tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Mitek Systems Inc (MITK)
NASDAQ:MITK

Mitek Systems (MITK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
876 Followers

Top Page

MI

Mitek Systems

(NASDAQ:MITK)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(7.03%Upside)
Mitek Systems demonstrates strong financial performance, with robust revenue growth and high profit margins being significant contributors to the score. Technical analysis shows moderate strength, while valuation is somewhat high, indicating potential overvaluation. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate events further support the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Higher revenue, higher gross margin, and lower operating expense resulted in an EBITDA of $20.2M, well above expectations.
Operational Efficiency
The company has modestly increased its adjusted EBITDA guidance range reflecting improved efficiencies and ongoing cost discipline.
Product Adoption
The evolution of its ID verification platform from a point solution sale to a broader platform opportunity has received good feedback from customers.
Negative Factors
Growth Projections
Revenue growth is likely to result in muted revenue growth in FY25.
Market Valuation
MITK trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.2x based on FY26E adjusted EBITDA, with a price target based on a peer group average multiple of 11.5x.

Mitek Systems (MITK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mitek Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitek Systems, Inc. develops, markets, and sells mobile image capture and digital identity verification solutions in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. The company's solutions are embedded in native mobile apps and web browsers to facilitate digital consumer experiences. It offers Mobile Deposit that enables individuals and businesses to remotely deposit checks using their camera-equipped smartphone or tablet; and Mobile Verify, an identity verification solution that is integrated into mobile apps, mobile websites, and desktop applications. The company also provides Mobile Fill, which includes automatic image capture, minimizes the numbers of clicks, and expedites form fill completion; and MiSnap, a mobile-capture software development kit that enables an intuitive user experience and instant capture of quality images of identity documents and checks. In addition, it offers CheckReader that enables financial institutions to automatically extract data from checks; Check Fraud Defender, an AI-powered and cloud-hosted model for fighting check fraud; and Check Intelligence that enables financial institutions to automatically extract data from a check image received across any deposit channel, including branch, ATM, remote deposit capture, and mobile. Further, the company provides ID_CLOUD, an automated identity verification solution that is integrated into a customers' application to read and validate identity documents; IDLive Face, a passive facial liveness detection product; IDVoice, a robust AI-driven voice biometric engine; IDLive Voice that helps stop spoofing attacks on voice biometric systems; and IDLive Doc that works to fight fraud related to digitally displayed document images. Mitek Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitek Systems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions and services. The company's key revenue streams include licensing fees for its identity verification and mobile capture technologies, as well as subscription fees for ongoing access to its software as a service (SaaS) offerings. Additionally, Mitek earns revenue from implementation services, support, and maintenance contracts. The company benefits from partnerships with financial institutions, technology providers, and other enterprises that integrate Mitek's solutions into their own offerings, expanding the reach and application of its technologies.

Mitek Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with strong revenue growth, increased SaaS adoption, and expanded data coverage for Check Fraud Defender. However, some caution remains due to macroeconomic uncertainties and slower growth in the identity segment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Total revenue reached a record $51.9 million, up 11% year-over-year in the second quarter.
SaaS Revenue Increase
SaaS revenue grew 15% year-over-year in Q2 and now accounts for 40% of total last 12 months revenue, up from 39% last quarter.
Check Fraud Defender Expansion
Check Fraud Defender now has data sets on 23% of U.S. checking accounts, up from 18% last quarter.
Improved Identity Portfolio Performance
Identity portfolio revenue reached $71.4 million in the last 12 months, driven by strong transaction growth and a 9% increase in identity SaaS revenue.
Increased EBITDA and Free Cash Flow
Adjusted EBITDA was $20.2 million, representing a 39% margin, and the company generated $47 million in free cash flow over the last 12 months.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment Caution
Management remains cautious about potential macroeconomic headwinds despite not seeing any cancellations tied to the macro backdrop.
Identity Revenue Growth Rate
Identity products revenue increased by only 4% year-over-year, indicating a slower growth rate compared to other segments.
Lumpiness in Term License Revenue
Due to the lumpiness inherent to term license revenue, which makes up 70% of deposits products revenue, management urges focus on longer-term trends.
Company Guidance
During Mitek's Fiscal 2025 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and forward-looking statements were discussed. The company reported a record total revenue of $51.9 million for the quarter, marking an 11% increase year-over-year. Mitek's identity portfolio reached over $71 million in revenue over the last 12 months, driven by strong transaction growth. The Check Fraud Defender product expanded its data set coverage to approximately 23% of U.S. checking accounts, up from 18% in the previous quarter. Additionally, Mitek reported a 15% year-over-year growth in SaaS revenue, now accounting for 40% of the total revenue. The company's non-GAAP gross profit was $45.6 million, representing an 88% gross margin, while adjusted EBITDA was $20.2 million, corresponding to a 39% margin. Mitek also generated $47 million in free cash flow over the last 12 months, highlighting its financial discipline and strategic focus on organic growth, SaaS revenue increase, margin expansion, and free cash flow conversion.

