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Altimmune Inc (ALT)
NASDAQ:ALT

Altimmune (ALT) AI Stock Analysis

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AL

Altimmune

(NASDAQ:ALT)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(13.64%Upside)
Altimmune's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and valuation, offset by positive earnings call guidance and a strong balance sheet. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, but potential growth in new therapeutic areas and financial flexibility provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
MASH treatment potential
Pemvidutide showed a robust treatment effect on MASH resolution with a response rate significantly higher than placebo.
Phase 3 advancement
The high likelihood of moving to Phase 3 is supported by precedents where similar drugs moved forward despite missing the fibrosis endpoint.
Weight loss benefits
Pemvidutide produced weight loss of up to 6.2% at 24 weeks, with a continued downward trajectory and no evidence of plateauing.
Negative Factors
Clinical development risks
Risks include clinical development risk tied to pemvidutide, competitor risk in relevant therapeutic areas, and capital market and dilution risk.
Development challenges
There are challenges for ALT to execute the full clinical development program required to bring pemvidutide to market.
Stock rating and price target
The stock is recommended at a Sell rating with a significant downside to the price target.

Altimmune (ALT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Altimmune Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAltimmune, Inc. (ALT) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies to address unmet medical needs in the areas of liver disease and immune modulating therapies. The company is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland, and is actively working on a pipeline that includes treatments for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), obesity, and infectious diseases. Altimmune leverages its proprietary technologies to develop vaccines and therapies that aim to improve patient outcomes.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltimmune primarily makes money through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates. The company's revenue streams consist of research and development collaborations, government contracts, and potential future product sales. Altimmune has previously received funding through government contracts for its infectious disease programs and may enter into partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies to co-develop or license its therapies. These partnerships can provide milestone payments and royalties, contributing to the company's revenue. Additionally, as its drug candidates progress through clinical trials, Altimmune may secure additional funding through equity offerings to support its operations and research initiatives.

Altimmune Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -26.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted the anticipation for the IMPACT Phase 2b NASH trial results and financial strategies to support development. The expansion into AUD and ALD also shows growth potential. However, net losses and R&D expenses remain concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Upcoming Readout of IMPACT Phase 2b NASH Trial
The trial aims to show statistical significance on NASH endpoints at 24 weeks, a first among incretins, and combines these effects with clinically meaningful weight loss.
Credit Facility with Hercules Capital
Altimmune entered a credit facility for up to $100 million, providing financial flexibility to support the development of pemvidutide.
Successful Enrollment in IMPACT Phase 2b Trial
The trial enrolled 212 participants, exceeding the original target and increasing study power.
Potential Expansion into AUD and ALD
Plans for Phase 2 trials in Alcohol Use Disorder and Alcohol Liver Disease, areas with significant unmet medical needs, were unveiled, potentially expanding pemvidutide's application.
Strong Financial Position
Altimmune ended Q1 2025 with $150 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, an increase from $132 million at year-end 2024.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in Q1 2025
The company reported a net loss of $19.6 million or $0.26 per share, compared to a net loss of $24.4 million or $0.34 per share in the first quarter of 2024.
R&D Expenses
R&D expenses were $15.8 million for Q1 2025, a decrease from $21.5 million in the same period of 2024, primarily due to upfront CRO costs for the IMPACT trial.
Company Guidance
During Altimmune's first quarter 2025 financial results conference call, the company provided optimistic guidance on several fronts. The firm anticipates announcing the results of its IMPACT Phase 2b NASH trial this quarter, with expectations of achieving statistical significance at 24 weeks for both NASH endpoints and clinically meaningful weight loss. The company also revealed a new $100 million credit facility with Hercules Capital, bolstering their financial position to support ongoing and future trials. Altimmune is planning Phase 2 trials for alcohol use disorder (AUD) and alcohol liver disease (ALD) within the second and third quarters of 2025, respectively. The company's cash balance increased to $150 million, supported by a $35 million raise from an ATM facility in the first quarter. Further, they reported a net loss of $19.6 million for the quarter, an improvement from the previous year's $24.4 million. Altimmune's leadership emphasized the potential of their lead candidate, pemvidutide, to be a transformative treatment across multiple fibrotic liver diseases, highlighting the drug's unique profile combining liver fat reduction and weight loss.

