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Moncler (MONRY)
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Moncler (MONRY) AI Stock Analysis

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Moncler

(OTC:MONRY)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$67.00
▲(8.94%Upside)
Moncler's strong financial performance is the most significant strength, with excellent profitability and cash flow efficiency. Technical analysis provides mixed signals, with a neutral RSI and potential oversold Stochastic indicator. The valuation is reasonable, although not particularly attractive. The absence of new earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.

Moncler (MONRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Moncler Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMoncler S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and distributes clothing and related accessories for men, women, and children under the Moncler and Stone Island brand names. Its product portfolio includes footwear products; leather goods, such as bags, backpacks, and accessories; and sunglasses, eyeglasses, frames, and men's and women's ski goggles under the Moncler Lunettes brand. The company also offers perfume for men and women. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 237 retail directly operated stores and 64 wholesale shop-in-shops. The company also sells its products through moncler.com, an online store. It serves in Italy, other European countries, Japan, the rest of Asia, and the Americas. The company was formerly known as Moncler S.r.l. and changed its name to Moncler S.p.A. in October 2013. Moncler S.p.A. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.
How the Company Makes MoneyMoncler generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury clothing and accessories. The company's key revenue streams include retail sales through its network of directly operated stores and wholesale sales to third-party retailers. Moncler also capitalizes on strategic partnerships and collaborations with designers and other brands to create exclusive collections that drive consumer interest and demand. The company leverages its strong brand identity and global presence to maintain high pricing power, which contributes significantly to its earnings. Additionally, Moncler's expansion into new markets and investment in digital sales channels further bolster its revenue generation capabilities.

Moncler Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2025
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: -3.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Moncler Group's strong revenue growth, especially in the D2C channel and Asian markets, along with significant sustainability achievements. However, challenges persist in the wholesale channel and the Americas market, particularly for Stone Island.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue
Moncler Group reached almost EUR 3 billion in revenues, more than 5 times the revenues of 10 years ago, with a record EBIT of EUR 894 million and over EUR 1 billion of net cash for the first time in history.
Strong D2C Growth
The D2C channel now represents 84% of total revenues and grew by 25% year-on-year, with a comparable store growth of 19%.
Strong Performance in Asia
Asia recorded a 28% growth in Q4, driven by a strong recovery in the Chinese mainland market.
Stone Island Revenue Growth
Stone Island achieved EUR 411 million in revenues for 2023, with a 7% growth in Q4, led by a strong double-digit growth in the D2C channel.
Sustainability Achievements
Moncler used over 40% recycled nylon in 2023, increased recycling of production scraps to 55%, and opened a new kindergarten for employees' children.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Wholesale Channel
Wholesale revenues declined by 15% in Q4, impacted by the conversion of Nordstrom and Saks to D2C and efforts to upgrade the distribution network.
Americas Market Weakness
The Americas grew only 3% in Q4, with declines in the wholesale channel and challenges in department stores.
Stone Island Challenges in Americas
Stone Island saw a 14% decline in the Americas in Q4 due to challenging trends among department stores and efforts to improve distribution quality.
Company Guidance
During the Moncler Q4 2023 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and strategic insights. The group achieved nearly EUR 3 billion in revenues, which is a significant increase, more than five times the revenues from a decade ago, and recorded a record EBIT of EUR 894 million, reflecting a 30% margin. Additionally, Moncler reported over EUR 1 billion in net cash for the first time in its history. The call emphasized the continued focus on the three dimensions of the Moncler brand: collection, grab, and Genius, and highlighted the introduction of a new brand and communication strategy for Stone Island. Sustainability remains a priority, with collections increasingly incorporating recycled, organic, and certified materials. Looking ahead to 2024, Moncler plans to stay agile in a complex operating environment, with ongoing investments in the organization, brand, and talent.

Moncler Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moncler exhibits strong financial health across all verticals, with consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, stable balance sheet metrics, and robust cash flow generation. The company's financials are well-managed, positioning it favorably within the luxury apparel industry.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Moncler has shown robust revenue growth with a 4.17% increase in 2024 and a solid gross profit margin of 78.04%. The company's net profit margin stands at 20.57%, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT margin of 29.47% and EBITDA margin of 40.22% further highlight operational efficiency. Overall, Moncler showcases impressive growth and profitability in the luxury apparel sector.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, suggesting low leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is 17.83%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 65.14%, indicating a solid asset base financed by equity. Moncler's balance sheet reflects financial stability and prudent capital management.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Moncler's cash flow is robust, with a free cash flow growth rate of 7.56% in 2024, showing strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.55, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.24, indicating efficient cash flow management. The company's cash flow position supports its growth and operational strategies.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.08B3.11B2.98B2.60B2.05B1.44B
Gross Profit
2.39B2.43B2.30B1.99B1.57B1.09B
EBIT
930.95M916.32M893.84M774.55M579.22M368.82M
EBITDA
1.02B1.25B983.34M862.65M674.93M439.17M
Net Income Common Stockholders
647.32M639.60M611.93M606.70M393.53M300.35M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
490.54M1.26B998.80M882.25M932.72M923.50M
Total Assets
2.12B5.50B4.99B4.64B4.27B2.76B
Total Debt
567.64M957.31M848.59M912.78M913.92M687.93M
Net Debt
77.10M-230.67M-150.21M30.52M-18.80M-235.57M
Total Liabilities
1.11B1.92B1.78B1.74B1.77B1.13B
Stockholders Equity
1.01B3.59B3.21B2.90B2.50B1.63B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
922.42M794.31M738.44M492.72M733.49M313.89M
Operating Cash Flow
1.08B989.51M914.87M662.58M865.31M406.45M
Investing Cash Flow
-160.71M-267.43M-174.07M-167.10M-621.41M-90.37M
Financing Cash Flow
-596.98M-535.17M-596.63M-391.25M-345.18M-151.54M

Moncler Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price61.50
Price Trends
50DMA
61.11
Positive
100DMA
62.74
Negative
200DMA
58.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
46.74
Neutral
STOCH
41.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MONRY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 61.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.73, above the 50-day MA of 61.11, and above the 200-day MA of 58.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MONRY.

Moncler Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RLRL
76
Outperform
$16.58B23.6729.49%1.20%6.75%19.71%
ZGZGN
76
Outperform
$3.47B25.708.89%1.51%2.26%-37.52%
70
Outperform
$6.90B19.6318.03%2.98%4.63%187.50%
69
Neutral
$16.67B24.0519.05%1.69%4.24%4.41%
63
Neutral
$3.38B15.7812.34%1.94%-1.69%-4.01%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.322.90%3.87%2.70%-24.57%
VFVFC
53
Neutral
$4.95B-2.39%2.83%-8.42%57.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MONRY
Moncler
61.50
-2.27
-3.56%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
61.78
-18.87
-23.40%
RL
Ralph Lauren
274.80
89.49
48.29%
VFC
VF
12.71
-0.27
-2.08%
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
17.45
-5.43
-23.73%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
8.52
-3.74
-30.51%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.