tiprankstipranks
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS)
NYSE:MSGS
Want to see MSGS full AI Analyst Report?

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) AI Stock Analysis

361 Followers

Top Page

MSGS

Madison Square Garden Sports

(NYSE:MSGS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$366.00
▲(8.92% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by weak underlying profitability (sharp margin compression and negative operating margins) and a constrained capital structure (negative equity and meaningful leverage). Technicals are moderately supportive (trend intact with neutral momentum), and the earnings call was constructive on near-term operating performance and refinancing, but valuation is a major headwind given the extremely high P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion (TTM ~75% growth) indicates durable demand for MSGS’s core live-event and sponsorship offerings. Strong revenue expansion provides a larger base to absorb costs, supports reinvestment in teams/venues, and underpins future margin recovery if operating leverage is realized.
Negative Factors
Leverage & Negative Equity
A debt-funded capital structure with negative equity materially limits financial flexibility. Elevated leverage increases refinancing and covenant risk, constrains capital allocation (dividends, buybacks, acquisitions), and reduces the firm's ability to absorb operating volatility or invest through downturns without raising costly capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion (TTM ~75% growth) indicates durable demand for MSGS’s core live-event and sponsorship offerings. Strong revenue expansion provides a larger base to absorb costs, supports reinvestment in teams/venues, and underpins future margin recovery if operating leverage is realized.
Read all positive factors

Madison Square Garden Sports Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Madison Square Garden Sports Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. operates as a professional sports company. The company owns and operates a portfolio of assets that consists of the New York Knickerbockers of the National Basketball Association (NBA) and the New York Rangers of...
How the Company Makes Money
MSGS primarily makes money by monetizing the commercial and media value of the sports teams it owns. Key revenue streams include: (1) Media rights: Revenue earned from agreements that allow networks and streaming/distribution partners to broadcast...

Madison Square Garden Sports Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a solid operational and financial quarter with meaningful top-line growth (total revenue +12.7%, event revenues +20%, suites & sponsorship +24%) and a sizable AOI increase (~46%). Management highlighted strong fan engagement (94% season-ticket renewals), record single-game merchandise sales, successful partnership and suite initiatives, and improved financing terms. Key risks include a 4% decline in media rights due to amended local deals, rising team personnel and luxury tax costs, a timing benefit that will reverse in H2, RSN industry uncertainty, and modest cash vs. debt. Overall, positive operational momentum and strategic actions outweigh the identified headwinds.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenues of $403.4M in fiscal Q2 FY2026, up from $357.8M in prior-year quarter, an increase of approximately 12.7% YoY driven by more home games and higher per-game revenues across categories.
Negative Updates
Local Media Rights Reduction
National and local media rights fees were $122.3M, down 4% YoY, primarily due to amended local media rights agreements with MSG Networks that included 18% reductions in annual rights fees (effective Jan 1, 2025) and eliminated escalators.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Total revenues of $403.4M in fiscal Q2 FY2026, up from $357.8M in prior-year quarter, an increase of approximately 12.7% YoY driven by more home games and higher per-game revenues across categories.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated confidence in ongoing momentum and long‑term value creation while providing several concrete metrics: Q2 revenues were $403.4M (vs. $357.8M a year ago) with adjusted operating income of $29.7M (up $9.4M), driven by 39 pre/regular‑season home games (vs. 35), a ~94% combined Knicks/Rangers season‑ticket renewal rate, and per‑game increases across ticketing, suites, sponsorship and food/beverage/merchandise (event‑related revenues $167.2M, +20% YoY; suites & sponsorship $98.5M, +24% YoY; national/local media rights $122.3M, -4% YoY). AOI included $9.9M of noncash arena lease costs (vs. $9.3M), while direct operating expenses rose due to higher team compensation, luxury tax and revenue‑sharing; single‑game merchandise sales were among the highest in each team’s history and per‑cap spend was higher. Balance sheet and liquidity metrics: cash ≈ $81M, debt $291M ( $267M Knicks revolver; $24M NHL advance), Knicks revolver capacity increased $150M to $425M, and recently refinanced facilities extend maturities to Nov 2030 with lower borrowing rates. Management reiterated capital allocation priorities (maintain liquidity, strong balance sheet, be opportunistic on other uses including possible future returns of capital), noted no current minority‑sale activity but would not rule it out, and said changes to compensation tax deductibility will be assessed (effective for the year ended June 30, 2028).

Madison Square Garden Sports Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is strong (TTM up ~75%), and operating/free cash flow remain positive (TTM OCF ~$55M; FCF ~$54M). However, profitability has deteriorated sharply (gross margin ~4% TTM vs ~27% FY2025; operating margins turned negative), and the balance sheet is a major constraint with elevated debt and negative equity (TTM equity about -$295M).
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08B1.04B1.03B887.45M821.35M415.72M
Gross Profit246.83M280.88M407.47M335.06M315.75M128.26M
EBITDA-6.30M7.60M136.42M116.38M90.71M-73.18M
Net Income-22.32M-22.44M58.77M47.79M51.13M-13.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.51B1.58B1.44B1.40B1.40B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.04M153.19M94.91M40.46M91.02M72.04M
Total Debt1.17B1.18B1.11B1.12B993.29M1.12B
Total Liabilities1.80B1.86B1.71B1.74B1.55B1.62B
Stockholders Equity-295.45M-281.44M-266.31M-337.23M-147.09M-204.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow54.59M87.99M90.68M151.29M177.12M-35.79M
Operating Cash Flow56.34M91.61M92.13M152.47M178.06M-35.33M
Investing Cash Flow-5.20M-6.92M-8.90M-17.76M-2.93M-466.00K
Financing Cash Flow-49.13M-26.41M-28.79M-185.27M-156.14M17.16M

Madison Square Garden Sports Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price336.02
Price Trends
50DMA
332.98
Positive
100DMA
313.75
Positive
200DMA
266.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.20
Negative
RSI
72.53
Negative
STOCH
87.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 336.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 345.76, above the 50-day MA of 332.98, and above the 200-day MA of 266.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.53 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSGS.

Madison Square Garden Sports Risk Analysis

Madison Square Garden Sports disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Madison Square Garden Sports reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Madison Square Garden Sports Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$3.29B103.408.89%4.51%-62.44%
65
Neutral
$35.95B43.635.96%1.07%47.04%33.90%
62
Neutral
$4.80B236.105.36%11.47%
61
Neutral
$3.17B13.893.04%12.54%-1.73%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
50
Neutral
$8.82B-97.107.74%1.55%-556.99%
46
Neutral
$3.40B123.67-4.66%11.51%71.05%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSGS
Madison Square Garden Sports
366.33
178.55
95.08%
TKO
TKO Group Holdings
187.64
31.01
19.80%
MANU
Manchester United
22.22
8.29
59.51%
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
131.51
93.68
247.63%
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
69.99
33.25
90.50%
BATRA
Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc Class A
53.92
10.56
24.35%

Madison Square Garden Sports Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Madison Square Garden Sports Names New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
May 4, 2026
On April 28, 2026, Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. announced the appointment of Paul DiCicco as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, effective May 11, 2026 or a later agreed date, succeeding current CFO Victoria Mink...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026