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Mitsui (MITSY)
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Mitsui & Co (MITSY) AI Stock Analysis

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MITSY

Mitsui & Co

(OTC:MITSY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$585.00
▲(10.71% Upside)
Mitsui & Co's overall stock score reflects a stable yet cautious outlook. The most significant factor is the stable financial performance, despite declining revenue growth and cash flow challenges. Positive technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, while the valuation remains fair. The earnings call highlighted strategic investments but also noted significant profit declines and challenges in key segments.
Positive Factors
Strategic Investments
Mitsui's investments in strategic projects like ITC Antwerp and Blue Point align with its medium-term management plans, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term growth in key sectors.
Core Operating Cash Flow Growth
The increase in core operating cash flow indicates strong operational performance and financial health, providing Mitsui with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
Chemicals Segment Performance
Strong performance in the chemicals segment, driven by valuation gains and overseas business success, highlights Mitsui's competitive advantage and potential for sustained profitability in this sector.
Negative Factors
Decline in Overall Profit
The significant decline in profit, primarily due to the absence of previous asset sale gains, raises concerns about Mitsui's ability to maintain profitability without such one-time boosts.
Mineral and Metal Resources Segment Decline
The decline in the mineral and metal resources segment, driven by lower commodity prices, highlights vulnerability to market fluctuations and poses a risk to revenue stability.
Renewable Energy Segment Struggles
Challenges in the renewable energy segment indicate difficulties in executing turnaround strategies, potentially hindering Mitsui's efforts to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions.

Mitsui & Co (MITSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mitsui & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsui & Co., Ltd. (MITSY) is a leading global trading and investment company based in Japan, engaged in a diverse range of sectors including chemicals, energy, machinery, and food. The company operates through multiple business segments, including infrastructure, logistics, and retail, providing a comprehensive suite of products and services that cater to various industries. Mitsui is known for its strategic investments and collaborations across the globe, facilitating trade and commerce while focusing on sustainability and innovation.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsui & Co. generates revenue through a variety of business activities, primarily by acting as an intermediary in the trading of goods and resources. Key revenue streams include the sale of commodities such as steel, chemicals, and energy products, as well as the provision of logistics and supply chain services. Additionally, Mitsui earns income from its investments in infrastructure projects and joint ventures across different sectors. The company also capitalizes on its extensive network and partnerships with other businesses, which enhance its market reach and operational efficiency, contributing significantly to its overall earnings. Furthermore, Mitsui engages in financial services, including leasing and financing, which serve as additional revenue sources.

Mitsui & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced view with robust progress in strategic investments and segments like chemicals and energy, countered by significant declines in profit and challenges in mineral, metal resources, and renewable energy segments.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Core Operating Cash Flow
Core operating cash flow (COCF) increased by JPY0.5 billion YoY to JPY216.3 billion, indicating solid progress against the business plan.
Investments in Strategic Initiatives
Significant investments executed in strategic initiatives such as ITC Antwerp, Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project, and Ruwais LNG Project, aligning with medium-term management plans.
Chemicals Segment Performance
The chemicals segment saw an increase of JPY12.7 billion to JPY30.9 billion, driven by a valuation gain on ITC Antwerp and strong performance in overseas agricultural chemicals business.
Successful Energy Segment Operations
Despite challenges, the energy segment saw strong performance in LNG trading and the US E&P business, contributing to potential upside for the year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Overall Profit
Profit declined by JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous year.
Mineral and Metal Resources Segment Decline
A decrease of JPY29 billion in profit to JPY51.5 billion, mainly due to lower iron ore and metallurgical coal prices.
Machinery and Infrastructure Segment Challenges
A significant decrease of JPY75.3 billion to JPY50.7 billion in profit, attributed to the absence of asset sales in the previous period.
Renewable Energy Segment Struggles
The renewable energy platform, including the mainstream business, faced headwinds with slow progress in turnaround efforts.
Company Guidance
During the call, MITSUI & CO., LTD. provided a detailed overview of their Q1 financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, highlighting several key metrics. Core Operating Cash Flow (COCF) increased by JPY0.5 billion year-over-year (YoY) to JPY216.3 billion, reflecting solid progress against their business plan. However, profit declined by JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous year. The company achieved 25% progress towards their business plan, with COCF showing positive trends across most segments. Cash inflows amounted to JPY270 billion, comprising JPY216 billion from COCF and JPY54 billion from asset recycling, while cash outflows for investments and loans totaled JPY208 billion. Significant investments included the ITC Antwerp tank terminal business and the Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project. The call also addressed segment-specific performance, with notable increases in the chemicals and iron and steel products segments, while challenges persisted in the mineral and metal resources segment due to lower commodity prices. The company reiterated its commitment to its medium-term management plan, focusing on industrial business solutions, global energy transition, and wellness ecosystem creation.

