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FinWise (FINW)
NASDAQ:FINW
US Market

FinWise (FINW) AI Stock Analysis

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FINW

FinWise

(NASDAQ:FINW)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(19.25% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong revenue growth, healthy profitability, and very low leverage) and supportive technical momentum. This is tempered by weak cash flow generation and credit/expense risks highlighted on the earnings call, while valuation appears reasonable but not notably cheap and there is no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Loan originations growth
Sustained high-originations expand interest-earning assets and support long-term NII growth. A persistent origination engine underpins scalable revenue, strengthens partner relationships, and provides a recurring funding base that can drive durable balance-sheet and fee income expansion.
Very low leverage / capital cushion
Extremely low leverage and a solid equity ratio provide a durable buffer against credit stress and allow the bank to absorb losses without immediate capital raises. This financial flexibility supports conservative growth, regulatory resilience, and ongoing investment in BaaS capabilities.
BaaS & credit-enhanced product traction
Growing credit-enhanced balances plus product launches and payments traction diversify noninterest income and boost NIM. A scalable BaaS model with expanding partner pipeline supports recurring fees, cross-sell opportunities, and structural revenue diversification over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak operating and free cash flow
Earnings are not converting into positive operating cash or free cash flow, reducing internal funding for growth and capital needs. Persistent negative cash flow can force reliance on external funding, constrain investments, and heighten sensitivity to liquidity shocks over the medium term.
Elevated credit losses and NPL migration risk
Rising charge-offs and potential migration of watchlist loans to NPL can materially increase provisions, erode capital, and reduce NII if loan yields are impaired. Credit volatility creates ongoing underwriting and reserve pressure that can depress returns for multiple quarters.
Rising noninterest expense and efficiency pressure
Higher operating costs and an elevated efficiency ratio signal structural expense scaling issues. If costs remain elevated relative to revenue growth, margin compression can persist, requiring sustained revenue acceleration or expense control to restore long-term profitability.

FinWise (FINW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FinWise Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFinWise Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for FinWise Bank that provides various banking products and services to individual and corporate customers. It offers various deposit products, including interest and noninterest bearing demand, NOW, money market, and checking and savings accounts, as well as time deposits and certificates of deposits. The company also provides small business administration, residential and commercial real estate, consumer, and commercial non-real estate loans. In addition, it offers debit cards, remote deposit capture, online banking, mobile banking, and direct deposit services; and cash management and treasury services. The company operates one full-service banking location in Sandy, Utah; and a loan production office in Rockville Centre, New York. FinWise Bancorp was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Murray, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyFinWise generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns interest income from its consumer and small business loans, where borrowers repay principal amounts along with interest over time. Additionally, it charges fees associated with loan origination and servicing, which contribute significantly to its earnings. The company also generates revenue through transaction fees from payment processing services and potential partnerships with other financial institutions that offer complementary services. Strategic partnerships with fintech platforms and financial service providers further enhance its revenue opportunities, allowing for cross-selling and increased customer acquisition.

