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Metlife (MET)
NYSE:MET
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Metlife (MET) AI Stock Analysis

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MET

Metlife

(NYSE:MET)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(11.42% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/07/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality—especially the sharp 2025 cash-flow deterioration and margin compression—despite manageable leverage. Offsetting this are strong technical momentum and a positive earnings-call tone with reiterated targets and meaningful capital returns. Valuation is only moderately supportive due to the missing/invalid P/E input, though the ~2.83% dividend yield helps.
Positive Factors
Diversified, broad-based revenue growth
MetLife's revenue gains are broad-based across Group Benefits, RIS, Asia and EMEA, reducing reliance on any single product or geography. This diversification supports more stable top-line growth over multiple cycles and underpins durable distribution advantages with employer, broker and institutional channels.
Negative Factors
Sharp cash-flow deterioration in 2025
An ~81% year-over-year free cash flow collapse signals heightened volatility in cash-conversion and raises questions about near-term funding of capital returns and reinvestment. If persistent, this reduces financial flexibility, stresses liquidity buffers, and increases sensitivity to underwriting or market shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified, broad-based revenue growth
MetLife's revenue gains are broad-based across Group Benefits, RIS, Asia and EMEA, reducing reliance on any single product or geography. This diversification supports more stable top-line growth over multiple cycles and underpins durable distribution advantages with employer, broker and institutional channels.
Read all positive factors

Metlife (MET) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Metlife Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MetLife, Inc., a financial services company, provides insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management services worldwide. It operates through five segments: U.S.; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and MetLife H...
How the Company Makes Money
MetLife primarily makes money by underwriting insurance and providing employee benefit and retirement-related products, supported by investment income on the assets it holds to back policyholder obligations. Key revenue and earnings drivers inclu...

Metlife Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong quarter with broad-based top-line growth, improved margins, disciplined expense and capital management, and clear progress integrating PineBridge into MIM. Management highlighted robust VII performance, a top-end ROE of 17%, and numerous regional wins (notably Asia and EMEA). Headwinds were present but generally described as manageable and/or seasonal: net investment/trading losses, short-term MIM outflows and integration expenses, tax-related impacts in Latin America, modest spread headwinds in RIS, and localized operational/regulatory items. Overall, the positive operational and financial momentum materially outweighs the lowlights, which are characterized as limited, manageable, or transitory.
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted Earnings and EPS Growth
Reported adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.42, representing an 18% increase in adjusted earnings and a 23% increase in adjusted EPS year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Net Investment / Trading Losses and Opportunistic PE Sale
Net income ($1.1 billion, $1.74 per share) lagged adjusted earnings due to net investment losses from trading activity and a modest loss on the opportunistic sale of ~$750 million of private equity at a discount.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Adjusted Earnings and EPS Growth
Reported adjusted earnings of $1.6 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.42, representing an 18% increase in adjusted earnings and a 23% increase in adjusted EPS year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated several quantified targets and near‑term expectations: RIS full‑year adjusted earnings are guided to $1.6–$1.8 billion; company adjusted ROE target is 15–17% (Q1 reached 17%); 2026 direct expense‑ratio target is 12.1% (Q1 was 11.9%); effective tax‑rate guidance is 24–26% (Q1 was 24%); RIS total investment spread guidance is 100–120 bps (Q1 was 119 bps) with core spread ex‑VII ~95 bps; pretax variable investment income was $518 million in Q1 and total VII assets were $18.2 billion (PE avg Q1 return ~2.9%, VC +6.8%); holding‑company liquidity target is $3–$4 billion (Q1 cash $3.9 billion); 2025 U.S. NAIC RBC was 379% vs a 360% target and estimated U.S. statutory adjusted capital was ~$16.2 billion; free cash‑flow conversion target remains 65–75%; and capital actions/constraints noted included ~$750 million of Q1 share repurchases (plus ~$200 million in April), ~$370 million of common dividends in Q1 (total returned ≈$1.1 billion), a $1 billion subordinated debt issuance, and ≈$1.1 billion remaining on the buyback authorization.

