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McKesson Corporation (MCK)
:MCK

McKesson (MCK) AI Stock Analysis

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MCMcKesson
(NYSE:MCK)
77Outperform
McKesson's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive momentum in technical analysis, buoyed by robust earnings call highlights. However, high leverage and potential overvaluation pose risks. The company’s strategic growth initiatives and improved guidance contribute positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
US Pharma is clearly exiting FY25 from a position of strength and is set up for ongoing strong EBIT growth in FY26 as utilization remains strong, specialty assets shine, and recent acquisitions contribute to growth.
Guidance
McKesson raised its revenue growth guidance to 16%-18% and adjusted EPS guidance slightly upwards, indicating confidence in future performance.
Negative Factors
Med-Surg Performance
Med-Surg's outlook is a lot less clear, with quarterly results impacted by a primary care market that has remained weak.

McKesson (MCK) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

McKesson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIncorporated in 1833, Texas-based McKesson Corp. provides pharmaceuticals, health information technology, medical supplies, and care management tools. The company operates through four segments: U.S. Pharmaceutical, Prescription Technology Solutions, International, and Medical-Surgical Solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcKesson makes money through multiple revenue streams primarily centered around its role as a key distributor of pharmaceuticals, medical supplies, and healthcare technology solutions. The company's primary revenue comes from its Pharmaceutical Distribution & Services segment, which supplies branded, generic, and specialty drugs to retail pharmacies, hospitals, and healthcare providers. McKesson also generates revenue through its Medical-Surgical Solutions segment by providing medical-surgical supplies and equipment to healthcare facilities. Additionally, McKesson earns from its Technology Solutions segment, which offers software and automation solutions that help healthcare providers manage their operations more efficiently. Key partnerships with pharmaceutical manufacturers, healthcare providers, and retail pharmacies play a significant role in driving McKesson's earnings, as they enable the company to leverage its extensive distribution network and expertise in supply chain management.

McKesson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
McKesson demonstrates robust revenue growth and operational stability, with efficient EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the balance sheet reflects high leverage with negative equity, posing risks. The cash flow is strong, but declining free cash flow growth could be a challenge. Overall, McKesson is performing well operationally, but needs to address balance sheet leverage to mitigate risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
McKesson shows strong revenue growth with a 11.52% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous year. The company has a stable Gross Profit Margin of 3.76% and a healthy Net Profit Margin of 0.82%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 1.23% and 1.37% respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the net income has decreased slightly, which may warrant closer examination.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio due to negative equity, which is a concern for leverage risk. The Equity Ratio is low at 7.76%, indicating a high reliance on debt. Despite this, the company maintains a reasonable level of total assets, suggesting potential for asset utilization improvement.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
McKesson's cash flow statement reveals a strong Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.88 and a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.78, indicating good cash conversion. However, Free Cash Flow has declined by 38.91% from the previous year, suggesting potential challenges in sustaining cash flow growth.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024
Income StatementTotal Revenue
268.45B308.95B
Gross Profit
13.12B12.58B
EBIT
2.72B3.91B
EBITDA
3.45B4.67B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.40B3.00B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.58B4.58B
Total Assets
67.44B67.44B
Total Debt
7.39B7.39B
Net Debt
2.81B2.81B
Total Liabilities
69.04B69.04B
Stockholders Equity
-1.97B-1.97B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.64B3.63B
Operating Cash Flow
5.12B4.31B
Investing Cash Flow
49.00M-1.07B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.35B-3.34B

McKesson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price643.69
Price Trends
50DMA
595.40
Positive
100DMA
579.37
Positive
200DMA
568.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.54
Negative
RSI
68.67
Neutral
STOCH
90.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 643.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 610.38, above the 50-day MA of 595.40, and above the 200-day MA of 568.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCK.

McKesson Risk Analysis

McKesson disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McKesson reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McKesson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MCMCK
77
Outperform
$80.67B29.5051.23%0.41%14.29%-1.20%
70
Outperform
$2.76B20.0814.02%3.34%-0.85%-23.40%
66
Neutral
$8.96B23.2011.49%2.71%-3.26%
CACAH
60
Neutral
$31.28B24.17-43.80%1.56%2.85%110.82%
49
Neutral
$7.05B0.34-55.09%2.46%25.27%-3.43%
OMOMI
39
Underperform
$738.70M-64.17%3.55%-757.75%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCK
McKesson
643.69
117.29
22.28%
CAH
Cardinal Health
126.31
15.46
13.95%
HSIC
Henry Schein
70.31
-5.10
-6.76%
OMI
Owens & Minor
9.71
-14.91
-60.56%
PDCO
Patterson Companies
31.13
5.23
20.19%

McKesson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 5, 2025 | % Change Since: 6.18% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by strategic acquisitions and expansions in specialty services. Despite challenges in the Medical Surgical segment and some revenue impacts due to formulary changes, the company's raised guidance and strong segment growth indicate a positive outlook.
Highlights
Strong Revenue and Operating Profit Growth
Revenue grew 18% to $95.3 billion and adjusted operating profit increased 16% to $1.5 billion. Double-digit growth was observed across the U.S. Pharmaceutical and Prescription Technology Solutions segments.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
The full-year guidance for adjusted earnings per diluted share was raised from $32.40-$33 to $32.55-$32.95, representing 19% to 20% year-over-year adjusted EPS growth.
Expansion in Specialty Services
McKesson announced the acquisition of a controlling interest in PRISM Vision, a provider of ophthalmology and retina management services. This acquisition is expected to be accretive to EPS by $0.20 to $0.30 in the first 12 months post-closing.
Growth in Oncology and Biopharma Services
The oncology platform expanded with 2,750 providers across 640 sites of care. Prescription Technology Solutions segment saw 14% revenue growth and 22% operating profit growth, driven by access and affordability solutions.
Lowlights
Challenges in Medical Surgical Segment
Medical Surgical segment faced lower than anticipated volumes due to a softer illness season, impacting foot traffic in primary care sites. Revenues decreased by 3%.
Impact of Formulary Changes
There was an anticipated decline in certain brand volumes due to formulary changes by a retail national account customer, which impacted revenue.
Company Guidance
During McKesson's third-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance with an 18% increase in revenue to $95.3 billion and a 16% rise in adjusted operating profit to $1.5 billion. U.S. pharmaceutical and prescription technology solutions segments led the double-digit growth, while medical surgical growth lagged due to a softer illness season. The company updated its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings per diluted share to a range of $32.55 to $32.95, representing a 19% to 20% year-over-year increase. McKesson also announced the acquisition of a controlling interest in PRISM Vision to enhance its specialty services, contributing to a projected $0.20 to $0.30 accretion to adjusted earnings per diluted share in the first 12 months post-closing. The company remains confident in its strategic growth pillars, including oncology and biopharma services, and anticipates continued strong performance into fiscal 2026, with an affirmed long-term adjusted EPS target growth of 12% to 14%.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.