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LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (LVMUY)
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LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (LVMUY) AI Stock Analysis

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LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE

(OTC:LVMUY)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$125.00
▲(8.30%Upside)
LVMH's stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and fair valuation. While technical analysis presents some concerns, the company shows resilience through strategic investments and stable dividend payouts. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call highlights both growth opportunities and challenges.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (LVMUY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (LVMUY) is a leading global luxury goods conglomerate based in France. The company operates across several sectors, including fashion and leather goods, perfumes and cosmetics, watches and jewelry, wines and spirits, and selective retailing. LVMH's portfolio includes prestigious brands like Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Fendi, Givenchy, Dom Pérignon, Moët & Chandon, and Sephora, among others. Known for its commitment to quality, craftsmanship, and innovation, LVMH has established a dominant presence in the luxury market worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyLVMH makes money primarily through the sale of its luxury products across various sectors. The company generates significant revenue from its fashion and leather goods segment, which includes iconic brands like Louis Vuitton and Fendi. Another substantial revenue stream comes from its wines and spirits division, featuring brands such as Moët & Chandon and Hennessy. The perfumes and cosmetics segment also contributes notably, with brands like Christian Dior and Guerlain. Additionally, the watches and jewelry division, with brands like TAG Heuer and Bulgari, and selective retailing, which includes Sephora, bolster LVMH's earnings. The company benefits from a global presence and strong brand loyalty, leveraging a vast distribution network and strategic marketing to maintain its market position. Furthermore, LVMH engages in selective acquisitions and partnerships to expand its brand portfolio and market reach, enhancing its revenue-generating capabilities.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -24.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment. While there were significant achievements in growth for Sephora, Japan, and Tiffany, challenges were evident in the declines in operating income and the performance of Wines & Spirits and DFS. The overall revenue remained stable, but with a slight decrease.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Sephora's Exceptional Growth
Sephora reported exceptional growth, with revenues now more than 10 times since its acquisition in 1998.
Japan's Strong Performance
Japan reported strong growth, increasing its share from 7% to 9% due to favorable currency conditions.
Successful Fashion Events
Louis Vuitton and Christian Dior hosted successful fashion shows, including events like Pharrell Williams' Fashion Show at UNESCO and a show in Scotland with favorable weather.
High Jewelry and TAG Heuer Achievements
High Jewelry broke records in Geneva, and TAG Heuer launched a new Monaco watch and signed a 10-year contract to be the official timekeeper for Formula One.
Tiffany's Recovery and Growth
Tiffany reported a 9% organic growth in Q4 2024 and doubled profits compared to pre-acquisition levels.
Louis Vuitton's Double-Digit Growth
Louis Vuitton reported double-digit growth in early 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Operating Income
Operating income decreased by 14%, impacted by higher costs and decreased revenue.
Wines & Spirits Challenges
Wines & Spirits faced a negative 8% organic growth, with a notable 36% drop in operating margin due to decreased volumes and pricing.
DFS Financial Struggles
DFS experienced significant financial challenges due to currency issues, especially with the Hong Kong dollar's high value compared to the renminbi.
Overall Revenue Stability
The overall revenue saw only a 1% organic growth, with a 2% decrease in total revenue.
Company Guidance
During the call, LVMH provided several key metrics regarding its financial performance and strategic initiatives for the fiscal year 2024. The company achieved EUR 84.6 billion in revenue, with a 1% organic growth rate, despite a challenging economic environment. The operating income saw a decline of 14%, attributed partially to a EUR 1 billion impact from foreign exchange fluctuations. Geographically, LVMH's revenue mix was balanced, with 25% from Europe and the U.S., 28% from Asia, and Japan increasing to 9%. The company highlighted exceptional growth in its Fashion & Leather Goods segment, particularly at Louis Vuitton, and noted a 9% organic growth in its Watches & Jewelry division. LVMH continues to invest heavily, maintaining a high level of operating investments and achieving a reduction in net debt to EUR 9.2 billion. The company also declared a stable dividend payout, ensuring continued shareholder value despite the current economic challenges.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LVMH showcases strong financial performance with robust profitability and efficient operations. Income statement metrics are impressive, although recent revenue decline is noted. The balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage, and cash flow generation is strong, supporting strategic initiatives despite rising capital expenditures.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
LVMH exhibits strong income statement metrics with impressive profitability and growth. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are robust, reflecting efficient cost management and premium pricing power. Revenue showed steady growth over recent years, although there was a slight decline in the most recent period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a healthy equity ratio and return on equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting manageable leverage levels. Stockholders' equity has consistently grown, supporting future growth. However, attention should be given to the increase in total debt over the years.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reflects strong cash generation capabilities, with consistent growth in operating cash flow and free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating effective conversion of earnings to cash. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, although capital expenditures have increased, which could impact future cash availability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.68B86.15B79.18B64.22B44.65B
Gross Profit56.77B59.28B54.20B43.85B28.76B
EBITDA27.09B28.55B26.07B22.49B12.54B
Net Income12.55B15.17B14.08B12.04B4.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets149.19B143.69B134.65B125.31B108.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.59B11.26B10.85B10.56B20.71B
Total Debt41.20B38.88B35.09B34.45B37.48B
Total Liabilities79.90B80.99B78.04B76.40B69.84B
Stockholders Equity67.52B61.02B55.11B47.12B37.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.37B10.60B12.75B15.39B8.43B
Operating Cash Flow18.93B18.40B17.84B18.65B10.90B
Investing Cash Flow-6.54B-8.31B-5.92B-15.98B-2.94B
Financing Cash Flow-10.72B-9.40B-12.69B-15.16B7.40B

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price115.42
Price Trends
50DMA
109.82
Positive
100DMA
120.02
Negative
200DMA
126.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Negative
RSI
64.38
Neutral
STOCH
84.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LVMUY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 115.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.82, above the 50-day MA of 109.82, and below the 200-day MA of 126.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LVMUY.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TPTPR
76
Outperform
$17.96B22.7640.27%1.62%2.67%1.31%
75
Outperform
$276.59B20.4319.77%2.09%-1.65%-17.16%
SISIG
75
Outperform
$3.45B91.092.04%1.52%-3.98%-93.50%
63
Neutral
$672.75M-8.75%7.08%-42.22%
56
Neutral
HK$23.69B3.90-1.57%6.91%0.06%-64.88%
48
Neutral
$560.95M32.94%11.89%66.22%
47
Neutral
$2.15B-120.18%-14.08%-411.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LVMUY
LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE
115.42
-37.84
-24.69%
TPR
Tapestry
86.48
47.24
120.39%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
18.13
-15.26
-45.70%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
83.96
-1.85
-2.16%
REAL
RealReal
5.24
1.94
58.79%
LUXE
LuxExperience
7.61
2.84
59.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025