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Amarin Corporation Plc (AMRN)
:AMRN
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Amarin (AMRN) AI Stock Analysis

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AMRN

Amarin

(NASDAQ:AMRN)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▼(-7.35% Downside)
Amarin's overall stock score reflects financial challenges and valuation concerns, which are somewhat offset by promising strategic partnerships and operational restructuring. The mixed technical indicators and recent corporate events suggest cautious optimism, but significant risks remain, particularly in the U.S. market.
Positive Factors
European Market Expansion
There has been a recent uptick in EU Vazkepa revenues driven by broader market access and steady growth in adoption across European countries.
Partnership and Collaboration
The Recordati partnership in Europe helps reshape Amarin's business model by transferring commercialization to a seasoned local partner with established cardiovascular infrastructure and expertise.
Revenue Growth
The total revenues included a $25M upfront payment from the Recordati deal, contributing to the overall revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Generic Competition
The US Vascepa franchise continues to face significant competitive pressure from at least 8 generic competitors, with gross margins declining to 41% in 4Q24 vs 58% in 4Q23.
Market Headwinds
Investors may remain cautious about the commercial business as the US VASCEPA franchise continues to face significant pressure from at least eight generic competitors.
Pricing Pressure
The business mix has shifted more toward Medicare Part D following CVS's decision to no longer cover Vascepa as the exclusive IPE product, creating additional net pricing pressure.

Amarin (AMRN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amarin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmarin Corporation plc, a pharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of therapeutics for the treatment of cardiovascular diseases in the United States, Germany, Canada, Lebanon, and the United Arab Emirates. Its lead product is VASCEPA, a prescription-only omega-3 fatty acid product, used as an adjunct to diet for reducing triglyceride levels in adult patients with severe hypertriglyceridemia. The company sells its products principally to wholesalers and specialty pharmacy providers. It has a collaboration with Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. to develop and commercialize drug products and indications based on the active pharmaceutical ingredient in Vascepa, the omega-3 acid, and eicosapentaenoic acid. The company was formerly known as Ethical Holdings plc and changed its name to Amarin Corporation plc in 1999. Amarin Corporation plc was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmarin generates revenue primarily through the sale of its product Vascepa, which is marketed to healthcare providers and patients for the management of cardiovascular health. The company earns money by selling Vascepa directly to wholesalers and pharmacies, who then distribute it to healthcare facilities and patients. In addition to direct sales, Amarin may also generate revenue from partnerships or collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can include licensing agreements or co-promotion deals. The company continually invests in clinical trials and research to expand the indications for Vascepa and develop new products, which can lead to increased sales and market penetration over time.

Amarin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook, with strategic partnerships, global expansion, and financial strength highlighting growth potential. However, challenges remain in the U.S. market due to pricing pressures and revenue decline.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnership with Recordati
Amarin entered into a long-term licensing and supply agreement with Recordati, expected to accelerate the commercialization of VAZKEPA across Europe and increase patient penetration, resulting in structured royalty streams and sales milestones.
Significant Operating Expense Savings
The company announced a restructuring that is anticipated to save approximately $70 million in operating expenses over the next 12 months.
Global Expansion and Demand Growth
VASCEPA saw considerable demand growth in Europe, Rest of World, and China with respective increases of 132%, 68%, and strong growth figures in Australia (75%) and Canada (31%).
Strong Financial Foundation
Amarin reported nearly $300 million in cash, no debt, and sufficient on-hand inventory levels to meet global demand, positioning the company on an accelerated path to positive cash flow.
U.S. Market Performance
Despite ongoing pricing pressure and competition, the U.S. market showed a 7% volume rebound in Q2 2025, with market share stable at 43%.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Revenue
Net product revenue in the U.S. declined by 17% due to pricing pressure from generics.
Uncertain Pricing Environment
The company faces volatile pricing pressure in the U.S. market, with uncertain predictions for 2026.
Company Guidance
During Amarin Corporation's second quarter 2025 financial results call, several key metrics and strategic updates were highlighted. The company reported a total net revenue of $72.7 million, marking an 8% increase from the prior year, primarily due to a partnership with Recordati. This partnership is expected to enhance VAZKEPA's commercialization in Europe, leading to increased patient penetration and structured royalty streams. The company anticipates operating expense savings of approximately $70 million over the next 12 months through a global restructuring. This is expected to position the company on an accelerated path to positive cash flow. In the U.S., net product revenue was $36.5 million, indicating a 17% decline due to generic pricing pressures, but market share improved to around 50% in July. European product revenue nearly doubled to $6.6 million, driven by growth in Spain and the U.K., while Rest of World markets showed significant growth with product revenue at $3.5 million. The company is also evaluating further strategic opportunities to enhance shareholder value with Barclays as their financial adviser.

