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Medtronic (MDT)
NYSE:MDT
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Medtronic (MDT) AI Stock Analysis

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MDT

Medtronic

(NYSE:MDT)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$118.00
▲(14.19% Upside)
Medtronic's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting robust growth and strategic initiatives. However, technical analysis indicates potential overbought conditions, and valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overvalued. Investors should consider these factors, especially the company's strategic focus on innovation and market expansion, when evaluating Medtronic's stock.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Steady revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and stability.
Innovation and R&D Investment
Continued investment in R&D and successful product launches enhance competitive positioning and drive future growth.
Strong Financial Health
A solid balance sheet and consistent profitability provide a stable foundation for long-term strategic initiatives and risk management.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow growth may limit reinvestment capacity and affect financial flexibility, impacting long-term operational strategies.
Tariff Impact on Margins
Tariff impacts can erode profit margins, affecting overall profitability and potentially leading to increased costs for consumers.
Business Mix Impact on Margins
A less favorable business mix can pressure margins, potentially reducing profitability and necessitating strategic adjustments.

Medtronic (MDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Medtronic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedtronic (MDT) is a global leader in medical technology, offering a diverse range of products and therapies to treat various medical conditions. The company operates in several sectors, including cardiovascular, diabetes, neurological, and surgical technologies. Medtronic's core products include implantable devices, such as pacemakers and insulin pumps, as well as advanced surgical instruments and therapies that enhance patient outcomes and improve the quality of life for patients around the world.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedtronic generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices and therapies across its various sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of cardiovascular devices, diabetes management products, neurological products, and surgical solutions. The company has established significant partnerships with healthcare providers, hospitals, and insurance companies, which facilitate the distribution and reimbursement of its products. Additionally, Medtronic invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps to drive future revenue growth. The company's strong global presence and ongoing investment in emerging markets further contribute to its earnings.

Medtronic Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart InsightsMedtronic's Cardiovascular segment shows robust growth, aligning with the 8% increase reported in the earnings call, driven by innovations like Cardiac Ablation Solutions. Neuroscience also maintains strong momentum. The Diabetes segment, despite its lower margins, continues its double-digit growth streak, prompting a strategic spin-off to focus on high-margin areas. This separation aims to enhance operational efficiency and shareholder value. However, potential tariff impacts and currency headwinds pose risks to future margins, which investors should monitor closely.
Data provided by:The Fly

Medtronic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook with strong quarterly performance, successful launches, and raised guidance. However, challenges remain with declining cryo revenue and tariff impacts.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Second Quarter Performance
Medtronic's revenue and EPS exceeded expectations, driven by strong performance across various segments. The company raised its revenue growth and EPS guidance for the full year.
Cardiac Ablations Business Growth
The cardiac ablations business grew 71%, with PFA franchise growing over 300% in the U.S. and international markets. This growth is attributed to the Ferra mapping system and Sphere nine dual energy catheter.
Launch of Innovative Technologies
Successful launches of Simplicity for hypertension, HUGO and soft tissue robotics, and AltaViva for incontinence are expected to drive future growth.
Revenue and Geographic Growth
Second quarter revenue was $9 billion, growing 6.6% reported and 5.5% organic. Growth was balanced across geographies, with double-digit growth in Japan and mid-single-digit growth in the U.S., Western Europe, and China.
Diabetes Business Progress
The diabetes business saw high single-digit growth, with international markets growing 11%. New sensor launches are driving pent-up demand and orders.
Negative Updates
Cryo Revenue Decline
Cryo business declined by 40%, with 90% of the remaining cryo revenue in markets outside of the U.S.
Tariff Impact on Margins
Tariffs posed a 20 basis points headwind on margins, with an expected impact of $185 million for fiscal 2026.
Business Mix Impact on Margins
Business mix posed an 80 basis points headwind on margins, primarily due to the mix of cardiac ablation and diabetes.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Medtronic provided a comprehensive overview of its fiscal 2026 second-quarter performance, along with its updated guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year. The company reported second-quarter revenue of $9 billion, reflecting a 6.6% increase on a reported basis and 5.5% on an organic basis, surpassing expectations. Key growth drivers included a 71% increase in cardiac ablation revenues, primarily fueled by the PFA franchise, which saw over 300% growth in the U.S. and international markets. Adjusted EPS rose by 8% to $1.36, exceeding the midpoint of guidance by $0.05. Medtronic raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to 5.5%, a 50-basis-point increase from previous estimates, and anticipates high single-digit EPS growth in fiscal year 2027. The company is also investing significantly in R&D, aiming to bring it to 10% of revenue over time, while leveraging SG&A to enhance margins. Strategic growth areas include expansions in hypertension and incontinence markets with Simplicity and AltaViva, respectively, as well as advancements in robotics with Hugo. Despite the anticipated impact of tariffs, Medtronic remains focused on accelerating top-line growth and margin improvement, leveraging a robust pipeline and strategic investments in key technology areas.

