Marchex (MCHX)
NASDAQ:MCHX

Marchex (MCHX) AI Stock Analysis

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Marchex

(NASDAQ:MCHX)

46Neutral
Marchex's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, including consistent losses and negative cash flows. The recent earnings call provides a cautiously optimistic outlook with strategic initiatives, but the company must address profitability issues and leverage opportunities to improve its position. While technical indicators suggest potential for a rebound, the current valuation concerns persist.
Positive Factors
Operational Leverage
The OneStack initiative aims to enhance customer acquisition and expand margins, potentially improving operational leverage over time.
Product Development
Marchex anticipates new product rollouts to lead to a return to growth, with better growth dependent on the success of go-to-market strategies.
Negative Factors
Guidance
4Q guidance was slightly below projections, impacting short-term expectations.
Revenue Diversification
The timeline for the impact of the OneStack initiative remains uncertain, affecting revenue diversification into new verticals.

Marchex (MCHX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Marchex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarchex, Inc. is a call analytics company that provides solutions to businesses seeking to connect, engage, and support customers over the phone. The company operates primarily in the digital marketing and advertising sectors, offering a suite of products designed to optimize the way businesses understand and interact with their customers through voice communication. Its core services include call tracking, call analytics, and conversational intelligence, which help businesses improve their customer experience and evaluate the effectiveness of their marketing efforts.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarchex makes money by offering subscription-based services and software solutions to businesses. The company's primary revenue streams include fees from its call analytics and tracking services, which help businesses gain insights into phone call interactions with customers. These services allow businesses to measure the effectiveness of their advertising campaigns by tracking which marketing channels drive phone calls. Marchex also generates revenue through its conversational intelligence products, which analyze call data to provide actionable insights for improving customer engagement and sales strategies. Partnerships with marketing agencies and resellers also play a role in expanding its reach and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Marchex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marchex faces significant financial challenges, with consistent losses and declining revenues. The company's low leverage provides some stability, but negative cash flows and profitability issues are critical concerns. The firm needs to enhance operational efficiency and revenue growth to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Marchex shows a declining revenue trend with a noticeable drop over the years. The gross profit margin remains stable, but negative EBIT and net income margins indicate ongoing profitability challenges. The company has not achieved positive net income in recent years, reflecting pressure on profitability and potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet displays a positive equity position, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating minimal leverage and reduced financial risk. However, the declining stockholder's equity and total assets suggest potential pressure on long-term financial health.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Marchex's cash flow statements reveal persistent negative operating and free cash flow, highlighting liquidity challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, pointing to potential cash generation issues. The lack of positive cash flows raises concerns about the company's ability to sustain operations without external financing.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
48.12M49.91M52.17M53.48M51.22M
Gross Profit
30.95M29.33M31.71M31.78M30.33M
EBIT
-4.45M-9.64M-8.07M-11.65M-25.45M
EBITDA
-4.45M-5.76M-4.03M2.22M-36.18M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-4.95M-9.91M-8.24M-4.39M-42.99M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
12.77M14.61M20.47M27.09M33.85M
Total Assets
43.20M47.48M56.79M65.83M77.73M
Total Debt
1.22M2.10M1.64M3.26M9.91M
Net Debt
-11.55M-12.51M-18.84M-23.83M-23.94M
Total Liabilities
10.57M11.61M12.68M14.32M25.05M
Stockholders Equity
32.63M35.87M44.11M51.50M52.69M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.53M-5.77M-5.16M-7.69M-4.73M
Operating Cash Flow
-1.10M-4.39M-2.29M-6.34M-3.37M
Investing Cash Flow
-429.00K-1.31M-2.87M-951.00K981.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-307.00K-160.00K-1.46M528.00K-5.49M

Marchex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.39
Price Trends
50DMA
1.90
Negative
100DMA
1.90
Negative
200DMA
1.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
28.52
Positive
STOCH
3.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.78, below the 50-day MA of 1.90, and below the 200-day MA of 1.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.52 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MCHX.

Marchex Risk Analysis

Marchex disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marchex reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marchex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$1.60B80,900.00-0.25%14.50%
67
Neutral
$331.47M28.251.75%-32.95%-89.11%
TTTTD
66
Neutral
$22.94B59.2415.37%25.63%118.49%
64
Neutral
$1.30B65.473.10%7.82%
58
Neutral
$25.21B3.07-13.86%4.29%2.47%-43.03%
50
Neutral
$271.44M-101.69%-15.51%-54.09%
46
Neutral
$60.76M-14.44%-3.58%50.73%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCHX
Marchex
1.39
-0.05
-3.47%
RAMP
LiveRamp Holdings
24.27
-11.10
-31.38%
PERI
Perion Network
7.36
-5.14
-41.12%
MGNI
Magnite
9.08
-0.77
-7.82%
APPS
Digital Turbine
2.35
0.20
9.30%
TTD
Trade Desk
46.24
-40.44
-46.65%

Marchex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -29.08% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic achievements, such as the completion of the OneStack initiative and expansion of AI product offerings. However, these were offset by a decline in revenue, increased operating costs, and negative profitability metrics. While the company is optimistic about future growth, current financial results indicate challenges that need to be addressed.
Highlights
Completion of OneStack Initiative
Successfully unified data stacks into a single cloud-based architecture, optimizing performance, scalability, and efficiency. This strategic lift positions the company to serve enterprise customers with seamless AI solutions.
Expansion of AI Product Offerings
Launch of new vertical-specific AI solutions, partnership with Microsoft, and other new channel partners. These innovations aim to strengthen Marchex's position as a leading conversational intelligence provider.
Strategic Organizational Changes
Repositioned team for growth, gained organizational efficiencies, and increased investments in sales and marketing teams to accelerate business growth while maintaining financial discipline.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline
Fourth quarter revenue was $11.9 million, a decline from $12.4 million in the same quarter last year, impacted by typical seasonal decreases and headwinds in certain customer segments.
Increased Operating Costs
Total operating costs for Q4 2024 increased to $12.9 million from $12.6 million in Q4 2023, reflecting higher costs related to infrastructure initiatives and investments in growth.
Negative Profitability Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $386,000 for Q4 2024, compared to a positive adjusted EBITDA of $112,000 in Q4 2023. GAAP net loss increased to $1.9 million, or negative $0.04 per diluted share.
Company Guidance
During the Marchex fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for 2025, anticipating revenue growth and improved gross margins compared to 2024. The company expects sequential revenue acceleration throughout 2025, driven by strategic product launches and go-to-market initiatives. For the first quarter of 2025, revenue is projected to be in line with the fourth quarter of 2024, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated to remain in a similar range, excluding one-time expenses. Marchex aims for positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2025, citing opportunities for meaningful improvements in sequential quarterly adjusted EBITDA. The company plans to leverage its unified AI-driven platform and expanded go-to-market capabilities to capture increased conversation volumes and enhance customer experiences.

Marchex Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Marchex Reports Strong Q2 2023 Financial Results
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

Marchex has announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2023, highlighting a revenue increase driven by strong demand for its call analytics solutions. The company reported a net income improvement compared to the previous year, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiencies. This financial performance underscores Marchex’s competitive positioning in the call analytics industry and suggests positive implications for its stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.