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Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX)
:LCTX
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Lineage Therap (LCTX) AI Stock Analysis

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LCTX

Lineage Therap

(LCTX)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(13.64% Upside)
Lineage Therap's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, with ongoing losses and cash flow issues. Technical analysis shows positive momentum, providing some support. Valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings, while the earnings call highlights potential long-term growth through clinical advancements and partnerships.
Positive Factors
Clinical Advancements
The expansion of clinical sites for OpRegen indicates strong progress in the development pipeline, enhancing the potential for successful trials and future market entry.
Strategic Partnerships
Securing external funding through partnerships demonstrates confidence in Lineage's technology and provides financial support for ongoing and future projects.
Cash Runway Extension
A strong cash position extending operational runway provides financial stability and flexibility to pursue strategic initiatives without immediate capital pressure.
Negative Factors
Decreased Revenue
A decline in revenue highlights challenges in generating consistent income, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Significant Net Loss
Ongoing significant net losses indicate financial instability, potentially limiting investment in R&D and affecting long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Weak cash flow positions hinder the company's ability to self-fund operations and may necessitate additional financing, impacting financial health.

Lineage Therap (LCTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lineage Therap Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLineage Therap (LCTX) is a biotechnology company focused on developing innovative cell therapies for the treatment of degenerative diseases and conditions, particularly those affecting the retina. The company specializes in the advancement of pluripotent stem cell technology, which allows for the generation of specialized cells that can potentially restore vision in patients suffering from retinal disorders. Lineage's core products include its lead therapeutic candidates, which are designed to address unmet medical needs in ocular health, as well as other applications in regenerative medicine.
How the Company Makes MoneyLineage Therap generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its cell therapy products. Key revenue streams include funding from partnerships and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, grants, and potential product sales upon regulatory approval. The company often engages in strategic alliances that provide upfront payments, research funding, and milestone payments tied to the achievement of specific development goals. Additionally, the company may receive royalties on future sales of any products that successfully reach the market. Lineage's focus on clinical trials and regulatory approvals also positions it to benefit from governmental and institutional funding aimed at advancing innovative medical treatments.

Lineage Therap Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Lineage has made significant progress with its OpRegen program and secured important partnerships, financial challenges persist with a decrease in revenue and a significant net loss. The advancements in clinical trials and partnerships offer promising long-term potential, but financial metrics present short-term challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
OpRegen Clinical Advancements
OpRegen has made significant progress with Genentech opening 8 new clinical sites in the last 6 months, totaling 15 sites. This expansion is a positive sign, supported by promising 36-month analyses showing improvements in retinal structure and visual acuity for patients.
Partnership with William Demant Invest A/S
Lineage secured a partnership with William Demant Invest A/S, expected to fund up to $12 million for the ReSonance program, demonstrating the platform's capability to attract external funding and collaboration.
Cash Runway Extension
Lineage's cash position of $40.5 million is expected to support operations into Q2 2027, extended by one quarter due to the William Demant partnership.
Potential $37 Million Warrant Capital
Lineage may receive approximately $37 million of warrant capital if Roche and Genentech advance OpRegen into a clinical trial with a comparator arm.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue
Total revenues decreased by $0.1 million to $3.7 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to lower royalty and service revenues.
Significant Net Loss
Lineage reported a net loss of $29.8 million or $0.13 per share, compared to a net loss of $3 million or $0.02 per share in 2024, mainly driven by the noncash quarterly fair value remeasurement of warrant liabilities.
Company Guidance
During the Lineage Cell Therapeutics Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, Brian Culley, the CEO, provided a comprehensive update on several strategic goals and the progress of their lead program, OpRegen. A key highlight was the expansion of the GAlette study by Genentech, which has opened eight new clinical sites in the past six months, totaling 15 locations, compared to just one in 2024. This expansion is seen as a positive indicator for the program. Culley mentioned that since the GAlette study began, Genentech reported data from the Lineage Phase I/IIa trial showing improvements in retinal structure and visual acuity, with an acceptable safety profile. The company also achieved a partnership with William Demant Invest A/S, which is expected to fund up to $12 million for the ReSonance program. Additionally, Lineage aims to secure a CIRM CLIN2 grant that could offset up to $7 million of costs for the ongoing OPC1 study for spinal cord injury. Financially, Lineage reported a cash position of $40.5 million, expected to fund operations into Q2 of 2027, and they are pursuing other funding sources, including potential milestone payments under the Roche-Genentech collaboration.