Mitsui & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsui & Co's financial performance is stable but cautious. The income statement shows consistent profitability with a stable gross profit margin, but declining revenue growth is a concern. The balance sheet is balanced with manageable leverage, though return on equity has decreased. Cash flow management needs attention due to declining free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Mitsui & Co's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 3.68%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of 8.9% and a net profit margin of 5.78%, indicating decent profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 3.62% and 5.82%, respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.65, indicating a balanced leverage, but there is potential risk if debt levels increase. The return on equity is 10.82%, which is reasonable but has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -124.8%, indicating a significant decline. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, suggesting that cash flows are not fully supporting net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, which is moderate but shows a reliance on cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.12T14.66T13.32T14.31T11.76T8.01T
Gross Profit1.26T1.29T1.32T1.40T1.14T811.47B
EBITDA767.88B1.65T1.28T1.23T1.08T553.18B
Net Income815.88B900.34B1.06T1.13T914.72B335.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.93T16.81T16.90T15.38T14.92T12.52T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.01T1.92T902.72B2.16T2.13T1.49T
Total Debt4.93T4.84T4.78T5.04T4.88T4.75T
Total Liabilities9.12T9.05T9.13T8.82T9.13T7.69T
Stockholders Equity7.60T7.55T7.54T6.37T5.61T4.57T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow662.99B671.37B569.65B819.47B621.37B557.01B
Operating Cash Flow994.65B1.02T864.42B1.05T806.90B772.70B
Investing Cash Flow-307.87B-161.99B-427.55B-178.34B-181.19B-322.47B
Financing Cash Flow-650.10B-749.60B-1.01T-634.68B-614.33B-486.96B

Mitsui & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price528.43
Price Trends
50DMA
505.62
Positive
100DMA
480.17
Positive
200DMA
436.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.77
Negative
RSI
72.27
Negative
STOCH
90.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MITSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 528.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 523.09, above the 50-day MA of 505.62, and above the 200-day MA of 436.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MITSY.

Mitsui & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.22B2.7332.84%9.08%2.00%
73
Outperform
$4.21B11.068.36%0.20%10.31%
70
Outperform
$75.67B12.5011.47%2.49%-0.56%-6.81%
68
Neutral
$769.70M4.2420.18%10.18%-11.13%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$4.20B24.906.42%2.72%-57.80%-57.40%
61
Neutral
$3.39B68.1134.20%1.04%-3.95%-74.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MITSY
Mitsui & Co
553.66
135.35
32.36%
CRESY
Cresud Sociedad
11.68
-0.64
-5.19%
GFF
Griffon
73.25
-7.29
-9.05%
IRS
Irsa Inversiones Y Representaciones SA
15.17
-0.43
-2.76%
MDU
Mdu Resources Group
19.46
0.58
3.07%
SEB
Seaboard
4,393.32
1,814.16
70.34%

Mitsui & Co Corporate Events

Mitsui Reports Mixed Earnings Amid Revenue Decline
Nov 6, 2025

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese trading company engaged in a wide range of businesses, including energy, machinery, chemicals, and infrastructure, with a significant global presence. In its latest earnings report for the six-month period ending September 30, 2025, Mitsui reported a revenue of 6,759.1 billion yen, marking a decrease from the previous year. Despite the revenue decline, the company saw an increase in profit before income taxes and profit attributable to owners of the parent, reflecting a strategic focus on cost management and investment gains. Key highlights from the report include a significant rise in comprehensive income, driven by favorable foreign currency translation adjustments and gains on financial assets. The energy segment showed robust performance, particularly in LNG trading, while the mineral and metal resources segment faced challenges due to lower commodity prices. Looking ahead, Mitsui remains cautiously optimistic, with management forecasting a stable profit for the year ending March 31, 2026, supported by strategic investments and a focus on shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025