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4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. (FDMT)
:FDMT
US Market
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4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) AI Stock Analysis

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FDMT

4D Molecular Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:FDMT)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-4.46% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with negative income and cash flow trends being major concerns. However, the technical analysis shows positive momentum, which provides some optimism. The valuation remains a concern due to the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividends, highlighting the speculative nature of this investment.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Position
A strong cash position provides financial flexibility, allowing the company to invest in R&D and weather operational challenges without immediate liquidity concerns.
Phase 3 Program Progress
The accelerated timeline for Phase 3 trials indicates strong progress in drug development, potentially leading to earlier commercialization and revenue generation.
Cost Reduction Measures
Significant cost savings from workforce reduction can extend the cash runway, allowing the company to focus resources on critical R&D activities and improve long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow indicates ongoing cash burn, which can strain resources and necessitate additional financing, impacting long-term sustainability.
Leadership Change
Leadership changes can disrupt strategic continuity and may affect investor confidence, potentially impacting the company's ability to execute its long-term plans effectively.
Negative Income Trends
Ongoing negative income trends highlight challenges in reaching profitability, which can limit reinvestment capabilities and affect long-term growth prospects.

4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

4D Molecular Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) is a biotechnology company focused on developing innovative gene therapies for the treatment of genetically defined diseases. Utilizing its proprietary 4D platform, the company designs and optimizes adeno-associated virus (AAV) vectors that can deliver therapeutic genes effectively to target tissues. FDMT operates primarily in the sectors of gene therapy and molecular medicine, and its core products revolve around its advanced AAV therapies aimed at addressing unmet medical needs in various genetic disorders.
How the Company Makes Money4D Molecular Therapeutics generates revenue through a combination of partnerships, collaborations, and licensing agreements with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. The company may receive upfront payments, research funding, and milestone payments as it advances its therapeutic candidates through clinical trials. Additionally, FDMT could earn royalties on future sales of products developed through these collaborations. Significant partnerships with larger pharmaceutical firms enhance its financial stability and provide access to broader resources for development and commercialization efforts.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
4D Molecular Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges typical of the biotechnology sector, particularly in early-stage development without consistent revenue streams. The balance sheet shows improvement, but the negative income and cash flow trends highlight ongoing operational hurdles. Future success will rely heavily on successful research outcomes and continued access to financing.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
The company has experienced erratic revenue trends with significant fluctuations over the years. The lack of revenue in 2024 compared to the previous year denotes a challenging operational environment. Negative net income has been persistent, showcasing difficulties in achieving profitability. Margins are negative, and although the company had some revenue growth in prior years, sustainability remains questionable.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity base due to significant cash holdings, which is a positive aspect. However, the company's financial stability is undermined by negative equity in previous years. Recent improvements in stockholders' equity and low debt levels indicate improving financial health, but past fluctuations present a risk.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow from operations is consistently negative, reflecting ongoing cash burn typical of early-stage biotech companies. While free cash flow remains negative, the increase in financing activities suggests reliance on external funding to sustain operations. Positive trends in financing cash flow are countered by high levels of capital expenditure.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue120.00K37.00K20.72M3.13M18.04M13.61M
Gross Profit-96.85M37.00K-76.37M-77.12M-43.32M-39.43M
EBITDA-226.81M-181.14M-108.66M-107.63M-69.81M-55.22M
Net Income-209.18M-160.87M-100.84M-107.49M-71.32M-56.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets423.98M560.38M339.89M261.85M353.49M288.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments305.06M424.88M288.23M213.55M247.78M276.73M
Total Debt22.26M24.61M14.67M16.12M16.45M0.00
Total Liabilities55.00M49.78M32.06M30.51M34.38M31.94M
Stockholders Equity368.98M510.61M307.83M231.34M319.11M256.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-185.05M-138.37M-78.56M-98.22M-78.24M-51.91M
Operating Cash Flow-183.50M-134.59M-75.79M-86.69M-69.13M-50.91M
Investing Cash Flow42.93M-302.44M115.72M-17.05M-172.68M-1.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.58M337.25M156.83M3.08M118.09M278.98M

