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LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (LVMUY)
OTHER OTC:LVMUY

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (LVMUY) AI Stock Analysis

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LVMUY

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE

(OTC:LVMUY)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$140.00
▲(17.92% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial quality and cash generation, offset by recent revenue contraction, softer profitability/returns, and a gradual rise in leverage. Technical signals are mixed with negative intermediate-term momentum, and valuation remains at a premium with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Material free cash flow (~€14B in 2025) provides durable internal funding for brand investment, inventory, dividends and debt reduction. Strong FCF supports strategic flexibility across cycles, enabling long-term reinvestment and shareholder returns without relying solely on external financing.
High Profit Margins
Very high gross and operating margins reflect premium pricing and strong cost-to-price economics in luxury goods. Margin durability gives the company a buffer in weaker demand periods, sustaining cash generation and providing scope for marketing, product development and selective discounting without eroding core profitability.
Diversified Luxury Portfolio
A broad portfolio of iconic luxury brands and segment diversity spreads risk across product categories and geographies. Established brand equity and strategic acquisitions bolster pricing power and customer loyalty, underpinning long-term resilience to demand shifts and sustaining structural competitiveness in premium markets.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction
Two consecutive years of revenue decline signal weakening demand or adverse mix that can erode long-term growth trajectories. Persistent top-line pressure constrains reinvestment, compresses operating leverage over time, and raises the bar for management to restore prior growth momentum sustainably.
Rising Leverage
Higher leverage versus recent years reduces financial flexibility and elevates interest and refinancing risk. With operating cash flow covering a modest portion of total debt (~0.60), sustained cash generation is required to delever, otherwise balance sheet stress could limit M&A, buybacks or cushioning in downturns.
Easing Returns
Declining returns on capital suggest weaker earnings power or higher capital intensity versus recent peaks. If sustained, this trend can impair long-term shareholder value creation, reduce excess cash for strategic initiatives, and make it harder to justify past margins and investment levels.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (LVMUY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne operates as a luxury goods company worldwide. The company offers champagnes, wines, and spirits under the Clos des Lambrays, Château d'Yquem, Dom Pérignon, Ruinart, Moët & Chandon, Hennessy, Veuve Clicquot, Ardbeg, Château Cheval Blanc, Glenmorangie, Krug, Mercier, Chandon, Cape Mentelle, Newton Vineyard, Cloudy Bay, Belvedere, Terrazas de los Andes, Bodega Numanthia, Cheval des Andes, Woodinville, Ao Yun, Clos19, and Volcan de mi Tierra brands. It also provides fashion and leather products under the Berluti, Celine, Christian Dior, Emilio Pucci, FENDI, Givenchy, Kenzo, Loewe, Loro Piana, Louis Vuitton, Marc Jacobs, Moynat, Patou, and RIMOWA brands. In addition, the company offers perfumes and cosmetics under the Acqua di Parma, Benefit Cosmetics, Cha Ling, Fenty Beauty by Rihanna, Fresh, Givenchy Parfums, Guerlain, KVD Beauty, Kenzo Parfums, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, Make Up For Ever, Marc Jacobs Beauty, Officine Universelle Buly, Parfums Christian Dior, and Perfumes Loewe brands; watches and jewelry under the Bulgari, Chaumet, Fred, Hublot, Repossi, TAG Heuer, Tiffany & Co., and Zenith brands; and custom-designed yachts under the Feadship brand name, as well as designs and builds luxury yachts under the Royal Van Lent brand. Further, it provides daily newspapers under the Les Échos brand; Belmond, a luxury tourism service; home other activities under the Belmond, Cheval Blanc, Connaissance des Arts, Cova, Investir, Jardin d'Acclimatation, La Samaritaine, Le Parisien, and Radio Classique brands; and selective retailing products under the DFS, La Grande Epicerie de Paris, Le Bon Marché Rive Gauche, Sephora, and Starboard Cruise Services brands, as well as operates Jardin d'Acclimatation, a leisure and amusement park. The company operates 5,556 stores. LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne was incorporated in 1923 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyLVMH generates revenue primarily through the sale of luxury goods across its various sectors. The Fashion & Leather Goods segment is the largest contributor to the company's revenue, driven by strong sales of handbags, apparel, and accessories from high-profile brands. The Wines & Spirits division adds significant revenue through premium wine and liquor sales, while Perfumes & Cosmetics benefit from both established and emerging brands. Watches & Jewelry contribute to earnings through sales of luxury timepieces and jewelry. Additionally, Selective Retailing includes duty-free sales through its Sephora chain and other retail outlets, further enhancing revenue streams. The company’s strategic acquisitions and partnerships with influential designers and artists also contribute to brand prestige and market reach, ensuring continued consumer interest and loyalty, which are critical for sustaining high profit margins.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted LVMH's strong financial position and resilience in certain segments, such as Selective Retailing and Sephora. However, the overall sentiment is tempered by significant revenue and profit declines across key segments, particularly in Wines & Spirits, Fashion & Leather Goods, and the challenges in Asia. The financial performance shows mixed results with strong operational control but also significant challenges in terms of sales and regional performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Resilient Operating Margin
