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Nordic American Tanker Shipping (NAT)
NYSE:NAT

Nordic American Tanker (NAT) AI Stock Analysis

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NAT

Nordic American Tanker

(NYSE:NAT)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(2.56% Upside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weakening financial performance (margin compression, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals are a positive offset, with price trading above major moving averages and supportive momentum indicators. Valuation remains a key risk due to the extremely elevated P/E despite a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Modern fleet & safety standards
Ownership of modern, double-hulled tankers reduces regulatory and environmental compliance risk and increases eligibility for charters by major oil companies. Over 2–6 months this supports stable charter demand, lower incident-related costs, and a competitive advantage versus older tonnage.
Long, consistent dividend history
A 113-quarter dividend track record signals a durable shareholder-return policy and governance discipline. That commitment can attract income-focused capital and provides a structural signal of management priorities, supporting investor confidence through cyclical freight cycles.
Active fleet renewal and capital recycling
Selling debt-free older vessels while contracting newbuilds indicates proactive fleet renewal and capacity management. This capital recycling can improve fuel and operating efficiency long-term, align capacity with market demand, and support sustained charter competitiveness over multi-year horizons.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Sharp margin erosion materially reduces the company’s profitability cushion and ability to absorb freight volatility. Persistently lower gross and net margins constrain retained earnings and reinvestment capacity, increasing reliance on external financing and heightening long-term earnings vulnerability.
Elevated leverage
A near-1.0 debt/equity ratio raises interest and refinancing exposure, limiting financial flexibility. In a cyclical shipping sector, higher leverage amplifies downside risk during rate troughs, constrains strategic options like opportunistic acquisitions, and increases the probability of balance-sheet strain.
Negative free cash flow
Negative free cash flow undermines the company’s ability to fund dividends, newbuild capex, or buybacks from operations. Over months, persistent cash-generation shortfalls force reliance on asset sales or external capital, raising dilution or refinancing risk and stressing liquidity during market downturns.

Nordic American Tanker (NAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nordic American Tanker Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, acquires and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and internationally. It operates a fleet of 24 Suezmax crude oil tankers. The company was formerly known as Nordic American Tanker Shipping Limited and changed its name to Nordic American Tankers Limited in June 2011. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyNordic American Tanker generates revenue primarily through the chartering of its tanker fleet to oil and gas companies for the transportation of crude oil. The company operates on a time charter and spot market basis, allowing it to capitalize on fluctuating freight rates. Key revenue streams include long-term charter agreements, which provide steady income, and spot market charters, which can yield higher returns during periods of increased demand for shipping capacity. Additionally, NAT may benefit from strategic partnerships with major oil companies, enabling them to secure long-term contracts and optimize fleet utilization. The company's focus on maintaining a modern fleet and adhering to safety standards also helps attract clients, thereby supporting its revenue growth.

Nordic American Tanker Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nordic American Tanker is facing a challenging financial environment with declining revenues and increased leverage. Despite positive operational margins, significant cash flow challenges and increased debt levels pose risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
Nordic American Tanker has shown a significant decline in revenue growth, with a TTM revenue decrease of 24.62%. Margins have also contracted, with the TTM gross profit margin at 38.94% and net profit margin at 7.58%, both lower than the previous year. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive EBIT margin of 25.58% and EBITDA margin of 33.44%, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.91 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage compared to the previous year. However, the equity ratio remains stable, and the return on equity is positive at 2.67%. The balance sheet reflects a cautious approach to managing debt, but the increased leverage could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
Nordic American Tanker faces challenges in cash flow management, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth by 197.57% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, suggesting that cash flow from operations is not fully covering net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue280.95M349.74M391.69M339.34M195.76M354.62M
Gross Profit46.64M106.14M150.78M54.97M-68.53M98.81M
EBITDA92.83M133.52M180.73M92.60M-24.69M149.25M
Net Income1.91M46.64M98.71M15.10M-119.42M50.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets926.96M817.59M879.20M880.74M851.15M974.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.58M39.18M31.08M59.58M34.74M57.85M
Total Debt433.05M269.70M301.60M306.04M320.96M356.71M
Total Liabilities465.84M308.77M340.89M340.75M352.93M375.22M
Stockholders Equity461.12M508.81M538.30M539.98M498.22M599.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-111.92M125.54M65.78M-71.28M-62.19M92.87M
Operating Cash Flow23.86M128.16M139.44M24.13M-44.46M110.94M
Investing Cash Flow-89.03M-2.62M-73.67M-14.34M-3.46M-17.48M
Financing Cash Flow83.22M-115.05M-95.67M9.01M30.51M-93.08M

Nordic American Tanker Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.90
Price Trends
50DMA
3.53
Positive
100DMA
3.31
Positive
200DMA
2.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
72.47
Negative
STOCH
86.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NAT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.47, above the 50-day MA of 3.53, and above the 200-day MA of 2.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.47 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NAT.

Nordic American Tanker Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.36B15.976.50%-12.47%-34.41%
72
Outperform
$530.06M14.195.58%4.16%-13.74%-59.37%
70
Outperform
$482.61M15.005.28%2.80%-26.81%-78.30%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$825.83M434.440.39%10.65%-16.03%-97.01%
59
Neutral
$849.73M-0.78%4.04%-24.58%-110.22%
58
Neutral
$1.21B-479.31-0.15%12.24%-11.10%-101.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NAT
Nordic American Tanker
3.90
1.23
46.07%
GNK
Genco Shipping
19.65
5.67
40.56%
SB
Safe Bulkers
5.18
1.80
53.25%
SFL
SFL Corporation
8.34
-1.47
-14.98%
ASC
Ardmore Shipping
11.88
-1.34
-10.14%
ECO
Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
38.32
15.13
65.25%

Nordic American Tanker Corporate Events

Nordic American Tankers Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Announces New Fleet Expansion
Nov 28, 2025

On November 28, 2025, Nordic American Tankers Limited announced its third-quarter earnings and dividend report. The company declared a dividend of $0.13 per share, marking its 113th consecutive quarterly cash dividend, payable on December 22, 2025. Despite a net loss of $2.8 million for the quarter, NAT reported an adjusted EBITDA of $21.4 million and maintained a strong cash position above $70 million. The company has entered a preliminary agreement with a South Korean shipyard to construct two new Suezmax tankers, expected to be delivered in 2028. The announcement highlights the company’s strategic focus on fleet expansion and maintaining high standards for safety and environmental responsibility, which positions NAT favorably in the tanker market amid ongoing strong demand for oil transportation.

The most recent analyst rating on (NAT) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nordic American Tanker stock, see the NAT Stock Forecast page.

Nordic American Tankers Announces AGM Results and Strong Market Outlook
Nov 24, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Nordic American Tankers Limited held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where all proposed resolutions were approved. The meeting saw the election of Herbjorn Hansson, Alexander Hansson, Jenny Chu, and Jim Kelly as Directors of the Board, and the appointment of KPMG as the company’s independent auditors. The company reported a strong market position and positive future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (NAT) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nordic American Tanker stock, see the NAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026