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MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN)
:MLKN

MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN) AI Stock Analysis

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MillerKnoll, Inc.

(NASDAQ:MLKN)

58Neutral
MillerKnoll, Inc. faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, coupled with high leverage, impacting its financial stability. The stock's technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics indicate overvaluation concerns. Despite positive retail growth and international expansion, significant risks from impairment charges and tariff uncertainties remain. Overall, the stock exhibits potential but requires strategic improvements to enhance its financial health.

MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

MillerKnoll, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Americas Contract, International Contract, Global Retail, and Knoll. It offers office furniture products under the Aeron, Mirra, Sayl, Embody, Layout Studio, Imagine Desking System, Ratio, Cosm, Tone, and Generation by Knoll names; and other seating and storage products and ergonomic accessories under the About A Chair, Palissade, Eero Saarinen designs, Barcelona, and the Flo monitor arm names. The company also offers office seating, office furniture systems, other freestanding furniture elements, textiles, leather, felt, home furnishings and related services, casegoods, storage products, as well as residential, education, and healthcare furniture solutions. As of May 28, 2022, the company operated 70 retail studios including 35 operates under the DWR brand, 7 under the HAY brand, 22 Herman Miller stores, 2 Muuto stores, 3 Knoll stores, and a multi-brand Chicago store. Its products are used in institutional, health/science, and residential and other environments; transportation terminals; and industrial and educational settings. The company markets its products through its sales staff, and independent dealers and retailers, as well as e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Herman Miller, Inc. and changed its name to MillerKnoll, Inc. in November 2021. MillerKnoll, Inc. was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in Zeeland, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMillerKnoll generates revenue primarily through the design, manufacturing, and sale of furniture and related products. The company operates a multi-channel distribution strategy, selling its products through a combination of direct sales teams, independent dealers, and retail partners. Key revenue streams include office furniture sales, which target corporate clients looking to furnish large office spaces, and residential sales, which appeal to individual consumers seeking high-quality home furnishings. Additionally, MillerKnoll benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with designers and architects, enhancing its product offerings and market reach. The company's global presence and strong brand portfolio further contribute to its earnings by allowing it to tap into diverse markets and meet a wide range of consumer needs.

MillerKnoll, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MillerKnoll's financial performance shows a decline in revenue and profitability, with a weak net profit margin. The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, raising concerns about financial stability. Cash flow generation is strong relative to net income, but the decline in free cash flow indicates challenges in converting profits into free cash.
Income Statement
65
Positive
MillerKnoll's income statement reveals a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM revenue of $3.597 billion is a decrease from the previous annual revenue of $3.628 billion, representing a negative growth rate. Gross Profit Margin stands at 38.87%, which indicates reasonable efficiency in managing production costs. However, the Net Profit Margin is weak at 0.84%, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 1.61% and 1.47%, respectively. These margins suggest challenges in controlling operational and other expenses.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.36, indicating significant leverage. The Return on Equity is relatively low at 2.28%, reflecting modest profitability relative to shareholder funds. With an Equity Ratio of 33.95%, the company has a moderate level of equity financing but faces potential risks from its substantial debt load.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a decline in Free Cash Flow from $273.9 million to $56.5 million, indicating a significant decrease in cash available after capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.60, suggesting that cash flow generation is stronger than net profits. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.88, reflecting the challenges in converting profits into free cash.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.60B3.63B4.09B3.95B2.47B2.49B
Gross Profit
1.40B1.42B1.43B1.35B949.20M910.70M
EBIT
58.10M167.20M122.30M199.40M170.80M345.70M
EBITDA
183.00M331.00M371.00M219.80M327.90M79.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
30.10M82.30M42.10M-19.70M174.60M-19.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
169.80M230.40M223.50M230.30M404.10M461.00M
Total Assets
3.90B4.04B4.27B4.51B2.06B2.04B
Total Debt
1.79B1.76B1.87B1.89B474.00M770.10M
Net Debt
1.62B1.53B1.65B1.66B77.60M316.10M
Total Liabilities
2.57B2.58B2.73B2.98B1.14B1.35B
Stockholders Equity
1.25B1.39B1.43B1.43B849.60M643.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
126.80M273.90M79.60M-106.60M272.50M152.80M
Operating Cash Flow
216.80M352.30M162.90M-11.90M332.30M221.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-85.60M-86.30M-76.50M-1.17B-59.90M-168.10M
Financing Cash Flow
-173.30M-258.80M-86.80M1.04B-347.70M244.00M

MillerKnoll, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.38
Price Trends
50DMA
20.75
Negative
100DMA
22.04
Negative
200DMA
24.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.57
Negative
RSI
43.34
Neutral
STOCH
67.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLKN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.07, below the 50-day MA of 20.75, and below the 200-day MA of 24.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MLKN.

