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Neogen Corp (NEOG)
NASDAQ:NEOG

Neogen (NEOG) AI Stock Analysis

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Neogen

(NASDAQ:NEOG)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲( 7.26% Upside)
Neogen's overall stock score reflects significant financial struggles, with major concerns around profitability and declining revenues. While technical indicators and valuation metrics are weak, recent corporate events and some positive earnings call highlights provide a moderate offset. The company’s low leverage and strategic actions offer some hope, but immediate financial challenges dominate.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
The planned use of $100 million from the proceeds to pay down the outstanding revolver is expected to lower Neogen's leverage ratio, alleviating concerns about the company’s debt covenants.
Leadership and Execution
The new facility is on schedule, showcasing proper leadership for executing Petrifilm manufacturing.
Valuation
The stock is trading at its lowest valuation levels in company history, presenting potential upside.
Negative Factors
Genomics Business
The genomic services business is expected to decrease to a $50 million annual run-rate, down from roughly $90 million.
Investor Sentiment
Lowered guidance will likely worsen already poor investor sentiment.
Tariff Impact
There is a slight decrease in gross margin estimates due to an evolving tariff landscape, particularly with China.

Neogen (NEOG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Neogen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNeogen Corporation (NEOG) is a diversified global company specializing in the development and marketing of products dedicated to food and animal safety. The company operates within two primary business segments: Food Safety and Animal Safety. Neogen's core products include diagnostic test kits, disinfectants, veterinary instruments, and genomic solutions aimed at enhancing food safety, quality, and animal health.
How the Company Makes MoneyNeogen makes money through the sale of a wide range of products and services across its two main segments. In the Food Safety segment, revenue is generated from the sale of diagnostic test kits that detect harmful substances in food, such as allergens, pathogens, and toxins. The Animal Safety segment contributes to revenue through sales of veterinary instruments, pharmaceuticals, and genomic solutions that support animal health and productivity. Additionally, Neogen benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with industry leaders, which enhance its product offerings and market reach. The company also invests in research and development to continually innovate and expand its product lines, contributing to sustained revenue growth.

Neogen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Neogen faces significant financial challenges, with substantial net losses and declining revenues. Despite a solid equity base and positive operating cash flow, negative profitability metrics and declining free cash flow are concerning. The balance sheet remains stable with low leverage, providing some buffer.
Income Statement
34
Negative
The income statement reveals a concerning performance for Neogen, with a negative net income of $485 million in TTM, indicating significant losses. The gross profit margin is approximately 48.8% for TTM, which is strong, but the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational challenges. The revenue has decreased by 2% over the past year, highlighting a lack of growth.
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Neogen's balance sheet shows a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 0.34, reflecting relatively low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss. The equity ratio stands at around 65.9%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The cash flow analysis indicates that Neogen has positive operating cash flow, which is a positive sign. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in free cash availability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting cash generation despite net losses.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
906.00M924.22M822.45M527.16M468.46M418.17M
Gross Profit
442.00M463.90M405.95M243.01M215.06M196.28M
EBIT
-432.24M58.66M37.52M34.92M53.13M49.13M
EBITDA
-345.62M182.60M122.30M107.89M98.30M85.92M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-485.26M-9.42M-22.87M48.31M60.88M59.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
327.92M170.94M245.57M381.05M381.09M343.67M
Total Assets
773.50M4.55B4.55B992.93M920.19M797.18M
Total Debt
1.47M906.24M900.00M986.69M1.29M1.05M
Net Debt
-326.46M735.63M736.76M605.64M-379.80M-342.62M
Total Liabilities
61.63M1.40B1.42B105.56M79.81M72.00M
Stockholders Equity
711.87M3.14B3.13B887.37M840.38M725.18M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
11.23M-76.16M-24.73M43.61M54.38M61.83M
Operating Cash Flow
68.36M35.26M41.03M68.04M81.09M85.88M
Investing Cash Flow
-100.79M-29.31M201.04M-97.23M-105.56M-88.78M
Financing Cash Flow
528.00K1.92M-118.08M6.81M33.54M29.41M

Neogen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.06
Price Trends
50DMA
6.67
Negative
100DMA
8.80
Negative
200DMA
11.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
46.96
Neutral
STOCH
31.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEOG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.94, below the 50-day MA of 6.67, and below the 200-day MA of 11.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NEOG.

Neogen Risk Analysis

Neogen disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Neogen reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Neogen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SHSHC
66
Neutral
$3.45B140.425.88%2.78%-54.72%
65
Neutral
$464.84M30.59-1.20%38.43%86.19%
59
Neutral
$618.31M-3.61%1.71%76.00%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.03-44.09%2.83%16.75%-0.06%
NENEO
52
Neutral
$953.63M-8.57%10.10%8.79%
51
Neutral
$360.41M-13.84%12.15%61.33%
49
Neutral
$1.32B-16.71%-2.50%-30760.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NEOG
Neogen
6.06
-7.46
-55.18%
MYGN
Myriad Genetics
3.91
-19.41
-83.23%
NEO
NeoGenomics
7.41
-6.72
-47.56%
FLGT
Fulgent Genetics
20.31
-1.31
-6.06%
CSTL
Castle Biosciences
16.10
-8.43
-34.37%
SHC
Sotera Health
12.16
1.12
10.14%