4D Molecular Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.99
Price Trends
50DMA
9.93
Positive
100DMA
7.87
Positive
200DMA
5.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Positive
RSI
54.39
Neutral
STOCH
57.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FDMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.77, above the 50-day MA of 9.93, and above the 200-day MA of 5.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FDMT.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Risk Analysis

4D Molecular Therapeutics disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. 4D Molecular Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

4D Molecular Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$627.91M-45.38%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$489.05M-5.62-36.94%31.30%32.79%
47
Neutral
$355.36M-5.58-29.83%-40.26%
45
Neutral
$59.14M-63.46%21.61%
43
Neutral
$352.84M-2.90-64.26%-11.41%
27
Underperform
$471.36M-43.75%9.32%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FDMT
4D Molecular Therapeutics
10.99
3.15
40.18%
ASMB
Assembly Biosciences
37.19
20.15
118.25%
KRRO
Korro Bio
5.52
-46.54
-89.40%
DSGN
Design Therapeutics
9.37
3.37
56.17%
IMRX
Immuneering
7.51
5.42
259.33%
AURA
Aura Biosciences Inc
6.38
-2.93
-31.47%

4D Molecular Therapeutics Corporate Events

4D Molecular Therapeutics Reports Strategic Gains in Q3 2025
Nov 11, 2025

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing durable and disease-targeted therapeutics, particularly for retinal vascular diseases and cystic fibrosis. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, 4DMT highlighted a strategic partnership with Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., positive clinical trial data, and a strengthened financial position. The company reported an $85 million upfront payment from Otsuka and expects additional cost-sharing contributions. It also completed an equity offering, raising approximately $93 million, and secured an $11 million investment from the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation to advance its 4D-710 program. Financially, 4DMT reported a net loss of $56.9 million for the quarter, with increased R&D expenses attributed to its Phase 3 trials. Despite the losses, the company maintains a strong cash position, expected to fund operations into the second half of 2028. Looking ahead, 4DMT is positioned to continue its clinical advancements, with key trials for its lead candidates, 4D-150 and 4D-710, progressing as planned.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
4D Molecular Therapeutics Closes $93.3 Million Stock Offering
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Leerink Partners LLC and Evercore Group L.L.C. to issue and sell 8,385,809 shares of its common stock and pre-funded warrants for additional shares, raising approximately $93.3 million in net proceeds. The offering closed on November 7, 2025, and was conducted under a prospectus supplement filed with the SEC, with the company agreeing to indemnify the underwriters against certain liabilities and implementing a lock-up period until January 6, 2026, for its directors and executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (FDMT) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 4D Molecular Therapeutics stock, see the FDMT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
4D Molecular Therapeutics Reports Positive Interim Trial Results
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, 4D Molecular Therapeutics announced positive interim results from their Phase 1/2 PRISM clinical trial for 4D-150, a treatment for wet age-related macular degeneration (wet AMD). The data, collected up to August 22, 2025, shows that 4D-150 effectively maintains visual acuity and controls retinal anatomy, while significantly reducing the treatment burden through fewer anti-VEGF injections over a period of up to two years. The trial’s results suggest durable disease control and favorable safety outcomes, positioning 4D-150 as a promising therapeutic option in the ophthalmology market.

The most recent analyst rating on (FDMT) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 4D Molecular Therapeutics stock, see the FDMT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
4D Molecular Therapeutics Partners with Otsuka for APAC Market
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, 4D Molecular Therapeutics entered into a collaboration agreement with Otsuka Pharmaceutical, granting Otsuka exclusive rights to develop and commercialize 4D-150 for ophthalmological diseases in the Asia-Pacific region. This agreement includes an upfront payment of $85 million and potential milestone payments, with both companies sharing development costs. The collaboration is expected to enhance 4D Molecular Therapeutics’ market presence in the APAC region while retaining rights outside these territories, potentially impacting stakeholders positively through expanded market reach and financial gains.

