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MTN Group Ltd (MTNOY)
OTHER OTC:MTNOY

MTN Group (MTNOY) AI Stock Analysis

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MTNOY

MTN Group

(OTC:MTNOY)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(35.43% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/19/26
The score is driven primarily by improved 2025 financial performance—profitability restored and cash flow strengthened—offset by prior-year earnings volatility and ongoing leverage risk. Technicals are mixed with neutral momentum and minor near-term weakness, while valuation is reasonable but not strongly supported by yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified digital & mobile-money revenue
MTN's mix of core connectivity, growing data demand, and mobile-money/fintech services creates multiple durable revenue engines. Mobile-money and digital services can raise ARPU, reduce reliance on pure voice/data cycles, and support higher-margin, platform-based growth across markets over years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Telecom is capital-intensive; MTN's debt near equity limits financial flexibility. Elevated leverage raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity and constrains ability to absorb shocks or pursue large M&A. If cash flow softens, debt servicing could force capex cuts or asset sales.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified digital & mobile-money revenue
MTN's mix of core connectivity, growing data demand, and mobile-money/fintech services creates multiple durable revenue engines. Mobile-money and digital services can raise ARPU, reduce reliance on pure voice/data cycles, and support higher-margin, platform-based growth across markets over years.
Read all positive factors

MTN Group (MTNOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MTN Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MTN Group Limited is a leading telecommunications company headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, operating in over 20 countries across Africa and the Middle East. The company provides a wide range of services including mobile voice, data ser...
How the Company Makes Money
MTN primarily makes money by selling telecommunications connectivity and related digital services across its markets. Key revenue streams include: (1) Mobile service revenue from prepaid and postpaid customers using voice calling, SMS, and mobile ...

MTN Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials improved sharply in 2025 with a return to solid profitability and materially stronger operating and free cash flow, but the 2024 loss and multi-year margin/earnings volatility reduce stability. Leverage remains meaningful (debt around equity), limiting flexibility despite improved equity and ROE recovery.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue209.96B188.00B221.30B207.00B181.65B
Gross Profit99.96B131.32B142.81B150.81B133.79B
EBITDA108.73B49.99B72.99B89.82B76.59B
Net Income18.77B-9.59B4.09B19.04B13.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets498.22B430.96B434.71B391.88B365.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.44B99.32B90.33B87.67B83.17B
Total Debt146.58B155.74B148.45B137.84B128.82B
Total Liabilities328.66B292.51B284.53B269.54B250.82B
Stockholders Equity144.85B123.44B139.21B116.60B111.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.74B15.14B17.26B22.31B32.06B
Operating Cash Flow72.19B46.82B64.06B68.12B67.29B
Investing Cash Flow-38.94B-33.34B-52.26B-43.44B-30.95B
Financing Cash Flow-21.97B-16.20B-9.48B-17.42B-26.18B

MTN Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.23
Price Trends
50DMA
11.79
Positive
100DMA
10.89
Positive
200DMA
9.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
57.04
Neutral
STOCH
59.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTNOY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.53, below the 50-day MA of 11.79, and below the 200-day MA of 9.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTNOY.

MTN Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$18.05B16.1715.56%6.14%-5.21%-7.45%
70
Outperform
$26.63B17.329.03%5.03%-3.16%4.70%
62
Neutral
$21.22B16.4810.60%1.26%6.96%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$36.36B7.35-8.37%3.77%19.67%-278.51%
57
Neutral
$12.70B27.393.37%5.02%-8.16%-52.52%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTNOY
MTN Group
12.15
7.05
138.18%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
18.93
5.32
39.14%
SKM
Sk Telecom
34.40
13.06
61.20%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
16.57
8.18
97.59%
VOD
Vodafone
15.77
7.56
92.15%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026