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Magyar Bancorp Inc (MGYR)
NASDAQ:MGYR
US Market

Magyar Bancorp (MGYR) AI Stock Analysis

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MGYR

Magyar Bancorp

(NASDAQ:MGYR)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(19.66% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is driven primarily by favorable fundamentals (profitability, improving TTM results, and strong cash conversion) and supported by a clear technical uptrend. Valuation is reasonable with a modest P/E and some dividend support, while corporate events add a positive catalyst from strong results and increased shareholder returns; rising leverage and margin normalization remain key watch items.
Positive Factors
Profitability & Cash Conversion
Sustained high TTM margins and near-complete conversion of earnings to free cash flow support durable internal funding for lending, dividends, and buybacks. Reliable cash conversion strengthens capital allocation flexibility and resilience through mid-cycle rate moves or local credit stress.
Loan and Asset Growth
Consistent loan and asset expansion signals franchise traction in core markets and scale benefits for net interest income. Durable loan growth enhances earning asset base, supports higher book value per share, and provides structural revenue expansion if underwriting and asset quality remain disciplined.
Capital Returns & Governance Support
Increasing dividends and repeat buyback authorizations signal management confidence in earnings durability and free cash flow. Combined with shareholder support for board and auditor choices, this indicates governance continuity and disciplined capital allocation that can enhance longer-term shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
An upward trend in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to funding cost shifts. For a regional community bank, higher debt levels can magnify earnings volatility via increased interest expense and constrain capacity to absorb credit losses without diluting equity or cutting returns.
Commercial Real Estate Concentration
Material concentration in CRE lending increases exposure to local property market cycles and rent/occupancy trends. A downturn in regional commercial real estate could deteriorate asset quality and require higher provisions, pressuring capital and limiting the bank's ability to grow or sustain payouts.
Volatile Cash Flow Growth
While FCF conversion is currently strong, multi-year volatility implies earnings and cash are uneven. Irregular cash flow complicates planning for buybacks, dividends, and loan funding, and makes the franchise more vulnerable to episodic funding stress or unexpected increases in provisions or operating costs.

Magyar Bancorp (MGYR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Magyar Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMagyar Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for Magyar Bank that provides various consumer and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and nonprofit organizations in New Jersey, the United States. It accepts various deposit accounts, including demand, savings, NOW, money market, and retirement accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. The company also provides residential mortgage loans, multi-family and commercial real estate mortgage loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, commercial business loans, and construction loans, as well as small business administration loans. In addition, it offers non-deposit investment products and financial planning services, including insurance products, fixed and variable annuities, and retirement planning for individual and commercial customers; and buys, sells, and holds investment securities. The company has seven branch offices located in New Brunswick, North Brunswick, South Brunswick, Branchburg, Bridgewater, and Edison, New Jersey. Magyar Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in New Brunswick, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyMagyar Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and mortgages, as well as fees from various banking services. The key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, interest on mortgage loans, and fees associated with account maintenance, overdrafts, and transaction services. The bank also benefits from non-interest income through investment services and other ancillary services offered to its customers. Additionally, the company's performance is influenced by the local economic environment, interest rate changes, and its ability to manage loan defaults, which all play a crucial role in its overall profitability.

Magyar Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM profitability (~18% net margin; ~25% EBIT margin), rising revenue and net income versus the prior annual period, and solid cash conversion (FCF ~94% of net income). Offsets include some margin compression versus 2022–2023 and a higher leverage trend (debt-to-equity ~0.41, up versus prior years).
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is $59.9M with strong profitability (about 18% net margin and ~25% EBIT margin). Revenue growth in TTM is meaningfully higher than the prior annual period, and net income has stepped up versus 2024. Offsetting this, profitability has been below the exceptionally high levels shown in earlier years (notably gross and net margins in 2022–2023), indicating some margin compression over time even as the top line expands.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with debt-to-equity around 0.41 in TTM, up from lower levels in 2021–2024, which suggests increasing reliance on debt. Equity has grown (to ~$121.7M TTM), and returns on equity have improved to ~9.4% TTM from ~7.0–8.2% in recent annual periods. Strength is improving shareholder returns and a growing equity base; the key watch item is the upward leverage trend.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is solid: TTM operating cash flow is $11.2M and free cash flow is $11.0M, with free cash flow running at ~94% of net income, indicating earnings are largely converting into cash. Free cash flow growth is strong in TTM versus the prior annual period, recovering from declines seen in 2023–2024. The main weakness is volatility in cash flow growth across the multi-year period, implying uneven cash generation year to year.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.91M58.42M52.12M40.74M32.22M31.62M
Gross Profit36.54M35.21M31.44M30.03M29.43M27.05M
EBITDA15.89M14.75M11.99M11.58M12.01M9.56M
Net Income10.81M9.76M7.78M7.71M7.92M6.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.05B997.66M951.92M907.29M798.54M773.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.01M22.98M41.21M82.66M40.16M88.13M
Total Debt49.05M49.05M28.57M33.90M20.37M23.36M
Total Liabilities923.75M878.82M841.37M802.50M700.04M676.35M
Stockholders Equity121.75M118.84M110.55M104.79M98.50M97.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.96M9.81M5.51M8.18M10.81M8.84M
Operating Cash Flow11.16M10.39M6.32M8.48M11.20M9.26M
Investing Cash Flow-61.66M-64.25M-90.29M-66.05M-69.74M-8.20M
Financing Cash Flow26.09M35.35M37.04M99.17M14.28M12.41M

Magyar Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.55
Price Trends
50DMA
17.68
Negative
100DMA
17.27
Negative
200DMA
16.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
41.92
Neutral
STOCH
29.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGYR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.68, below the 50-day MA of 17.68, and above the 200-day MA of 16.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MGYR.