Altimmune Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Altimmune faces significant challenges in achieving profitability and positive cash flow, reflected in the negative margins and cash flow metrics. However, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage, providing a cushion for future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Altimmune has shown inconsistent revenue figures over the years, with a significant drop in the most recent period. Gross profit margins have been volatile, and the company has consistently posted negative net income, leading to negative net profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 88.65% in the latest period, reflecting a solid balance sheet with minimal debt. The debt-to-equity ratio is favorable, indicating low financial leverage. However, the persistent net income losses have impacted the return on equity, which remains negative.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Altimmune has experienced negative free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, as is the free cash flow to net income ratio, reflecting the company's difficulties in translating earnings into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.00K20.00K426.00K-68.00K4.41M8.19M
Gross Profit-41.00K20.00K-51.00K-568.00K3.86M-25.32M
EBITDA-90.75M-94.81M-87.94M-84.40M-96.53M-54.15M
Net Income-90.24M-95.06M-88.45M-84.71M-97.09M-49.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets157.26M139.31M210.64M206.93M218.86M245.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments149.83M131.89M197.81M184.88M190.30M215.92M
Total Debt0.001.68M671.00K1.12M1.53M1.82M
Total Liabilities15.10M15.80M16.54M21.64M19.73M19.24M
Stockholders Equity142.16M123.51M194.10M185.29M199.13M225.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-80.33M-79.85M-75.86M-62.71M-90.55M-34.65M
Operating Cash Flow-80.33M-79.85M-75.81M-62.59M-78.24M-34.44M
Investing Cash Flow6.03M-28.39M13.73M-73.40M87.52M-72.09M
Financing Cash Flow44.42M10.04M86.11M56.78M65.10M213.49M

Altimmune Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.40
Price Trends
50DMA
5.62
Negative
100DMA
5.50
Negative
200DMA
6.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Positive
RSI
41.10
Neutral
STOCH
61.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.65, below the 50-day MA of 5.62, and below the 200-day MA of 6.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALT.

Altimmune Risk Analysis

Altimmune disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Altimmune reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Altimmune Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$656.26M15.3020.50%2333.50%
53
Neutral
$657.37M-49.91%-14.16%25.88%
52
Neutral
$7.53B0.20-61.87%2.28%16.72%1.10%
ALALT
50
Neutral
$371.47M-57.28%-95.12%21.09%
IVIVA
44
Neutral
$448.70M344.74%-47.32%-26.67%
43
Neutral
$888.89M-48.45%7.15%
33
Underperform
$913.50M-71.44%19.94%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALT
Altimmune
4.40
-3.28
-42.71%
AUTL
Autolus Therapeutics
2.48
-1.67
-40.24%
STOK
Stoke Therapeutics
12.04
-1.99
-14.18%
ORIC
Oric Pharmaceuticals
11.45
1.85
19.27%
IVA
Inventiva
3.38
0.66
24.26%
SANA
Sana Biotechnology
4.06
-1.60
-28.27%

Altimmune Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Altimmune Announces Positive Phase 2b Trial Results
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Altimmune announced positive topline results from its IMPACT Phase 2b trial of pemvidutide for treating metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). The trial showed significant MASH resolution and weight loss in participants treated with pemvidutide compared to placebo, with low discontinuation rates due to adverse events. These results suggest pemvidutide’s potential as a transformative therapy for MASH, a condition with limited current treatment options, and support further progression to Phase 3 trials.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALT) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altimmune stock, see the ALT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Altimmune Secures $100 Million Credit Facility
Positive
May 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Altimmune entered into a Loan and Security Agreement with Hercules Capital, securing a $100 million credit facility to enhance its financial flexibility and support the development of its lead therapeutic candidate, pemvidutide. The company announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reporting cash and short-term investments of $150 million as of March 31, 2025. Altimmune anticipates significant milestones in 2025, including top-line data from the IMPACT Phase 2b trial of pemvidutide in MASH, and the initiation of Phase 2 trials for AUD and ALD. These developments are expected to strengthen Altimmune’s position in the biopharmaceutical industry, particularly in addressing unmet medical needs in liver and cardiometabolic diseases.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALT) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Altimmune stock, see the ALT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025