The operating margin remains strong at 22.6%, which is 150 basis points above the first half of 2019, despite a decline in profit from recurring operations.
Strong Financial Situation
Free cash flow increased to EUR 4 billion with gearing at EUR 15.2 billion, indicating a strong financial position.
Selective Retailing Growth
Selective Retailing revenue reached EUR 8.6 billion, up 2% organically, with a 12% increase in profit from recurring operations and an operating margin rise of 110 bps to 10.2%.
Sephora's Solid Performance
Sephora showed strong growth in Americas, Europe, and the Middle East, gaining market share in key geographies and maintaining profitability.
Negative Updates
Revenue and Profit Decline
Revenue was down 3% on an organic basis to EUR 40 billion, with a drop of 4% on a reported basis. Profit from recurring operations decreased by 15% compared to the first half of 2024.
Wines & Spirits Underperformance
The Wines & Spirits business group recorded a 7% decrease in revenue on an organic basis and a 33% drop in profit from recurring operations.
Fashion & Leather Goods Revenue Drop
Revenue in Fashion & Leather Goods fell by 7% on an organic basis, with an 18% decrease in profit from recurring operations.
Challenges in Asia
Asia's performance was negatively impacted by a downturn in China and a significant decline in Japanese tourism, affecting overall sales.
Company Guidance
In the first half of 2025, LVMH demonstrated resilience amid macroeconomic uncertainties, reporting EUR 40 billion in revenue, which reflected a 3% decline on an organic basis. The profit from recurring operations was EUR 9 billion, down 15% from the prior year, yet the operating margin remained strong at 22.6%, a notable increase of 150 basis points from the first half of 2019. LVMH's financial position was robust, with free cash flow rising to EUR 4 billion and gearing at EUR 15.2 billion. The company observed mixed regional performances, with solid demand in Europe and the U.S., and an improvement in Mainland China in Q2, although currency fluctuations posed challenges, particularly affecting purchases by American and Chinese consumers abroad. Despite a 7% organic revenue decline in both Wines & Spirits and Fashion & Leather Goods, LVMH maintained a commendable operating margin, highlighting efficient cost management amidst revenue pressures.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong premium-margin profile and healthy free cash flow, but recent performance has weakened: revenue contracted in 2024 and fell more sharply in 2025, margins/returns have eased, and leverage has drifted higher despite solid overall financial flexibility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability remains strong for a luxury leader, with 2025 gross margin around 66% and operating profitability still healthy (EBIT margin ~22%), though both have eased versus 2021–2023. The key concern is the growth trajectory: revenue declined in 2024 and fell more sharply in 2025, alongside lower net margin (~13%) and lower net income versus prior years—suggesting a tougher demand/pricing environment or mix headwinds despite resilient underlying margins.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet looks solid with equity of ~€67B supporting the asset base, and leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.74 in 2025), though higher than 2024 and meaningfully above the best recent years. Returns on shareholder capital remain respectable (~15% in 2025) but have declined from the 2021–2023 peak levels, indicating reduced earnings power and/or higher capital intensity. Overall financial flexibility appears good, but rising debt and softer returns are the main watch items.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is healthy and improving: free cash flow grew in 2025 and remains sizeable (~€14B). Free cash flow conversion is reasonable (about 80% of net income in 2025), supporting reinvestment and shareholder returns. The main weakness is that operating cash flow covers a modest portion of total debt (~0.60 in 2025), and this coverage has not materially strengthened—so while cash flow is strong, leverage still requires ongoing, consistent cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.62B84.68B86.15B79.18B64.22B
Gross Profit51.42B56.77B59.28B54.20B43.85B
EBITDA23.43B27.09B28.55B26.07B22.49B
Net Income10.45B12.55B15.17B14.08B12.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets141.98B149.19B143.69B134.65B125.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.50B13.59B11.26B10.85B10.56B
Total Debt49.64B41.20B38.88B35.65B34.84B
Total Liabilities73.06B79.90B80.99B78.04B76.40B
Stockholders Equity67.44B67.52B61.02B55.11B47.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.45B13.37B10.60B12.75B15.39B
Operating Cash Flow18.15B18.93B18.40B17.84B18.65B
Investing Cash Flow-5.52B-6.54B-8.31B-5.92B-15.98B
Financing Cash Flow-13.26B-10.72B-9.40B-12.69B-15.16B

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price118.72
Price Trends
50DMA
136.42
Negative
100DMA
139.40
Negative
200DMA
125.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.44
Positive
RSI
31.37
Neutral
STOCH
13.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LVMUY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 118.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.16, below the 50-day MA of 136.42, and below the 200-day MA of 125.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LVMUY.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$31.77B11.9455.34%1.16%8.14%-65.04%
64
Neutral
$290.29B30.5716.45%1.41%-2.71%-20.78%
64
Neutral
$3.95B50.418.24%1.46%-0.40%-68.99%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
51
Neutral
$2.26B6.45-96.50%-17.66%-223.06%
50
Neutral
$1.44B14.30%23.73%
42
Neutral
$194.13M-1.49-2353.49%-23.54%-49.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LVMUY
LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE
117.30
-20.02
-14.58%
TPR
Tapestry
149.60
72.78
94.75%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
18.69
-3.03
-13.95%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
93.72
44.50
90.43%
REAL
RealReal
11.37
6.05
113.72%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
1.56
-0.43
-21.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026