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Lonza Group (LZAGY)
OTHER OTC:LZAGY

Lonza Group (LZAGY) AI Stock Analysis

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LZAGY

Lonza Group

(OTC:LZAGY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$65.00
▼(-2.56% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/31/26
The score is driven by solid profitability and a notably upbeat earnings outlook (strong 2026 growth and margin guidance), partly offset by weak cash conversion/negative free cash flow in the financial statements and a demanding valuation; technical indicators are mixed and do not add strong support.
Positive Factors
Contracting Pipeline
A >CHF10bn contracted backlog gives durable revenue visibility and underpins future capacity utilization. Multi-year contracts reduce short-term demand cyclicality, support predictable cash inflows when commercialized, and improve planning for execution and capital deployment over several years.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Conversion
Persistently negative free cash flow and low cash conversion versus reported earnings constrain financial flexibility. Ongoing negative FCF limits discretionary returns, debt reduction and buffers for execution risk, leaving capital allocation dependent on project timing and external financing if needed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Contracting Pipeline
A >CHF10bn contracted backlog gives durable revenue visibility and underpins future capacity utilization. Multi-year contracts reduce short-term demand cyclicality, support predictable cash inflows when commercialized, and improve planning for execution and capital deployment over several years.
Read all positive factors

Lonza Group (LZAGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lonza Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Lonza Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, supplies various products and services for pharmaceutical, biotech, and nutrition markets in Europe, North and Central America, Latin America, Asia, Australia and New Zealand, and internationally. It...
How the Company Makes Money
Lonza primarily makes money by providing outsourced development and manufacturing services (CDMO) to biopharma and biotech customers under contract arrangements. Key revenue streams include: (1) Development services: fees for process and analytica...

Lonza Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a strong operational and financial performance for FY2025 with robust revenue growth (+21.7% ccy), margin expansion (CORE EBITDA 31.6%, +1.4pp) and material free cash flow improvement. Management provided clear evidence of successful Vacaville integration, high contracting activity, and an optimistic 2026 outlook (11%–12% ccy growth and margin above 32%). Key challenges include softness in Specialized Modalities (notably Cell & Gene operational issues), mix-related dilution in Integrated Biologics, FX headwinds and continued high but normalizing CapEx and working capital requirements. On balance, the positive metrics, guidance upgrade to earlier-than-expected margin corridor, strong cash generation and successful integration evidence significantly outweigh the operational and market risks noted.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Continuing Lonza CDMO sales of CHF 6.5 billion in FY2025, up CHF 1.0 billion versus FY2024 and +21.7% in constant currency, ahead of upgraded guidance of 20%–21%.
Negative Updates
Specialized Modalities Softness
Specialized Modalities (including Cell & Gene and microbial) underperformed in 2025 with platform revenue down ~3%; Cell & Gene experienced operational issues that constrained performance during the year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Continuing Lonza CDMO sales of CHF 6.5 billion in FY2025, up CHF 1.0 billion versus FY2024 and +21.7% in constant currency, ahead of upgraded guidance of 20%–21%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 for continued strong, profitable growth: constant‑currency sales growth of 11–12% and CORE EBITDA margin expanding to a level well above 32% (entering the 32–34% corridor two years ahead of prior expectations). They expect 2026 CapEx to be in the high‑teens % of sales (mid‑ to high‑teens over the midterm) after 2025 CDMO CapEx of CHF 1.3bn (19.6% of sales) and CHF 7bn of active growth projects across 23 programs; free cash flow momentum should continue after CHF 545m of CDMO FCF in 2025 (nearly double 2024). Other metrics/assumptions: Vacaville contributed ~CHF 0.6bn in 2025 and should broadly substitute Roche volumes through 2028, contracting exceeded CHF 10bn in 2025, trade working capital fell ~5 percentage points and inventory cover dropped ~1 week, and management assumes an FX headwind of roughly 2% for the 2026 guide (mid‑January rates basis).

Lonza Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid with improved margins and higher earnings, and leverage remains manageable, but cash generation is a major concern given weak operating cash conversion and persistently negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.24B6.57B6.72B6.22B5.41B
Gross Profit2.20B2.16B1.95B2.44B2.11B
EBITDA1.31B1.54B1.53B1.98B1.31B
Net Income949.00M636.00M654.00M1.22B2.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.97B19.73B16.85B17.36B16.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments719.00M1.71B1.67B2.22B3.18B
Total Debt4.18B5.12B3.13B2.59B2.75B
Total Liabilities9.78B10.35B7.34B6.69B6.64B
Stockholders Equity9.13B9.33B9.45B10.60B9.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-194.83M-143.00M-263.00M-833.00M-126.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.12B1.27B1.39B1.04B1.22B
Investing Cash Flow-699.09M-2.92B-1.10B-991.00M1.02B
Financing Cash Flow-721.06M1.28B-152.00M-286.00M-1.28B

Lonza Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price66.71
Price Trends
50DMA
65.19
Negative
100DMA
66.63
Negative
200DMA
68.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
52.08
Neutral
STOCH
68.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LZAGY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 66.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.02, above the 50-day MA of 65.19, and below the 200-day MA of 68.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LZAGY.

Lonza Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$134.08B44.806.99%0.53%2.90%-4.81%
66
Neutral
$32.52B31.0519.73%0.72%6.73%3.34%
66
Neutral
$27.13B33.06-487.21%4.77%7.93%
63
Neutral
$185.91B32.3413.15%0.30%3.91%7.09%
61
Neutral
$44.47B39.3310.24%0.63%8.41%33.09%
59
Neutral
$28.68B28.4922.28%3.85%-4.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LZAGY
Lonza Group
65.26
1.29
2.02%
A
Agilent
115.06
13.19
12.94%
DHR
Danaher
189.61
2.17
1.16%
MTD
Mettler-Toledo
1,325.01
283.11
27.17%
TMO
Thermo Fisher
496.11
59.57
13.65%
IQV
IQVIA Holdings
167.34
21.79
14.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026