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Mitsubishi Ufj Financial (MUFG)
NYSE:MUFG

Mitsubishi UFJ (MUFG) AI Stock Analysis

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MUFG

Mitsubishi UFJ

(NYSE:MUFG)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$21.00
â–²(32.83% Upside)
Mitsubishi UFJ's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical indicators show moderate bullish momentum, high leverage and cash flow challenges are areas to watch. The stock is fairly valued with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified global business mix
MUFG’s wide product set across retail, corporate lending, securities, cards and asset management creates multiple durable revenue streams. This diversification reduces dependence on any single cycle or geography, supports cross-selling, and sustains fee and interest income over multi-quarter horizons.
Record profits and upgraded guidance
Three consecutive years of record first-half profits and an upward revision to full-year profit targets indicate structural improvement in core earnings power. Higher earnings plus announced buybacks/dividends point to stronger cash generation and disciplined capital allocation over the medium term.
Healthy operating margins and ROE
Robust gross and net margins alongside a near-9% ROE show efficient cost management and effective use of equity capital. These profitability metrics are durable indicators of competitive operating economics and capacity to generate shareholder returns over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
High leverage on balance sheet
A high debt-to-equity ratio increases sensitivity to interest-rate moves and economic stress, limiting strategic flexibility. In prolonged volatility or credit tightening, elevated leverage can pressure capital ratios and constrain lending or buyback programs over a multi-month horizon.
Negative free cash flow due to capex
Negative free cash flow driven by heavy capital expenditures reduces liquidity available for discretionary uses. Even with strong reported profits, sustained negative FCF can force trade-offs between investment, dividends and balance-sheet repair over the next several quarters.
Rising overseas credit costs and FX exposure
Higher credit costs abroad and material FX swings (yen impacts) create earnings volatility and raise expected loss levels in growth markets. These structural exposures can depress returns and require higher capital buffers, weighing on multi-quarter profitability resilience.

Mitsubishi UFJ (MUFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mitsubishi UFJ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MUFG Bank, Ltd. that provides various financial services in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Digital Service Business Group; Retail & Commercial Banking Business Group; Japanese Corporate & Investment Banking Business Group; Asset Management & Investor Services Business Group; Global Corporate & Investment Banking Business Group; Global Commercial Banking Business Group; and Global Markets Business Group segments. The company offers commercial banking, trust banking, and securities products and services to retail, and small and medium-sized enterprise customers. It also provides M&As and real estate-related services; digital-based financial services; credit cards; and trust banking and securities products and services, as well as engages in the lending, fund settlement, and foreign exchange businesses. In addition, it offers corporate, investment, and transaction banking services for large corporate and financial institutions; asset management and administration services for corporations and pension funds; loans, deposits, fund transfers, and investments services for retail, small and medium-sized enterprise, as well as corporate customers; fixed income instruments, currencies, equities, and other investment products; originates and distributes of financial products; and provides treasury services. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMUFG generates revenue primarily through its diverse financial services portfolio. Key revenue streams include interest income from loans and advances made to businesses and consumers, fees and commissions from investment banking activities, asset management, and advisory services. The bank also earns income from trading and investment activities, including proprietary trading and capital markets transactions. Significant partnerships and global presence allow MUFG to tap into various markets, increasing its customer base and transaction volumes. Additionally, MUFG benefits from synergies within its various business lines, which enhances operational efficiency and profitability.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsubishi UFJ demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid, though high leverage is a concern. Cash flow management needs improvement due to high capital expenditures affecting free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Mitsubishi UFJ has shown a strong revenue growth trend over the past years, with a notable increase of 14.12% in the latest annual report. The gross profit and net profit margins are robust at 56.53% and 14.99% respectively, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting stable operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 4.97%, although high leverage is evident with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.36. The return on equity of 9.08% is competitive within the industry, showing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the high debt levels could pose financial risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow management presents mixed results. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.44, showing strong cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow has been negative, indicating heavy capital expenditures impacting cash reserves. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -2.42, suggesting potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.25T12.43T10.89T8.43T5.25T5.33T
Gross Profit7.06T7.03T5.38T5.38T4.37T4.04T
EBITDA2.58T2.97T2.41T1.90T1.85T1.40T
Net Income1.90T1.86T1.49T1.12T1.13T777.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments94.09T10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Total Debt77.54T89.40T61.23T62.41T46.73T18.09T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity20.88T20.52T19.59T17.23T17.02T16.80T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-450.29B-10.31T13.03T9.46T34.51T
Operating Cash Flow0.006.42B-9.84T13.43T9.84T34.90T
Investing Cash Flow0.00-186.95B3.99T-10.68T-2.20T-10.14T
Financing Cash Flow0.00-861.12B8.31B-977.14B-1.08T-436.07B

Mitsubishi UFJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.81
Price Trends
50DMA
16.70
Positive
100DMA
16.02
Positive
200DMA
14.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Positive
RSI
67.67
Neutral
STOCH
82.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MUFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.93, below the 50-day MA of 16.70, and above the 200-day MA of 14.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MUFG.

Mitsubishi UFJ Risk Analysis

Mitsubishi UFJ disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mitsubishi UFJ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mitsubishi UFJ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$306.48B18.788.66%4.14%-9.54%-22.46%
77
Outperform
$210.12B16.619.01%2.48%-1.09%8.53%
76
Outperform
$137.98B14.199.84%2.54%-0.66%23.90%
72
Outperform
$185.33B11.9113.08%1.85%-15.34%16.71%
71
Outperform
$288.04B14.7511.85%1.80%-4.37%26.41%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$210.11B16.836.72%1.94%-0.62%105.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
18.55
6.08
48.76%
C
Citigroup
117.43
37.19
46.34%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
89.41
39.20
78.06%
SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui
21.62
6.55
43.46%
WFC
Wells Fargo
93.14
13.45
16.88%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
12.43
6.78
120.16%

Mitsubishi UFJ Corporate Events

Mitsubishi UFJ Files Form 6-K Backing $3 Billion Senior Notes Issuance in U.S. Market
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, incorporating legal opinions that support a new multi-tranche U.S. dollar senior notes issuance under its existing Form F-3 shelf registration. The filing includes Japanese and U.S. counsel opinions confirming that $350 million in senior callable floating rate notes due 2032, $1.15 billion in 4.505% senior callable fixed-to-fixed reset rate notes due 2032, and $1.5 billion in 5.057% senior callable fixed-to-fixed reset rate notes due 2037 will constitute valid and binding obligations of the company once issued and paid for, underscoring MUFG’s ongoing use of U.S. capital markets to fund its operations and maintain financial flexibility for global stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUFG) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi UFJ stock, see the MUFG Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Files September 2025 Half-Year Financial Review and Capital Update
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, MUFG filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, providing a financial review and unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the six months ended September 30, 2025, along with updated information on its capitalization and indebtedness and related Inline XBRL materials. The filing outlines MUFG’s operating and risk environment for the period, noting a moderately expanding global economy alongside persistent inflation concerns, rate cuts and cautious policy easing by major central banks, Japan’s mixed growth and inflation dynamics, and rising corporate bankruptcies, factors that frame the group’s performance, capital adequacy, liquidity and market risk profile for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUFG) stock is a Buy with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi UFJ stock, see the MUFG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025