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Landsec (LDSCY)
OTHER OTC:LDSCY
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Landsec (LDSCY) AI Stock Analysis

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Landsec

(OTC:LDSCY)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(9.25%Upside)
Landsec's stock score is driven by strong financial recovery and an optimistic earnings outlook. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and rising debt levels pose a risk. The stock's valuation is supported by a strong dividend yield, making it appealing to income-focused investors.

Landsec (LDSCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Landsec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAt Landsec, we build and invest in buildings, spaces and partnerships to create sustainable places, connect communities and realise potential. We are one of the largest real estate companies in Europe, with a £11 billion portfolio of retail, leisure, workspace and residential hubs. Landsec is shaping a better future by leading our industry on environmental and social sustainability while delivering value for our shareholders, great experiences for our guests and positive change for our communities.
How the Company Makes MoneyLandsec generates revenue primarily through rental income obtained from its extensive portfolio of properties across the UK. The company leases office spaces, retail units, and residential properties to a diverse range of tenants, ensuring a steady stream of rental income. Additionally, Landsec engages in property development and sales, which contribute to its earnings. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its ability to manage and develop large-scale projects. Landsec's focus on sustainability and innovation helps in attracting high-profile clients and maintaining high occupancy rates, further bolstering its financial performance.

Landsec Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Rental Income by Segment
Gross Rental Income by Segment
Shows the total rental income generated from different property segments, highlighting which areas are driving revenue and indicating potential growth or risk areas based on segment performance.
Chart InsightsLandsec's gross rental income from Central London shows a slight decline, contrasting with the earnings call's optimistic outlook of a 6.6% increase in this segment. Major Retail income has been resilient, aligning with strategic investments in premium retail destinations. However, Mixed-Use Urban and Subscale Sectors have seen recent declines, posing challenges amid rising interest costs and debt levels. Despite these pressures, Landsec's focus on high-quality retail and residential development suggests potential for long-term income growth and portfolio diversification.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Landsec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 16, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Landsec's earnings call reflects a strong operational performance with significant like-for-like income growth and an optimistic outlook for future EPS growth. The company has successfully increased occupancy and portfolio value while strategically investing in premium retail locations. However, challenges such as rising net debt, interest costs, and the holding costs of predevelopment assets present obstacles. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic focus on sustainable income and EPS growth suggests a positive trajectory.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
Landsec reported high like-for-like income growth across both London and retail, which make up 83% of the business. Overall like-for-like income growth over the year was up 5% with uplifts on relettings and renewals in retail and London rising to 8%.
Increase in Occupancy and Portfolio Value
The company delivered a 100 basis point increase in occupancy to 97.2% and a portfolio value increase of 1.1% driven by successful leasing activity.
Positive EPS Growth Outlook
Landsec expects EPS growth of around 20% over the next five years, even after absorbing a 10% EPS headwind from rising interest costs.
Retail Investment and Growth
Invested over GBP600 million into premium retail destinations Liverpool ONE and Bluewater at highly accretive yields. Retail portfolio value increased by 3.4%, driven by ERV growth and yield compression.
Development and Residential Pipeline
Commenced planning for significant residential developments in London and Manchester, with potential to start projects by late 2026.
Negative Updates
Rising Net Debt and LTV
Net debt increased due to acquisitions, with LTV now just over 38%. However, it is expected to reduce to the mid-30s over time.
Impact of Rising Interest Costs
Forecasted EPS growth has to absorb a 10% EPS headwind from rising interest costs and a finance lease expiry.
Challenges with Predevelopment Assets
Holding cost of predevelopment assets is significant, with GBP730 million of capital employed producing a current income return of around 1%.
Company Guidance
In the call, Landsec provided guidance indicating a positive outlook for EPS growth, projecting a 20% increase over the next five years, even after accounting for a 10% EPS headwind due to rising interest costs and a finance lease expiry. The company expects continued strong like-for-like income growth, with overall income up 5% over the year and specific increases of 6.6% in Central London and 5.1% in retail. Landsec's occupancy rate improved by 100 basis points to 97.2%. Their dividend grew by 2%, aligning with guidance, and net tangible assets per share rose by 1.7%, contributing to a 6.4% return on equity. The company aims to maintain a strong capital base, targeting a net debt to EBITDA ratio of less than 8 times and a loan-to-value ratio around the mid-30s. Landsec's strategic focus includes investing in high-quality retail destinations and establishing a substantial residential platform, with goals to shift portfolio mix and sustain EPS growth in the long term.

Landsec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Landsec demonstrates a positive trajectory in financial recovery, with notable improvements in profitability and cash management. The company maintains a strong equity position but faces challenges with increased leverage and cash flow volatility. Continued focus on stabilizing earnings and managing debt levels will be vital for sustained growth.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Landsec's income statement shows a significant turnaround in net income from a loss in 2024 to a profit in 2025, indicating improved profitability. Gross profit margin remained strong, reflecting efficient cost management. However, fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA margins over the years highlight volatility, which poses a risk to consistent profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity base, with a healthy equity ratio suggesting solid financial standing. The debt-to-equity ratio increased in 2025, indicating higher leverage, which could be a concern if interest rates rise. However, the return on equity improved significantly, reflecting better utilization of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive free cash flow generation in 2025, a recovery from previous periods. Operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. Yet, fluctuations in free cash flow highlight potential instability in cash management.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue832.00M824.00M791.00M679.00M635.00M
Gross Profit510.00M500.00M412.00M372.00M416.00M
EBITDA511.00M-231.00M-527.00M388.00M-1.31B
Net Income396.00M-319.00M-619.00M869.00M-1.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.62B10.66B10.97B12.89B10.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.00M78.00M41.00M146.00M5.00M
Total Debt4.55B3.78B3.54B4.55B3.52B
Total Liabilities5.09B4.22B3.89B4.90B3.78B
Stockholders Equity6.51B6.40B7.00B7.92B7.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow93.00M212.00M240.00M339.00M15.00M
Operating Cash Flow256.00M338.00M342.00M381.00M233.00M
Investing Cash Flow-383.00M-272.00M834.00M-607.00M334.00M
Financing Cash Flow88.00M-29.00M-1.28B362.00M-1.91B

Landsec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.78
Price Trends
50DMA
8.19
Negative
100DMA
7.70
Positive
200DMA
7.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
37.23
Neutral
STOCH
8.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LDSCY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.17, below the 50-day MA of 8.19, and above the 200-day MA of 7.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LDSCY.

Landsec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UEUE
78
Outperform
$2.55B30.636.48%4.62%6.18%-72.21%
74
Outperform
$6.04B26.276.01%3.87%25.47%-4.35%
WPWPC
74
Outperform
$13.51B31.825.02%5.75%-5.89%-26.36%
BNBNL
67
Neutral
$2.98B26.543.79%7.36%0.73%-37.65%
66
Neutral
$5.76B11.446.13%8.66%2.49%
59
Neutral
C$1.25B-2.58-8.19%5.24%10.84%-23.78%
GNGNL
57
Neutral
$1.58B-13.01%17.00%16.69%39.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LDSCY
Landsec
7.78
-0.15
-1.89%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
61.69
5.99
10.75%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
19.27
0.24
1.26%
GNL
Global Net Lease
7.09
-0.49
-6.46%
EPRT
Essential Properties Realty
30.49
0.83
2.80%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
15.77
-0.47
-2.89%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025