Medtronic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medtronic demonstrates strong financial health with consistent profitability and a solid balance sheet. Revenue growth is steady, but attention is needed on cash flow management due to recent declines in free cash flow growth. The company's leverage is moderate, and its capital structure remains robust, supporting long-term stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Medtronic's income statement reflects strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 62% and a net profit margin around 13.7% in the TTM. Revenue growth is modest but positive, indicating steady expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showcasing efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over the years suggests some pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 in the TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity has improved to 13.1% in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, suggesting effective cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.54B32.36B31.23B31.69B30.12B
Gross Profit21.91B21.15B20.51B21.54B19.63B
EBITDA9.22B8.20B8.70B8.78B7.52B
Net Income4.66B3.68B3.76B5.04B3.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets91.68B89.98B90.95B90.98B93.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.96B8.01B7.96B10.57B10.82B
Total Debt28.52B25.02B24.36B24.11B26.39B
Total Liabilities43.42B39.56B39.28B38.26B41.48B
Stockholders Equity48.02B50.21B51.48B52.55B51.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.18B5.20B4.58B5.98B4.88B
Operating Cash Flow7.04B6.79B6.04B7.35B6.24B
Investing Cash Flow-1.94B-2.37B-3.49B-1.66B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow-4.36B-4.45B-4.96B-5.34B-4.14B

Medtronic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price103.34
Price Trends
50DMA
95.97
Positive
100DMA
93.64
Positive
200DMA
89.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.86
Negative
RSI
67.25
Neutral
STOCH
79.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.47, above the 50-day MA of 95.97, and above the 200-day MA of 89.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MDT.

Medtronic Risk Analysis

Medtronic disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Medtronic reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Medtronic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$150.59B54.3312.66%21.62%54.80%
79
Outperform
$50.29B36.9013.59%0.19%65.58%
78
Outperform
$224.14B16.1730.62%1.84%6.37%142.39%
74
Outperform
$135.03B28.459.81%2.73%5.34%13.15%
70
Outperform
$141.95B48.7414.04%0.90%10.95%-18.32%
69
Neutral
$24.75B35.3330.63%14.21%5.66%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDT
Medtronic
103.34
20.36
24.54%
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
128.01
13.88
12.16%
BSX
Boston Scientific
101.01
10.54
11.65%
DXCM
Dexcom
63.52
-17.39
-21.49%
EW
Edwards Lifesciences
85.27
15.07
21.47%
SYK
Stryker
372.32
-15.13
-3.91%

Medtronic Corporate Events

Medtronic Reports Strong Q2 2026 Financial Results
Nov 19, 2025

Medtronic plc, headquartered in Galway, Ireland, is a leading global healthcare technology company dedicated to addressing challenging health issues through innovative solutions, including cardiac devices, surgical robotics, and patient monitoring systems, serving over 150 countries worldwide.

Medtronic’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Raised Guidance
Nov 19, 2025

Medtronic’s latest earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, highlighting a strong quarterly performance and successful product launches. The company also raised its guidance, reflecting confidence in its future prospects. However, challenges such as declining cryo revenue and tariff impacts were noted as areas of concern.

