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Medtronic (MDT)
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Medtronic (MDT) AI Stock Analysis

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MDT

Medtronic

(NYSE:MDT)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$107.00
▲(13.75% Upside)
Medtronic's overall stock score of 80 reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, supported by strategic corporate events. While the valuation is on the higher side, the company's robust growth prospects and stable technical indicators contribute to a favorable outlook.

Medtronic (MDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Medtronic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedtronic plc is a global leader in medical technology, services, and solutions, dedicated to alleviating pain, restoring health, and extending life for people worldwide. The company operates through four main business segments: Cardiovascular, Minimally Invasive Therapies, Restorative Therapies, and Diabetes. Medtronic's core products include cardiac devices such as pacemakers and defibrillators, surgical instruments for minimally invasive procedures, neurostimulation devices for chronic pain relief, and insulin pumps and continuous glucose monitoring systems for diabetes management.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedtronic generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices and technologies across its business segments. The company earns money by selling high-margin products directly to hospitals, healthcare providers, and distributors. Key revenue streams include sales from cardiovascular devices, including stents and heart valves, minimally invasive surgical instruments, and diabetes management solutions. Medtronic also benefits from recurring revenue through service contracts and ongoing sales of consumable products associated with its devices. Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers, research institutions, and technology companies enhance its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Medtronic Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart InsightsMedtronic's Cardiovascular segment shows robust growth, aligning with the 8% increase reported in the earnings call, driven by innovations like Cardiac Ablation Solutions. Neuroscience also maintains strong momentum. The Diabetes segment, despite its lower margins, continues its double-digit growth streak, prompting a strategic spin-off to focus on high-margin areas. This separation aims to enhance operational efficiency and shareholder value. However, potential tariff impacts and currency headwinds pose risks to future margins, which investors should monitor closely.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Medtronic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in key areas like Cardiac Ablation Solutions and Diabetes, leading to an increased EPS guidance. However, some areas like MedSurg and Neuroscience experienced slower growth, and tariffs continue to present a financial challenge.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Cardiac Ablation Solutions Growth
CAS grew nearly 50% with low 70s growth in both the U.S. and Japan, driven by high demand for Pulsed Field Ablation systems.
Improvement in Diabetes Segment
Diabetes grew 8%, with 11% growth in international markets, driven by the success of the 780G system and Simplera Sync sensor.
Increased EPS Guidance
EPS came in ahead of guidance, leading to an increase in EPS guidance for the full year to a range of $5.60 to $5.66.
Neuroscience Growth
Neuroscience grew 3%, supported by high single-digit growth in both Neurosurgery and Neuromodulation.
Strong Performance in Cardiovascular
Cardiovascular grew 7%, led by strong growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions and double-digit growth in cardiac surgery, ICDs, and Leadless Pacing.
Negative Updates
Slower Growth in MedSurg
MedSurg grew 2%, in line with current expectations, but below company average.
Challenges in Neuroscience Growth
Neuroscience growth was below trend due to delivery changes in Specialty Therapies, expected to improve in Q2.
Continued Tariff Headwinds
Tariffs are expected to have a $185 million impact on fiscal 2026.
U.S. Diabetes Performance
Diabetes growth in the U.S. was slower than international markets, attributed to product availability and timing.
Company Guidance
In the recent first-quarter earnings call, Medtronic reported a consistent mid-single-digit revenue growth, aligning with their guidance, and an EPS that surpassed expectations. Key highlights included a high single-digit growth in their Cardiovascular segment, particularly in Cardiac Ablation Solutions, which saw nearly 50% growth. The Neuroscience segment grew by 3%, with notable expansion in Neurosurgery and Neuromodulation. MedSurg grew by 2%, while the Diabetes division reported an 8% growth, bolstered by international markets. Medtronic raised its full-year EPS guidance, reflecting a strong start to the fiscal year and anticipating accelerated growth driven by their robust product pipeline and strategic initiatives. The company also discussed the planned separation of the Diabetes business, expected to be EPS accretive, and the formation of new board committees focused on growth and operational excellence.

