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Amarin Corporation Plc (AMRN)
:AMRN

Amarin (AMRN) AI Stock Analysis

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Amarin

(NASDAQ:AMRN)

52Neutral
Amarin's overall stock score is weighed down by declining revenues and profitability issues, especially in the U.S. market due to generic competition. The stock benefits from a strong cash position and global expansion efforts. However, negative valuation metrics and financial performance issues limit its attractiveness. Technical analysis provides some positive signals, but they are not strong enough to offset the fundamental challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
Amarin maintained a stable cash position of $294 million with no debt, indicating financial resilience.
Geographic Expansion
Amarin secured additional pricing and reimbursement agreements in Europe, with Italy showing progress with access being secured in 9 regions, covering more than 50% of the eligible market.
Global Market Opportunities
Commercial launch progress for Vascepa in China in the cardiovascular risk reduction indication via partner Eddingpharm could drive future growth.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
The US Vascepa franchise continues to face significant competitive pressure from at least 8 generic competitors, leading to declining gross margins.
Market Access Challenges
Vazkepa's EU launch remains slower than expected due to continued market access challenges, which is an overhang on the stock.
Pricing Pressure
The business mix has shifted more toward Medicare Part D following CVS's decision to no longer cover Vascepa as the exclusive IPE product, creating additional net pricing pressure.

Amarin (AMRN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Amarin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmarin Corporation plc, a pharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of therapeutics for the treatment of cardiovascular diseases in the United States, Germany, Canada, Lebanon, and the United Arab Emirates. Its lead product is VASCEPA, a prescription-only omega-3 fatty acid product, used as an adjunct to diet for reducing triglyceride levels in adult patients with severe hypertriglyceridemia. The company sells its products principally to wholesalers and specialty pharmacy providers. It has a collaboration with Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. to develop and commercialize drug products and indications based on the active pharmaceutical ingredient in Vascepa, the omega-3 acid, and eicosapentaenoic acid. The company was formerly known as Ethical Holdings plc and changed its name to Amarin Corporation plc in 1999. Amarin Corporation plc was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmarin Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical product, Vascepa. The company targets prescribing physicians, healthcare professionals, and healthcare facilities to promote and distribute Vascepa. Revenue is generated from direct sales to wholesalers, who then distribute the medication to pharmacies and healthcare providers. Amarin also seeks to expand its market reach through strategic partnerships and licensing agreements, which may include collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies to promote and distribute Vascepa in international markets. Additionally, the company's financial performance is influenced by regulatory approvals, market demand, pricing strategies, and its ability to protect its intellectual property through patents.

Amarin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amarin's financial health presents a mixed picture with significant challenges. The income statement reflects declining revenues and profitability issues. While the balance sheet shows good equity cushion, weakening asset and equity trends are notable. Cash flow volatility adds to the company's financial pressures, suggesting a need for strategic changes to enhance financial performance and stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals declining revenue over recent years, with a significant drop from $583.2M in 2021 to $204.6M in 2024. The gross profit margin has also decreased, indicating cost pressures. The company has faced persistent net losses, with net income declining from a small profit in 2021 to substantial losses in subsequent years. Negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a high equity ratio, signaling a solid capital position. However, declining stockholders' equity and increasing total liabilities over the years are concerning. The debt-to-equity ratio has remained low, indicating manageable leverage. Despite these strengths, the erosion of asset base and equity is a potential risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows inconsistent free cash flow with negative trends, especially after 2021. Operating cash flow has been volatile, with a significant reduction to zero in 2024 from positive figures in previous years. This instability in cash flow generation poses concerns for liquidity and operational sustainability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
204.59M306.91M369.19M583.19M614.06M
Gross Profit
81.38M165.54M242.48M461.86M482.62M
EBIT
-91.80M-67.59M-92.34M22.28M-19.66M
EBITDA
-74.18M-50.90M-100.65M14.28M-12.71M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-82.18M-59.11M-105.80M7.73M-18.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
294.22M320.66M309.36M454.13M500.93M
Total Assets
685.35M831.68M886.18M1.07B966.02M
Total Debt
7.72M8.74M10.02M8.58M9.15M
Net Debt
-113.31M-190.51M-207.65M-210.88M-177.81M
Total Liabilities
199.17M279.59M290.85M400.97M338.52M
Stockholders Equity
486.18M552.10M595.33M667.10M627.50M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-31.02M6.35M-180.69M-22.00M
Operating Cash Flow
-31.02M6.88M-180.09M-66.54M-21.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-45.98M-25.52M175.29M104.10M-376.96M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.40K230.00K-379.00K-5.07M-58.91M

