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Noble Corporation (NE)
NYSE:NE
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Noble Corporation (NE) AI Stock Analysis

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NE

Noble Corporation

(NYSE:NE)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(30.43% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/28/26
NE’s score is driven primarily by solid financial performance led by strong cash generation, and a constructive earnings outlook supported by reaffirmed guidance and a large backlog. Technicals also show strong upward momentum. Valuation is mixed: a strong dividend yield helps, but the P/E is not especially cheap.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow enhance financial resilience in a cyclical drilling sector. Strong cash generation funds reactivations, dividends, opportunistic debt redemptions and capex without immediate equity issuance, supporting durable capital allocation and downside protection.
Negative Factors
Revenue dip & margin compression
A recent decline in TTM revenue and step-down in margins signal the company remains exposed to cyclical demand and pricing variability. If structural dayrate or utilization improvements stall, margin recovery and returns on deployed capital may be constrained, pressuring long-term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow enhance financial resilience in a cyclical drilling sector. Strong cash generation funds reactivations, dividends, opportunistic debt redemptions and capex without immediate equity issuance, supporting durable capital allocation and downside protection.
Read all positive factors

Noble Corporation (NE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Noble Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Noble Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore drilling contractor for the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company provides contract drilling services to the oil and gas industry through its fleet of mobile offshore...
How the Company Makes Money
Noble primarily makes money by contracting its drilling rigs and crews to customers (typically oil and gas producers, including national oil companies and integrated/independent E&P companies) under offshore drilling contracts. Key revenue stream...

Noble Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 26, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes solid financial and operational results in Q1—strong adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, a $7.5 billion backlog, and multiple contract awards—supported by industry-wide tightening (95% UDW utilization) and growing tender pipelines (+33% YoY). Management is executing reactivations, maintaining dividends, and taking actionable balance sheet steps (jackup sale proceeds, debt redemption, BOP buyouts that yield ~$25M annual EBITDA benefit). Lowlights are limited and largely discrete: a ~$15M hit from an early termination of the Mick O’Brien, a near-term dayrate reduction on a blended Courage extension, modest CapEx increase ($25M), supply-chain/timing pressures, and some concentration in Petrobras-driven contracting. Overall, positives materially outweigh the negatives, with management optimistic about 2027 and market-driven dayrate upside.
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Contract drilling services revenue of $742 million, adjusted EBITDA of $277 million, adjusted EBITDA margin of 35%, cash flow from operations of $273 million, and free cash flow of $169 million.
Negative Updates
Operational Disruption from Geopolitical Events
Iran-related conflict caused evacuation and limited operational disruption; one jackup (Mick O’Brien) was impacted and sold in January but continued under a bareboat agreement while being wound down.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Contract drilling services revenue of $742 million, adjusted EBITDA of $277 million, adjusted EBITDA margin of 35%, cash flow from operations of $273 million, and free cash flow of $169 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Noble maintained 2026 guidance for total revenue of $2.8–$3.0 billion (including roughly $150 million of reimbursable/other revenue) and adjusted EBITDA of $940 million–$1.02 billion, noting the low end of the EBITDA range is fully contracted by current backlog; capital expenditures guidance was increased by $25 million to reflect the Noble Deliverer reactivation. Management highlighted a $7.5 billion backlog (about $1.8 billion scheduled to convert in the remainder of 2026 and $2.4 billion in 2027), Q1 contract drilling revenue of $742 million, Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $277 million (35% margin), Q1 cash flow from operations of $273 million, Q1 CapEx of $104 million and Q1 free cash flow of $169 million; discrete items noted include an estimated ~$15 million negative impact from the Mick O’Brien early termination, a $73 million total BOP lease buyout ( $36.5 million completed, ~ $18 million expected in Q2 and Q4), and the opportunistic redemption of $55 million of 8.5% senior secured notes at 103, while continuing a $0.50 quarterly dividend (Q1 paid and Q2 declared).

Noble Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid overall: strong free cash flow and operating cash flow generation (FCF ~$444M TTM; OCF exceeds net income), and a balance sheet still reasonably supported by equity. Offsets include a slight TTM revenue decline versus prior year, margin/return compression from 2023–2024 levels, and higher leverage than 2022–2023.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
77
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.20B3.29B3.06B2.59B1.41B847.81M
Gross Profit716.14M648.16M836.55M743.75M305.44M-7.33M
EBITDA1.11B1.10B1.12B916.68M370.15M34.63M
Net Income229.14M216.72M448.35M481.90M168.95M352.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.48B7.53B7.96B5.51B5.23B2.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments662.65M471.40M247.30M360.79M476.21M194.14M
Total Debt1.92B1.98B2.08B611.87M672.77M233.09M
Total Liabilities2.89B2.98B3.31B1.59B1.63B572.82M
Stockholders Equity4.59B4.55B4.65B3.92B3.61B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow444.07M432.15M80.16M164.76M106.67M-162.87M
Operating Cash Flow953.91M951.68M655.48M574.34M280.99M6.17M
Investing Cash Flow-149.38M-350.07M-959.02M-366.51M375.77M193.45M
Financing Cash Flow-446.67M-373.93M188.08M-325.79M-367.77M-367.94M

Noble Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price46.77
Price Trends
50DMA
46.23
Positive
100DMA
38.60
Positive
200DMA
33.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Positive
RSI
45.76
Neutral
STOCH
21.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 46.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.94, above the 50-day MA of 46.23, and above the 200-day MA of 33.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NE.

Noble Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.03B16.145.01%8.85%-2.99%-52.89%
76
Outperform
$7.20B3.6238.72%0.27%171.02%
66
Neutral
$4.69B-41.73-3.67%5.42%-9.41%88.02%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$7.70B-1.36-32.62%12.51%-435.32%
58
Neutral
$4.10B-7.33-11.45%3.24%48.21%-205.00%
56
Neutral
$3.10B-54.06-2.68%3.75%-119.04%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NE
Noble Corporation
50.30
29.88
146.32%
HP
Helmerich & Payne
41.05
22.97
127.06%
PTEN
Patterson-UTI
12.35
7.01
131.19%
RIG
Transocean
6.96
4.83
226.76%
VAL
Valaris
103.98
71.67
221.82%
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
49.86
29.32
142.75%

Noble Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Noble Corporation Posts Strong Q1 Results, Boosts Backlog
Positive
Apr 27, 2026
Noble Corporation reported solid first-quarter 2026 results on April 26, 2026, with net income rising to $121 million and adjusted EBITDA increasing to $277 million on higher fleet utilization and lower contract drilling costs. Total revenue reach...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Noble Corporation Announces Planned Board Director Resignation
Neutral
Mar 16, 2026
On March 12, 2026, Noble Corporation plc announced that board member Kristin Holth has resigned from her position as director, effective at the commencement of the company’s 2026 Annual General Meeting of shareholders, and will not stand for...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Noble Corporation Reports Strong 2025 Results and Outlook
Positive
Feb 11, 2026
Noble Corporation plc reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 11, 2026, highlighting approximately $1.3 billion in new contract awards since October that lifted total backlog to $7.5 billion, and the completed sale of fi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2026