LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (LVMUY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $263.04B
• Dividend Yield: 1.41%
• Average Volume (3M): 344.24K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 30.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.11
• Revenue Growth: -2.71%
• EPS Growth: -20.78%
• Country: US
• Employees: 200,518
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Luxury Goods
• EPS (TTM): 2.49
• Shares Outstanding: 2,488,434,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 388,370
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 344,241
• PEG Ratio: -1.86
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.74
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.11
• P/FCF Ratio: 22.10
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.05
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.42
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.16
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.34
• 1Y Price Target: $372.05
• Price Target Upside: 253.76% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): 5.39
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $96.58B

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: $113.00 ▲(7.45% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/27/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/27/26

The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial quality and cash generation, offset by recent revenue contraction, softer profitability/returns, and a gradual rise in leverage. Technical signals are mixed with negative intermediate-term momentum, and valuation remains at a premium with only a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Cash generation

Sizable, improving free cash flow (~€14B in 2025) provides durable internal funding for brand investment, retail expansion, share repurchases and dividends. Over 2–6 months this underpins the ability to sustain strategic initiatives and manage leverage without needing external financing.

Brand & distribution strength

A portfolio of premium brands plus tight control of boutiques, e-commerce and selective wholesale protects pricing power and brand equity. This structural advantage sustains high gross margins and allows long-term product mix and pricing strategies that are resilient across cycles.

Balance sheet equity and returns

Large equity base (~€67B) and historically respectable returns on capital (~15% in 2025) give structural financial flexibility. This supports multi-year investment in craftsmanship, retail footprint and M&A optionality while helping absorb cyclical revenue volatility.

Negative Factors

Revenue contraction

Two consecutive years of declining revenue signal weakening end-demand, pricing or mix that can erode long-term growth runway. If sustained, lower top-line volumes strain operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity and could force tougher margin trade-offs across brands and channels.

Rising leverage

Debt-to-equity rising to ~0.74 increases financial risk relative to prior years. Higher leverage reduces cushion against demand shocks, limits capital allocation flexibility and raises refinancing/interest exposure, making consistent cash generation necessary to avoid longer-term balance sheet stress.

Easing margins and returns

Although margins remain high, the retreat from peak profitability indicates pressures on pricing, mix or costs. Persistently lower margins and reduced net income diminish ROE and free cash flow potential, constraining long-term reinvestment and shareholder returns if not reversed.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne operates as a luxury goods company worldwide. The company offers champagnes, wines, and spirits under the Clos des Lambrays, Château d'Yquem, Dom Pérignon, Ruinart, Moët & Chandon, Hennessy, Veuve Clicquot, Ardbeg, Château Cheval Blanc, Glenmorangie, Krug, Mercier, Chandon, Cape Mentelle, Newton Vineyard, Cloudy Bay, Belvedere, Terrazas de los Andes, Bodega Numanthia, Cheval des Andes, Woodinville, Ao Yun, Clos19, and Volcan de mi Tierra brands. It also provides fashion and leather products under the Berluti, Celine, Christian Dior, Emilio Pucci, FENDI, Givenchy, Kenzo, Loewe, Loro Piana, Louis Vuitton, Marc Jacobs, Moynat, Patou, and RIMOWA brands. In addition, the company offers perfumes and cosmetics under the Acqua di Parma, Benefit Cosmetics, Cha Ling, Fenty Beauty by Rihanna, Fresh, Givenchy Parfums, Guerlain, KVD Beauty, Kenzo Parfums, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, Make Up For Ever, Marc Jacobs Beauty, Officine Universelle Buly, Parfums Christian Dior, and Perfumes Loewe brands; watches and jewelry under the Bulgari, Chaumet, Fred, Hublot, Repossi, TAG Heuer, Tiffany & Co., and Zenith brands; and custom-designed yachts under the Feadship brand name, as well as designs and builds luxury yachts under the Royal Van Lent brand. Further, it provides daily newspapers under the Les Échos brand; Belmond, a luxury tourism service; home other activities under the Belmond, Cheval Blanc, Connaissance des Arts, Cova, Investir, Jardin d'Acclimatation, La Samaritaine, Le Parisien, and Radio Classique brands; and selective retailing products under the DFS, La Grande Epicerie de Paris, Le Bon Marché Rive Gauche, Sephora, and Starboard Cruise Services brands, as well as operates Jardin d'Acclimatation, a leisure and amusement park. The company operates 5,556 stores. LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne was incorporated in 1923 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

