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Mirum Pharmaceuticals Inc (MIRM)
NASDAQ:MIRM

Mirum Pharmaceuticals (MIRM) AI Stock Analysis

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Mirum Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:MIRM)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(0.87%Upside)
Mirum Pharmaceuticals is showing strong revenue growth and momentum from regulatory approvals, which positively impacts its outlook. However, significant financial challenges persist due to high leverage and negative net income, affecting overall stability. The technical analysis suggests potential for upward movement, but valuation remains constrained by a negative P/E ratio. Earnings call sentiment is positive, but high operating expenses are a concern.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company generated $336M in product revenue in 2024, an 88% YoY increase, driven by robust clinical demand across indications and international market expansion.
Product Development
Volixibat shows best-in-class potential for primary biliary cholangitis.
Regulatory Approvals
Geographic expansion continues with approval in Japan for ALGS and PFIC.
Negative Factors
Adverse Events
Diarrhea was the most commonly reported adverse event associated with volixibat.
Market Competition
Livmarli’s growth continues to be supported by both geographic and label expansion and the IBAT inhibitor is consistently outpacing its only approved competitor.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals (MIRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel therapies for debilitating rare and orphan diseases. The company's lead product candidate is LIVMARLI, an investigational oral drug for the treatment of progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis disease, as well as for the treatment of Alagille syndrome and biliary atresia disease. It also develops Volixibat drug for treatment of intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy and primary sclerosing cholangitis. Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyMirum Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sale and distribution of its proprietary pharmaceutical products designed to treat rare liver diseases. The company's revenue model is based on commercializing its FDA-approved medications, which are marketed to healthcare providers and specialists in the field of hepatology. Additionally, Mirum may pursue strategic partnerships and collaborations with other biopharmaceutical firms or research institutions to enhance its product pipeline and expand its market reach. Revenue streams are bolstered by potential milestone payments, royalties, and licensing fees associated with these partnerships, contributing to the company's financial growth.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.22%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, strong performance of key products, and multiple regulatory approvals, indicating positive business momentum. However, high operating expenses and non-cash charges were noted as challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
Mirum Pharmaceuticals reported total revenues of $111.6 million for Q1 2025, representing a 61% growth over the first quarter of the previous year.
Updated Revenue Guidance
The company increased its full-year revenue guidance to $435 million to $450 million, driven by robust growth across its commercial medicines.
Regulatory Approvals
Three important regulatory approvals were received, including FDA approval of CTEXLI for CTX treatment and LIVMARLI's approval in Japan for PFIC and Alagille syndrome.
Strong Performance of LIVMARLI
Total global net product sales for LIVMARLI grew to $73.2 million in Q1, an increase of over 70% compared to Q1 2024.
Pipeline Progress
The VISTAS study of Volixibat in PSC is nearing enrollment completion, with top-line data expected in Q2 2026. The VANTAGE study in PBC showed a 3.8 point reduction from baseline in pruritus.
Improved Financial Position
Operating cash flow was positive for the quarter, with a cash contribution margin improvement from approximately 47% to 53% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
High Operating Expenses
Total operating expense for Q1 2025 was $126.8 million, including R&D expenses of $46 million and SG&A expenses of $57.7 million.
Non-Cash Charges
The quarter included non-cash stock-based compensation expense of $15.8 million and intangible amortization and other non-cash items totaling $6 million.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Mirum Pharmaceuticals provided updated guidance for the fiscal year 2025 following a record-breaking first quarter. The company reported total revenues of $111.6 million, representing a 61% growth over the same period last year. As a result of robust growth from their commercial medicines, Mirum raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $435 million and $450 million. Key drivers included strong sales of LIVMARLI, which saw global net product sales reach $73.2 million, a growth of over 70% compared to the first quarter of 2024. U.S. sales of LIVMARLI were $49.5 million, highlighting strong new patient demand. Additionally, Mirum achieved three regulatory approvals since the beginning of the year, further bolstering its growth prospects. The company also reported that it was cash flow positive for the quarter, with a cash, cash equivalents, and investments balance of $298.6 million as of March 31st, 2025.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mirum Pharmaceuticals shows strong revenue growth, but profitability issues persist with negative EBIT and net income margins. The balance sheet shows high leverage, raising concerns despite improved cash flow management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Mirum Pharmaceuticals has shown strong revenue growth, increasing from $77.06 million in 2022 to $336.89 million in 2024, representing a substantial growth trajectory. However, the company is currently unprofitable, with negative EBIT and net income margins, indicating that while top-line growth is strong, profitability remains a significant challenge.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, reflecting a leveraged position with total debt exceeding equity. The equity ratio is low, indicating a reliance on debt financing. The negative stockholders' equity in previous years has improved but remains a concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved from negative to positive, indicating better cash management. Free cash flow has also turned positive, a favorable sign. However, the previous high cash burn rates still pose risks to financial sustainability if not managed carefully.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
336.89M186.37M77.06M19.14M0.00
Gross Profit
255.25M139.34M64.69M17.23M-623.00K
EBIT
-87.61M-109.15M-131.22M-173.41M-104.30M
EBITDA
-48.97M-136.49M-122.41M-65.39M-102.31M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-87.94M-163.41M-135.66M-83.99M-103.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
280.31M286.33M251.72M156.54M231.82M
Total Assets
670.75M646.62M352.91M294.65M240.86M
Total Debt
317.76M308.14M2.19M2.61M3.26M
Net Debt
95.26M21.82M-25.82M-28.73M-138.82M
Total Liabilities
445.11M397.95M210.87M174.44M68.77M
Stockholders Equity
225.64M248.67M-392.82M120.21M-173.17M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
9.33M-91.05M-120.41M-151.78M-89.30M
Operating Cash Flow
10.32M-70.94M-120.14M-132.76M-89.08M
Investing Cash Flow
-90.13M-107.20M7.70M48.55M37.87M
Financing Cash Flow
17.70M336.60M109.09M73.47M181.29M

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.61
Price Trends
50DMA
43.01
Positive
100DMA
45.36
Negative
200DMA
43.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Negative
RSI
53.05
Neutral
STOCH
65.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MIRM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.54, above the 50-day MA of 43.01, and above the 200-day MA of 43.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MIRM.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Mirum Pharmaceuticals disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mirum Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.09B1,092.911.13%14.80%530.21%
67
Neutral
$2.84B-32.17%-25.85%-23.89%
54
Neutral
$5.28B3.29-45.38%2.80%16.77%-0.08%
53
Neutral
$2.24B-33.06%69.31%57.12%
45
Neutral
$1.70B-38.04%-82.38%-164.76%
41
Neutral
$3.12B-30.57%-147.80%
40
Underperform
$1.56B-30.29%7.97%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MIRM
Mirum Pharmaceuticals
44.65
19.69
78.89%
VCEL
Vericel
43.40
-2.41
-5.26%
BEAM
Beam Therapeutics
17.00
-7.07
-29.37%
KYMR
Kymera Therapeutics
47.66
14.79
45.00%
MLTX
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
48.83
6.39
15.06%
EWTX
Edgewise Therapeutics
14.82
-2.79
-15.84%

Mirum Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mirum Pharmaceuticals Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, Mirum Pharmaceuticals held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made. Stockholders elected three Class III directors to serve until 2028, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and approved executive compensation, indicating continued support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (MIRM) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirum Pharmaceuticals stock, see the MIRM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.