The most recent analyst rating on (FDMT) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 4D Molecular Therapeutics stock, see the FDMT Stock Forecast page.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Advances in Macular Degeneration Treatment: A Phase 3 Study Update
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: The clinical study titled A Phase 3, Randomized, Double-Masked, Active-Controlled Trial of a Single Intravitreal Injection of 4D-150 in Adults With Macular Neovascularization Secondary to Age-Related Macular Degeneration aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of a single intravitreal injection of 4D-150. This study focuses on treating macular neovascularization, a condition linked to age-related macular degeneration, which is a leading cause of vision loss in older adults.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Advances Gene Therapy for Wet AMD
Oct 27, 2025

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is conducting a clinical study titled ‘A Phase 1/2 Dose-Escalation and Randomized, Controlled, Masked Expansion Trial of Intravitreal 4D-150 Gene Therapy in Adults With Neovascular (Wet) Age-Related Macular Degeneration.’ The study aims to evaluate the safety and efficacy of 4D-150, a gene therapy, in treating wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD), a leading cause of vision loss. This research is significant as it explores a novel treatment approach for a condition with limited therapeutic options.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Advances Gene Therapy Trial for Cystic Fibrosis
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is conducting an open-label, Phase 1/2 trial titled An Open-label, Phase 1/2 Trial of Gene Therapy 4D-710 in Adults With Cystic Fibrosis. The study aims to evaluate the safety and efficacy of the investigational gene therapy 4D-710 in adults with cystic fibrosis, a condition affecting the lungs. This trial is significant as it explores a novel treatment approach for patients who may not respond to existing therapies.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Advances Phase 3 Trial for Vision Loss Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is conducting a Phase 3 clinical trial titled ‘A Phase 3, Randomized, Double-Masked, Active-Controlled Trial of a Single Intravitreal Injection of 4D-150 in Adults With Macular Neovascularization Secondary to Age-Related Macular Degeneration.’ The study aims to evaluate the efficacy of 4D-150 in treating macular neovascularization caused by age-related macular degeneration, a significant cause of vision loss in older adults.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Advances Gene Therapy Trial for Fabry Disease
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is conducting an open-label, Phase 1/2a trial titled ‘An Open-Label, Phase 1/2a Trial of Gene Therapy 4D-310 in Adults With Fabry Disease and Cardiac Involvement.’ The study aims to evaluate the safety, tolerability, and pharmacodynamics of the gene therapy 4D-310 in adult patients with Fabry Disease and cardiac involvement, highlighting its potential significance in addressing this rare genetic disorder.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
4D Molecular Therapeutics Appoints New Financial Officer
Neutral
Oct 2, 2025

On September 30, 2025, 4D Molecular Therapeutics appointed Ashoo Gupta as Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer, following his role as Vice President, Finance & Controller since June 2024. Additionally, the Board amended the company’s bylaws to update procedures for business meetings and director nominations, reflecting an effort to streamline governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (FDMT) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 4D Molecular Therapeutics stock, see the FDMT Stock Forecast page.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Faces Revenue Challenges Amid Complex Reimbursement Landscape
Aug 12, 2025

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. faces significant business risk in the successful commercialization of its product candidates due to the complexities of obtaining coverage and adequate reimbursement from governmental authorities, private health insurers, and other third-party payors. The variability in regulations governing marketing approvals, pricing, and reimbursement across different countries can lead to delays and adverse pricing limitations, potentially hindering the company’s ability to recoup investments. Additionally, the trend of cost containment in the healthcare industry, coupled with the challenges of demonstrating superior treatment outcomes compared to lower-priced alternatives, may further complicate the reimbursement process. These factors collectively pose a threat to the company’s revenue generation capabilities and overall business success.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Advances Clinical Programs in Q2 2025
Aug 12, 2025

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing durable and disease-targeted therapeutics, particularly in the field of genetic medicine for retinal and pulmonary diseases. In its second quarter of 2025, 4DMT reported significant progress in its clinical programs, particularly with its lead product candidate, 4D-150, for wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and diabetic macular edema (DME). The company has accelerated its Phase 3 program for 4D-150 in wet AMD, with the 4FRONT-1 data readout moved up to the first half of 2027, and the initiation of 4FRONT-2 ahead of schedule. Additionally, positive 60-week results from the SPECTRA trial in DME were presented, showcasing favorable tolerability and sustained treatment effects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025