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Medtronic (MDT)
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Medtronic (MDT) AI Stock Analysis

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MDT

Medtronic

(NYSE:MDT)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$98.00
▲(8.60%Upside)
Medtronic scores well due to its solid financial performance and strategic focus on high-growth areas. The company's earnings call provided a positive outlook with revenue growth and strategic initiatives like the Diabetes business spin-off. However, valuation concerns and potential impacts from tariffs and currency headwinds temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Growth Opportunity
The CMS proposal to cover renal denervation for uncontrolled hypertension is seen as a significant growth opportunity for Medtronic.
Market Potential
Medtronic estimates over 18 million people in the U.S. have uncontrolled hypertension, indicating a vast potential market.
Strategic Advantage
The proposed national coverage decision for renal denervation is a win for Medtronic, allowing the company to target a potentially multi-billion-dollar opportunity.
Negative Factors
Growth Challenges
MDT's inability to grow beyond 5%+ has weighed on shares and has historically constrained its multiple expansion.
Market Education
There are several key hurdles still to cross, including educating primary care physicians and battling the stigma of the procedure's mixed clinical track record.

Medtronic (MDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Medtronic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedtronic (MDT) is a global leader in medical technology, services, and solutions, headquartered in Dublin, Ireland. The company operates in various sectors including cardiovascular, medical surgical, neuroscience, and diabetes. Medtronic's core products and services focus on advanced medical devices and therapies that improve patient outcomes, such as pacemakers, insulin pumps, surgical instruments, and neurostimulation devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedtronic generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices and therapies. The company divides its operations into four main business segments: Cardiovascular, Medical Surgical, Neuroscience, and Diabetes. Each segment offers a range of products tailored to specific medical conditions and procedures, contributing to the company's diverse revenue streams. Medtronic also partners with healthcare providers, hospitals, and clinics worldwide to deliver its solutions, enhancing its market reach. Furthermore, the company invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product portfolio, ensuring sustained growth and competitive advantage in the medical technology industry.

Medtronic Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsMedtronic's revenue in the United States has shown consistent growth, with a notable uptick in early 2025, reflecting strong performance in its Cardiovascular and Neuromodulation segments. The Rest of World segment also demonstrates a positive trend, supported by strategic innovations like Cardiac Ablation Solutions. The planned spin-off of the Diabetes business aims to enhance focus on high-margin areas, potentially improving overall profitability. However, investors should be mindful of potential tariff impacts and currency headwinds that could affect future earnings.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Medtronic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with positive revenue growth, especially in Cardiovascular and Neuromodulation segments. The decision to spin off the Diabetes business is seen as a strategic move to focus on higher-margin growth areas. However, concerns about tariff impacts and currency headwinds were noted.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
The company reported a 5.4% organic revenue growth in Q4, with notable acceleration in Cardiovascular (8%), Neuromodulation, and Diabetes segments.
Cardiac Ablation Solutions Surge
Cardiac Ablation Solutions grew nearly 30%, driven by high demand for Affera PFA products and the Sphere-9 focal catheter.
Neuromodulation Leads Market
Neuromodulation grew 10%, with a 12% increase in Pain Stim and 15% growth in the US, maintaining the number one global position in SCS.
Diabetes Segment Growth
The Diabetes segment achieved 12% growth, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, with strong contributions from the MiniMed 780G and Simplera Sync sensor.
Significant Operational Leverage
The company achieved high single-digit operating profit and low double-digit EPS growth, with Q4 EPS growth of 11%.
Portfolio Milestones
Two businesses, CAS and ENT, reached $1 billion in annual revenue, joining ten other businesses in this category.
Separation of Diabetes Business
The decision to separate the Diabetes business into a standalone public company is seen as a strategic move for focused growth and investment.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Potential impact of US/China tariffs could affect COGS by $200 million to $350 million in fiscal year '26.
Diabetes Business Margins
Diabetes has lower gross and operating margins than overall Medtronic, affecting the company's margin profile.
Currency Headwinds
Gross margin was down 70 basis points year-over-year due to unfavorable foreign exchange and product mix.
Back-end Loaded Earnings Growth
Projected EPS growth for fiscal '26 is expected to be back-end loaded, with Q1 showing minimal growth.
Company Guidance
During Medtronic's fiscal year 2025 fourth-quarter earnings call, the company reported a strong 5.4% organic revenue growth, with significant contributions from its Cardiovascular portfolio, which grew by 8%, and double-digit growth in Neuromodulation and Diabetes. The company achieved a high single-digit operating profit and low double-digit EPS growth, with EPS increasing 11% to $1.62 for the quarter. Medtronic announced its plan to separate the Diabetes business into a standalone public company via a capital market separation, aiming for a tax-free impact on shareholders and anticipating improvements in gross and operating margins by 50 and 100 basis points, respectively. For fiscal year 2026, Medtronic expects organic revenue growth of approximately 5% and EPS growth of about 4%, excluding tariffs. The company also highlighted its ongoing strategic focus on high-margin growth markets and new innovations, such as its Cardiac Ablation Solutions, which grew nearly 30%, and plans for the US launch of its Hugo robot and Symplicity hypertension procedure.

