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Mirum Pharmaceuticals Inc (MIRM)
NASDAQ:MIRM

Mirum Pharmaceuticals (MIRM) AI Stock Analysis

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MIRM

Mirum Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:MIRM)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$98.00
▼(-1.28% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak underlying financial quality (negative profitability, negative ROE, and higher leverage) and limited valuation support (negative P/E, no dividend). Offsetting these are strong technical uptrend signals and constructive business momentum from the latest earnings call and corporate updates (raised guidance, first net income milestone, expanded pipeline via Bluejay), though momentum indicators also suggest the stock is currently overbought.
Positive Factors
High Product-Level Margins
Very high gross margin (79.92%) alongside TTM revenue growth (9.93%) indicates durable product-level economics typical of specialty rare-disease therapies. Strong margins provide pricing power and earnings leverage to fund R&D and commercialization as sales scale across geographies.
Commercial Validation & Operating Leverage
Recording positive net income for the first time together with strong quarter revenue growth validates Mirum’s commercial model and demonstrates operating leverage. Sustained LIVMARLI and bile‑acid sales and stable reimbursement would support recurring cash generation and reinvestment capacity over coming quarters.
Pipeline Diversification via Bluejay
Closing the Bluejay acquisition brings a late‑stage biologic (bre-lovitug) in Phase 3 and incremental net cash (~$56.6M), diversifying Mirum’s portfolio beyond maralixibat. This materially deepens the pipeline, spreads clinical/regulatory risk, and supports long-term growth and commercial optionality in HDV.
Negative Factors
Elevated Financial Leverage
Debt-to-equity of 1.08 and a negative ROE (-24.76%) reflect elevated leverage and inefficient returns to shareholders. Higher leverage reduces strategic flexibility, increases refinancing and interest risk, and could necessitate dilutive financing or spending trade-offs during multi‑quarter pipeline development and integration.
Profitability & Cash Volatility
Despite robust gross margins, a negative net margin (-8.78%) and volatile free cash flow show the company still absorbs substantial SG&A and R&D costs. Continued operating losses would deplete cash reserves, limit reinvestment, and make achieving durable profitability and funding late‑stage programs more challenging over the next several quarters.
Flagship Exclusivity Risk
Multiple Paragraph IV notices and pending ANDAs create structural risk to LIVMARLI revenue. Although lawsuits yielded an automatic 30‑month FDA stay, litigation outcomes are uncertain; potential loss of exclusivity would materially reduce pricing power and the company’s primary revenue base over the medium term.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals (MIRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel therapies for debilitating rare and orphan diseases. The company's lead product candidate is LIVMARLI, an investigational oral drug for the treatment of progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis disease, as well as for the treatment of Alagille syndrome and biliary atresia disease. It also develops Volixibat drug for treatment of intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy and primary sclerosing cholangitis. Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMirum Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through the commercialization of its lead product, maralixibat, especially following its approval for specific indications related to rare liver diseases. The company earns revenue from product sales, which are driven by market demand and the effectiveness of its therapies. Additionally, Mirum may engage in strategic partnerships or collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies to enhance its research and development efforts, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales. These partnerships can significantly bolster its financial resources and contribute to its overall earnings.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Product
Net Sales by Product
