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Magyar Bancorp Inc (MGYR)
NASDAQ:MGYR
US Market

Magyar Bancorp (MGYR) AI Stock Analysis

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MGYR

Magyar Bancorp

(NASDAQ:MGYR)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(11.11% Upside)
MGYR scores well primarily on improving financial performance (higher profits and stronger cash flow in 2025) and attractive valuation (low P/E with a dividend). Technicals are supportive but not strongly trending, while the latest corporate update adds a positive catalyst with better credit quality and continued shareholder returns.
Positive Factors
Rising quarterly profitability
A 50% YoY jump in quarterly net income signals durable improvement in core profitability driven by higher net interest income and lower provisions. Sustained earnings expansion strengthens internal capital generation, enabling ongoing dividends, modest buybacks, and reinvestment in lending capacity over the medium term.
Improving net interest margin and asset growth
A wider net interest margin combined with asset growth reflects a healthier lending/funding mix and successful loan deployment. Structurally higher NIM and scale growth support recurring net interest income, improving the franchise's ability to generate cash and absorb pressure on funding costs over the next several quarters.
Strong cash generation relative to earnings
Free cash flow running close to net income indicates earnings quality and real cash conversion. Reliable cash generation underpins sustainable shareholder returns and internal funding for loan growth, reducing reliance on external financing and bolstering medium-term financial flexibility if trends persist.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
An uptick in leverage in a short period reduces the capital cushion and increases sensitivity to funding and credit shocks. Higher debt-to-equity can constrain management's ability to expand lending or sustain buybacks/dividends during stress and raises regulatory and market scrutiny of capital adequacy.
Volatile revenue and margin history
Historical swings in revenue and margins weaken predictability of future earnings and complicate capital planning. Persistent volatility increases provisioning uncertainty and makes it harder to rely on recurring cash flows for long-term commitments, raising execution risk for strategic initiatives.
Uneven free cash flow and low coverage
Inconsistent free cash flow and low coverage metrics limit the firm's buffer against shocks and reduce margin for error when loan losses rise. This can force reliance on wholesale funding or curtailment of dividends/repurchases in downturns, constraining strategic flexibility over the medium term.

Magyar Bancorp (MGYR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Magyar Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMagyar Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for Magyar Bank that provides various consumer and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and nonprofit organizations in New Jersey, the United States. It accepts various deposit accounts, including demand, savings, NOW, money market, and retirement accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. The company also provides residential mortgage loans, multi-family and commercial real estate mortgage loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, commercial business loans, and construction loans, as well as small business administration loans. In addition, it offers non-deposit investment products and financial planning services, including insurance products, fixed and variable annuities, and retirement planning for individual and commercial customers; and buys, sells, and holds investment securities. The company has seven branch offices located in New Brunswick, North Brunswick, South Brunswick, Branchburg, Bridgewater, and Edison, New Jersey. Magyar Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in New Brunswick, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyMagyar Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and mortgages, as well as fees from various banking services. The key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, interest on mortgage loans, and fees associated with account maintenance, overdrafts, and transaction services. The bank also benefits from non-interest income through investment services and other ancillary services offered to its customers. Additionally, the company's performance is influenced by the local economic environment, interest rate changes, and its ability to manage loan defaults, which all play a crucial role in its overall profitability.

Magyar Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent results are solid: 2025 revenue and net income improved year over year and cash flow rebounded with free cash flow closely tracking net income. Offsetting factors are historically volatile growth/margins, an increase in leverage (debt-to-equity up to ~0.41), and uneven year-to-year cash-flow trends/coverage.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability has improved meaningfully in the most recent year (2025 annual): revenue rose to ~$58.4M from ~$52.1M in 2024, and net income increased to ~$9.8M from ~$7.8M, with margins also strengthening. However, growth and margin history looks volatile across the period (including unusually high/erratic margin figures in some earlier years), which reduces confidence in the consistency of the earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a generally moderate leverage profile with debt-to-equity at ~0.41 in 2025 (up from ~0.26 in 2024), and equity rising to ~$118.8M alongside asset growth to ~$997.7M. Returns on equity are steady in the high-single-digits (~8.2% in 2025), but the uptick in leverage over the last year is a key watch item, especially given the historical swing from much higher leverage in 2020.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation improved in 2025, with operating cash flow at ~$10.4M and free cash flow at ~$9.8M, and free cash flow running close to net income (free cash flow to net income ~0.94), which supports earnings quality. That said, free cash flow growth has been uneven year-to-year (down in 2023 and 2024 before rebounding sharply in 2025), and the provided cash flow coverage figures are very low in 2023–2025, suggesting less cushion on a coverage basis versus earlier years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue58.42M58.42M52.12M40.74M32.22M31.62M
Gross Profit35.21M35.21M31.44M30.03M29.43M27.05M
EBITDA14.75M14.75M11.99M11.58M12.01M9.56M
Net Income9.76M9.76M7.78M7.71M7.92M6.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets997.66M997.66M951.92M907.29M798.54M773.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.98M22.98M41.21M82.66M40.16M88.13M
Total Debt49.05M52.39M28.57M33.90M20.37M23.36M
Total Liabilities878.82M878.82M841.37M802.50M700.04M676.35M
Stockholders Equity118.84M118.84M110.55M104.79M98.50M97.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.81M9.81M5.51M8.18M10.81M8.84M
Operating Cash Flow10.39M10.39M6.32M8.48M11.20M9.26M
Investing Cash Flow-64.25M-64.25M-90.29M-66.05M-69.74M-8.20M
Financing Cash Flow35.35M35.35M37.04M99.17M14.28M12.41M

Magyar Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.55
Price Trends
50DMA
17.32
Positive
100DMA
17.14
Positive
200DMA
16.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
51.33
Neutral
STOCH
68.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGYR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.66, above the 50-day MA of 17.32, and above the 200-day MA of 16.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MGYR.

Magyar Bancorp Risk Analysis

Magyar Bancorp disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Magyar Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Magyar Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$114.06M10.2415.11%6.08%14.52%27.90%
72
Outperform
$114.14M10.268.51%1.81%12.08%27.88%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$129.32M45.901.57%0.88%9.43%166.36%
64
Neutral
$112.65M15.856.52%1.75%2.85%73.41%
61
Neutral
$107.28M22.302.90%1.51%8.77%369.81%
48
Neutral
$109.59M221.200.35%-15.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGYR
Magyar Bancorp
17.62
3.71
26.64%
RVSB
Riverview Bancorp
5.17
-0.35
-6.29%
UNB
Union Bankshares
24.89
-4.82
-16.23%
SFBC
Sound Financial Bancorp
43.90
-7.33
-14.31%
BSBK
Bogota Financial
8.45
0.66
8.47%
SRBK
SR Bancorp, Inc.
16.64
4.34
35.28%

Magyar Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Magyar Bancorp Reports Strong Quarterly Earnings and Dividend
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, Magyar Bancorp reported a 50% year-on-year increase in net income to $3.1 million, with basic earnings per share rising to $0.51 from $0.34, driven by higher net interest income, lower provisions for credit losses, and reduced operating expenses. The company expanded total assets to $1.045 billion, grew loans and deposits—particularly in commercial real estate and certificates of deposit—improved its net interest margin to 3.59% amid Federal Reserve rate cuts, sharply reduced non-performing assets, and reinforced shareholder returns by declaring a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share payable on February 26, 2026 to stockholders of record on February 12, 2026, while also increasing book value per share and modestly repurchasing stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGYR) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Magyar Bancorp stock, see the MGYR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026