Magyar Bancorp Risk Analysis

Magyar Bancorp disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Magyar Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Magyar Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$114.21M8.589.18%1.81%12.08%27.88%
74
Outperform
$107.46M9.7814.80%6.08%14.52%27.90%
68
Neutral
$126.27M35.781.57%0.88%9.43%166.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$105.72M15.596.70%1.75%2.85%73.41%
57
Neutral
$106.66M18.922.98%1.51%8.77%369.81%
48
Neutral
$107.77M39.111.50%-15.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGYR
Magyar Bancorp
17.63
3.60
25.66%
RVSB
Riverview Bancorp
5.15
0.02
0.33%
UNB
Union Bankshares
23.45
-4.08
-14.81%
SFBC
Sound Financial Bancorp
41.20
-9.92
-19.40%
BSBK
Bogota Financial
8.31
0.65
8.49%
SRBK
SR Bancorp, Inc.
16.67
5.17
44.96%

Magyar Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Magyar Bancorp Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

At the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on February 11, 2026, Magyar Bancorp shareholders elected Susan Eisenhauer and Maureen Ruane to the board of directors for three-year terms, reinforcing the company’s existing governance structure. Investors also approved on an advisory basis the compensation of named executive officers and ratified RSM US LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, signaling continued support for current management practices and financial oversight.

These voting outcomes suggest stability in Magyar Bancorp’s leadership and audit arrangements, which may reassure stakeholders about continuity in strategic direction and financial reporting. The strong backing for executive pay and the choice of RSM US LLP as auditor underscore shareholder confidence in the company’s governance framework and its approach to managing regulatory and financial reporting obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGYR) stock is a Buy with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Magyar Bancorp stock, see the MGYR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Magyar Bancorp Highlights Record 2025 Results, Boosts Dividend
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

At its February 11, 2026 annual shareholders meeting, Magyar Bancorp highlighted record fiscal 2025 earnings of $9.8 million, a 25% increase from 2024, supported by 10% loan growth, expanding net interest margin and strong asset quality with low non-performing assets. Earnings per share rose to $1.56, book value per share climbed to $18.79 by December 31, 2025, and the stock price advanced 40% from September 30, 2024 to September 30, 2025, with shares closing at $18.40 on February 6, 2026, up 84% from the July 15, 2021 second-step IPO price.

The company underscored its strengthened positioning through continued recognition as a 5-star bank by Bauer Financial and inclusion on the 2025 KBW Honor Roll for consistent earnings growth, alongside completion of a second share repurchase program and authorization of a third, plus a 25% dividend increase to $0.10 per quarter in January 2026. Management outlined a 2026 focus on managing interest-rate risk, cybersecurity and cost control, including a planned Edison office relocation for savings, further use of technology to boost branch efficiency, potential branch expansion, and leveraging its community banking model and commercial loan repricing to support net interest margin expansion and enhance shareholder value.

Operational metrics showed total assets rising to $1.045 billion, loans to $876 million and deposits to $859 million by year-end 2025, with deposit mixes shifting while funding costs eased as market rates declined. Loan origination in 2025 totaled $163 million, heavily weighted toward commercial real estate, and the bank’s net interest margin remained above that of a peer group of similarly sized Mid-Atlantic banks, signaling competitive pricing power and disciplined funding costs.

Non-performing assets as a percentage of total assets stayed relatively low through 2025 despite a modest uptick, underscoring resilient credit quality in the New Jersey market. For stakeholders, the combination of strong earnings momentum, disciplined risk and cost management and continued capital returns via buybacks and dividends suggests Magyar is seeking to consolidate its status as a high-performing community bank while cautiously evaluating selective growth opportunities in its core markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGYR) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Magyar Bancorp stock, see the MGYR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Magyar Bancorp Reports Strong Quarterly Earnings and Dividend
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, Magyar Bancorp reported a 50% year-on-year increase in net income to $3.1 million, with basic earnings per share rising to $0.51 from $0.34, driven by higher net interest income, lower provisions for credit losses, and reduced operating expenses. The company expanded total assets to $1.045 billion, grew loans and deposits—particularly in commercial real estate and certificates of deposit—improved its net interest margin to 3.59% amid Federal Reserve rate cuts, sharply reduced non-performing assets, and reinforced shareholder returns by declaring a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share payable on February 26, 2026 to stockholders of record on February 12, 2026, while also increasing book value per share and modestly repurchasing stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGYR) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Magyar Bancorp stock, see the MGYR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026