Moncler (MONRY) AI Stock Analysis

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Moncler

(OTC:MONRY)

Rating:70Outperform

Price Target:

$65.00

▲(19.79% Upside)

Moncler's strong financial performance is the primary driver of its stock score, supported by robust revenue growth and profitability margins. However, the weak technical indicators, suggesting bearish momentum, and a moderate valuation temper the overall score. The absence of recent earnings call data and notable corporate events limits additional context.

Moncler (MONRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$14.81B

Dividend Yield2.7%

Average Volume (3M)597.00

Price to Earnings (P/E)22.1

Beta (1Y)0.95

Revenue Growth1.33%

EPS Growth-5.30%

CountryUS

Employees7,354

SectorConsumer Cyclical

Sector Strength64

IndustryApparel - Manufacturers

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)0.62

Shares Outstanding274,805,970

10 Day Avg. Volume696

30 Day Avg. Volume597

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)0.00

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio0.00

Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.05

Enterprise Value/Revenue5.03

Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.47

Enterprise Value/Ebitda15.18

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$67.00

Price Target Upside23.48% Upside

Rating ConsensusHold

Number of Analyst Covering0

Moncler Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMoncler S.p.A. (MONRY) is a luxury fashion brand known for its high-quality, stylish outerwear and apparel. Founded in 1952 and headquartered in Milan, Italy, Moncler specializes in producing down jackets and other clothing designed for both functionality and fashion appeal. The company operates in the luxury goods sector, catering to a global market with its innovative designs that blend traditional craftsmanship with modern aesthetics.

How the Company Makes MoneyMoncler makes money primarily through the sale of its luxury apparel and accessories, with a significant focus on its iconic down jackets. The company generates revenue by selling its products through a combination of retail stores, online platforms, and wholesale channels. Moncler operates a network of directly operated stores in key cities around the world, enhancing brand visibility and controlling the customer experience. Additionally, the company collaborates with renowned designers for exclusive collections and limited editions, which drive demand and allow for premium pricing. Partnerships with high-end retailers and department stores also contribute to Moncler's revenue streams, expanding its reach and customer base. Moncler's strategic focus on brand positioning, marketing, and product innovation supports its premium pricing strategy and helps maintain its status as a leader in the luxury outerwear market.

Moncler Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025

(Q4-2023)

% Change Since: -7.58%|

Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026

Earnings Call Sentiment Positive

The earnings call highlighted Moncler Group's strong revenue growth, especially in the D2C channel and Asian markets, along with significant sustainability achievements. However, challenges persist in the wholesale channel and the Americas market, particularly for Stone Island.

Q4-2023 Updates

Positive Updates

Record-Breaking Revenue

Moncler Group reached almost EUR 3 billion in revenues, more than 5 times the revenues of 10 years ago, with a record EBIT of EUR 894 million and over EUR 1 billion of net cash for the first time in history.

Strong D2C Growth

The D2C channel now represents 84% of total revenues and grew by 25% year-on-year, with a comparable store growth of 19%.

Strong Performance in Asia

Asia recorded a 28% growth in Q4, driven by a strong recovery in the Chinese mainland market.

Stone Island Revenue Growth

Stone Island achieved EUR 411 million in revenues for 2023, with a 7% growth in Q4, led by a strong double-digit growth in the D2C channel.

Sustainability Achievements

Moncler used over 40% recycled nylon in 2023, increased recycling of production scraps to 55%, and opened a new kindergarten for employees' children.

Negative Updates

Challenges in Wholesale Channel

Wholesale revenues declined by 15% in Q4, impacted by the conversion of Nordstrom and Saks to D2C and efforts to upgrade the distribution network.

Americas Market Weakness

The Americas grew only 3% in Q4, with declines in the wholesale channel and challenges in department stores.

Stone Island Challenges in Americas

Stone Island saw a 14% decline in the Americas in Q4 due to challenging trends among department stores and efforts to improve distribution quality.

