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MGM Resorts (MGM)
NYSE:MGM

MGM Resorts (MGM) AI Stock Analysis

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MGM Resorts

(NYSE:MGM)

66Neutral
MGM Resorts demonstrates strong financial potential with robust revenue growth and effective cash generation. However, declining profitability margins and high leverage present notable risks. The technical analysis suggests a bearish outlook, adding caution to the stock's performance. Despite these challenges, the positive earnings call sentiment and strategic focus on growth offer a cautiously optimistic view for the future.
Positive Factors
Expansion and Growth
An agreement to build a new location in Japan bodes well for MGM's future prospects.
Financial Performance
MGM is aggressively repurchasing stock, which could help address its undervaluation in the market.
Negative Factors
Earnings Decrease
MGM reported adjusted 4Q24 EPS of $0.45, down from $1.06 in the prior-year period, indicating a decrease in earnings.
Revenue Decline
Las Vegas 4Q24 revenue saw a 6% decrease from 4Q23, reflecting tough comparisons to the previous year's strong results.

MGM Resorts (MGM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

MGM Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casino, hotel, and entertainment resorts in the United States and Macau. The company operates through three segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, and MGM China. Its casino resorts offer gaming, hotel, convention, dining, entertainment, retail, and other resort amenities. The company's casino operations include slots and table games, as well as online sports betting and iGaming through BetMGM. As of February 17, 2021, its portfolio consisted of 29 hotel and destination gaming offerings. The company also owns and operates Las Vegas Strip Resorts and Fallen Oak golf course. Its customers include premium gaming customers; leisure and wholesale travel customers; business travelers; and group customers, including conventions, trade associations, and small meetings. The company was formerly known as MGM MIRAGE and changed its name to MGM Resorts International in June 2010. MGM Resorts International was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMGM Resorts makes money primarily through its operations in the hospitality and entertainment sectors. The company generates revenue from its hotel accommodations, casino gaming, food and beverage services, and entertainment offerings. Room bookings and related services provide significant income, while the casino segment contributes a substantial portion through gaming activities including table games, slot machines, and sports betting. Additionally, MGM Resorts earns from conventions and event hosting, leveraging its large-scale facilities and prime locations. Partnerships with entertainment companies and celebrity chefs also enhance its revenue streams by attracting visitors seeking high-profile experiences.

MGM Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MGM Resorts showcases robust revenue growth and a strong operating cash flow, yet faces challenges with declining profitability margins and high leverage. The company's financial position is solid but requires careful management of debt to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
MGM Resorts has demonstrated strong growth in its revenue, with a year-over-year increase of 6.65% from 2023 to 2024. The company also maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 100% in 2024. However, there is a notable decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, and net profit margin has decreased from 7.07% to 4.33%, indicating pressure on the company's profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 8.60 in 2024, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The equity ratio has decreased to 7.31%, suggesting lower financial stability. Return on equity has also declined to 24.69%, reflecting reduced profitability on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
MGM Resorts' cash flow statement highlights a decrease in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024, although free cash flow remains positive at $1.21 billion. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.16, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
17.24B16.16B13.13B9.68B5.16B
Gross Profit
7.85B7.61B6.47B4.65B1.71B
EBIT
1.49B1.89B-1.81B631.33M-2.08B
EBITDA
2.39B2.75B1.77B1.71B558.86M
Net Income Common Stockholders
746.56M1.14B206.73M1.25B-1.32B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.42B2.93B5.91B4.70B5.10B
Total Assets
42.23B42.37B45.69B40.90B36.49B
Total Debt
31.61B31.62B33.99B24.69B21.02B
Net Debt
29.19B28.69B28.08B19.99B15.92B
Total Liabilities
38.51B38.00B40.32B29.77B25.25B
Stockholders Equity
3.02B3.81B4.83B6.07B6.50B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.21B1.76B991.39M882.73M-1.76B
Operating Cash Flow
2.36B2.69B1.76B1.37B-1.49B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.28B-714.17M2.12B1.54B2.16B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.56B-5.00B-3.02B-2.81B2.10B

MGM Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.75
Price Trends
50DMA
32.90
Negative
100DMA
34.06
Negative
200DMA
36.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.94
Positive
RSI
36.60
Neutral
STOCH
18.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.35, below the 50-day MA of 32.90, and below the 200-day MA of 36.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MGM.

