to negative operating/free cash flow undermines financial flexibility: it raises dependence on realizations, financing and equity raises to fund distributions and investments. Persistent cash volatility threatens the repeatability of reported earnings and payout coverage.
Expense & Fee Volatility
Large, accrual-driven swings in incentive fees and operating expenses compressed net investment income and produced a quarterly net loss. If incentive-fee accruals and expense volatility persist, recurring distributable income and payout stability could be impaired over the medium term.
Credit Stress & Distribution Cushion Shrinkage
Non-accrual positions and a >50% drop in spillover reduce the buffer available for supplemental distributions and raise reliance on realizations. Concentrated problem assets could force write-downs or additional capital actions, pressuring payouts and balance-sheet flexibility.

Gladstone Investment (GAIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gladstone Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGladstone Investment Corporation is business development company, specializes in lower middle market, mature stage, buyouts; refinancing existing debt; senior debt securities such as senior loans, senior term loans, lines of credit, and senior notes; senior subordinated debt securities such as senior subordinated loans and senior subordinated notes; junior subordinated debt securities such as subordinated notes and mezzanine loans; limited liability company interests, and warrants or options. The fund does not invest in start-ups. The fund seeks to invest in manufacturing, consumer products and business/consumer services sector. It seeks to invest in small and mid-sized companies based in the United States. The fund prefers to make debt investments between $5 million and $30 million and equity investments between $10 million and $40 million in companies. The fund seeks to invest in companies with revenue between $20 million and $100 million. The fund invests in companies with EBITDA from $3 million to $20 million. It seeks minority equity ownership and prefers to hold a board seat in its portfolio companies. It also prefers to take majority stake in its portfolio companies. The fund typically holds the investments for seven years and exits via sale or recapitalization, initial public offering, or sale to third party.
How the Company Makes MoneyGladstone Investment makes money primarily through its investments in private companies, which yield returns in several ways. The company earns interest income from debt investments, typically in the form of loans to its portfolio companies, which are often structured with higher interest rates due to the higher risk associated with small to mid-sized businesses. Additionally, GAIN generates revenue from equity investments, receiving dividends and potential capital gains when portfolio companies grow and either go public or are sold. The company also benefits from management fees associated with its investment operations and may have performance-based fees depending on the success of its investments. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and investment networks can enhance its deal flow and investment opportunities, further contributing to its earnings.