Amarin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.98
Price Trends
50DMA
9.69
Positive
100DMA
10.13
Positive
200DMA
11.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Negative
RSI
62.43
Neutral
STOCH
75.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.64, above the 50-day MA of 9.69, and below the 200-day MA of 11.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMRN.

Amarin Risk Analysis

Amarin disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amarin reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amarin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$171.10M52.645.62%29.04%
52
Neutral
$227.39M-15.79%-25.86%-37.19%
52
Neutral
$5.28B3.75-42.72%2.86%17.70%2.03%
48
Neutral
$201.13M130.002.16%243.10%
45
Neutral
$166.56M-187.83%-67.20%64.66%
44
Neutral
$233.57M322.49%-33.83%27.89%
39
Underperform
$156.04M-25.95%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMRN
Amarin
10.98
-7.38
-40.20%
SGMO
Sangamo Biosciences
0.74
0.22
42.31%
GNFT
Genfit SA
4.08
0.58
16.57%
BWAY
Brainsway
8.81
2.99
51.37%
FHTX
Foghorn Therapeutics
4.16
-1.95
-31.91%
FDMT
4D Molecular Therapeutics
3.44
-22.94
-86.96%

Amarin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 16.68%|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While Amarin demonstrated strong financial foundation, global expansion progress, and effective cost management, significant challenges persist in the U.S. market due to generic competition, resulting in a revenue decline and increased net loss. The commitment to research and development offers potential future growth opportunities.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Foundation
Amarin reported 2024 revenues of over $200 million and ended the year with a cash position of $294 million and no debt, providing a long runway for the company.
VASCEPA's Global Expansion
VASCEPA has been launched in over 20 markets globally with nine partnerships in place, and secured regulatory approvals in 49 markets around the world.
European Market Progress
Secured pricing and reimbursement in 10 European markets and achieved a $2.5 million increase in European product revenue year-over-year, driven by contributions from Spain and the UK.
Advancements in Research and Development
Supported more than 500 publications on icosapent ethyl, with 45 new publications in 2024, and secured more than 50 clinical guidelines and scientific statements globally.
Cost Management and Cash Preservation
Reduced year-over-year operating expenses by 26% and maintained a stable cash position with only a 5% decline since the end of 2022.
Negative Updates
U.S. Revenue Decline
U.S. product revenue declined to $44.2 million in Q4 2024 from $64.9 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to generic competition and a decrease in volume.
Impact of U.S. Generic Competition
The decline in net selling price in the U.S. resulted in a gross margin reduction from 58% to 41% year-over-year.
Net Loss Increase
Reported a GAAP net loss of $48.6 million in Q4 2024 compared to a GAAP net loss of $5.8 million in Q4 2023, reflecting the impact of U.S. generic market and non-cash inventory restructuring charges.
CVS Coverage Loss Impact
The shift of CVS commercial from exclusive to not covered significantly impacted U.S. revenue and is expected to affect year-over-year comparisons in the first two quarters of 2025.
Company Guidance
In the conference call discussing Amarin Corporation's financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, the company highlighted its strategic plans and achievements. Amarin reported a strong financial position with revenues exceeding $200 million in 2024 and a cash reserve of nearly $300 million, without any debt. The company has successfully secured regulatory approvals for its product, VASCEPA, in 49 markets globally and launched in over 20 markets. During the fourth quarter of 2024, Amarin's total net revenue was $74.7 million, with U.S. product revenue contributing $44.2 million, a decline from the previous year due to generic competition and decreased volume. European product revenue increased by $2.5 million from the prior year, reaching $4 million, primarily driven by growth in Spain and the UK. The company is also focusing on maintaining its NASDAQ listing by initiating a ratio change to its American Depositary Shares (ADS) program. Moving forward, Amarin aims to maintain its financial stability, expand VASCEPA's global reach, and continue its investment in research to maximize shareholder value and address cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of death worldwide.}}}