How the Company Makes Money

LVMH makes money primarily by selling luxury goods and experiences through a mix of directly operated retail stores, e-commerce, selective wholesale distribution, and its own retail chains. Its major revenue streams are organized by business segments: (1) Fashion & Leather Goods: revenue from iconic luxury brands’ products (notably leather goods, ready-to-wear, shoes, and accessories) sold mainly through company-operated boutiques and online channels, where pricing power and brand equity support high gross margins; (2) Perfumes & Cosmetics: revenue from fragrances, makeup, and skincare sold through a combination of direct-to-consumer channels and selective distribution (e.g., department stores, specialty beauty retailers, and travel retail), with recurring demand supported by product launches and global marketing; (3) Watches & Jewelry: revenue from timepieces and jewelry sold through mono-brand boutiques, authorized retailers, and select wholesale partners, with earnings influenced by product mix, brand desirability, and retail footprint; (4) Wines & Spirits: revenue from champagne, wine, and spirits sold through on-trade (restaurants/hospitality) and off-trade (retail) distribution as well as selective allocations for prestige cuvées and premium spirits, with performance affected by consumer demand, mix, and distribution strength; (5) Selective Retailing: revenue from retail operations that sell both LVMH and third-party products, including airport and travel retail as well as specialty retail networks, generating sales volume and retail margin. Across segments, key earnings drivers include global brand marketing, control over distribution (which helps protect pricing and brand positioning), product innovation and seasonal collections, expansion and optimization of retail networks, and exposure to international tourism and luxury demand cycles. Specific significant partnerships or counterparties are not available (null).

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong premium-margin profile and healthy free cash flow, but recent performance has weakened: revenue contracted in 2024 and fell more sharply in 2025, margins/returns have eased, and leverage has drifted higher despite solid overall financial flexibility.

Income Statement

Profitability remains strong for a luxury leader, with 2025 gross margin around 66% and operating profitability still healthy (EBIT margin ~22%), though both have eased versus 2021–2023. The key concern is the growth trajectory: revenue declined in 2024 and fell more sharply in 2025, alongside lower net margin (~13%) and lower net income versus prior years—suggesting a tougher demand/pricing environment or mix headwinds despite resilient underlying margins.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet looks solid with equity of ~€67B supporting the asset base, and leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.74 in 2025), though higher than 2024 and meaningfully above the best recent years. Returns on shareholder capital remain respectable (~15% in 2025) but have declined from the 2021–2023 peak levels, indicating reduced earnings power and/or higher capital intensity. Overall financial flexibility appears good, but rising debt and softer returns are the main watch items.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is healthy and improving: free cash flow grew in 2025 and remains sizeable (~€14B). Free cash flow conversion is reasonable (about 80% of net income in 2025), supporting reinvestment and shareholder returns. The main weakness is that operating cash flow covers a modest portion of total debt (~0.60 in 2025), and this coverage has not materially strengthened—so while cash flow is strong, leverage still requires ongoing, consistent cash generation.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	77.62B	84.68B	86.15B	79.18B	64.22B
Gross Profit	51.42B	56.77B	59.28B	54.20B	43.85B
EBITDA	23.43B	27.09B	28.55B	26.07B	22.49B
Net Income	10.45B	12.55B	15.17B	14.08B	12.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	141.98B	149.19B	143.69B	134.65B	125.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	13.50B	13.59B	11.26B	10.85B	10.56B
Total Debt	49.64B	41.20B	38.88B	35.65B	34.84B
Total Liabilities	73.06B	79.90B	80.99B	78.04B	76.40B
Stockholders Equity	67.44B	67.52B	61.02B	55.11B	47.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	14.45B	13.37B	10.60B	12.75B	15.39B
Operating Cash Flow	18.15B	18.93B	18.40B	17.84B	18.65B
Investing Cash Flow	-5.52B	-6.54B	-8.31B	-5.92B	-15.98B
Financing Cash Flow	-13.26B	-10.72B	-9.40B	-12.69B	-15.16B

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 105.17
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LVMUY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 105.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 117.68, below the 50-day MA of 127.43, and below the 200-day MA of 126.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.84 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LVMUY.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TPR	67 Neutral	$28.52B	11.94	63.26%	1.16%	8.14%	-65.04%
LVMUY	64 Neutral	$263.04B	30.57	16.39%	1.41%	-2.71%	-20.78%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
CPRI	51 Neutral	$2.16B	6.45	-244.66%	―	-17.66%	-223.06%
SIG	51 Neutral	$3.57B	12.94	―	1.46%	-0.40%	-68.99%
REAL	46 Neutral	$1.03B	-108.42	11.34%	―	14.30%	23.73%
LANV	42 Neutral	$208.16M	-1.49	404.88%	―	-23.54%	-49.41%