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Mirum Pharmaceuticals had a strong third quarter with significant revenue growth and positive net income for the first time. The company continues to advance its clinical pipeline and expand internationally. However, there are some challenges in revenue consistency and the adoption of genetic testing in certain segments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Mirum Pharmaceuticals reported third quarter revenue of $133 million, representing a nearly 50% year-over-year increase, driven by the performance of LIVMARLI and their bile acid portfolio.
Positive Financial Milestone
The company recognized positive net income for the first time, highlighting the operating leverage in their commercial model.
Successful International Expansion
LIVMARLI net product sales totaled $92 million, with $28 million from international markets, supported by expanding reimbursement and launches in new geographies.
Advancement in Clinical Pipeline
Enrollment completed for the Phase IIb VISTAS study in PSC, with top line data expected in Q2 2026. The company is optimistic about volixibat's potential to become the first approved treatment in this setting.
Increased Cash Reserves
Mirum's cash, cash equivalents, and investments increased by $85 million from the beginning of the year, reaching $378 million.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Variability
Expected variability in LIVMARLI international revenue due to periodic large orders from distributors, which may impact quarter-to-quarter revenue consistency.
Challenges in Genetic Testing Adoption
Sustained engagement is required to drive incremental gains in genetic testing, especially among adult-focused providers where it is less embedded in practice.
Company Guidance
During the Mirum Pharmaceuticals Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported several key metrics indicating strong performance and future potential. Third-quarter revenue reached $133 million, marking a nearly 50% year-over-year increase, largely driven by the U.S. PFIC launch and international market demand. LIVMARLI sales contributed $92 million, with $64 million from the U.S. market. The bile acid portfolio, including CHOLBAM and CTEXLI, added $41 million in sales. Mirum revised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $500-$510 million. The company achieved a net income of $3 million for the first time, reflecting its solid financial performance. Looking ahead, Mirum sees substantial growth potential, with peak revenue for LIVMARLI, volixibat, and MRM-3379 each exceeding $1 billion. Additionally, the clinical pipeline is progressing well, with several pivotal readouts anticipated in 2026.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (TTM revenue +9.93%) with strong gross margin (79.92%), but overall profitability remains weak (net margin -8.78%, negative ROE -24.76%) and leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity 1.08). Cash flow has improved, though free cash flow growth is volatile.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Mirum Pharmaceuticals shows a positive revenue growth trend with a 9.93% increase in TTM, indicating potential market expansion. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is strong at 79.92%, but the negative net profit margin of -8.78% highlights ongoing challenges in managing operational costs.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08, suggesting significant leverage which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is negative at -24.76%, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively low, reflecting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Free cash flow has significantly improved, but the growth rate is negative, indicating volatility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, showing some ability to convert income into cash, but it remains low. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting that the company is managing its cash flow effectively relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue471.79M336.89M186.37M77.06M19.14M0.00
Gross Profit377.04M255.25M139.34M64.69M17.23M-623.00K
EBITDA-5.49M-48.97M-136.49M-122.85M-65.39M-102.31M
Net Income-41.42M-87.94M-163.41M-135.66M-83.99M-103.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets785.12M670.75M646.62M352.91M294.65M240.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments375.55M280.31M286.33M151.72M156.54M231.82M
Total Debt318.76M317.76M308.14M2.19M2.61M3.26M
Total Liabilities493.07M445.11M397.95M210.87M174.44M68.77M
Stockholders Equity292.05M225.64M248.67M142.04M120.21M172.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.32M9.33M-91.05M-120.41M-151.78M-89.30M
Operating Cash Flow44.69M10.32M-70.94M-120.14M-132.76M-89.08M
Investing Cash Flow-24.32M-90.13M-107.20M7.70M48.55M37.87M
Financing Cash Flow36.48M17.70M336.60M109.09M73.47M181.29M