Medtronic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medtronic demonstrates strong financial health with consistent profitability, stable leverage, and solid cash flow generation. Minor concerns include increasing debt and slight margin pressures, but overall, the company's financial position supports its growth strategies.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Medtronic's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 65% and a net profit margin of approximately 13.6% in TTM. Revenue growth is modest but positive, indicating stable demand. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over time suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a debt-to-equity ratio below 0.6, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is stable around 9.6%, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a well-capitalized company. However, the increase in total debt over time could pose future risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals robust free cash flow growth in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, which could indicate increased capital expenditures or other cash uses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.20B33.54B32.36B31.23B31.69B30.12B
Gross Profit21.70B21.91B21.15B20.51B21.54B19.63B
EBITDA9.35B9.22B8.20B8.70B8.78B7.52B
Net Income4.66B4.66B3.68B3.76B5.04B3.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets90.97B91.68B89.98B90.95B90.98B93.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.12B8.96B8.01B7.96B10.57B10.82B
Total Debt28.61B28.52B25.02B24.36B24.11B26.39B
Total Liabilities42.84B43.42B39.56B39.28B38.26B41.48B
Stockholders Equity47.89B48.02B50.21B51.48B52.55B51.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.30B5.18B5.20B4.58B5.98B4.88B
Operating Cash Flow7.15B7.04B6.79B6.04B7.35B6.24B
Investing Cash Flow-2.40B-1.94B-2.37B-3.49B-1.66B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow-5.01B-4.36B-4.45B-4.96B-5.34B-4.14B

Medtronic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price94.07
Price Trends
50DMA
91.18
Positive
100DMA
87.70
Positive
200DMA
86.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Positive
RSI
51.09
Neutral
STOCH
59.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 94.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.47, above the 50-day MA of 91.18, and above the 200-day MA of 86.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MDT.

Medtronic Risk Analysis

Medtronic disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Medtronic reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Medtronic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$119.28B25.689.72%2.99%4.98%22.08%
79
Outperform
$230.09B16.5331.01%1.76%5.85%152.28%
79
Outperform
$160.24B64.3311.71%21.45%36.19%
78
Outperform
$47.09B54.4815.71%-5.23%-39.83%
77
Outperform
$150.29B52.0214.25%0.85%11.36%-15.66%
73
Outperform
$31.57B54.6122.83%9.30%-14.95%
51
Neutral
$7.93B-0.32-43.43%2.21%22.30%-1.88%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDT
Medtronic
94.07
6.62
7.57%
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
129.36
14.96
13.08%
BSX
Boston Scientific
108.09
25.15
30.32%
DXCM
Dexcom
78.40
9.93
14.50%
EW
Edwards Lifesciences
79.80
11.55
16.92%
SYK
Stryker
392.76
29.69
8.18%

Medtronic Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Medtronic Expands Board, Appoints Two New Directors
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Medtronic‘s Board of Directors expanded from 11 to 13 members, appointing John Groetelaars and William Jellison as new directors, effective August 19, 2025. Medtronic also reported its first quarter fiscal 2026 financial results, showing an 8.4% increase in revenue to $8.6 billion and a 4.8% organic growth, with significant contributions from Cardiac Ablation Solutions. The company raised its FY26 EPS guidance, reflecting confidence in its growth drivers and operational efficiencies.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Medtronic Expands Board, Appoints Dr. Joon Lee
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Medtronic‘s Board of Directors expanded from 10 to 11 members, appointing Dr. Joon Lee as a new independent director. Dr. Lee, CEO of Emory Healthcare, brings extensive experience in healthcare leadership and will serve on the Science and Technology Committee and the Compensation and Talent Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance Medtronic’s mission to leverage data and technology for improving patient and provider experiences, aligning with the company’s goals to advance healthcare solutions globally.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025