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MTN Group Ltd (ADR) (MTNOY)
:MTNOY
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MTN Group (MTNOY) AI Stock Analysis

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MTN Group

(OTC:MTNOY)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-3.03%Downside)
MTN Group shows strong technical momentum, which is a positive driver. However, financial performance is challenged by revenue volatility and a net loss. Valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio are mitigated by a stable dividend yield. Overall, the stock score reflects a balance between bullish technical indicators and financial risks.

MTN Group (MTNOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MTN Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMTN Group Limited (MTNOY) is a leading telecommunications company operating in emerging markets, primarily in Africa and the Middle East. Founded in 1994, the company offers a variety of services, including mobile voice and data services, digital and fintech solutions, and enterprise services. MTN Group is committed to providing innovative and reliable communication solutions to enhance connectivity and bridge the digital divide in the regions it serves.
How the Company Makes MoneyMTN Group makes money primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile voice and data services. The company generates revenue by providing prepaid and postpaid mobile plans to consumers, as well as offering data packages to meet the growing demand for internet connectivity. Additionally, MTN Group has expanded its revenue streams by developing digital and fintech services, such as mobile financial services, which include mobile money transfers, payments, and banking solutions. These services cater to the unbanked and underbanked populations in its operating regions. MTN also earns revenue through its enterprise services, providing businesses with connectivity, security, and cloud solutions. Strategic partnerships with technology and financial institutions further enhance its service offerings and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

MTN Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MTN Group faces revenue volatility and a net loss in 2024, impacting financial health. Rising leverage increases financial risk, but strong cash flow generation suggests resilience. Focus needed on stabilizing revenue and managing debt.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
MTN Group's revenue has shown volatility with a significant drop in 2024 compared to previous years. The gross profit margin remains strong at around 69.8% in 2024. However, the company posted a net loss in 2024, resulting in a negative net profit margin, which is a concern. Historical EBIT and EBITDA margins were strong, but the lack of EBIT in 2024 is notable.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating rising leverage which may pose risks. The equity ratio is relatively stable, showing consistent shareholder equity relative to total assets. However, declining stockholders' equity from 2023 to 2024 hints at potential stability issues.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
MTN Group's operating cash flow is robust, maintaining strong performance over the years. Despite a decrease in free cash flow in 2024, the company continues to generate positive free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high in 2024, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities even during a loss-making year.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue188.00B221.30B207.00B181.65B179.36B
Gross Profit131.32B142.81B150.81B133.79B129.07B
EBITDA49.99B72.99B89.82B76.59B80.10B
Net Income-9.59B4.09B19.04B13.75B17.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets430.96B434.71B391.88B365.80B348.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments99.32B40.91B83.01B83.17B68.19B
Total Debt155.74B148.45B140.33B128.82B145.73B
Total Liabilities292.51B284.53B269.54B250.82B242.72B
Stockholders Equity123.44B139.21B116.60B111.05B102.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.14B17.26B22.31B32.06B28.33B
Operating Cash Flow46.82B64.06B68.12B67.29B58.51B
Investing Cash Flow-33.34B-52.26B-43.44B-30.95B-33.51B
Financing Cash Flow-16.20B-9.48B-17.42B-26.18B-13.71B

MTN Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.25
Price Trends
50DMA
7.32
Positive
100DMA
6.73
Positive
200DMA
5.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
66.79
Neutral
STOCH
89.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTNOY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.84, above the 50-day MA of 7.32, and above the 200-day MA of 5.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTNOY.

MTN Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TLTLK
79
Outperform
$16.80B11.4716.28%5.92%-5.14%-7.47%
VIVIV
77
Outperform
$18.01B17.757.95%4.47%-5.69%-0.05%
KTKT
71
Outperform
$10.10B22.623.81%2.93%-4.85%-43.88%
SKSKM
69
Neutral
$8.54B9.5011.08%6.01%-4.13%4.96%
64
Neutral
$14.44B-7.31%2.97%-14.31%-323.32%
62
Neutral
$41.14B-1.94-12.05%4.72%2.10%-69.66%
VOVOD
57
Neutral
$26.76B9.21-7.17%8.79%0.89%-494.16%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTNOY
MTN Group
8.25
4.27
107.29%
KT
KT
20.79
7.08
51.64%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
16.94
-1.38
-7.53%
SKM
Sk Telecom
22.15
0.43
1.98%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
11.05
2.69
32.18%
VOD
Vodafone
10.97
2.33
26.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025