Neogen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -13.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging environment with significant macroeconomic uncertainties impacting revenue. While Neogen has made progress in integration efforts and leadership enhancements, the lowered full-year outlook and challenges in key segments like Genomics and Animal Safety contribute to an overall cautious sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Core Revenue Growth in Food Safety
Excluding challenges in sample collection, core revenue in the Food Safety segment grew by 7% in the quarter.
Progress in Integration Efforts
Sample collection product lines have now been relocated and are producing at prior levels, marking significant progress in the integration of a transformational acquisition.
Refinancing of Term Loan
Completed the refinancing of Term Loan A, extending the maturity by close to three years and realizing 60 basis points of interest rate savings.
Leadership Enhancements
New leadership appointments in key roles, including R&D, North America Commercial Organization, and Chief Human Resources Officer to drive growth.
Potential Portfolio Actions
One portfolio action is in later stages and expected to be accretive to margins, with proceeds prioritized for debt repayment.
Negative Updates
Revenue Below Expectations
Third-quarter results were below expectations due to increased macroeconomic uncertainty, resulting in lower customer commitment to inventory.
Decline in Genomics Revenue
Genomics business saw core revenue decline by mid-single digits year-over-year, contributing to headwinds in overall performance.
Impact of Tariffs and Economic Uncertainty
The administration's deregulation, tariffs, and global trade policies have contributed to a challenging environment, with retaliatory tariffs by China affecting revenue.
Animal Safety Segment Challenges
Core business in the Animal Safety segment was down just over 1% year-over-year, with notable softness in China and uncertainties in global trade.
Lowered Full-Year Outlook
Revenue outlook for the year updated to approximately $895 million, with adjusted EBITDA to approximately $195 million due to ongoing uncertainties and macroeconomic conditions.
Company Guidance
During the Neogen Corporation's third-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and insights into its performance and outlook. The company reported third-quarter revenues of $221 million, with core revenue growth of 20 basis points. The Food Safety segment generated $153 million, with core growth of 1.5%, while the Animal Safety segment posted $68 million, reflecting a core revenue decline of 2.6%. The genomics business saw a mid-single-digit decline. The company faced headwinds from foreign currency fluctuations, impacting revenue by 310 basis points. Gross margin decreased by 120 basis points to 49.9%, primarily due to lower revenues, while adjusted EBITDA was $49 million, maintaining a 22% margin. Neogen also updated its full-year revenue guidance to approximately $895 million and adjusted EBITDA to $195 million, attributing the revisions to macroeconomic uncertainties, including tariffs and consumer confidence issues, and a softer market backdrop. Despite these challenges, the company highlighted its focus on integration progress, cost alignment, and maintaining balance sheet flexibility.

Neogen Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Neogen Highlights Tariff Impact Reduction at Conference
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Neogen Corporation shared updates at the Bank of America Healthcare Conference, highlighting a reduction in the estimated annualized negative impact of tariffs from $29 million to $5 million due to mitigating actions. The company outlined a targeted improvement plan focusing on accelerating food safety growth, completing the integration of 3M’s food safety division, and enhancing governance and compliance to align with shareholder expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (NEOG) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neogen stock, see the NEOG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Neogen Announces Board Member Retirement and Succession
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Neogen Corporation announced the retirement of James P. Tobin from its Board of Directors, effective May 31, 2025, after nine years of service. Tobin, who chaired the Governance and Sustainability Committee, will be succeeded by Andrea Wainer, effective June 1, 2025. Wainer, with over 25 years of experience in diagnostics and healthcare, is expected to bring valuable expertise to Neogen’s mission of leading in food safety solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (NEOG) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neogen stock, see the NEOG Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Neogen Hosts Investors, Discusses Petrifilm Transition
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Neogen Corporation hosted investors in Lansing, Michigan, to discuss its Petrifilm product line. Neogen is transitioning the production of Petrifilm to a new state-of-the-art facility in Lansing, ensuring a stable supply and maintaining product performance. The transition involves using modern equipment and expertise from previous manufacturing setups in Poland. The company is also addressing potential tariff impacts and restructuring its Genomics business, with expected financial benefits from divestitures and refinancing.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Neogen CEO John Adent to Step Down
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Neogen Corporation announced that CEO and President John Adent will be stepping down, continuing in his role until a successor is appointed. The board has formed a special committee to oversee the search for a new CEO while supporting ongoing strategic initiatives. Adent will transition to a Special Advisor role until October 31, 2025, maintaining his salary and benefits. The transition aims to ensure a smooth leadership change as Neogen continues to focus on growth and profitability in the food safety market.

Private Placements and Financing
Neogen Announces Successful Loan Refinancing
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

On April 4, 2025, Neogen Corporation announced the successful refinancing of its term loan and revolving credit facility, extending the maturity to April 2030. The refinancing, which involved a $450 million term loan and a $250 million revolving credit facility, results in a lower interest rate and provides the company with additional balance sheet flexibility, reflecting its favorable credit profile and strong banking partnerships.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.