MillerKnoll, Inc. Risk Analysis

MillerKnoll, Inc. disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MillerKnoll, Inc. reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MillerKnoll, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SCSCS
68
Neutral
$1.21B10.5212.80%3.75%0.20%51.62%
KTKTB
67
Neutral
$3.20B13.2763.68%3.52%0.07%7.19%
WSWSM
66
Neutral
$17.50B16.1253.91%1.60%-0.50%24.11%
LELEG
60
Neutral
$970.31M-50.58%2.78%-7.27%-272.76%
59
Neutral
$11.20B10.09-1.41%3.96%1.31%-16.95%
58
Neutral
$1.18B40.922.28%4.32%-2.68%-56.16%
HNHNI
52
Neutral
$1.98B14.6817.42%3.13%3.80%182.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLKN
MillerKnoll, Inc.
17.38
-9.04
-34.22%
HNI
HNI
42.22
-0.51
-1.19%
LEG
Leggett & Platt
7.19
-11.44
-61.41%
SCS
Steelcase
10.68
-1.96
-15.51%
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
141.68
-10.19
-6.71%
KTB
Kontoor Brands
57.90
3.26
5.97%

MillerKnoll, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -5.23% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong retail order growth and international market performance, but was weighed down by significant net loss due to impairment charges and uncertainty from tariffs. The expansion in retail locations and increased product assortment are positive signs, yet challenges remain in the contract segments and macroeconomic uncertainties.
Highlights
Impressive Retail Order Growth
Global Retail orders were up nearly 15%, with organic orders up 17% and organic orders adjusted for the year-over-year timing differences in the Black Friday, Cyber Monday period up over 4%. North America retail demand showed cyber-adjusted orders up 14%.
Expansion in Retail Locations
Opened new Design Within Reach studio in Palm Springs and Herman Miller store in Fairfax. Plans to open two more stores in Q4 and 10-15 new locations in fiscal 2026.
Order Growth in International Markets
Positive signs in less mature international markets with strong orders in APMEA, especially in the Middle East, India, and Japan, along with Mexico, Brazil, and parts of mainland Europe.
Increased Product Assortment
New product launches for spring-summer 2025 are up over 65% compared to spring-summer 2024.
Solid Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
Generated $62 million in cash flow from operations, repurchased approximately 786,000 shares, and reduced long-term debt by $61 million.
Lowlights
Net Loss and Impairment Charges
Reported a loss per share of $0.19, compared to earnings of $0.30 last year, including $140 million in special charges related to intangible amortization, impairment, and restructuring.
Softness in North America Contract Segment
North American contract orders were lower than expected, marked by caution in the current environment.
Challenges from Tariffs
Recent tariff announcements created uncertainty, impacting sales and order pacing. Anticipated tariff-related costs between $5 million and $7 million pre-tax in the fourth quarter.
Decline in International Contract Sales
International Contract sales were 5% lower on a reported basis and 1.5% lower organically year over year.
Negative Operating Margin in Retail Segment
Reported a negative operating margin in the retail segment of 36% compared to positive 4.7% last year due to asset impairments.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, MillerKnoll, Inc. reported consolidated net sales of $876 million, a year-over-year increase, with a gross margin of 37.9%. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.44, aligning with the midpoint of their guidance, despite a consolidated backlog of $686 million being up 7.4% from the previous year. The company noted impressive order growth, particularly in Global Retail, where orders increased by nearly 15% on a reported basis and 17% organically. The North America Contract segment experienced a 1.8% decrease in new orders, while the International Contract segment saw a 1.4% organic increase in new orders. The company also announced a 4.5% list price increase effective June 2nd to navigate tariff-related uncertainties, with an expected tariff-related cost impact of $5 million to $7 million in the fourth quarter. Despite challenges, the company remains committed to growth investments and maintaining balance sheet strength.

MillerKnoll, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MillerKnoll Announces Organizational Restructuring for 2025
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

MillerKnoll, Inc. announced changes to its organizational structure and reporting segments effective March 1, 2025, aligning with long-term strategies to enhance visibility into performance in key markets. The new segments are North America Contract, International Contract, and Global Retail. For the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company reported a 0.4% increase in consolidated net sales, driven by strong performance in North America and Global Retail. Despite challenges such as unfavorable channel and product mix, the company maintained its earnings expectations, taking proactive steps to improve profitability amidst economic uncertainties. Special charges of $140.2 million were recorded, including restructuring actions and impairment of goodwill.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.