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Marubeni Corp (ADR) (MARUY)
OTHER OTC:MARUY
US Market

Marubeni (MARUY) AI Stock Analysis

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MARUY

Marubeni

(OTC:MARUY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$445.00
â–²(72.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is primarily driven by solid financial fundamentals (profitability, improved leverage, and healthy ROE), tempered by weaker operating margin trends and a sharp drop in TTM free cash flow growth. Technicals add support due to a strong uptrend and positive MACD, while valuation is neutral with a moderate P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
A wide sector footprint and global trading network spreads revenue across commodity cycles and regions, reducing single-market risk. This structural diversification supports durable deal flow, recurring intermediary fees, and long-term project pipelines in infrastructure and energy.
Improved leverage and healthy ROE
A lower debt-to-equity versus prior years increases financial flexibility and buffers against cyclical shocks, while mid-teens ROE indicates the company earns respectable returns on capital. Together these strengthen solvency and capital allocation optionality over months.
Strong recent revenue growth
Robust top-line expansion demonstrates effective deal origination and execution across trading and project businesses. Sustained revenue growth, paired with positive net margins, suggests expanding scale and ongoing contribution from diverse operations over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Operating margin weakness
A meaningful drop in operating margins signals weaker operating leverage or mix shifts toward lower-margin activities. If durable, this compresses core profitability and limits reinvestment capacity, making earnings more sensitive to commodity cycles and execution risk.
Lumpy free cash flow growth
A large negative swing in FCF growth indicates working capital or capex volatility and reduces predictability of cash conversion. That lumpy cash profile weakens the reliability of internal funding for projects, dividends or buybacks over the medium term.
Large absolute debt and cooled returns
Even with improved leverage ratios, a high absolute debt load raises refinancing and interest-rate exposure. Combined with cooling returns, this reduces margin of safety and increases downside risk if market conditions deteriorate or project returns slip.

Marubeni (MARUY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marubeni Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarubeni Corporation engages in various business activities worldwide. The company trades in grains, feed ingredients, compound feeds, foods, agricultural and fishery products, and fresh and processed meat; and apparel, footwear, lifestyle, and textile and industrial materials. It also provides agri-inputs, contracting services for fertilizer application and crop protection products, technical services, crop protection product formulations, fertilizers, and oilseeds; ICT and real estate services; petrochemicals and plastics, salts and chlor-alkalis, life science products, electronic materials, and inorganic mineral resources and chemicals; and wood chips, biomass fuels, pulp and waste papers, paper, paperboards, sanitary, and building and construction materials, as well as wood products. In addition, the company explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas; trades in, distributes, and markets petroleum and LPG; develops uranium, nuclear fuel cycle, iron ore, coal, and copper mines, as well as related equipment sales and services; smelts and refines aluminum and magnesium; trades in iron ore, coking coal, non-ferrous metals, ingots and related products, and steel products; and leases temporary steel construction materials. Further, it offers engineering, procurement, and construction, as well as operation and maintenance services for railway systems, water, industrial plants, and waste-to-energy power plants; energy and transportation infrastructure, and water business; and manages infrastructure funds, as well as engages in the power generation, renewable energy, power service and retail, natural gas, hydrogen, ammonia, municipal solid waste, and thermal energy storage businesses. Additionally, it owns, purchases, operates, leases, sells, and charters aerospace and ship products; and sells, trades in, leases, finances, and services construction and industrial machinery, and mobility products. The company was founded in 1858 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarubeni generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by acting as an intermediary in international trade, facilitating the exchange of goods between suppliers and customers. Key revenue streams include the sale of commodities such as agricultural products, chemicals, and metals, as well as the provision of services related to project development in sectors like energy and infrastructure. The company also earns income from investments in joint ventures and partnerships, where it collaborates with local firms to develop projects in emerging markets. Additionally, Marubeni capitalizes on its extensive supply chain capabilities and logistical expertise, enabling efficient distribution and management of goods, which contributes to its profitability.

Marubeni Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue growth and solid profitability (TTM net margin ~6.2%) support the score, and leverage has improved (debt-to-equity ~0.65) with healthy ROE (~13.4%). Offsetting this, operating margins stepped down versus the latest annual period (TTM EBIT margin ~4.8% vs ~9.1%), and TTM free cash flow growth fell sharply (~-83.5%), pointing to more cyclical and uneven earnings/cash flow quality.
Income Statement
72
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew strongly (about 216%), with profitability holding up at a solid level for a conglomerate (TTM net margin ~6.2%, gross margin ~13.8%). However, operating profitability is less consistent than it appears: TTM EBIT margin (~4.8%) is well below the prior annual level (~9.1%), and EBITDA margin also stepped down versus the most recent annual period, pointing to more volatile operating leverage and earnings quality across cycles.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage looks manageable and has improved versus earlier years, with debt-to-equity around 0.65 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus well above 1.0 in 2021–2022, alongside a growing equity base. Returns remain healthy (TTM return on equity ~13.4%). The key downside is that absolute debt remains large, and the company’s returns have cooled from the peak levels seen in 2022–2023, reducing the margin of safety if conditions weaken.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is positive, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow both solid, and free cash flow running at ~74% of net income—supportive of earnings quality. That said, free cash flow growth turned sharply negative in TTM (about -83.5%) after a stronger prior year, indicating lumpiness in working capital/capex and a less dependable cash trajectory despite continued profitability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.31T7.79T7.25T9.19T8.51T6.33T
Gross Profit1.15T1.15T1.07T1.05T895.33B675.42B
EBITDA554.44B908.90B741.87B478.72B383.68B249.61B
Net Income515.00B502.96B471.41B543.00B424.32B223.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.02T9.20T8.92T7.95T8.26T6.94T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments518.10B830.89B506.27B610.31B578.72B745.98B
Total Debt2.70T2.54T2.41T2.35T2.68T2.69T
Total Liabilities5.73T5.43T5.36T5.12T6.06T5.27T
Stockholders Equity4.14T3.63T3.46T2.88T2.24T1.81T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow396.55B420.39B289.10B502.07B210.11B272.98B
Operating Cash Flow539.74B597.95B442.47B606.33B311.92B397.07B
Investing Cash Flow-71.60B-395.30B-334.43B163.77B-79.66B-115.97B
Financing Cash Flow-333.94B-122.03B-254.17B-773.56B-419.64B-68.79B

Marubeni Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price258.02
Price Trends
50DMA
316.89
Positive
100DMA
284.03
Positive
200DMA
247.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.53
Positive
RSI
61.82
Neutral
STOCH
39.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MARUY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 258.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 356.14, below the 50-day MA of 316.89, and above the 200-day MA of 247.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MARUY.

Marubeni Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$8.96B27.1020.41%0.63%1.23%-22.77%
71
Outperform
$62.49B18.0513.70%2.33%10.75%27.26%
70
Outperform
$153.29B32.7831.71%2.24%7.48%9.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$4.17B97.8526.52%1.01%-3.95%-74.65%
55
Neutral
$86.47B27.3476.08%1.82%-13.09%-20.63%
52
Neutral
$4.82B-10.06-12.71%27.59%-8.45%27.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MARUY
Marubeni
368.71
215.36
140.44%
MMM
3M
167.06
24.21
16.95%
GFF
Griffon
88.62
17.87
25.26%
HON
Honeywell International
243.97
50.43
26.06%
IEP
Icahn Enterprises
7.82
-0.84
-9.70%
VMI
Valmont
471.27
131.08
38.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026