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Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS)
NYSE:MSGS

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) AI Stock Analysis

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MSGS

Madison Square Garden Sports

(NYSE:MSGS)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$209.00
▼(-13.43% Downside)
Madison Square Garden Sports has significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and high financial leverage, which are major concerns. The technical analysis provides mixed signals, with some bullish momentum but overall neutrality. The valuation is particularly weak due to the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield. These factors combined result in a low overall stock score.

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Madison Square Garden Sports Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMadison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) is a premier sports and entertainment company that operates in the professional sports sector. It is primarily known for its ownership and management of several professional sports teams, including the New York Knicks (NBA) and the New York Rangers (NHL). MSGS also operates iconic venues such as Madison Square Garden, which hosts a variety of events, including concerts, shows, and other entertainment activities. The company is committed to providing unforgettable experiences for fans and audiences, leveraging its rich history and strong brand presence in the sports and entertainment industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyMadison Square Garden Sports generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from ticket sales, media rights, sponsorships, and merchandise sales. Ticket sales from home games and events at Madison Square Garden are a significant source of income, bolstered by the high demand for events featuring its sports teams. Media rights deals with networks and streaming platforms provide substantial revenue, enabling MSGS to broadcast games and events to a wider audience. Additionally, the company earns income from corporate sponsorships and partnerships, which allow brands to connect with fans and gain visibility through MSGS's events and properties. Merchandise sales, including team apparel and memorabilia, further contribute to the company's financial performance. Furthermore, MSGS benefits from its strategic partnerships and collaborations within the sports and entertainment ecosystem, which enhance its market presence and revenue opportunities.

Madison Square Garden Sports Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
MSG Sports reported significant achievements, including record revenues and successful playoff runs for the Knicks, which boosted ticketing and fan engagement. However, the company faced challenges with decreased fourth-quarter revenues, reduced media rights fees, and higher operating expenses. Despite these challenges, the strong demand for their teams and strategic partnerships indicate a positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Adjusted Operating Income
MSG Sports reported fiscal 2025 full-year results with revenues exceeding $1 billion and adjusted operating income of $38 million, driven by strong demand for the Knicks and Rangers.
Knicks' Successful Playoff Run
The Knicks reached the Eastern Conference finals, generating the highest per game gate revenues in team history, and leading to increased ticketing revenue and fan engagement.
Strong Season Ticket Renewal Rate
The combined season ticket renewal rate for the Knicks and Rangers is approximately 90% for the 2025-2026 season, indicating strong fan loyalty.
Growth in Marketing Partnerships
MSG Sports welcomed new marketing partners, including Abu Dhabi's Department of Culture and Tourism, Lenovo, and Motorola, and renewed multiyear deals with Verizon, Pepsi, and Benjamin Moore.
Record Suite Revenues
Fiscal 2025 saw record suite revenues, benefiting from renovated event and Lexus-level suites, with further renovations expected to drive incremental revenue in fiscal 2026.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Fourth Quarter Revenues
Fourth-quarter revenues were $204 million, a decrease from $227.3 million in the prior-year period, attributed to one fewer Knicks and Rangers regular-season home game and six fewer playoff home games.
Reduction in Local Media Rights Fees
Amended local media rights agreements resulted in 28% and 18% reductions in annual rights fees for the Knicks and Rangers, respectively.
Decline in Merchandise Revenues
Overall merchandise revenues, including online sales, did not reach last year's levels due to the absence of new jersey launches for the Rangers.
Higher Operating Expenses
Adjusted operating income decreased due to higher direct operating expenses, including team personnel compensation and luxury tax, leading to an adjusted operating loss of $16.8 million in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter and Year-End Earnings Conference Call, the company reported revenues exceeding $1 billion and an adjusted operating income of $38.2 million for the full fiscal year. Key metrics highlighted included a 90% season ticket renewal rate for the Knicks and Rangers, record per game gate revenues for the Knicks during their Eastern Conference finals run, and a decrease in merchandise revenues due to fewer new product launches compared to the previous year. The company's local media rights agreements were amended, resulting in reductions of 28% and 18% in annual rights fees for the Knicks and Rangers, respectively. The call also noted a strong liquidity position with approximately $145 million in cash and a $291 million debt balance, comprising $267 million under the Knicks' senior secured revolving credit facility and $24 million advanced from the NHL. The company expressed confidence in driving long-term value for shareholders, leveraging strong demand and strategic partnerships, including new deals with Lenovo, Motorola, and Abu Dhabi's Department of Culture and Tourism.

Madison Square Garden Sports Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Madison Square Garden Sports Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price241.41
Price Trends
50DMA
222.66
Positive
100DMA
214.95
Positive
200DMA
205.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.65
Negative
RSI
70.64
Negative
STOCH
75.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 241.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 226.25, above the 50-day MA of 222.66, and above the 200-day MA of 205.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.64 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSGS.

Madison Square Garden Sports Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$41.09B84.185.82%1.09%56.31%
66
Neutral
$3.09B-28.86-4.46%24.54%-119.75%
64
Neutral
$2.47B73.570.68%-80.73%
58
Neutral
$2.51B-1,640.23-0.19%6.62%97.35%
47
Neutral
$2.63B-49.02-23.63%5.69%52.32%
45
Neutral
$5.66B-245.31-1.16%-133.74%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSGS
Madison Square Garden Sports
241.41
15.04
6.64%
TKO
TKO Group Holdings
211.62
71.25
50.76%
MANU
Manchester United
15.28
-2.36
-13.38%
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
86.27
49.31
133.41%
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
51.56
18.51
56.01%
BATRA
Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc Class A
43.63
3.36
8.34%

Madison Square Garden Sports Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Madison Square Garden Sports Announces Leadership Change
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Alexander Shvartsman resigned from his role at Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., effective November 24, 2025, to join Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. as Senior Vice President, Controller & Principal Accounting Officer. Subsequently, Christopher Ripp was appointed to fill Shvartsman’s position, bringing experience from his previous roles within the company and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. The employment agreement with Ripp includes a base salary, bonus eligibility, and long-term incentives, with provisions for severance benefits under certain conditions.

Private Placements and Financing
Madison Square Garden Sports Amends Credit Agreements
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.’s subsidiaries, New York Knicks, LLC and New York Rangers, LLC, entered into amended credit agreements with JPMorgan Chase Bank. The Knicks secured a revolving credit facility of up to $425 million, while the Rangers secured up to $250 million, both maturing on November 6, 2030. These agreements aim to fund working capital and general corporate purposes, with specific interest rates and covenants outlined. The Knicks refinanced $267 million of existing debt, while the Rangers had no outstanding borrowings at the time.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025