Mitek Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitek Systems demonstrates strong revenue growth and robust cash flow generation, supported by a solid balance sheet. However, the company faces challenges in improving profitability and return on equity, which slightly tempers its financial performance score.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Mitek Systems shows consistent revenue growth with a 20.3% increase from 2022 to 2023, driven by strong gross profit margins consistently above 90%. However, the net profit margin remains modest at 2.6% TTM, indicating room for profitability improvement. EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased slightly, reflecting some operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with an equity ratio of 50.7% TTM, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.74, reflecting manageable leverage levels. Return on equity is relatively low at 2.2% TTM, suggesting a need for better utilization of equity capital.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Mitek Systems demonstrates robust cash flow generation, with a significant increase in free cash flow by 32.2% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 9.36 suggests strong cash conversion efficiency. The company's ability to generate cash is a key strength, supporting future growth and debt reduction.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
172.42M172.08M172.55M143.94M119.80M101.31M
Gross Profit
159.07M171.77M149.60M123.94M105.26M88.12M
EBIT
10.65M2.23M15.56M27.57M13.71M8.87M
EBITDA
28.14M26.96M39.62M28.08M24.07M18.15M
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.46M3.28M8.03M3.69M7.98M7.81M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
123.93M130.34M133.61M90.33M179.37M60.02M
Total Assets
417.03M413.75M405.38M360.41M419.28M169.15M
Total Debt
145.45M148.64M140.28M134.19M129.45M7.15M
Net Debt
64.51M55.18M81.37M102.13M99.14M-12.84M
Total Liabilities
200.88M198.95M200.19M190.09M226.02M36.91M
Stockholders Equity
216.15M214.80M205.19M170.32M193.26M132.24M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
40.18M30.25M30.55M25.23M35.95M23.32M
Operating Cash Flow
41.72M31.69M31.59M26.35M37.34M24.12M
Investing Cash Flow
11.70M28.75M-6.78M-3.53M-170.49M-24.71M
Financing Cash Flow
-25.90M-25.88M1.70M-21.14M143.68M3.40M

Mitek Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.81
Price Trends
50DMA
8.66
Positive
100DMA
9.18
Positive
200DMA
9.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
64.65
Neutral
STOCH
76.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MITK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.55, above the 50-day MA of 8.66, and above the 200-day MA of 9.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MITK.

Mitek Systems Risk Analysis

Mitek Systems disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mitek Systems reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mitek Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$431.04M34.556.11%7.76%
77
Outperform
$1.14B50.49-47.39%3.82%-251.96%
63
Neutral
$1.28B-6.49%5.15%28.27%
62
Neutral
$11.75B10.58-7.10%2.91%7.47%-7.95%
56
Neutral
$554.68M-46.57%-2.39%-2961.26%
52
Neutral
$172.84M-27.44%16.03%30.99%
51
Neutral
$169.32M-22.66%-25.43%-135.09%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MITK
Mitek Systems
9.81
-2.48
-20.18%
OPFI
OppFi
13.55
10.33
320.81%
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
13.69
-10.01
-42.24%
SMRT
SmartRent
0.93
-1.42
-60.43%
BMBL
Bumble
5.35
-5.87
-52.32%
MLNK
MeridianLink
16.86
-3.05
-15.32%

Mitek Systems Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Mitek Systems Updates Investor Presentation June 2025
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Mitek Systems, Inc. updated its investor presentation, which is now available on their website. The company clarified that the furnishing of these materials is not required by Regulation FD or other securities laws, and they do not assume any obligation to update the information in the future.

The most recent analyst rating on (MITK) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitek Systems stock, see the MITK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Mitek Systems Secures $75M Loan with SVB
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Mitek Systems announced an amendment to its existing credit facility with Silicon Valley Bank, establishing a $75 million term loan and a revised $25 million revolving line of credit. This financial maneuver aims to retire the company’s outstanding Convertible Notes by February 2026, securing financial flexibility and supporting Mitek’s strong balance sheet. Additionally, Mitek reported record financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with an 11% year-over-year revenue increase to $51.9 million and a significant rise in GAAP net income. The company also raised its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance for fiscal 2025, reflecting its robust performance and strategic focus on long-term growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Mitek Systems Appoints Garrett Gafke as COO
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 25, 2025, Mitek Systems appointed Garrett Gafke as Chief Operating Officer to drive growth and innovation. Gafke, a seasoned executive in identity, fraud, and payments markets, is expected to enhance Mitek’s operations and solidify its position as a leader in digital identity verification and fraud prevention. His compensation package is heavily performance-based, aligning his incentives with shareholder value creation.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.