Mercedes-Benz Group Ag Unsponsored Adr (MBGYY)
OTHER OTC:MBGYY
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Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR
(OTC:MBGYY)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▼(-14.24% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening fundamentals (lower margins/returns and softer segment trends) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by supportive valuation (moderate P/E and strong dividend yield) and a cautiously positive earnings-call outlook featuring quantified efficiency plans and substantial committed shareholder returns, albeit alongside significant China/tariff/EV-ramp risks.
Positive Factors
Clear product roadmap & EV lineup
A defined product pipeline (AMG roll‑out, S‑Class ramp, A‑Class successor, electric GLC) underpins medium‑term volume and mix improvement. These launches target core premium segments and younger buyers, supporting sustainable revenue diversification and an eventual EV mix uplift from 2027 onward.
Negative Factors
Margin compression and revenue decline
Substantially compressed margins and falling revenue materially weaken earnings power and ROE (now ~5–6%). Lower profitability reduces internal funding for EV investment and reduces buffer against cost shocks, making execution and margin recovery dependent on successful efficiency and mix improvements over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Clear product roadmap & EV lineup
A defined product pipeline (AMG roll‑out, S‑Class ramp, A‑Class successor, electric GLC) underpins medium‑term volume and mix improvement. These launches target core premium segments and younger buyers, supporting sustainable revenue diversification and an eventual EV mix uplift from 2027 onward.
Read all positive factors
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR (MBGYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$55.80B
Dividend Yield6.82%
Average Volume (3M)168.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.7
Beta (1Y)0.75
Revenue Growth-1.39%
EPS Growth-38.34%
CountryUS
Employees163,132
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.29
Shares Outstanding3,851,614,700
10 Day Avg. Volume82,401
30 Day Avg. Volume168,527
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.24
Price to Book (P/B)0.64
Price to Sales (P/S)0.45
P/FCF Ratio4.96
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.42
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.03
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.34
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.83
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.67
Revenue Forecast (FY)$154.72B
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates as an automotive company in Germany and internationally. The company develops, manufactures, and sells passenger cars comprising premium and luxury vehicles of the Mercedes-Benz brand, including the Mercedes-AMG, G-...
How the Company Makes Money
Mercedes-Benz Group makes money primarily by selling vehicles and by providing vehicle-related financial and mobility services. (1) Vehicle sales (core revenue stream): The company generates revenue from wholesale and retail sales of Mercedes-Benz...
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: management laid out clear midterm growth and margin levers (efficiency ~+4ppt, volume/price/mix ~+1.5ppt), a concrete product roadmap (AMG, S‑Class, GLC EV, A‑Class successor), and strong industrial cash generation (>EUR 4bn) plus committed shareholder returns (~EUR 6bn). At the same time, material near‑term headwinds were emphasized — China sales weakness, tariff/FX impacts (≈EUR 1bn in 2025 and rising), early EV margin dilution during the 2026 ramp and commodity/DA RAM/regulatory cost risks — and timing for midterm delivery was not precisely defined. Overall, positives (clear efficiency program, cash generation, product pipeline and targeted growth initiatives) are counterbalanced by tangible execution and market risks in China, tariffs and input costs, leaving the tone cautious but constructive.Positive Updates
Midterm Revenue Growth Target
Company reiterated a midterm revenue growth ambition (analyst cited ~7%) and emphasized 'profitable growth' as a strategic pillar — growth accompanied by margin and cost discipline.
Negative Updates
China Sales Weakness and Competitive Pressure
Management expects 2026 China sales to remain below 2025; management noted a loss of share in segments (management comment: segment down ~19% vs total market down ~15% in 2025) and highlighted strong competitive pricing dynamics and lower incentive levels affecting BEV demand.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Midterm Revenue Growth Target
Company reiterated a midterm revenue growth ambition (analyst cited ~7%) and emphasized 'profitable growth' as a strategic pillar — growth accompanied by margin and cost discipline.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to a 2026 cars return on sales of 3–5% (with a bridge from the midpoint of roughly −1% tariff/FX headwind, +1.5% from volume/price/mix/BEV and ≈+4% from efficiency), noting 2026 is an EV ramp‑up year (H2 ramp, meaningful top‑line/mix contribution expected in 2027); tariffs rose from ~110 bps in 2025 to ~150 bps in 2026 (could reach ~200 bps midterm) with U.S. tariffs costing roughly €1bn in 2025, passenger car revenue ~€100bn, underlying industrial cash flow >€4bn and potential M&A proceeds ~€2bn (possibly higher), supporting a committed €6bn shareholder return package (≈€5.1bn dividend + €1.7bn remaining buyback); regionally, China sales are expected below 2025 (JV delivered double‑digit margin in 2025, down in 2026, recovery targeted for 2027), U.S. volume target is ~400k midterm (from ~300k in 2025), Kecskemét capacity potential up to ~400k, and product timing highlights include S‑Class production start this year with full firepower in 2027, electric GLC/long‑wheel‑base GLC mid‑year, and AMG’s model roll‑out (AMG GT premiere in May, H2 launch).Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 131.11B | 132.21B | 145.59B | 153.22B | 150.02B | 133.89B |
| Gross Profit | 21.32B | 22.33B | 28.58B | 34.38B | 34.02B | 30.68B |
| EBITDA | 19.81B | 20.77B | 21.50B | 27.44B | 27.25B | 23.22B |
| Net Income | 4.89B | 5.12B | 10.21B | 14.26B | 14.50B | 11.05B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 258.89B | 255.36B | 265.01B | 263.02B | 260.01B | 259.83B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 19.62B | 19.19B | 21.74B | 18.99B | 24.36B | 29.86B |
| Total Debt | 99.63B | 99.96B | 93.04B | 87.21B | 84.41B | 93.85B |
| Total Liabilities | 163.56B | 161.16B | 171.38B | 170.21B | 173.47B | 186.66B |
| Stockholders Equity | 94.30B | 93.22B | 92.63B | 91.77B | 85.42B | 71.95B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 9.32B | 12.03B | 9.07B | 6.26B | 9.99B | 17.23B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 15.87B | 17.30B | 17.73B | 14.47B | 16.89B | 24.55B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -6.90B | -8.84B | -8.75B | -7.32B | -3.45B | -6.23B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.19B | -10.04B | -10.75B | -8.39B | -19.03B | -19.06B |
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR Technical Analysis
Negative
17.49
Price Trends
14.70
Negative
15.59
Negative
15.49
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.06
Negative
42.75
Neutral
22.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBGYY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.59, above the 50-day MA of 14.70, and above the 200-day MA of 15.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MBGYY.
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $242.17B | 10.45 | 10.10% | 2.57% | 6.73% | -16.97% | |
62 Neutral | $1.54T | 612.14 | 4.79% | ― | 2.25% | -39.81% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $51.92B | 4.52 | -14.72% | 5.64% | 3.82% | -209.77% | |
58 Neutral | $65.91B | 6.52 | 3.96% | 0.69% | -2.03% | -63.41% | |
58 Neutral | $32.86B | -1.42 | -3.53% | 4.19% | 1.63% | -154.96% | |
54 Neutral | $55.80B | 8.72 | 5.28% | 6.82% | -1.39% | -38.34% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
MBGYY
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Unsponsored ADR
14.36
-0.07
-0.51%
F
Ford Motor
13.06
3.07
30.77%
GM
General Motors
72.63
23.76
48.61%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
25.32
-3.90
-13.35%
TSLA
Tesla
404.11
69.49
20.77%
TM
Toyota Motor
185.47
1.00
0.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.