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price99.27
Price Trends
50DMA
77.57
Positive
100DMA
75.15
Positive
200DMA
63.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.90
Negative
RSI
77.50
Negative
STOCH
89.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MIRM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 99.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.20, above the 50-day MA of 77.57, and above the 200-day MA of 63.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.50 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MIRM.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Mirum Pharmaceuticals disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mirum Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.95B14.0527.52%25.56%44.42%
62
Neutral
$9.08B-995.68-0.50%23258.15%99.12%
58
Neutral
$5.01B-115.19-15.81%53.66%58.63%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$2.78B73.4614.10%42.11%
49
Neutral
$6.12B1025.95%52.91%
46
Neutral
$2.35B-4.15-325.76%20.63%8.09%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MIRM
Mirum Pharmaceuticals
99.27
50.67
104.26%
ARWR
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals
66.91
46.96
235.39%
CPRX
Catalyst Pharma
24.07
0.11
0.46%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
24.62
-17.85
-42.03%
IBRX
ImmunityBio
5.95
2.79
88.29%
APLS
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
21.81
-7.66
-25.99%

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Mirum Pharmaceuticals Completes Bluejay Acquisition, Expands Liver Portfolio
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 23, 2026, Mirum Pharmaceuticals completed its acquisition of privately held Bluejay Therapeutics, folding the biotech into a wholly owned subsidiary structure and adding approximately $56.6 million in net cash alongside worldwide rights to brelovitug, a late-stage monoclonal antibody for chronic hepatitis delta virus (HDV), in a deal structured as cash, Mirum stock and potential tiered sales-based milestone payments to Bluejay security holders, including affiliates of Frazier Life Sciences IX. The transaction, announced publicly on January 26, 2026, expands Mirum’s rare liver disease franchise with a Breakthrough Therapy- and PRIME-designated asset now in the global AZURE Phase 3 registrational program, while concurrent private placement financings with existing and new healthcare investors raised about $268.5 million, bolstering Mirum’s balance sheet to fund development and commercialization plans and leaving the company with 59,879,958 common shares outstanding, a move that reinforces its positioning as a leading player in rare liver conditions and could be consequential for HDV patients who currently lack approved therapies in major markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIRM) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirum Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIRM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Mirum Pharmaceuticals Announces Strong 2025 Sales and 2026 Outlook
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Mirum Pharmaceuticals reported preliminary, unaudited 2025 net product sales of about $520 million, surpassing the upper end of its guidance, driven by strong growth from LIVMARLI, CHOLBAM and CTEXLI, alongside positive cash flow from operations and an expected year-end 2025 cash and investments balance of roughly $392 million. The company outlined 2026 sales guidance of $630 million to $650 million and highlighted a series of late-stage clinical and regulatory milestones, including ongoing Phase 3 programs for volixibat in primary sclerosing cholangitis and primary biliary cholangitis, accelerated timelines for the LIVMARLI EXPAND study, and the proposed acquisition of Bluejay Therapeutics to add brelovitug for chronic hepatitis delta virus, signaling both robust commercial momentum and a deepening pipeline in rare liver and related diseases.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIRM) stock is a Buy with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirum Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIRM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Mirum Files Patent Suits to Block Livmarli Generics
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

In November 2025, Mirum Pharmaceuticals received Paragraph IV certification notice letters from multiple generic drug makers, including Sandoz, Annora Pharma, Zydus Lifesciences Global FZE and Zenara Pharma, indicating that these companies had filed Abbreviated New Drug Applications with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration seeking approval to market generic versions of Livmarli (maralixibat). On December 19, 2025, Mirum responded by filing patent infringement lawsuits in the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware, alleging infringement of its Orange Book-listed patents for Livmarli and securing an automatic 30‑month stay that prevents the FDA from granting final approval of the ANDAs, temporarily protecting Mirum’s market exclusivity for its flagship liver disease therapy and delaying potential generic competition.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIRM) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirum Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIRM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Mirum Pharmaceuticals Raises Capital via Private Placement
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Mirum Pharmaceuticals entered into a subscription agreement with entities affiliated with institutional investor TCGX for a private placement of 1,000,000 common shares at $68.48 per share, raising approximately $68.5 million in gross proceeds in a transaction relying on private-offering exemptions from U.S. securities registration. Together with a separate $200 million private placement announced earlier in December, the new financing is intended to fund clinical development and commercial activities tied to Mirum’s proposed acquisition of Bluejay Therapeutics, a privately held biotech focused on viral and liver diseases, with both private placements and the Bluejay deal expected to close concurrently in the first quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals and customary conditions, while Mirum has agreed to register the resale of the new shares for the investors after closing.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIRM) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirum Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIRM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Mirum Pharmaceuticals Announces Merger with Bluejay Therapeutics
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 6, 2025, Mirum Pharmaceuticals announced a merger agreement with Bluejay Therapeutics, aiming to acquire Bluejay’s investigational drug brelovitug, a monoclonal antibody for chronic hepatitis delta virus (HDV). This acquisition, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, will enhance Mirum’s leadership in rare liver diseases, potentially leading to a biologics license application submission in 2027. Additionally, Mirum has secured a $200 million private placement to support clinical development and commercial activities post-acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIRM) stock is a Hold with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirum Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIRM Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Mirum Pharmaceuticals Faces Patent Challenge from Sandoz
Negative
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Mirum Pharmaceuticals received a Paragraph IV Certification Notice from Sandoz, indicating Sandoz’s intent to produce a generic version of Livmarli. Mirum plans to defend its patents vigorously by filing a patent infringement suit against Sandoz, which could delay the FDA’s approval of the generic drug for up to 30 months.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIRM) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirum Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIRM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026