Lineage Therap Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lineage Therap is experiencing growth in revenue but faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow. The low leverage is a positive aspect, but the company needs to address its operational losses to improve financial health.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Lineage Therap has shown some revenue growth, with a 14.2% increase in the TTM period. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains strong, but the high operating losses are a concern.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base relative to equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Lineage Therap's cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating that cash flow is somewhat aligned with reported losses. However, the overall cash flow position remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.82M9.50M8.95M14.70M3.90M773.00K
Gross Profit6.91M9.16M8.27M13.97M2.47M388.00K
EBITDA-19.86M-20.87M-24.04M-21.79M-48.34M-24.41M
Net Income-67.66M-18.61M-21.49M-26.35M-43.02M-20.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets89.64M113.22M101.02M123.66M174.54M107.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.49M47.80M35.49M57.88M58.36M41.56M
Total Debt2.62M2.51M2.95M3.90M2.80M3.83M
Total Liabilities68.84M36.21M39.00M51.73M83.65M12.82M
Stockholders Equity20.80M78.38M63.42M73.34M92.22M96.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.66M-23.66M-29.24M646.00K-23.91M-19.82M
Operating Cash Flow-20.39M-23.09M-28.57M1.06M-23.56M-19.75M
Investing Cash Flow4.51M-2.31M46.45M-46.16M9.74M13.04M
Financing Cash Flow28.30M35.86M6.42M1.63M36.93M29.86M

Lineage Therap Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.76
Price Trends
50DMA
1.60
Positive
100DMA
1.32
Positive
200DMA
0.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
53.05
Neutral
STOCH
32.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LCTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.75, above the 50-day MA of 1.60, and above the 200-day MA of 0.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LCTX.

Lineage Therap Risk Analysis

Lineage Therap disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lineage Therap reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lineage Therap Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$490.84M-38.87%
55
Neutral
$411.04M-9.86-70.12%76.43%-35.66%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$316.13M-3.65-17.35%-6.31%-115.62%
48
Neutral
$537.18M-234.58%1.29%
43
Neutral
$352.84M-2.90-55.39%-9.14%
37
Underperform
$41.17M-0.25-93.85%-40.16%78.28%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LCTX
Lineage Therap
1.76
0.82
87.23%
AMRN
Amarin
15.71
4.51
40.27%
TVRD
Tvardi Therapeutics
4.02
-8.26
-67.26%
DBVT
DBV Technologies SA - American
13.97
10.59
313.31%
FDMT
4D Molecular Therapeutics
10.50
2.43
30.11%
AURA
Aura Biosciences Inc
5.35
-5.79
-51.97%

Lineage Therap Corporate Events

Lineage Cell Therapeutics Reports Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company specializing in the development of novel allogeneic cell therapies aimed at treating serious medical conditions. The company leverages its proprietary cell-based technology platform to design and manufacture specialized human cells for therapeutic purposes.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics Advances in Spinal Cord Injury Treatment with DOSED Study
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: The DOSED clinical study, officially titled ‘Delivery of Oligodendrocyte Progenitor Cells for Spinal Cord Injury: Evaluation of a Novel Device,’ aims to assess the safety and utility of a new delivery device for administering LCTOPC1. This cell therapy targets spinal cord injuries (SCI) by replacing or supporting dysfunctional cells, potentially improving quality of life and functional activity for those with traumatic cervical or thoracic injuries.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics’ Earnings Call: Progress Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Lineage Cell Therapeutics’ recent earnings call presented a mixed outlook, reflecting both significant advancements and financial hurdles. The company showcased promising progress in its OpRegen and OPC1 programs, highlighting strategic partnerships and clinical successes. However, financial challenges, including a substantial impairment expense and warrant liabilities, contributed to a notable net loss, painting a complex picture for investors.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lineage Therap Partners with WDI for Hearing Loss Research
Positive
Aug 26, 2025

Lineage Cell Therapeutics announced a multi-year research collaboration with William Demant Invest 2 Aps to advance its auditory neuronal cell transplant program, ReSonance, aimed at treating hearing loss. The agreement, established on August 22, 2025, involves WDI funding up to $12 million over three years to achieve preclinical readiness for potential human clinical trials, with both parties sharing joint ownership of project results.

The most recent analyst rating on (LCTX) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lineage Therap stock, see the LCTX Stock Forecast page.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics Reports Q2 2025 Progress and Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing allogeneic cell therapies for serious neurological and ophthalmic conditions, utilizing its proprietary cell-based technology platform. In its second quarter 2025 earnings report, Lineage highlighted significant progress in its clinical programs and manufacturing capabilities. The company reported positive 36-month results from its OpRegen cell therapy program, which is being developed in collaboration with Genentech and Roche, showing potential in treating geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration. Additionally, Lineage achieved a milestone in its OPC1 program by treating its first chronic spinal cord injury patient with a novel delivery system. Financially, Lineage reported a net loss of $30.5 million for the quarter, primarily due to a non-recurring impairment expense related to its VAC platform. Despite the increased loss, the company maintains a strong cash position of $42.3 million, expected to support operations into the first quarter of 2027. Looking ahead, Lineage remains optimistic about its pipeline and manufacturing capabilities, positioning itself as a compelling partner and investment opportunity in the biotechnology sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025