Metlife Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Revenue grew meaningfully in 2025, but profitability weakened (lower net income and margin compression). Balance sheet leverage is manageable but less conservative than prior years, and ROE cooled. The biggest negative is the sharp 2025 cash-flow drop versus 2020–2024 levels, raising near-term cash-conversion reliability concerns.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.08B69.94B67.71B67.97B63.37B
Gross Profit28.02B19.00B17.29B18.94B16.84B
EBITDA5.72B7.37B3.92B7.97B10.13B
Net Income3.38B4.43B1.58B5.28B6.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets745.17B677.46B687.58B663.07B759.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments125.34B108.78B316.83B313.32B367.50B
Total Debt20.18B18.71B18.83B17.98B17.43B
Total Liabilities716.25B649.75B657.33B632.95B691.96B
Stockholders Equity28.40B27.45B30.02B29.88B67.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.11B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B
Operating Cash Flow18.11B15.12B14.26B11.37B12.83B
Investing Cash Flow-15.61B-11.49B-10.25B-2.62B-11.19B
Financing Cash Flow163.00M-3.13B-2.94B-9.95B-1.38B

Metlife Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price78.08
Price Trends
50DMA
73.23
Positive
100DMA
75.70
Positive
200DMA
76.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.45
Negative
RSI
69.70
Neutral
STOCH
91.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 78.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.28, above the 50-day MA of 73.23, and above the 200-day MA of 76.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MET.

Metlife Risk Analysis

Metlife disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metlife reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Metlife Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$11.96B10.0820.32%0.74%3.96%18.84%
79
Outperform
$57.82B13.8117.20%2.10%7.25%37.42%
74
Outperform
$12.83B12.917.07%2.22%4.19%-45.74%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$51.39B9.7312.88%2.78%5.57%-16.00%
66
Neutral
$6.87B12.03%3.93%13.63%21.44%
66
Neutral
$34.51B14.0111.44%4.73%4.08%54.01%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MET
Metlife
78.82
2.66
3.49%
AFL
AFLAC
113.60
9.88
9.52%
LNC
Lincoln National
35.94
4.15
13.05%
PRU
Prudential Financial
99.44
1.09
1.11%
GL
Globe Life
152.45
31.54
26.09%
UNM
Unum Group
80.32
1.74
2.22%

Metlife Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
MetLife Reports Strong First-Quarter 2026 Financial Performance
Positive
May 6, 2026
MetLife reported strong first-quarter 2026 results for the period ended March 31, 2026, with net income rising 30% year on year to $1.1 billion, or $1.74 per share, and adjusted earnings up 18% to $1.6 billion, or $2.42 per share. Premiums, fees a...
Financial Disclosures
MetLife Issues Preliminary First-Quarter Variable Investment Income
Neutral
Apr 7, 2026
MetLife disclosed preliminary, unaudited figures for variable investment income for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, estimating pre-tax income of approximately $475 million to $525 million. This range is set against the company’s full-year ...
Dividends
MetLife Confirms First-Quarter 2026 Series A Preferred Dividend
Positive
Mar 5, 2026
On March 5, 2026, MetLife, Inc. confirmed its previously announced first quarter 2026 dividend of $0.31501229 per share on its floating rate non-cumulative preferred stock, Series A, which carries a $25 per share liquidation preference. The divide...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
MetLife Issues $1 Billion Subordinated Debentures to Bolster Capital
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
On February 26, 2026, MetLife, Inc. issued $1 billion of 5.850% Fixed-to-Fixed Reset Rate Subordinated Debentures due 2056 under an existing shelf registration, using its long-standing indenture with The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company as tr...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
MetLife Expands Board With Two New Independent Directors
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 24, 2026, MetLife, Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from eleven to thirteen members and elected Daniel S. Glaser and Michelle R. Seitz as new independent directors, each joining immediately. Glaser was appointed to the Audit, Compe...
Dividends
MetLife Announces First-Quarter 2026 Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
Feb 17, 2026
On February 17, 2026, MetLife, Inc. announced a series of preferred stock dividend declarations for the first quarter of 2026, covering its Series D, E, F and A securities. The dividends, which vary by series and structure, underscore the company&...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 07, 2026