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Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD)
NYSE:PSBD
US Market

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD) AI Stock Analysis

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Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.

(NYSE:PSBD)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲( 1.23% Upside)
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. faces significant financial challenges, primarily due to negative cash flows and inconsistent profitability. The technical analysis suggests mixed signals, with some short-term bullishness countered by longer-term concerns. Valuation offers a high dividend yield, which is attractive despite the high P/E ratio. The earnings call highlights both opportunities and risks, with effective capital deployment countered by financial difficulties and market volatility. Overall, the stock is rated as moderate risk with potential income opportunities.
Positive Factors
Investment Strategy
PSBD's unique strategy of investing across the liquid and private markets can generate attractive risk-adjusted returns.
Liquidity
Management estimates $232.4M of liquidity at quarter-end, including cash and capacity under credit facilities.
Negative Factors
Dividend Policy
Lower base rates plus spread pressure drove PSBD to reduce the quarterly core dividend by 14%.
Financial Performance
Palmer Square Capital BDC lost $0.26/share equating to an ROE of -6.4% as it generated net losses of $21.3M, primarily due to marks driven by spread widening.
Investment Quality
PSBD had three investments on non-accrual with a cost of $10.1M and fair value of $3.2M.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPalmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD) is a business development company that operates in the financial services sector. It focuses on providing capital to middle-market companies primarily through debt investments. PSBD aims to offer flexible and tailored financing solutions to growth-oriented businesses, helping them achieve their strategic objectives.
How the Company Makes MoneyPalmer Square Capital BDC Inc. generates revenue primarily through interest income from its debt investments in middle-market companies. The company invests in various forms of debt, including senior secured loans, subordinated debt, and mezzanine financing, which provide a steady stream of interest payments. Additionally, PSBD may earn income from equity investments in portfolio companies if they appreciate in value or generate dividends. The company's earnings are influenced by its ability to identify attractive investment opportunities, effectively manage credit risk, and maintain strong relationships with its portfolio companies.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. faces challenges with inconsistent revenue and profitability, likely due to market volatility or operational inefficiencies. Despite a stable balance sheet with no debt, which reduces financial risk, negative cash flows are a critical concern, indicating potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. has experienced significant volatility in its revenue and profitability. The company showed a negative revenue growth rate from the previous year, indicating a challenging environment. The gross profit margin is stable, but the net profit margin is inconsistent, highlighting volatility in core operations. EBIT and EBITDA margins have been highly negative, which could indicate operational inefficiencies or restructuring costs.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate equity ratio, suggesting a balanced capital structure with a manageable level of leverage. The company has eliminated its total debt, significantly reducing financial risk. However, fluctuations in stockholders' equity and total assets over the years highlight potential instability. The return on equity is positive, reflecting some efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
37
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates a challenging situation with a significant decline in operating cash flow. Free cash flow has also turned negative, raising concerns about the company's ability to generate cash internally. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The company has relied on financing to support cash flow, which might not be sustainable in the long term.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
125.74M109.18M-72.84M20.92M24.45M
Gross Profit
52.31M101.82M-81.99M13.52M19.49M
EBIT
-211.34M-7.03M-74.48M19.06M31.47M
EBITDA
0.00152.32M0.0027.68M31.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
47.67M107.84M-74.48M19.06M26.73M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.77M65.88M1.65M1.09M682.58K
Total Assets
1.43B1.12B1.06B1.22B667.49M
Total Debt
0.00641.83M641.31M649.91M393.15M
Net Debt
-2.77M-2.12M639.66M648.82M392.47M
Total Liabilities
893.20M659.86M694.01M764.49M414.35M
Stockholders Equity
537.84M461.96M363.44M452.80M253.14M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-200.60M57.12M25.11M-438.01M16.19M
Operating Cash Flow
106.73M57.12M25.11M-438.01M16.19M
Investing Cash Flow
-305.05M-26.65M35.40M-519.55M-586.26M
Financing Cash Flow
201.25M-30.00M-24.56M438.42M570.75M