Amarin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amarin's financial health is challenged by declining revenues and profitability issues, as indicated by negative net income and volatile cash flow. While the balance sheet shows a strong equity position, the erosion of asset base raises concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals declining revenue over recent years, with a significant drop from $583.2M in 2021 to $204.6M in 2024. The gross profit margin has also decreased, indicating cost pressures. The company has faced persistent net losses, with net income declining from a small profit in 2021 to substantial losses in subsequent years. Negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a high equity ratio, signaling a solid capital position. However, declining stockholders' equity and increasing total liabilities over the years are concerning. The debt-to-equity ratio has remained low, indicating manageable leverage. Despite these strengths, the erosion of asset base and equity is a potential risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows inconsistent free cash flow with negative trends, especially after 2021. Operating cash flow has been volatile, with a significant reduction to zero in 2024 from positive figures in previous years. This instability in cash flow generation poses concerns for liquidity and operational sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue193.24M228.61M306.91M369.19M583.19M614.06M
Gross Profit82.20M81.38M165.54M242.48M461.86M482.62M
EBITDA-97.35M-74.18M-50.70M-100.65M14.28M-12.71M
Net Income-103.59M-82.18M-59.11M-105.80M7.73M-18.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets670.13M685.35M831.68M886.18M1.07B966.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments298.70M294.22M320.66M309.36M454.13M500.93M
Total Debt7.34M7.72M8.74M10.02M8.58M9.15M
Total Liabilities205.20M199.17M279.59M290.85M400.97M338.52M
Stockholders Equity464.92M486.18M552.10M595.33M667.10M627.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.52M-31.02M6.35M-180.69M-22.00M
Operating Cash Flow-11.45M-31.03M6.88M-180.09M-66.54M-21.75M
Investing Cash Flow-54.83M-45.98M-25.52M175.29M104.10M-376.96M
Financing Cash Flow-1.83M-1.44M230.00K-379.00K-5.07M-58.91M

Amarin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.65
Price Trends
50DMA
15.05
Positive
100DMA
12.60
Positive
200DMA
11.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
57.87
Neutral
STOCH
66.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.14, above the 50-day MA of 15.05, and above the 200-day MA of 11.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMRN.

Amarin Risk Analysis

Amarin disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amarin reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amarin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$679.65M7.30376.09%105.62%
52
Neutral
$324.79M-55.91%-95.11%27.25%
51
Neutral
$7.46B-0.16-46.00%2.25%22.82%-2.28%
48
Neutral
$325.05M-20.38%-16.92%-207.34%
41
Neutral
$404.61M-68.67%-50.83%
40
Underperform
$329.11M-69.65%10.36%
37
Underperform
$322.84M-65.91%-32.74%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMRN
Amarin
15.65
2.35
17.67%
ALT
Altimmune
3.63
-3.91
-51.86%
RIGL
Rigel
39.51
26.80
210.86%
ALDX
Aldeyra Therapeutics
5.39
0.00
0.00%
RCKT
Rocket Pharmaceuticals
3.05
-16.15
-84.11%
CRVS
Corvus Pharmaceuticals
5.43
1.20
28.37%

Amarin Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Amarin Enters Licensing Agreement with Recordati
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Amarin Corporation entered into a long-term license and supply agreement with Recordati to commercialize VAZKEPA® in 59 European countries. The agreement includes an upfront payment of $25 million, potential milestone payments up to $150 million, and royalties based on net sales. This partnership allows Amarin to streamline its global operations, resulting in approximately $70 million in annual cost savings and an accelerated path to positive cash flow. Additionally, Amarin announced a global restructuring to reduce operating costs, primarily from its European operations, with expected completion by June 30, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMRN) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amarin stock, see the AMRN Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Amarin Shareholders Reject Key Proposal at AGM
Negative
May 15, 2025

At Amarin Corporation’s Annual General Meeting on May 13, 2025, shareholders voted on several proposals, with all but Proposal 12 being approved. Proposal 12, which aimed to allow the Board to allot 10% of the company’s share capital without statutory pre-emption rights, did not receive the necessary shareholder approval despite recommendations from ISS and Glass Lewis. This rejection necessitates the Board to explore alternative compensation arrangements for non-employee directors, potentially impacting the company’s cash position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMRN) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amarin stock, see the AMRN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025