Amarin Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Amarin Regains Nasdaq Compliance with Share Adjustment
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Amarin Corporation announced it has regained compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price requirement, ensuring its continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market. This compliance was achieved following an adjustment in the ratio of its American Depositary Shares to ordinary shares. The company remains committed to maximizing the global value of its primary product, VASCEPA/VAZKEPA, for cardiovascular disease management.

Spark’s Take on AMRN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AMRN is a Neutral.

Amarin’s stock score reflects significant financial and market challenges, notably declining revenues and profitability issues. Technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and valuation metrics are unfavorable. While the company benefits from a strong cash position and global expansion efforts, the impact of U.S. generic competition and increasing net losses are critical concerns.

To see Spark’s full report on AMRN stock, click here.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Amarin Announces ADS Ratio Change to Maintain Nasdaq Listing
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Amarin announced a change in the ratio of its American Depositary Shares (ADS) to ordinary shares, effective April 11, 2025, to maintain its Nasdaq listing. This adjustment, resulting in a one-for-twenty reverse split of ADSs, aims to increase the per-share market price to meet Nasdaq’s minimum bid requirement, although the company cannot guarantee the expected price increase.

Spark’s Take on AMRN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AMRN is a Neutral.

Amarin faces significant financial and market challenges. Declining revenues and profitability issues weigh heavily on the score. Technical analysis reflects a bearish trend, and negative valuation metrics further detract from the stock’s appeal. While the company demonstrates a strong cash position and global expansion efforts, the impact of U.S. generic competition and increasing net losses are critical concerns.

To see Spark’s full report on AMRN stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Amarin Appoints Michael Torok to Board of Directors
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

On April 4, 2025, Amarin Corporation appointed Michael Torok to its Board of Directors. Torok, co-founder of JEC Capital Partners, brings financial expertise and a focus on maximizing shareholder value. His appointment is expected to strengthen Amarin’s strategic direction and shareholder engagement.

Spark’s Take on AMRN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, (AMRN) is a Neutral.

Amarin faces significant financial and market challenges. Declining revenues and profitability issues weigh heavily on the score. Technical analysis reflects a bearish trend, and negative valuation metrics further detract from the stock’s appeal. While the company demonstrates a strong cash position and global expansion efforts, the impact of U.S. generic competition and increasing net losses are critical concerns.

To see Spark’s full report on (AMRN) stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Amarin Announces Board Member Departure Ahead of 2025 Meeting
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

On March 25, 2025, Amarin Corporation plc announced that Mr. Mark DiPaolo has decided not to stand for re-election at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, scheduled for May 2025. Mr. DiPaolo’s departure from the Board of Directors is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock SplitFinancial Disclosures
Amarin Announces 1-for-20 Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Amarin announced a 1-for-20 reverse split of its American depositary shares (ADSs) to maintain its Nasdaq listing, effective around April 11, 2025. This move is expected to proportionally increase the trading price of its ADSs, although no assurance is given that the price will be 20 times higher post-split. In 2024, Amarin reported $62.3 million in fourth-quarter revenue, a 17% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to U.S. generic competition. Despite this, the company made significant progress in expanding its VASCEPA/VAZKEPA franchise globally, securing reimbursements in Italy and Austria, and advancing commercialization efforts in other markets.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.