Executive/Board Changes
Medtronic Announces Executive Vice President’s Retirement
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 1, 2025, Medtronic announced the retirement of Gregory L. Smith, Executive Vice President of Enterprise Operations, effective December 2, 2025. His departure will involve the acceleration of unvested stock options and continued vesting of restricted stock units and performance stock units, as per the company’s equity compensation policies.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Buy with a $101.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Medtronic’s AGM Approves Key Governance Changes
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Medtronic held its Annual General Meeting where shareholders elected twelve directors to serve until the 2026 meeting, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal year 2026, and approved executive compensation. Additionally, the meeting saw the renewal of the Board’s authority to issue shares and opt out of pre-emption rights, authorization for overseas market purchases of shares, and amendments to the Articles of Association to facilitate reserve capitalization and update advance notice provisions. These decisions are poised to impact Medtronic’s governance and financial strategies, potentially enhancing shareholder value and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Hold with a $103.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Medtronic’s Innovative Approach to Diabetic Neuropathy Pain: A Study Update
Oct 16, 2025

Study Overview: Medtronic is conducting a study titled Feasibility and Therapeutic Efficacy Study of Medtronic’s DTM-Closed-Loop Integrated SCS Technology for Managing Diabetic Peripheral Neuropathic Pain (DPN). The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of a new spinal cord stimulation (SCS) approach in treating painful diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN). This research is significant as it explores innovative treatment methods for managing chronic pain associated with diabetes.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Medtronic Issues €1.5 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Medtronic, Inc., a subsidiary of Medtronic plc, issued €1.5 billion in senior notes, with maturities in 2030 and 2045, to refinance existing debts. The issuance is expected to strengthen Medtronic’s financial position by repaying Medtronic Luxco’s senior notes due in 2025, and the notes have been approved for listing on the New York Stock Exchange, indicating a strategic financial maneuver to optimize debt management.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Medtronic’s NIM Vital™ System Study Completion: A Boost for Investor Confidence
Sep 24, 2025

Medtronic recently completed a clinical study titled ‘Product Surveillance Registry (PSR) – Nerve Integrity Monitoring (NIM) Vital Cohort.’ The study aimed to confirm the clinical safety and performance of Medtronic’s NIM Vital™ System and its accessories in real-world surgical settings. This research is significant as it supports the efficacy of the NIM Vital™ System in various surgeries, including intracranial, extracranial, and neck surgeries.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Medtronic Announces Pricing of New Senior Notes
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Medtronic announced the pricing of a significant offering aimed at repaying existing senior notes due in 2025. The company plans to issue €1.5 billion in senior notes due in 2030 and 2045, which are fully guaranteed by Medtronic Luxco and Medtronic plc. This move reflects in Medtronic’s fiscal year 2026 earnings guidance and underscores its strategic financial management. Additionally, Medtronic Luxco has elected to redeem €500 million of its outstanding senior notes on September 29, 2025, contingent on the successful issuance of the new notes, indicating a proactive approach to managing its debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Hold with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Medtronic’s Cardiac Device Study: A Key Update for Investors
Sep 7, 2025

The Medtronic CRDM Product Performance Report, officially titled ‘Medtronic CRDM Product Performance Report,’ aims to evaluate the long-term reliability and performance of Medtronic’s marketed cardiac therapy products. The study focuses on analyzing product survival probabilities to ensure the effectiveness of devices used in treating conditions such as arrhythmia, bradycardia, heart failure, and sinus tachycardia.

Medtronic’s Product Surveillance Registry: A Commitment to Safety and Effectiveness
Sep 7, 2025

The Medtronic Product Surveillance Registry aims to continuously evaluate and report on the safety and effectiveness of Medtronic’s market-released products. This study, officially titled the Medtronic Product Surveillance Registry, seeks to streamline clinical surveillance and enhance performance assessment across various medical conditions, benefiting patients, hospitals, clinicians, and regulatory bodies.

Medtronic’s Innovative Pacemaker Study: A New Frontier in Hypertension Treatment
Sep 7, 2025

Study Overview: The study titled ‘BradycArdia paCemaKer With AV Interval Modulation for Blood prEssure treAtmenT’ aims to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of a novel atrioventricular interval modulation (AVIM) algorithm in managing hypertension. This prospective, multinational, randomized, double-blind clinical trial is significant as it explores innovative solutions for blood pressure management using Medtronic’s Astra/Azure pacemaker.

Medtronic’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Medtronic’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth in certain key areas, while also acknowledging challenges in others. The company expressed optimism with an increased EPS guidance, driven by strong performances in Cardiac Ablation Solutions and Diabetes. However, slower growth in MedSurg and Neuroscience, along with ongoing tariff challenges, were noted as areas of concern.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025