MGM Resorts Risk Analysis

MGM Resorts disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MGM Resorts reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MGM Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BYBYD
78
Outperform
$5.57B10.9134.76%1.13%5.13%2.04%
WHWH
72
Outperform
$6.79B24.3041.40%1.77%6.40%
MGMGM
66
Neutral
$8.47B12.5221.76%6.66%-24.59%
HH
64
Neutral
$11.37B9.4236.45%0.57%-6.41%511.40%
63
Neutral
$8.05B17.42-51.73%1.51%9.13%-30.00%
59
Neutral
$11.76B10.11-0.70%3.92%1.27%-16.30%
CZCZR
46
Neutral
$5.85B-6.38%-2.45%-135.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGM
MGM Resorts
28.75
-15.97
-35.71%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
64.30
-0.43
-0.66%
H
Hyatt Hotels
111.25
-45.09
-28.84%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
72.30
-31.38
-30.27%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
25.45
-16.77
-39.72%
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
82.50
10.38
14.39%

MGM Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -16.35% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with record-breaking performance in several key areas, including Las Vegas operations and BetMGM growth. However, challenges such as the impact of the Super Bowl headwind, ongoing digital losses, and revenue declines in Las Vegas were noted. Overall, the sentiment is cautiously optimistic with an expectation of growth in 2025.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Performance
MGM Resorts achieved record results in consolidated net revenues, domestic slot win, hotel revenue, and F&B revenue for 2024.
Strong Start to 2025
January 2025 showed positive indicators with increased domestic operations revenue and ADRs expected to grow throughout the year.
Las Vegas Operations
Las Vegas December slot handle and slot win reached all-time records, contributing to a strong fourth quarter performance.
Convention Bookings Surge
MGM Resorts recorded the strongest convention booking month in December, with bookings 43% higher than the prior record month.
BetMGM Performance
BetMGM drove over $2 billion in top-line growth, with expectations for 2025 net revenues from operations to reach $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion.
MGM China Success
MGM China achieved the best ever full-year segment adjusted EBITDA, with a market share growing to over 16% in December.
Lowlights
Impact of Super Bowl and Renovations
The comparison to the prior year's Super Bowl is expected to have a $65 million year-over-year headwind, with additional impacts from MGM Grand renovations.
MGM Digital Losses
Despite revenue growth, MGM Digital's 2025 EBITDAR losses are expected to stay consistent with 2024 due to increased spending related to the launch in Brazil.
Las Vegas Revenue Decline
Las Vegas revenues were down 6% and adjusted EBITDAR was down 11% in the fourth quarter, facing strong comparisons to the prior year.
Company Guidance
During MGM Resorts International's fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming year. CEO Bill Hornbuckle highlighted the company's strong financial position, noting record annual domestic slot win, hotel revenue, and food and beverage revenue. MGM's Net Promoter Scores also reached an all-time high for Gold+ customers. The company expects continued growth in 2025, with revenues from domestic operations up in January and ADRs projected to grow throughout the year. MGM's balance sheet is characterized by low net debt and significant liquidity, allowing for strategic investments and expansion in both digital and brick-and-mortar platforms. The company is optimistic about achieving $2.4 to $2.5 billion in net revenues from operations for BetMGM in 2025, with EBITDA turning positive, representing a $250 million year-over-year increase. Additionally, MGM is focusing on enhancing the customer experience through investments in property renovations and expanding its digital footprint, particularly in Europe and Brazil. MGM aims to leverage its strong market position in Las Vegas and other key markets to drive sustained growth and shareholder value.

MGM Resorts Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
MGM Resorts Appoints Dame Donna Langley to Board
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, MGM Resorts International appointed Dame Donna Langley, Chairman of NBCUniversal Entertainment & Studios, to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to 13 members. Langley’s extensive experience in entertainment programming and marketing is expected to significantly benefit MGM Resorts as it aims to enhance its gaming and entertainment offerings. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage her expertise in content strategy and industry leadership, potentially strengthening MGM’s market position and operational strategies.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.