Company Guidance

During the Moncler Q4 2023 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and strategic insights. The group achieved nearly EUR 3 billion in revenues, which is a significant increase, more than five times the revenues from a decade ago, and recorded a record EBIT of EUR 894 million, reflecting a 30% margin. Additionally, Moncler reported over EUR 1 billion in net cash for the first time in its history. The call emphasized the continued focus on the three dimensions of the Moncler brand: collection, grab, and Genius, and highlighted the introduction of a new brand and communication strategy for Stone Island. Sustainability remains a priority, with collections increasingly incorporating recycled, organic, and certified materials. Looking ahead to 2024, Moncler plans to stay agile in a complex operating environment, with ongoing investments in the organization, brand, and talent.

Moncler Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Moncler exhibits strong financial health across all verticals, with consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, stable balance sheet metrics, and robust cash flow generation. The company's financials are well-managed, positioning it favorably within the luxury apparel industry.

Income Statement

Very Positive

Moncler has shown robust revenue growth with a 4.17% increase in 2024 and a solid gross profit margin of 78.04%. The company's net profit margin stands at 20.57%, indicating strong profitability. The EBIT margin of 29.47% and EBITDA margin of 40.22% further highlight operational efficiency. Overall, Moncler showcases impressive growth and profitability in the luxury apparel sector.

Balance Sheet

Very Positive

The company's balance sheet is strong, with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, suggesting low leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is 17.83%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 65.14%, indicating a solid asset base financed by equity. Moncler's balance sheet reflects financial stability and prudent capital management.

Cash Flow

Very Positive

Moncler's cash flow is robust, with a free cash flow growth rate of 7.56% in 2024, showing strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.55, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.24, indicating efficient cash flow management. The company's cash flow position supports its growth and operational strategies.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.08B	3.11B	2.98B	2.60B	2.05B	1.44B
Gross Profit	2.39B	2.43B	2.30B	1.99B	1.57B	1.09B
EBITDA	1.02B	1.25B	983.34M	862.65M	674.93M	439.17M
Net Income	647.32M	639.60M	611.93M	606.70M	393.53M	300.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.73B	5.50B	4.99B	4.64B	4.27B	2.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	872.71M	1.26B	998.80M	882.25M	932.72M	923.50M
Total Debt	851.41M	957.31M	848.59M	912.78M	913.92M	687.93M
Total Liabilities	1.64B	1.92B	1.78B	1.74B	1.77B	1.13B
Stockholders Equity	3.09B	3.59B	3.21B	2.90B	2.50B	1.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	922.42M	794.31M	738.44M	492.72M	733.49M	313.89M
Operating Cash Flow	1.08B	989.51M	914.87M	662.58M	865.31M	406.45M
Investing Cash Flow	-160.71M	-267.43M	-174.07M	-167.10M	-621.41M	-90.37M
Financing Cash Flow	-596.98M	-535.17M	-596.63M	-391.25M	-345.18M	-151.54M

Moncler Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Negative

Last Price54.26

Price Trends

50DMA

58.93

Negative

100DMA

60.32

Negative

200DMA

58.68

Negative

Market Momentum

MACD

-1.32

Positive

RSI

36.70

Neutral

STOCH

5.14

Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MONRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 54.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.58, below the 50-day MA of 58.93, and below the 200-day MA of 58.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MONRY.

Moncler Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (57)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
LEVI	78 Outperform	$7.91B	19.70	20.93%	2.75%	2.90%	182.72%
RL	76 Outperform	$18.13B	26.23	29.49%	1.15%	6.75%	19.71%
MONRY	70 Outperform	$14.81B	22.12	18.21%	2.70%	1.33%	-5.30%
ZGN	65 Neutral	$3.16B	23.38	8.89%	1.82%	2.26%	-37.52%
COLM	64 Neutral	$2.86B	13.31	12.93%	2.43%	0.81%	4.86%
Sector *	57 Neutral	HK$24.67B	3.83	-3.22%	5.89%	0.28%	-59.63%
VFC	48 Neutral	$4.71B	55.48	7.83%	3.09%	-7.41%	―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

MONRY

Moncler

54.26

-1.62

-2.90%

COLM

Columbia Sportswear

52.29

-28.25

-35.08%

Ralph Lauren

299.24

139.99

87.91%

VFC

12.05

-5.37

-30.83%

LEVI

Levi Strauss & Co

19.99

2.83

16.49%

ZGN

Ermenegildo Zegna

7.75

-2.62

-25.27%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025