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.83
Price Trends
50DMA
13.33
Positive
100DMA
14.20
Negative
200DMA
14.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
61.17
Neutral
STOCH
73.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.19, above the 50-day MA of 13.33, and below the 200-day MA of 14.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PSBD.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$538.56M8.2213.17%6.57%-8.68%-3.76%
SASAR
68
Neutral
$359.54M12.117.36%12.11%-24.05%28.25%
SCSCM
64
Neutral
$379.07M9.3310.83%12.05%17.67%128.48%
58
Neutral
$502.64M15.47-1.88%15.09%2.30%-63.97%
57
Neutral
$4.84B20.17-16.90%5.21%13.60%-28.06%
51
Neutral
$447.72M27.503.05%11.71%1.13%-86.09%
48
Neutral
$429.00M44.421.95%14.31%-66.59%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSBD
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.
13.95
-0.71
-4.84%
GAIN
Gladstone Investment
14.68
2.35
19.06%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
6.59
0.15
2.33%
SAR
Saratoga Investment
24.48
4.26
21.07%
SCM
Stellus Capital
13.34
0.95
7.67%
CION
CION Investment Corp
9.58
-1.30
-11.95%

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments and challenges. While the company showcased strong capital deployment, transparency in reporting, and a low level of nonaccruals, it also faced a decrease in NAV and net investment income, along with unrealized losses due to market volatility. The sentiment is balanced between the highlights and lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Capital Deployment and Investment Income
In the first quarter, the team deployed $104.3 million of capital and generated total and net investment income of $31.2 million and $12.9 million, respectively, with a net investment income of $0.40 per share.
Monthly NAV Disclosure
Palmer Square Capital BDC remains the only public BDC to disclose monthly NAV, providing real-time visibility into the health and value of the portfolio, with the March NAV per share at $15.85.
Dividend Payout
The company paid a $0.39 per share first quarter total dividend, which includes a $0.03 supplemental distribution, and announced a second quarter base dividend of $0.36 per share.
Low Nonaccruals and PIK Income
The portfolio has among the industry's lowest levels of PIK income and nonaccruals, with nonaccruals representing just 0.24% of fair value.
Portfolio Diversity and Quality
The portfolio is 96% senior secured with a fair value of approximately $1.33 billion across 39 industries, and the 10 largest investments account for just 10.19% of the overall portfolio.
Negative Updates
Decrease in NAV and Investment Income
NAV per share decreased from $16.50 at the end of the fourth quarter of 2024 to $15.85 at the end of the first quarter of 2025. Total investment income was $31.2 million, down 10.3% from $34.8 million in the prior year period.
Net Realized and Unrealized Losses
During the first quarter of 2025, the company had total net realized and unrealized losses of $21.3 million compared to total net realized and unrealized gains of $6.6 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Market Volatility Impact
Recent market volatility, particularly in March, led to unrealized mark-to-market losses, with the portfolio experiencing tightened spreads and declines in syndicated loan prices.
Company Guidance
During Palmer Square Capital BDC's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on several key financial metrics and strategic approaches. The team deployed $104.3 million of capital, reporting total and net investment income of $31.2 million and $12.9 million, respectively, with net investment income per share at $0.40. The company declared a $0.39 per share first-quarter dividend, including a $0.03 supplemental distribution. Palmer Square's NAV per share was announced at $15.85 for March, maintaining a commitment to transparency by being the only public BDC to disclose monthly NAV. The firm emphasized its ability to adapt to volatile market conditions, highlighted by a robust credit management strategy and a diverse portfolio with a fair value of $1.33 billion. Despite recent market turbulence, Palmer Square reiterated its strategic focus on capturing value across corporate and structured credit, supported by a substantial $34 billion in assets under management and a shareholder-friendly fee structure. The company also reported a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.50x and maintained strong liquidity with $229.5 million in available liquidity. The management team noted ongoing market challenges but expressed confidence in navigating future uncertainties through its nimble portfolio and strategic investment approach.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Palmer Square Capital BDC Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Negative
May 7, 2025

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a total investment income of $31.2 million, a decrease from the previous year’s $34.8 million. The company declared a second quarter base dividend of $0.36 per share and plans to announce a supplemental dividend in June. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Palmer Square Capital BDC remains focused on shareholder alignment and transparency, with a portfolio primarily consisting of senior secured debt investments. The company’s net asset value per share decreased to $15.85 from $16.50 at the end of 2024, and it experienced total net realized and unrealized losses of $21.3 million compared to gains in the same period last year.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Palmer Square Capital BDC Reports Q4 2024 Results
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, reporting a total investment income of $34.9 million for the quarter, an increase from the previous year. Despite a decrease in net investment income per share, the company declared a first quarter 2025 base dividend of $0.36 per share, with a supplemental dividend expected in March. The company maintained a disciplined investment strategy amidst market uncertainties, focusing on liquid and private credit investments, which it believes will continue to deliver attractive returns while maintaining credit quality.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.