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Mitsui (MITSY)
OTHER OTC:MITSY
US Market

Mitsui & Co (MITSY) AI Stock Analysis

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MITSY

Mitsui & Co

(OTC:MITSY)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$642.00
▲(21.49% Upside)
Mitsui & Co's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a reasonable valuation, despite concerns over financial performance due to declining revenue and cash flow. The stock's bullish momentum and fair valuation make it an attractive option, but the financial challenges need to be addressed for sustained growth.
Positive Factors
Long-term LNG Agreement
The long-term LNG agreement enhances Mitsui's energy portfolio, ensuring stable revenue and strengthening its position in the global LNG market.
Joint Venture Credit Facility
The new credit facility provides Mitsui with financial flexibility to support its joint venture operations, potentially driving growth and innovation.
Balanced Capital Structure
A balanced capital structure with reduced leverage enhances Mitsui's financial stability, allowing for strategic investments and risk management.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Significant revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining growth, potentially impacting long-term profitability and market competitiveness.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Declining free cash flow limits Mitsui's ability to fund operations and investments, posing risks to financial health and strategic initiatives.
Profit Margin Pressure
Stable but modest profit margins suggest limited pricing power and potential vulnerability to cost increases, affecting long-term profitability.

Mitsui & Co (MITSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mitsui & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsui & Co., Ltd. operates as a general trading company worldwide. The company engages in the manufacture, export, and import of iron and steel products; automotive components; operation of steel processing service centers; trading of automotive, electrical, special, and stainless steel; manufacture, repair, and fabrication of wind turbine towers and flanges; gas distribution businesses; and coal mining, power generation, ferrous alloy, infrastructure maintenance, and water pumping activities. It also explores, develops, and produces oil, natural gas, and LNG; trades in petroleum products, crude oil, coal, uranium, and LNG; offers FPSO/FSO, fright car, truck, and locomotive leasing services; sells electric power facilities; and develops railway and transportation infrastructures. The company engages in logistics businesses; wholesale, retail, rental, and finance of construction and mining equipment; multimodal transportation, warehousing, and rolling stock leasing; sale, purchase, and leasing of aircraft and aero engines; leasing and financing activities; and development, process, and marketing of underground resources, and recycling of surface resources. It also provides electric-arc-furnace, construction materials processing, construction flat-rolled steel, shapes, bars, wire rods, and steel structure materials; methanol, ammonia, chlor-alkali, industrial, gas, and basic chemicals; salt; performance, advanced, specialty, and living, and environmental materials; agrochemicals and fertilizers, and animal and human nutrition products; refined sugar, oils and fats, proteins, grains, and food and beverage products; contract food services; and healthcare products. The company offers mobile communications; commodity derivative trading; venture investment and asset management services; real estate development, management, leasing, and brokerage services; and ship charter operation services. Mitsui & Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsui & Co. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by facilitating trade and investment across its diverse business segments. Key revenue sources include the trading of commodities such as steel, chemicals, and agricultural products, as well as the sale of machinery and equipment. The company also earns income from equity investments in infrastructure projects, such as utilities and renewable energy, which provide long-term returns. Additionally, Mitsui has strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, further contributing to its earnings. Its ability to leverage global market trends and demand fluctuations plays a significant role in its financial performance.

Mitsui & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced view with robust progress in strategic investments and segments like chemicals and energy, countered by significant declines in profit and challenges in mineral, metal resources, and renewable energy segments.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Core Operating Cash Flow
Core operating cash flow (COCF) increased by JPY0.5 billion YoY to JPY216.3 billion, indicating solid progress against the business plan.
Investments in Strategic Initiatives
Significant investments executed in strategic initiatives such as ITC Antwerp, Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project, and Ruwais LNG Project, aligning with medium-term management plans.
Chemicals Segment Performance
The chemicals segment saw an increase of JPY12.7 billion to JPY30.9 billion, driven by a valuation gain on ITC Antwerp and strong performance in overseas agricultural chemicals business.
Successful Energy Segment Operations
Despite challenges, the energy segment saw strong performance in LNG trading and the US E&P business, contributing to potential upside for the year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Overall Profit
Profit declined by JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous year.
Mineral and Metal Resources Segment Decline
A decrease of JPY29 billion in profit to JPY51.5 billion, mainly due to lower iron ore and metallurgical coal prices.
Machinery and Infrastructure Segment Challenges
A significant decrease of JPY75.3 billion to JPY50.7 billion in profit, attributed to the absence of asset sales in the previous period.
Renewable Energy Segment Struggles
The renewable energy platform, including the mainstream business, faced headwinds with slow progress in turnaround efforts.
Company Guidance
During the call, MITSUI & CO., LTD. provided a detailed overview of their Q1 financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, highlighting several key metrics. Core Operating Cash Flow (COCF) increased by JPY0.5 billion year-over-year (YoY) to JPY216.3 billion, reflecting solid progress against their business plan. However, profit declined by JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous year. The company achieved 25% progress towards their business plan, with COCF showing positive trends across most segments. Cash inflows amounted to JPY270 billion, comprising JPY216 billion from COCF and JPY54 billion from asset recycling, while cash outflows for investments and loans totaled JPY208 billion. Significant investments included the ITC Antwerp tank terminal business and the Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project. The call also addressed segment-specific performance, with notable increases in the chemicals and iron and steel products segments, while challenges persisted in the mineral and metal resources segment due to lower commodity prices. The company reiterated its commitment to its medium-term management plan, focusing on industrial business solutions, global energy transition, and wellness ecosystem creation.