FinWise Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong business momentum—notably 22% YoY originations growth, full-year net income up 26%, expanding credit-enhanced balances that boosted NII and NIM, and healthy product/partnership pipeline—while also disclosing near-term headwinds including elevated Q4 net charge-offs, higher provisions, rising noninterest expenses and a higher efficiency ratio. Management characterized the servicing-standard-related charge-offs as a prudent, largely one-time adjustment and highlighted guidance for continued organic credit-enhanced growth and stable core originations; however, risks remain from lumpiness in NPL migrations, SBA processing seasonality, and a measured ramp for payments/BIN revenue. Overall, positives around scale, margin expansion, and product traction meaningfully outweigh the near-term credit and expense noise, with a balanced but favorable forward outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Net Income Growth
Net income grew 26% for fiscal 2025, demonstrating material year-over-year profitability improvement for the company.
Strong Loan Originations
Q4 loan originations totaled $1.6 billion, above guidance of $1.4 billion; full-year 2025 originations were $6.1 billion, up 22% year-over-year.
Credit-Enhanced Product Outperformance
Credit-enhanced balances ended Q4 at $118 million, exceeding the $115 million outlook and above initial guidance of $50–$100 million; CFO noted ~ $76.5 million growth in held-for-investment credit-enhanced balances driving higher interest income.
Net Interest Income and Margin Expansion
Net interest income rose to $24.6 million in Q4 from $18.6 million in the prior quarter; net interest margin increased to 11.42% from 9.01% sequentially, largely due to credit-enhanced portfolio growth.
Growth in Noninterest Income and Assets
Noninterest income increased to $22.3 million (from $18.0 million prior quarter); total end-of-period assets grew to $977 million, and average interest-bearing deposits rose to $567.4 million from $523.9 million.
Lower-Risk Portfolio Mix
SBA guaranteed balances and strategic program loans held for sale comprised 34% of the total portfolio at quarter-end, supporting a lower-risk composition.
Product and Partnership Momentum
Pipeline remains healthy; DreamFi strategic program launched to serve underbanked communities; MoneyRails (payments/BIN) is gaining traction as an adjunct product (used for salary deduction repayments, RTP and FedNow) and supports cross-sell opportunities.
Forward Guidance and Growth Targets
Management provided constructive forward outlook: Q1 run rate ~ $1.4 billion originations, FY2026 baseline annualized from that with 5% growth; credit-enhanced balances expected to grow organically $8–$10 million per month; quarterly non-credit-enhanced NCO modeling guidance ~ $3.5 million.
Negative Updates
Elevated Net Charge-Offs in Q4
Quarterly net charge-offs rose to $6.7 million in Q4 versus $3.1 million in the prior quarter; $1.5 million was from credit-enhanced programs (reimbursed) and $5.2 million from the remainder of the portfolio, with $1.2 million attributable to updated servicing standards.
Higher Provision for Loan Losses
Provision for loan losses increased to $17.7 million in Q4 from $12.8 million in the prior quarter, driven by growth in the credit-enhanced loan portfolio and higher net charge-offs; the servicing standard update reduced Q4 net income by $1.1 million after tax (≈ $0.08 per share).
Rising Noninterest Expense and Efficiency Ratio
Noninterest expense increased to $23.7 million from $17.4 million sequentially—largely due to higher credit enhancement guarantee and servicing expenses—and the reported efficiency ratio rose to 50.5% from 47.6%.
Modest Q4 Net Income Despite Positives
Q4 net income was $3.9 million and diluted EPS was $0.27, indicating that quarter-level profitability remained modest after elevated provisions and expense increases.
SBA Origination Disruption and Seasonality
Quarterly SBA originations decreased due to SBA processing delays and a government shutdown; student-lending seasonality led to expected fluctuations and a seasonal deceleration from the largest student-lending partner in Q4.
Nonperforming Loans and Potential Migration
Total NPL balance was $43.7 million at quarter-end (55% government-guaranteed, $19.5 million unguaranteed); management noted up to ~$10 million of watchlist loans could migrate to NPL in Q1 2026, reflecting continued migration risk and lumpiness.
Slower-than-Expected BIN/Payments Ramp
Bin sponsorship and payments business (MoneyRails) has ramped more measuredly than originally anticipated; management expects timing to be later than initially hoped and noted longer sales cycles for standalone payment volumes.
Deposit Volatility from Partner Collateral
Period-end surge in deposits was driven by strategic partners depositing collateral for anticipated student-loan origination seasonality—these balances may decline when partner originations normalize, creating short-term deposit variability.
Company Guidance
Management's guidance emphasized originations and credit‑enhanced growth: originations through the first four weeks of January are tracking at a quarterly run rate of about $1.4 billion (used as the baseline for quarterly 2026 originations), and annualizing that baseline with a 5% growth assumption implies roughly $5.9 billion for full‑year 2026; organic credit‑enhanced balances are expected to grow about $8–$10 million per month on average (with variability), the firm will continue selling guaranteed portions of SBA loans as market conditions permit, and quarterly net charge‑offs for the non‑credit‑enhanced portfolio are modeled at about $3.5 million; management warned up to ~$10 million of watch‑list loans could migrate to NPL in Q1 2026. They also reiterated that net interest margin should rise when including credit‑enhanced income (Q4 NIM was 11.42% vs. 9.01% prior quarter) but would likely decline excluding that income, they aim to steadily lower the core efficiency ratio over time (Q4 reported 50.5%), and suggested using a 26% tax rate in models.