Gladstone Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q3-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but stable picture: meaningful quarter-over-quarter NAV and asset growth, preserved monthly distribution, proactive balance sheet moves (debt refinancing, facility expansion), and yield-protection via floors are clear positives. Offsetting these are a sizable quarterly net investment loss driven by higher incentive fee accruals, a notable increase in operating expenses, a decline in adjusted NII per share, reduced spillover available for cash distributions, and three non-accruals that remain under management attention. Management’s tone was constructive about pipeline and liquidity, suggesting the negatives are being actively managed, but the financials show near-term earnings/expense volatility.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
NAV and Portfolio Appreciation
Net asset value increased to $14.95 from $13.53 quarter-over-quarter, a +10.5% increase driven by $1.77 per share of net unrealized appreciation and $0.09 per share of net realized gains; aggregate portfolio valuations increased by $7.2 million.
Asset Growth and New Investments
Total assets rose to about $1.2 billion, up approximately $92 million QoQ (+~8.3%), reflecting one new buyout investment during the quarter and appreciation; fiscal 2026 YTD investments totaled $163 million across four new portfolio companies (vs $221M in all of fiscal 2025).
Maintained Monthly Distribution and Strong Distributable Base
Monthly distribution maintained at $0.08 per share ($0.96 annualized); total distributable income of $108.7 million ($2.73 per share) and history of supplemental distributions (aggregate $3.26 per share across 13 supplements over five years) support shareholder returns.
Liquidity and Balance Sheet Strength
Asset coverage ratio of 201% (well above the 130% requirement); expanded credit facility to a $300 million total commitment (added $30M from City National Bank); raised $3.2 million net via ATM; management states a strong and liquid balance sheet to support refinancing and new buyouts.
Debt Refinancing That Lowers Interest Burden
Redeemed $74.8M of 8% notes and issued $60M 6.875% notes (plus borrowings) — reducing the interest burden on ~$75M of debt by ~110 basis points; ongoing proactive liability management.
Yield Protections and Underwriting Discipline
Weighted average principal balance of interest-bearing investments rose to $699M (+$30M QoQ, +4.5%); portfolio yield modestly declined from 13.2% to 12.9% (-24 bps) in line with a 32-bp SOFR decline, and the portfolio benefits from interest rate floors (weighted average floor ~12.1%; many new debt deals underwritten with floors of 13%–13.5%; over half the debt portfolio at floors).
Negative Updates
Quarterly Net Investment Loss and Expense Increase
Net investment loss of $6.5 million in the quarter versus net investment income of $4.3 million in the prior quarter (swing of ~$10.8M); net expenses rose to $31.6 million from $21.0 million QoQ (+50.5%), primarily due to a $9.9 million increase in accruals for capital gains-based incentive fees.
Decline in Adjusted Net Investment Income
Adjusted net investment income (excluding capital gains-based incentive fees) was $8.2 million or $0.21 per share, down from $9.2 million or $0.24 per share in the prior quarter — a decrease of ~10.9% in dollars and -12.5% on a per-share basis.
Yield Pressure and Spread Compression Risk
Weighted average portfolio yield decreased 24 basis points (13.2% to 12.9%) as SOFR fell 32 bps; while management has floors to mitigate downside, further rate declines could squeeze yields on portions of the portfolio not at their floors.
Reduced Spillover Available for Cash Distributions
Spillover available to support distributions declined from $55.3 million ($1.50/share) at prior fiscal year-end to an estimated $22.9 million ($0.58/share) as of 12/31, a decrease of ~58.6%, increasing reliance on realized gains for supplemental distributions.
Non-Accrual Investments and Concentration
Three portfolio companies remain on non-accrual; non-accruals represent 3.8% of the portfolio at cost and 1.5% at fair value. Management noted improvement but these positions remain a source of risk until resolved or exited.
Small ATM Equity Raise and Competitive M&A Environment
Only ~$3.2 million raised via the ATM this quarter due to common stock price levels limiting activity; management also noted the M&A market is liquid and competitive, which can pressure purchase multiples and underwriting discipline.
Company Guidance
Management guided that Gladstone finished the quarter (12/31/2025) with adjusted NII of $0.21 per share ($8.2M), total investment income of $25.1M, total assets of about $1.2B (up ~$92M QoQ) and a weighted average principal balance of interest‑bearing investments of $699M (up $30M); portfolio yield modestly declined from 13.2% to 12.9% (‑24 bps) but the weighted average interest‑rate floor (excluding non‑accruals and revolvers) was 12.1% with over half the debt at floors and new debt underwritten with 13–13.5% floors. To date in FY2026 they’ve invested $163M across four new buyouts (29 operating companies; 66 buyouts since inception totaling ~ $2.2B with 33 exits generating ~$353M net realized gains and $45M other exit income), maintained the monthly distribution of $0.08/share ($0.96 annual), reported NAV of $14.95 (from $13.53) driven by $1.77/share net unrealized appreciation and $0.09/share net realized gains, and showed $108.7M total distributable income ($2.73/share) with estimated spillover of ~$22.9M ($0.58/share). They also reported net expenses of $31.6M (up from $21M, driven by a $9.9M accrual of capital‑gains‑based incentive fees), a net investment loss of $6.5M (vs $4.3M income prior), three non‑accruals representing 3.8% of cost (1.5% of fair value), an asset coverage ratio of 201%, a $300M credit facility (expanded to include a $30M City National commitment), redemption of $74.8M of 8% notes and issuance of $60M 6.875% notes (reducing interest burden on ~$75M of debt by ~110 bps), and a “healthy” M&A pipeline with supplemental distributions expected to be paid from realized capital gains.

