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Medtronic (MDT)
NYSE:MDT
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Medtronic (MDT) AI Stock Analysis

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MDT

Medtronic

(NYSE:MDT)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$107.00
▲(14.78% Upside)
Medtronic's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving its stock score. The company's strategic initiatives, including the planned separation of the Diabetes business and board expansions, further support its growth prospects. However, the relatively high P/E ratio and ongoing tariff challenges present potential risks.
Positive Factors
Activist Investor Involvement
Activist investor Elliott Management has taken a large stake in Medtronic and is expected to bring positive developments through increased focus and discipline.
New Product Launches
Medtronic is confident on growth acceleration driven by new product launches and approvals in the near future.
Segment Performance
The Cardiovascular portfolio showed strong performance with significant growth in various segments, including 'near-50%' growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions.
Negative Factors
Profitability Concerns
Gross margins contracted to 65.1% from 65.9% and operating margins to 23.6% from 24.4%, indicating a decline in profitability.
Revenue Growth Expectations
MDT's FQ1 revenue growth was 4.8%, slightly below investor expectations, with several drags in the base business impacting the expected pipeline upside.
Specialty Therapies Decline
Specialty Therapies declined 3% year-over-year, impacted by neurovascular and pelvic health declines, with product recalls and commercial reorganizations contributing to the downturn.

Medtronic (MDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Medtronic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedtronic plc develops, manufactures, and sells device-based medical therapies to healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients worldwide. Its Cardiovascular Portfolio segment offers implantable cardiac pacemakers, cardioverter defibrillators, and cardiac resynchronization therapy devices; cardiac ablation products; insertable cardiac monitor systems; TYRX products; and remote monitoring and patient-centered software. It also provides aortic valves, surgical valve replacement and repair products, endovascular stent grafts and accessories, and transcatheter pulmonary valves; and percutaneous coronary intervention products, percutaneous angioplasty balloons, and products. The company's Medical Surgical Portfolio segment offers surgical stapling devices, vessel sealing instruments, wound closure, electrosurgery products, surgical artificial intelligence and robotic-assisted surgery products, hernia mechanical devices, mesh implants, gynecology and lung products, and various therapies to treat diseases, as well as products in the fields of minimally invasive gastrointestinal and hepatologic diagnostics and therapies, patient monitoring, airway management and ventilation therapies, and renal disease. Its Neuroscience Portfolio segment offers products for spinal surgeons; neurosurgeons; neurologists; pain management specialists; anesthesiologists; orthopedic surgeons; urologists; urogynecologists; interventional radiologists; ear, nose, and throat specialists; and systems that incorporate energy surgical instruments. It also provides image-guided surgery and intra-operative imaging systems and robotic guidance systems used in robot assisted spine procedures; and therapies for vasculature in and around the brain. The company's Diabetes Operating Unit segment offers insulin pumps and consumables, continuous glucose monitoring systems, smart insulin pen systems, and consumables and supplies. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedtronic generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices and technologies across its business segments. The company earns money by selling high-margin products directly to hospitals, healthcare providers, and distributors. Key revenue streams include sales from cardiovascular devices, including stents and heart valves, minimally invasive surgical instruments, and diabetes management solutions. Medtronic also benefits from recurring revenue through service contracts and ongoing sales of consumable products associated with its devices. Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers, research institutions, and technology companies enhance its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Medtronic Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Medtronic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 0.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in key areas like Cardiac Ablation Solutions and Diabetes, leading to an increased EPS guidance. However, some areas like MedSurg and Neuroscience experienced slower growth, and tariffs continue to present a financial challenge.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Cardiac Ablation Solutions Growth
CAS grew nearly 50% with low 70s growth in both the U.S. and Japan, driven by high demand for Pulsed Field Ablation systems.
Improvement in Diabetes Segment
Diabetes grew 8%, with 11% growth in international markets, driven by the success of the 780G system and Simplera Sync sensor.
Increased EPS Guidance
EPS came in ahead of guidance, leading to an increase in EPS guidance for the full year to a range of $5.60 to $5.66.
Neuroscience Growth
Neuroscience grew 3%, supported by high single-digit growth in both Neurosurgery and Neuromodulation.
Strong Performance in Cardiovascular
Cardiovascular grew 7%, led by strong growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions and double-digit growth in cardiac surgery, ICDs, and Leadless Pacing.
Negative Updates
Slower Growth in MedSurg
MedSurg grew 2%, in line with current expectations, but below company average.
Challenges in Neuroscience Growth
Neuroscience growth was below trend due to delivery changes in Specialty Therapies, expected to improve in Q2.
Continued Tariff Headwinds
Tariffs are expected to have a $185 million impact on fiscal 2026.
U.S. Diabetes Performance
Diabetes growth in the U.S. was slower than international markets, attributed to product availability and timing.
Company Guidance
In the recent first-quarter earnings call, Medtronic reported a consistent mid-single-digit revenue growth, aligning with their guidance, and an EPS that surpassed expectations. Key highlights included a high single-digit growth in their Cardiovascular segment, particularly in Cardiac Ablation Solutions, which saw nearly 50% growth. The Neuroscience segment grew by 3%, with notable expansion in Neurosurgery and Neuromodulation. MedSurg grew by 2%, while the Diabetes division reported an 8% growth, bolstered by international markets. Medtronic raised its full-year EPS guidance, reflecting a strong start to the fiscal year and anticipating accelerated growth driven by their robust product pipeline and strategic initiatives. The company also discussed the planned separation of the Diabetes business, expected to be EPS accretive, and the formation of new board committees focused on growth and operational excellence.

