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Northeast Community Bancorp (NECB)
NASDAQ:NECB
US Market

Northeast Community Bancorp (NECB) AI Stock Analysis

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NECB

Northeast Community Bancorp

(NASDAQ:NECB)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$21.50
â–¼(-6.03% Downside)
Northeast Community Bancorp's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, despite technical indicators suggesting a bearish trend. The stock's low P/E ratio and high dividend yield make it appealing for value investors, while recent revenue and cash flow challenges warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Profitability
A strong net profit margin indicates efficient operations and the ability to generate significant profit from revenue, supporting long-term financial stability.
Balance Sheet Health
A manageable debt-to-equity ratio suggests financial stability and the ability to leverage growth opportunities without excessive risk.
Capital Position
A strong capital position ensures resilience against economic fluctuations and supports sustained growth and investment in community banking services.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Decline
Declining revenue growth can signal challenges in market expansion or product competitiveness, potentially impacting future profitability.
Cash Flow Management
A decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential challenges in cash management, which could affect the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Operational Cash Generation
Low operational cash generation may indicate inefficiencies in converting income to cash, potentially limiting financial flexibility and investment capacity.

Northeast Community Bancorp (NECB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Northeast Community Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNortheast Community Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for NorthEast Community Bank that provides financial services for individuals and businesses. It accepts various deposit instruments, including checking accounts, money market accounts, regular savings accounts, and non-interest bearing demand accounts. The company also offers construction, commercial and industrial, multifamily and mixed-use real estate, non-residential real estate loans, and consumer loans. In addition, it invests in various types of liquid assets, including U.S. Treasury obligations, municipal securities, deposits at the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York, and certificates of deposit of federally insured institutions, as well as securities of various federal agencies, and of state and municipal governments. Further, the company offers investment advisory and financial planning services; and life insurance products and fixed-rate annuities. It operates seven full-service branches in New York and three full-service branches in Massachusetts; and loan production offices in White Plains and New City, New York, as well as Danvers, Massachusetts. The company was founded in 1934 and is based in White Plains, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyNortheast Community Bancorp generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from interest earned on loans, which include commercial, residential, and consumer loans. The bank charges interest on these loans, creating a significant portion of its earnings. Additionally, NECB earns income from fees associated with various banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. The bank may also earn revenue from investment securities and other financial products. Partnerships with local businesses for mutual referrals and community engagement initiatives further enhance its customer base and revenue potential. Economic conditions, interest rates, and regulatory factors also play crucial roles in influencing its profitability.

Northeast Community Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Northeast Community Bancorp demonstrates strong operational efficiency with high EBIT and EBITDA margins, although profitability has declined as seen in the reduced net profit margin and ROE. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, while cash flow generation shows positive growth. The company faces challenges in revenue growth, which could impact future profitability.
Income Statement
Northeast Community Bancorp shows a strong gross profit margin of 63.4% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 14.4% TTM from 29.4% in the previous year, reflecting reduced profitability. Revenue growth is negative at -1.3% TTM, suggesting challenges in revenue generation. Despite these issues, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 39.0% and 39.8% TTM, respectively, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 7.1% TTM from 14.8% in the previous year, reflecting a decline in profitability. The equity ratio stands at 17.1% TTM, suggesting a stable capital structure with adequate equity backing.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow growth is positive at 8.5% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.03 TTM, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 97.2% TTM, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue157.02M159.84M133.70M73.59M50.75M51.55M
Gross Profit100.34M101.88M97.44M65.02M42.04M40.76M
EBITDA62.34M66.96M65.96M35.67M16.69M16.68M
Net Income43.82M47.07M46.28M24.84M11.90M12.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06B2.01B1.76B1.42B1.23B968.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.44M78.36M68.77M95.41M152.37M69.29M
Total Debt174.97M4.72M69.20M23.90M31.10M31.57M
Total Liabilities1.71B1.69B1.48B1.16B973.69M814.40M
Stockholders Equity344.04M318.34M279.32M261.99M251.38M153.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.14M48.17M42.21M24.23M15.11M14.40M
Operating Cash Flow50.85M48.69M42.84M27.54M21.56M15.66M
Investing Cash Flow-122.24M-233.99M-357.84M-256.59M-178.86M-72.12M
Financing Cash Flow37.94M194.89M288.37M172.09M240.38M-2.03M

Northeast Community Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.88
Price Trends
50DMA
21.39
Positive
100DMA
21.07
Positive
200DMA
21.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Positive
RSI
57.85
Neutral
STOCH
41.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NECB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.91, above the 50-day MA of 21.39, and above the 200-day MA of 21.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NECB.

Northeast Community Bancorp Risk Analysis

Northeast Community Bancorp disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Northeast Community Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Northeast Community Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$313.74M9.069.38%3.57%10.93%42.68%
75
Outperform
$283.77M8.4410.88%3.38%2.16%24.43%
72
Outperform
$298.55M9.4211.86%5.24%10.46%18.70%
71
Outperform
$320.94M6.9713.63%4.11%-0.72%-7.24%
69
Neutral
$281.10M13.857.97%1.48%2.59%18.83%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$310.08M12.776.95%3.59%-0.09%83.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NECB
Northeast Community Bancorp
22.88
0.22
0.99%
FNLC
First Bancorp
26.61
2.63
10.95%
WSBF
Waterstone Financial
16.80
4.98
42.08%
CZFS
Citizens Financial Services
59.04
2.76
4.90%
PCB
PCB Bancorp
22.00
4.13
23.11%
JMSB
John Marshall Bancorp
19.83
1.81
10.04%

Northeast Community Bancorp Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Northeast Community Bancorp Launches Third Stock Repurchase Program
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 8, 2025, NorthEast Community Bancorp announced the authorization of a third stock repurchase program to acquire up to 1,400,435 shares, representing 10% of its common stock. This follows the second repurchase program announced on May 30, 2023, under which the company repurchased 1,091,174 shares at an average cost of $15.78 per share. The new program allows for stock repurchases through open market or privately negotiated transactions and may be adjusted based on various factors, including market conditions and regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (NECB) stock is a Buy with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northeast Community Bancorp stock, see the NECB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025