Gladstone Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong reported profitability (very high net/EBIT margins) and a decent equity base are positives, but TTM revenue declined (-14.8%) and TTM operating/free cash flow swung to meaningfully negative (-$81.8M). Moderate leverage increases the importance of more consistent cash generation.
Income Statement
66
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-14.8%), following a nearly flat most recent annual period and a choppy multi-year revenue path. Profitability appears very strong on reported margins (TTM net margin ~79% and EBIT margin ~79%), and return on equity is solid in the latest periods, but the large year-to-year swings in margins and growth suggest earnings quality/recurrence may be less stable than the headline profitability implies.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage is moderate for the profile: total debt is sizable ($443M TTM) with debt-to-equity around ~0.85 (down from ~0.91 most recent annual), and equity is meaningful ($595M TTM) against $1.24B in assets. Returns on equity improved versus earlier years, which is a positive, but the balance sheet still carries enough leverage that earnings or asset-value volatility could pressure flexibility.
Cash Flow
39
Negative
Cash generation is the main weak spot: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative (-$81.8M), a sharp reversal versus the prior annual period’s strong positive free cash flow (~$113.9M). The large decline in free cash flow growth and the swing from positive to negative cash flow indicate higher volatility in cash realizations and reduced near-term financial flexibility despite strong reported net income.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue89.88M103.17M48.53M112.23M53.17M
Gross Profit61.63M79.05M32.66M99.15M48.73M
EBITDA65.32M85.31M35.55M102.32M42.45M
Net Income65.32M85.31M35.55M102.32M42.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.01B938.08M765.64M740.41M643.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.30M2.46M2.68M14.19M2.06M
Total Debt455.71M398.35M292.61M261.35M243.59M
Total Liabilities507.32M445.37M325.90M294.58M261.37M
Stockholders Equity499.08M492.71M439.74M445.83M382.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow113.92M85.99M-4.50M77.94M44.81M
Operating Cash Flow113.92M85.99M-4.50M77.94M44.81M
Investing Cash Flow-97.62M-155.92M-98.22M-41.34M-74.54M
Financing Cash Flow-4.37M69.91M-6.74M-24.50M28.07M

Gladstone Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.86
Price Trends
50DMA
13.80
Positive
100DMA
13.68
Positive
200DMA
13.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
57.06
Neutral
STOCH
50.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GAIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.86, above the 50-day MA of 13.80, and above the 200-day MA of 13.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GAIN.

Gladstone Investment Risk Analysis

Gladstone Investment disclosed 12 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gladstone Investment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gladstone Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$531.95M14.804.92%13.20%-20.18%-61.90%
63
Neutral
$464.01M17.753.22%15.77%-11.01%-65.56%
61
Neutral
$461.80M13.5611.86%9.31%41.12%-40.68%
60
Neutral
$559.10M4.5222.16%11.02%-45.46%134.73%
54
Neutral
$377.41M11.536.83%16.61%-3.09%200.66%
50
Neutral
$431.84M-1.15%21.13%-91.81%78.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GAIN
Gladstone Investment
13.86
1.68
13.77%
GLAD
Gladstone Capital
19.28
-7.22
-27.23%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
5.63
-0.54
-8.81%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
4.94
-2.77
-35.93%
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC
14.25
-3.73
-20.75%
CION
CION Investment Corp
8.78
-1.09
-11.03%

Gladstone Investment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Gladstone Investment to Redeem 8% Notes by December
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Gladstone Investment Corporation announced its decision to redeem all of its outstanding 8.00% notes due 2028, amounting to $74,750,000, on December 16, 2025. This move will result in the delisting of these notes from the Nasdaq Global Select Market, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GAIN) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gladstone Investment stock, see the GAIN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Gladstone Investment Announces $60M Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Gladstone Investment Corporation announced the pricing of a registered direct offering of $60 million in 6.875% Notes due 2028, with the offering closing on November 10, 2025. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay part of the company’s credit facility, fund new investments, and support other corporate purposes, potentially impacting its investment strategy and financial positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GAIN) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gladstone Investment stock, see the GAIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026