FinWise Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong top-line momentum and profitability (TTM revenue growth 15.7%, net margin 14.1%) supported by a very low leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.025). However, negative operating/free cash flow and deteriorating cash metrics are a meaningful risk, alongside generally declining margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
FinWise has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 15.7% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is healthy at 53.8%, although it has decreased from previous years. The net profit margin of 14.1% is solid, reflecting good profitability. However, margins have generally declined over the years, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining cost efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.025, indicating strong financial stability and low leverage risk. Return on equity is reasonable at 8.3%, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio of 20.9% suggests a solid capital structure, providing a cushion against potential financial distress.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
FinWise's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating that net income is not translating into positive cash flow. The negative free cash flow growth rate of -29.7% highlights significant cash flow management challenges.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.96M97.46M86.59M90.22M81.09M
Gross Profit92.09M70.45M64.98M75.27M71.78M
EBITDA21.76M22.28M27.62M38.14M43.31M
Net Income16.09M12.74M17.46M25.11M31.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets977.13M745.98M586.22M400.78M380.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.84M106.06M116.97M100.57M85.75M
Total Debt8.82M5.37M6.49M7.33M1.05M
Total Liabilities783.94M572.26M431.17M260.32M264.77M
Stockholders Equity193.19M173.72M155.06M140.46M115.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-19.89M4.81M53.94M-11.57M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-14.99M12.27M61.15M-9.23M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-132.38M-152.87M-35.83M24.26M
Financing Cash Flow0.00139.56M157.01M-10.51M23.35M

FinWise Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.61
Price Trends
50DMA
17.95
Negative
100DMA
18.46
Negative
200DMA
17.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
45.77
Neutral
STOCH
47.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FINW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.97, below the 50-day MA of 17.95, and above the 200-day MA of 17.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FINW.

FinWise Risk Analysis

FinWise disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FinWise reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FinWise Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$308.30M10.1511.48%2.91%8.17%21.95%
77
Outperform
$344.99M10.0713.09%3.61%15.66%
72
Outperform
$239.40M15.588.00%26.54%2.73%
72
Outperform
$302.04M19.435.69%2.40%-6.25%-38.79%
68
Neutral
$367.12M20.458.27%2.13%7.29%33.75%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
58
Neutral
$352.66M5.682.25%3.06%9.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FINW
FinWise
17.62
-2.13
-10.78%
FRST
Primis Financial
14.31
3.58
33.36%
TSBK
Timberland Bancorp
39.12
8.93
29.58%
CHMG
Chemung Financial
63.00
13.54
27.38%
ISBA
Isabella Bank
50.05
25.51
103.95%
LNKB
LINKBANCORP
9.21
2.17
30.82%

FinWise Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FinWise Bancorp Reports Strong Q4 and 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, FinWise Bancorp reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting continued growth and profitability driven by strong loan production and expanding margins. Loan originations reached $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter and $6.1 billion for 2025, a 22% year-over-year increase, while full-year net income rose 26% to $16.1 million, with diluted earnings per share at $1.13. Fourth-quarter net interest income climbed to $24.6 million and net income to $3.9 million, with an efficiency ratio of 50.5%, reflecting improved productivity versus the prior year despite a modest sequential decline in earnings. Nonperforming loans increased to $43.7 million as of December 31, 2025, with a significant portion guaranteed by the Small Business Administration, and balances in the company’s credit-enhanced product grew to $118 million, ahead of management expectations. Management emphasized that these results demonstrate the payoff from multi-year investments, a scalable business model, and sustained momentum in revenue growth and cost control, reinforcing FinWise’s capital strength and its capacity to continue building tangible book value per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (FINW) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FinWise stock, see the FINW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026