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John Marshall Bancorp Inc (JMSB)
NASDAQ:JMSB
US Market
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John Marshall Bancorp (JMSB) AI Stock Analysis

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JMSB

John Marshall Bancorp

(NASDAQ:JMSB)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(6.99% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (profitability recovery, reasonable leverage, and positive cash generation) tempered by historical volatility and weak cash-flow-to-debt coverage in the dataset. Technicals are mixed with near-term softness despite longer-term trend support, while valuation looks reasonable but the dividend yield is modest; corporate events add a small positive offset.
Positive Factors
Profitability recovery & margins
A meaningful recovery in TTM revenue and healthy EBIT/net margins indicate the franchise has restored core earning power. Sustained margins support internal capital generation, fund loan growth and reserves, and improve ROE durability across interest-rate cycles and business fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Earnings and cash-flow volatility
Material multi-year volatility reduces predictability of core earnings and makes capital planning harder. Fluctuating profits complicate provisioning and dividend policy, weaken long-term investor confidence, and raise the chance that short-term shocks erode capital buffers.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability recovery & margins
A meaningful recovery in TTM revenue and healthy EBIT/net margins indicate the franchise has restored core earning power. Sustained margins support internal capital generation, fund loan growth and reserves, and improve ROE durability across interest-rate cycles and business fluctuations.
Read all positive factors

John Marshall Bancorp (JMSB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

John Marshall Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for John Marshall Bank that provides banking products and financial services. The company accepts checking, demand, NOW, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates o...
How the Company Makes Money
JMSB makes money primarily through the operations of John Marshall Bank. The core earnings engine is net interest income: the bank collects interest on interest-earning assets (primarily loans such as commercial real estate and other business-rela...

John Marshall Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid but not pristine: TTM revenue and profitability recovered strongly with healthy margins, leverage appears reasonable with improving debt-to-equity and building equity, and operating/FCF are positive with FCF roughly matching net income (good earnings quality). Offsetting these positives are multi-year earnings/cash-flow volatility and very weak cash-flow-to-debt coverage figures in the dataset (including 0.0 in TTM), which reduce confidence in durability and debt-paydown capacity.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue116.60M115.33M112.40M85.83M85.76M75.84M
Gross Profit63.03M60.95M53.69M38.80M71.94M64.52M
EBITDA29.54M28.90M23.56M9.70M41.98M34.49M
Net Income22.52M21.23M17.12M5.16M31.80M25.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35B2.33B2.23B2.24B2.35B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.13M135.71M143.27M269.00M419.18M345.10M
Total Debt85.44M90.51M86.16M39.15M54.98M47.91M
Total Liabilities2.08B2.07B1.99B2.01B2.14B1.94B
Stockholders Equity268.15M265.64M246.61M229.91M212.80M208.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.93M22.03M16.78M17.39M33.00M32.00M
Operating Cash Flow24.14M22.58M17.26M18.00M33.16M32.35M
Investing Cash Flow-98.94M-88.68M30.96M144.84M-270.87M-303.00M
Financing Cash Flow55.94M73.60M-24.76M-125.43M193.52M237.99M

John Marshall Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.03
Price Trends
50DMA
20.62
Positive
100DMA
20.27
Positive
200DMA
19.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
52.36
Neutral
STOCH
52.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JMSB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.06, above the 50-day MA of 20.62, and above the 200-day MA of 19.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JMSB.

John Marshall Bancorp Risk Analysis

John Marshall Bancorp disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. John Marshall Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

John Marshall Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$312.47M12.0810.66%4.33%-5.10%
75
Outperform
$305.59M7.0711.89%3.38%3.42%38.40%
73
Outperform
$331.43M7.8812.62%4.11%-4.89%-7.62%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$297.20M11.748.60%1.48%3.75%27.19%
62
Neutral
$327.67M8.3710.53%-36.45%-164.62%
54
Neutral
$189.83M18.878.24%70.23%20.19%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JMSB
John Marshall Bancorp
21.06
4.19
24.86%
NECB
Northeast Community Bancorp
23.99
2.09
9.55%
CZFS
Citizens Financial Services
63.60
7.01
12.38%
AVBH
Avidbank Holdings
29.91
9.41
45.90%
COSO
CoastalSouth Bancshares
25.68
5.24
25.65%
FINW
FinWise
13.85
-0.85
-5.78%

John Marshall Bancorp Corporate Events

Dividends
John Marshall Bancorp Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Payment
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
On April 28, 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.09 per share on its common stock, with an aggregate payout of about $1.3 million based on current shares outstanding. The dividend will be paid on June 3, 2026...
Business Operations and Strategy
Raymond James Initiates Research Coverage on John Marshall Bancorp
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
On April 15, 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. announced that Raymond James Associates has initiated equity research coverage on its NASDAQ-listed stock, following the release of Raymond James’ initial report on April 14, 2026. Raymond Jame...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026