Mitsui & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsui & Co demonstrates a stable financial position with moderate profitability and a balanced capital structure. However, the significant decline in revenue and free cash flow in the TTM period raises concerns about future growth and cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mitsui & Co's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 9.19% and a net profit margin of 6.47%, which are relatively stable. However, the company experienced a significant revenue decline of 24.56% in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, suggesting operational efficiency but also room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 in the TTM, showing a decrease from previous periods, which is a positive sign of reduced leverage. The return on equity is 11.88%, indicating decent profitability. The equity ratio stands at 46.13%, suggesting a balanced capital structure with a good level of equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns, with a free cash flow growth rate of -36.34% in the TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.24, showing a reasonable conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, suggesting that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow, despite the recent decline.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.65T14.66T13.32T14.31T11.76T8.01T
Gross Profit979.46B1.29T1.32T1.40T1.14T811.47B
EBITDA586.99B1.65T1.28T1.23T1.08T553.18B
Net Income681.78B900.34B1.06T1.13T914.72B335.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.39T16.81T16.90T15.38T14.92T12.52T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.06T1.92T902.72B2.16T2.13T1.49T
Total Debt4.84T4.84T4.78T5.04T4.88T4.75T
Total Liabilities9.14T9.05T9.13T8.82T9.13T7.69T
Stockholders Equity8.03T7.55T7.54T6.37T5.61T4.57T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow422.08B671.37B569.65B819.47B621.37B557.01B
Operating Cash Flow685.45B1.02T864.42B1.05T806.90B772.70B
Investing Cash Flow-291.02B-161.99B-427.55B-178.34B-181.19B-322.47B
Financing Cash Flow-237.27B-749.60B-1.01T-634.68B-614.33B-486.96B

Mitsui & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price528.43
Price Trends
50DMA
527.49
Positive
100DMA
502.33
Positive
200DMA
450.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.43
Negative
RSI
66.58
Neutral
STOCH
62.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MITSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 528.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 561.03, above the 50-day MA of 527.49, and above the 200-day MA of 450.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MITSY.

Mitsui & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$800.17M4.0420.18%10.18%-11.13%
77
Outperform
$1.27B2.8832.84%8.97%2.00%
73
Outperform
$82.92B13.7911.47%2.35%-0.56%-6.81%
73
Outperform
$4.20B10.688.36%0.21%10.31%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$4.01B23.806.42%2.76%-57.80%-57.40%
61
Neutral
$3.50B69.1834.20%1.01%-3.95%-74.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MITSY
Mitsui & Co
582.76
169.01
40.85%
CRESY
Cresud Sociedad
11.69
-0.18
-1.52%
GFF
Griffon
75.74
3.37
4.66%
IRS
Irsa Inversiones Y Representaciones SA
15.67
1.44
10.12%
MDU
Mdu Resources Group
19.64
1.88
10.59%
SEB
Seaboard
4,385.00
1,955.26
80.47%

Mitsui & Co Corporate Events

Mitsui Reports Mixed Earnings Amid Revenue Decline
Nov 6, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese trading company engaged in a wide range of businesses, including energy, machinery, chemicals, and infrastructure, with a significant global presence. In its latest earnings report for the six-month period ending September 30, 2025, Mitsui reported a revenue of 6,759.1 billion yen, marking a decrease from the previous year. Despite the revenue decline, the company saw an increase in profit before income taxes and profit attributable to owners of the parent, reflecting a strategic focus on cost management and investment gains. Key highlights from the report include a significant rise in comprehensive income, driven by favorable foreign currency translation adjustments and gains on financial assets. The energy segment showed robust performance, particularly in LNG trading, while the mineral and metal resources segment faced challenges due to lower commodity prices. Looking ahead, Mitsui remains cautiously optimistic, with management forecasting a stable profit for the year ending March 31, 2026, supported by strategic investments and a focus on shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025