Medtronic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medtronic demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a strong equity position and exhibits effective cash flow management. However, rising debt levels and relatively flat operational margins suggest areas for strategic focus to enhance future financial performance.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Medtronic displayed strong revenue growth from the previous year with a 3.6% increase, reaching $33.54 billion. The gross profit margin remained healthy at 65.5%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 13.9%, reflecting effective operational strategies. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remained flat at 17.8%, suggesting that while operations are stable, there could be room for optimizing operational costs further.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.59, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing. The return on equity slightly improved, reaching 9.7%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stood at 52.4%, highlighting a strong equity position relative to total assets, signifying financial stability but with a cautious note on increasing debt levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Medtronic's free cash flow remained robust at $5.19 billion, with a growth rate of 0.5% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was 1.51, indicating strong cash generation relative to net earnings. The consistency in free cash flow generation supports operational liquidity and investment capabilities, though the growth rate could be improved.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.54B33.54B32.36B31.23B31.69B30.12B
Gross Profit21.90B21.91B21.15B20.51B21.54B19.63B
EBITDA9.22B9.22B8.20B8.70B8.78B7.52B
Net Income4.66B4.66B3.68B3.76B5.04B3.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets91.68B91.68B89.98B90.95B90.98B93.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.96B8.96B8.01B7.96B10.57B10.82B
Total Debt28.52B28.52B25.02B24.36B24.11B26.39B
Total Liabilities43.42B43.42B39.56B39.28B38.26B41.48B
Stockholders Equity48.02B48.02B50.21B51.48B52.55B51.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.18B5.18B5.20B4.58B5.98B4.88B
Operating Cash Flow7.04B7.04B6.79B6.04B7.35B6.24B
Investing Cash Flow-1.94B-1.94B-2.37B-3.49B-1.66B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow-4.36B-4.36B-4.45B-4.96B-5.34B-4.14B

Medtronic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price93.22
Price Trends
50DMA
89.41
Positive
100DMA
86.56
Positive
200DMA
86.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Positive
RSI
58.17
Neutral
STOCH
70.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 93.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.62, above the 50-day MA of 89.41, and above the 200-day MA of 86.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MDT.

Medtronic Risk Analysis

Medtronic disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Medtronic reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Medtronic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$118.91B25.619.49%3.01%4.98%22.08%
78
Outperform
$46.34B55.5615.71%-5.23%-39.83%
74
Outperform
$153.73B63.1211.71%21.45%36.19%
74
Outperform
$20.32B24.976.52%0.91%4.11%-14.43%
73
Outperform
$31.69B56.6422.83%9.30%-14.95%
72
Outperform
$149.08B51.6014.25%0.85%11.36%-15.66%
51
Neutral
$7.77B-0.12-39.07%2.21%22.68%-1.42%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDT
Medtronic
93.22
8.21
9.66%
BSX
Boston Scientific
106.05
26.47
33.26%
DXCM
Dexcom
81.67
9.39
12.99%
EW
Edwards Lifesciences
81.39
10.09
14.15%
SYK
Stryker
391.87
44.29
12.74%
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet Holdings
105.71
-6.67
-5.94%

Medtronic Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Medtronic Expands Board, Appoints Two New Directors
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Medtronic‘s Board of Directors expanded from 11 to 13 members, appointing John Groetelaars and William Jellison as new directors, effective August 19, 2025. Medtronic also reported its first quarter fiscal 2026 financial results, showing an 8.4% increase in revenue to $8.6 billion and a 4.8% organic growth, with significant contributions from Cardiac Ablation Solutions. The company raised its FY26 EPS guidance, reflecting confidence in its growth drivers and operational efficiencies.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Medtronic Expands Board, Appoints Dr. Joon Lee
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Medtronic‘s Board of Directors expanded from 10 to 11 members, appointing Dr. Joon Lee as a new independent director. Dr. Lee, CEO of Emory Healthcare, brings extensive experience in healthcare leadership and will serve on the Science and Technology Committee and the Compensation and Talent Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance Medtronic’s mission to leverage data and technology for improving patient and provider experiences, aligning with the company’s goals to advance healthcare solutions globally.

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Medtronic Announces Leadership Change in Cardiovascular Portfolio
Positive
May 21, 2025

Medtronic announced a leadership change in its Cardiovascular Portfolio, with Sean Salmon departing and Skip Kiil assuming the role of EVP and President, effective May 21, 2025. Additionally, Medtronic plans to separate its Diabetes business into a standalone public company. The company reported strong financial results for Q4 and FY25, with significant increases in revenue, operating profit, and earnings per share. Medtronic also announced a dividend increase, marking its 48th consecutive year of dividend growth, and highlighted advancements in its medical technologies, including FDA approvals and successful product launches.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025