Medtronic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medtronic demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a strong equity position and exhibits effective cash flow management. However, rising debt levels and relatively flat operational margins suggest areas for strategic focus to enhance future financial performance.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Medtronic displayed strong revenue growth from the previous year with a 3.6% increase, reaching $33.54 billion. The gross profit margin remained healthy at 65.5%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 13.9%, reflecting effective operational strategies. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remained flat at 17.8%, suggesting that while operations are stable, there could be room for optimizing operational costs further.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.59, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing. The return on equity slightly improved, reaching 9.7%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stood at 52.4%, highlighting a strong equity position relative to total assets, signifying financial stability but with a cautious note on increasing debt levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Medtronic's free cash flow remained robust at $5.19 billion, with a growth rate of 0.5% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was 1.51, indicating strong cash generation relative to net earnings. The consistency in free cash flow generation supports operational liquidity and investment capabilities, though the growth rate could be improved.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.54B32.36B31.23B31.69B30.12B
Gross Profit21.97B21.15B20.51B21.54B19.63B
EBITDA5.96B8.20B8.70B8.78B7.52B
Net Income4.66B3.68B3.76B5.04B3.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets91.68B89.98B90.95B90.98B93.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.96B8.01B7.96B10.57B10.82B
Total Debt28.52B26.05B24.36B24.11B27.40B
Total Liabilities43.42B39.56B39.28B38.26B41.48B
Stockholders Equity48.02B50.21B51.48B52.55B51.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.18B5.20B4.58B5.98B4.88B
Operating Cash Flow7.04B6.79B6.04B7.35B6.24B
Investing Cash Flow-1.94B-2.37B-3.49B-1.66B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow-4.36B-4.45B-4.96B-5.34B-4.14B

Medtronic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price90.24
Price Trends
50DMA
87.14
Positive
100DMA
86.33
Positive
200DMA
86.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.31
Positive
RSI
53.42
Neutral
STOCH
58.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 90.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 90.29, above the 50-day MA of 87.14, and above the 200-day MA of 86.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MDT.

Medtronic Risk Analysis

Medtronic disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Medtronic reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Medtronic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$153.08B54.0614.26%0.85%10.76%-15.22%
80
Outperform
$157.52B63.689.65%21.45%36.19%
77
Outperform
$118.44B25.589.49%3.11%3.62%31.18%
75
Outperform
$35.03B66.8622.83%9.30%-14.95%
74
Outperform
$18.13B20.317.31%1.05%3.30%-2.39%
71
Outperform
$46.52B54.4216.73%-5.23%-40.13%
51
Neutral
$7.30B0.27-62.71%2.44%15.02%0.60%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDT
Medtronic
90.24
12.34
15.84%
BSX
Boston Scientific
104.92
29.76
39.60%
DXCM
Dexcom
80.77
10.45
14.86%
EW
Edwards Lifesciences
79.31
17.45
28.21%
SYK
Stryker
392.73
62.54
18.94%
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet Holdings
91.65
-18.45
-16.76%

Medtronic Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Medtronic Expands Board, Appoints Dr. Joon Lee
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Medtronic‘s Board of Directors expanded from 10 to 11 members, appointing Dr. Joon Lee as a new independent director. Dr. Lee, CEO of Emory Healthcare, brings extensive experience in healthcare leadership and will serve on the Science and Technology Committee and the Compensation and Talent Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance Medtronic’s mission to leverage data and technology for improving patient and provider experiences, aligning with the company’s goals to advance healthcare solutions globally.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Medtronic Announces Leadership Change in Cardiovascular Portfolio
Positive
May 21, 2025

Medtronic announced a leadership change in its Cardiovascular Portfolio, with Sean Salmon departing and Skip Kiil assuming the role of EVP and President, effective May 21, 2025. Additionally, Medtronic plans to separate its Diabetes business into a standalone public company. The company reported strong financial results for Q4 and FY25, with significant increases in revenue, operating profit, and earnings per share. Medtronic also announced a dividend increase, marking its 48th consecutive year of dividend growth, and highlighted advancements in its medical technologies, including FDA approvals and successful product launches.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025